Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 26 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 December 2010, Aston_Villa vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         17   37  +22      81.63     5.89    48.22    62.91    86.83    97.03    99.49    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        19   35  +12      67.16     5.83    21.54     1.13     7.19    25.05    64.26    94.72     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32  +15      74.00     6.24    36.73    12.35    41.24    76.83    92.50    99.33     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   31  +19      76.40     5.77    46.39    23.35    62.12    88.36    97.07    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       18   30   +4      62.38     6.32    11.62     0.23     1.96     8.58    27.37    77.50     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          19   29   +7      51.58     5.87     0.40     0.00     0.03     0.17     1.28    14.22     0.53R    0.03  
Sunderland      19   27   +1      52.27     5.98    -0.21     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.53    16.80     0.47R    0.02  
Stoke           18   24   +1      46.96     5.91    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     3.83     4.01R    0.36  
Newcastle       18   22   -1      48.45     6.36    -3.18     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.53     7.63     3.26R    0.37  
Liverpool       17   22   -1      59.13     6.38    11.33     0.04     0.59     3.48    13.97    61.03     0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool       16   22   -5      43.35     6.40   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     1.61    16.43R    2.72  
West_Brom       18   22   -7      46.15     6.38   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22     3.50     7.49R    1.09  
Blackburn       19   22   -7      43.63     5.90   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.08    12.54R    1.73  
Everton         18   21   -1      51.15     6.23     2.75     0.00     0.01     0.17     1.27    14.30     1.11R    0.10  
Aston_Villa     18   20  -10      46.75     6.16   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21     3.50     5.62R    0.65  
Wigan           18   19  -14      35.71     5.47   -32.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    61.78R   20.52  
Birmingham      17   18   -3      41.98     6.08   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.78    18.54R    3.12  
Fulham          18   16   -6      39.04     5.93   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21    33.20R    7.39  
West_Ham        19   16  -13      36.12     5.74   -23.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    55.86R   18.24  
Wolverhampton   18   15  -13      32.43     5.61   -29.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    79.09R   43.66  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 December 2010, Barnsley vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              22   44  +26      83.00     7.20    34.95    46.41    69.38    94.89    76.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          22   40  +15      80.25     7.22    26.39    28.42    53.09    88.99    63.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     23   39   +4      71.91     7.22     5.91     4.20    11.90    51.00    19.73P    0.09R    0.00  
Swansea          23   37   +5      71.26     6.87     9.23     2.67     9.31    48.17    18.58P    0.08R    0.01  
Norwich          22   36   +5      70.50     7.43     7.27     3.27     9.47    44.18    17.02P    0.25R    0.02  
Coventry         23   34   +2      63.28     6.84    -1.33     0.20     0.93    11.63     2.95P    2.08R    0.15  
Reading          22   33  +10      71.26     7.17    18.11     3.79    11.29    50.93    23.27P    0.16R    0.01  
Burnley          21   32   +7      69.64     7.67    11.88     3.15     8.97    41.71    17.69P    0.42R    0.05  
Nott'm_Forest    20   30   +7      70.96     7.51    15.08     3.79    11.29    48.68    21.72P    0.24R    0.02  
Derby            22   30   +6      62.14     7.12     4.46     0.19     0.86    10.85     2.99P    3.42R    0.39  
Watford          21   30   +5      65.68     7.51     6.70     0.99     3.30    23.08     7.61P    1.47R    0.14  
Doncaster        21   30   -2      63.55     7.41    -3.16     0.39     1.52    14.11     3.90P    3.04R    0.34  
Millwall         22   29   +3      61.40     7.23     2.42     0.18     0.71     9.12     2.47P    4.59R    0.53  
Portsmouth       21   29   +1      68.44     7.57     8.81     1.92     6.23    35.37    14.92P    0.63R    0.07  
Hull             22   29   -3      62.28     7.29    -2.26     0.26     0.95    10.64     3.23P    3.74R    0.44  
Barnsley         21   29   -5      57.59     7.09   -13.83     0.02     0.14     2.97     0.56P   12.97R    2.12  
Leicester        23   29   -7      60.84     6.93    -6.68     0.07     0.35     6.56     1.85P    5.09R    0.67  
Ipswich          22   27   -5      57.70     7.00    -8.28     0.04     0.13     2.92     0.75P   11.67R    1.88  
