Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 27 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 December 2010, Arsenal vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         17   37  +22      81.52     5.83    47.96    62.99    85.72    96.95    99.47   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         18   35  +17      76.22     6.01    39.85    21.33    58.34    86.47    96.33    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        19   35  +12      67.10     5.76    21.44     1.07     6.94    22.92    63.64    94.74     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   31  +17      74.59     5.58    43.69    14.37    46.56    82.59    95.04    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       18   30   +4      62.33     6.26    11.50     0.22     1.88     7.60    26.82    77.66     0.00R    0.00  
Bolton          19   29   +7      51.62     5.82     0.46     0.00     0.01     0.16     1.27    14.16     0.50R    0.03  
Sunderland      19   27   +1      52.31     5.98    -0.19     0.00     0.02     0.19     1.52    16.74     0.51R    0.02  
Stoke           18   24   +1      46.96     5.89    -6.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21     3.73     4.08R    0.34  
Newcastle       18   22   -1      48.34     6.37    -3.33     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.46     7.41     3.37R    0.31  
Liverpool       17   22   -1      59.04     6.32    11.27     0.03     0.50     2.85    13.39    60.55     0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool       16   22   -5      43.42     6.49   -21.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.76    16.46R    2.83  
West_Brom       18   22   -7      46.21     6.27   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.22     3.29     7.28R    1.05  
Blackburn       19   22   -7      43.71     5.87   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.13    12.10R    1.63  
Everton         18   21   -1      51.22     6.25     2.85     0.00     0.02     0.16     1.31    14.72     1.13R    0.11  
Aston_Villa     18   20  -10      46.73     6.15   -12.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     3.55     5.85R    0.73  
Wigan           18   19  -14      35.69     5.51   -32.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    62.16R   20.59  
Birmingham      17   18   -3      41.90     6.12   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.78    18.85R    3.54  
Fulham          18   16   -6      39.13     5.95   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26    32.68R    7.37  
West_Ham        19   16  -13      36.10     5.75   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    56.07R   18.37  
Wolverhampton   18   15  -13      32.45     5.62   -29.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.90R   43.08  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 December 2010, Barnsley vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              22   44  +26      82.74     7.15    34.55    45.17    68.03    94.65    75.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          22   40  +15      80.38     7.20    26.62    29.44    54.13    89.36    64.52P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     23   39   +4      71.66     7.23     5.54     4.06    11.37    50.23    19.06P    0.11R    0.00  
Swansea          23   37   +5      71.36     6.86     9.39     2.92     9.70    49.12    19.17P    0.09R    0.01  
Norwich          22   36   +5      70.49     7.42     7.26     3.30     9.45    44.14    17.04P    0.22R    0.02  
Coventry         23   34   +3      63.55     6.80     0.23     0.24     1.06    12.76     3.13P    1.84R    0.15  
Reading          22   33  +10      71.30     7.21    18.15     3.82    11.45    51.57    23.59P    0.13R    0.01  
Burnley          21   32   +7      69.60     7.69    11.86     3.07     9.25    41.81    17.80P    0.45R    0.05  
Nott'm_Forest    20   30   +7      70.87     7.52    14.98     3.86    11.04    48.29    21.44P    0.23R    0.01  
Derby            22   30   +6      62.03     7.12     4.40     0.21     0.87    10.61     3.01P    3.40R    0.36  
Watford          21   30   +5      65.75     7.54     6.83     0.98     3.44    23.58     7.82P    1.53R    0.13  
Doncaster        21   30   -3      63.24     7.40    -4.55     0.34     1.35    13.48     3.62P    3.27R    0.41  
Millwall         22   29   +2      60.88     7.21     0.79     0.12     0.57     7.97     2.14P    5.09R    0.69  
Portsmouth       21   29   +1      68.51     7.56     8.93     2.12     6.49    35.80    15.07P    0.68R    0.07  
Hull             22   29   -2      62.45     7.23    -0.94     0.23     1.01    11.14     3.57P    3.40R    0.41  
Barnsley         21   29   -6      57.17     7.04   -15.37     0.02     0.13     2.59     0.49P   14.20R    2.21  
Leicester        23   29   -7      60.83     6.91    -6.61     0.05     0.37     6.41     1.78P    5.08R    0.58  
Bristol_City     22   27   -7      56.63     7.03   -11.79     0.02     0.11     2.14     0.45P   15.32R    2.74  
Ipswich          22   25   -7      55.11     6.99   -11.10     0.02     0.06     1.34     0.32P   20.05R    3.97  
Sheff_Utd        22   25  -12      56.26     7.06   -14.28     0.01     0.09     1.82     0.47P   16.83R    3.24  
Middlesbrough    22   21  -10      53.84     7.04    -9.91     0.01     0.02     0.81     0.23P   25.47R    5.69  
Crystal_Palace   22   21  -16      49.18     6.95   -23.17     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   52.93R   18.54  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.64     7.34   -27.67     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.02P   67.08R   32.16  
Preston          21   19  -14      47.24     7.27   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   62.63R   28.54  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 December 2010, Huddersfield vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         19   36  +16      78.84     7.96    24.67    25.30    42.27    80.04    51.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        21   33  +13      76.81     7.53    27.35    16.81    32.91    74.67    46.53P    0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield     20   32   +9      74.36     7.80    19.14    10.18    21.71    61.97    32.20P    0.16R    0.00  
Charlton         19   32   +6      76.74     7.96    17.70    16.82    31.31    71.57    42.74P    0.09R    0.00  
Bournemouth      19   30  +15      69.61     8.21    18.75     4.40     9.94    39.10    16.47P    1.01R    0.04  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.52     7.88     5.73     3.38     8.12    35.69    14.56P    1.00R    0.02  
Oldham           18   29   +6      68.01     8.02     7.02     2.44     5.99    29.91    10.71P    1.54R    0.04  
Peterborough     19   29   -2      67.46     8.37    -0.54     2.49     6.08    27.47    10.41P    2.72R    0.15  
Exeter           20   29   -2      60.05     7.55    -9.68     0.16     0.54     5.62     1.35P   11.57R    0.72  
Hartlepool       19   29   -2      63.52     7.84    -6.09     0.63     1.87    13.25     3.89P    5.41R    0.25  
Southampton      19   28   +8      75.39     7.81    23.61    13.24    26.75    67.41    40.46P    0.12R    0.00  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.64     7.77     3.11     1.03     3.05    19.66     6.41P    2.89R    0.12  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.22     7.85     7.65     1.02     2.95    19.46     6.59P    3.13R    0.17  
MK_Dons          19   26   -7      62.19     7.97    -8.67     0.37     1.25    10.48     3.00P    8.18R    0.50  
Plymouth         19   25   -4      63.77     8.16    -1.55     0.81     2.22    14.89     5.33P    5.79R    0.43  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      59.08     7.78    -1.91     0.12     0.49     5.33     1.40P   13.52R    1.03  
Swindon          19   24   -3      62.93     7.96    -0.45     0.49     1.56    12.66     4.11P    6.40R    0.38  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.42     8.20    -1.73     0.12     0.45     4.31     1.28P   20.05R    2.06  
Notts_County     18   22   -5      56.90     8.31   -10.49     0.13     0.36     3.68     0.93P   23.47R    2.85  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      52.83     7.53   -17.35     0.01     0.04     0.76     0.14P   40.77R    6.06  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      54.96     7.87   -17.69     0.04     0.14     1.77     0.42P   31.55R    4.17  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.67     7.69   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   79.32R   33.89  
Walsall          19   17  -14      48.55     7.64   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   62.91R   16.43  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.16     7.53   -28.21     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00    78.34R   30.69  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 December 2010, Wycombe vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.74     7.98    26.14    29.96    63.69    92.06    70.70P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +16      80.37     7.65    26.62    22.83    57.83    90.47    66.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.29     7.89    21.90    11.38    36.69    77.95    46.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.65     7.85    16.02     9.07    32.30    74.60    42.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              20   34   +8      75.94     7.88    17.33     9.81    34.00    75.76    45.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.28     7.84    22.26    10.93    36.87    78.38    48.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.77     7.94    13.54     1.85    10.45    42.92    18.04P    0.10R    0.03  
Cheltenham           19   27   -3      61.58     7.84    -7.04     0.18     1.60    12.85     3.62P    1.40R    0.40  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.99     8.13    21.19     2.26    12.16    45.58    20.96P    0.11R    0.03  
Macclesfield         19   25   -5      56.32     7.56   -13.47     0.02     0.24     3.46     0.79P    5.34R    1.84  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.37     7.78     3.55     0.13     1.28    10.89     3.49P    1.63R    0.45  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.62     7.88     0.51     0.11     1.07     9.49     2.82P    2.31R    0.69  
Gillingham           19   24   -3      62.86     8.11    -0.33     0.33     2.53    17.58     6.25P    0.99R    0.24  
Bradford             19   24   -3      60.10     7.75    -4.10     0.09     0.97     9.29     2.85P    1.88R    0.50  
Northampton          20   24   -6      61.70     7.68    -3.01     0.16     1.47    12.74     4.29P    1.14R    0.29  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      55.04     7.63    -8.54     0.01     0.17     2.86     0.65P    7.00R    2.40  
Southend             19   23   -2      65.99     8.09     6.81     0.80     5.67    29.71    12.68P    0.40R    0.08  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.89     7.76    -8.59     0.05     0.46     5.64     1.45P    3.73R    1.29  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.76     7.80   -10.03     0.02     0.14     2.20     0.50P    9.87R    3.74  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      57.16     7.83    -7.63     0.04     0.38     4.85     1.36P    4.86R    1.70  
Stockport            20   20  -20      46.90     7.45   -34.27     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P   38.28R   19.94  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      48.92     7.52   -23.80     0.00     0.02     0.37     0.06P   26.90R   12.17  
Barnet               20   19  -13      46.03     7.25   -26.53     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   40.77R   21.42  
Hereford             20   15  -18      43.79     7.38   -28.53     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   53.28R   32.81  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Fleetwood_Town vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.75     7.45    23.63    13.30    81.94    28.14P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.37     7.69    35.18    24.07    89.42    40.57P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.47     7.16    46.68    56.88    97.59    73.46P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     22   38  +12      72.70     7.43    14.86     1.17    34.03     7.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     21   34  +10      69.25     7.51    11.65     0.41    19.45     4.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.41     7.23     2.49     0.39    17.86     3.65P    0.03R    0.01  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.56     7.09    16.14     0.91    32.94     8.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.49     7.13    16.56     1.23    37.88    11.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.64     7.36    15.35     0.54    25.16     6.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.78     7.66    13.47     0.66    26.13     7.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.04     7.53    14.56     0.32    19.35     5.45P    0.06R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.32     7.49   -11.44     0.00     0.80     0.12P    4.56R    0.42  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.58     7.38    12.77     0.07     7.55     1.95P    0.29R    0.02  
York               21   26   +1      64.06     7.23     6.78     0.04     5.56     1.46P    0.31R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.32     7.19   -12.88     0.00     0.31     0.04P    7.03R    0.87  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.53     7.31    -1.12     0.02     3.68     0.72P    0.65R    0.03  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      50.01     7.05   -17.87     0.00     0.03     0.00    18.70R    3.37  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.52     7.22   -14.62     0.00     0.15     0.02P   11.50R    1.78  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.36     7.34   -14.10     0.00     0.15     0.02P   10.14R    1.60  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.84     7.03   -27.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.56R    8.87  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.93     6.64   -36.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.76R   20.84  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.52     7.15   -28.18     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.85R    9.53  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.47     7.34   -20.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.66R   12.18  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.86     6.86   -45.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.83R   40.45