Bristol_City     22   26   -9      55.22     7.08   -14.59     0.01     0.06     1.43     0.27P   21.24R    4.29  
Sheff_Utd        22   25  -12      55.94     7.09   -14.80     0.02     0.08     1.75     0.47P   18.47R    3.58  
Middlesbrough    22   21  -11      53.43     7.06   -11.53     0.01     0.03     0.67     0.20P   27.54R    6.74  
Crystal_Palace   22   21  -16      49.31     6.97   -23.02     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   52.52R   18.30  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.67     7.27   -27.63     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.02P   67.13R   32.09  
Preston          21   19  -14      47.32     7.24   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   63.14R   28.14  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 December 2010, Huddersfield vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         19   36  +16      78.77     7.90    24.59    24.48    41.75    80.20    50.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        21   33  +13      76.91     7.53    27.50    17.30    33.52    75.14    47.35P    0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield     20   32   +9      74.23     7.77    18.96     9.93    21.36    61.35    31.95P    0.16R    0.00  
Charlton         19   32   +6      76.80     7.96    17.76    17.16    31.61    71.58    42.99P    0.06R    0.00  
Bournemouth      19   30  +15      69.51     8.13    18.61     4.15     9.60    38.52    16.07P    1.04R    0.02  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.43     7.95     5.61     3.33     8.17    35.57    14.58P    1.08R    0.04  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.99     8.10     7.05     2.50     6.30    30.15    11.03P    1.69R    0.05  
Peterborough     19   29   -2      67.20     8.44    -1.00     2.46     5.82    26.96     9.87P    2.94R    0.14  
Exeter           20   29   -2      59.88     7.55    -9.89     0.17     0.50     5.65     1.23P   11.83R    0.77  
Hartlepool       19   29   -2      63.51     7.84    -6.17     0.64     1.79    13.01     3.69P    5.56R    0.29  
Southampton      19   28   +8      75.44     7.86    23.75    13.74    27.15    67.39    40.63P    0.14R    0.00  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.70     7.68     3.18     1.01     2.96    19.75     6.44P    2.62R    0.09  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.15     7.87     7.60     1.03     3.00    19.21     6.62P    3.33R    0.17  
MK_Dons          19   26   -7      62.13     7.90    -8.79     0.34     1.11    10.05     2.80P    8.04R    0.51  
Plymouth         19   25   -4      63.91     8.18    -1.30     0.77     2.30    15.71     5.64P    5.61R    0.37  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      59.23     7.81    -1.68     0.14     0.53     5.60     1.41P   13.23R    0.98  
Swindon          19   24   -3      63.15     7.98    -0.08     0.53     1.66    13.23     4.26P    6.10R    0.35  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.30     8.12    -2.02     0.13     0.35     4.12     1.16P   20.44R    2.06  
Notts_County     18   22   -5      56.99     8.32   -10.29     0.14     0.36     3.82     1.05P   23.29R    2.76  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      52.77     7.57   -17.46     0.00     0.04     0.76     0.15P   40.73R    6.36  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      55.11     7.94   -17.46     0.04     0.13     1.93     0.42P   31.14R    4.19  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.70     7.57   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   79.84R   33.63  
Walsall          19   17  -14      48.56     7.63   -22.47     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   62.75R   16.38  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.22     7.55   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   78.31R   30.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 December 2010, Wycombe vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.67     8.01    26.03    29.81    63.53    91.86    70.32P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +16      80.29     7.63    26.56    22.64    57.82    90.35    66.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.47     7.94    22.10    11.80    37.90    78.69    47.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.59     7.90    15.90     9.12    32.10    74.30    42.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              20   34   +8      76.04     7.92    17.49     9.99    34.79    76.16    46.40P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.18     7.81    22.15    10.66    36.29    78.23    47.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.73     7.93    13.54     1.80    10.39    42.98    18.08P    0.09R    0.02  
Cheltenham           19   27   -3      61.60     7.78    -7.05     0.19     1.47    12.71     3.41P    1.42R    0.41  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.82     8.14    20.90     2.31    11.91    44.98    20.55P    0.16R    0.04  
Macclesfield         19   25   -5      56.28     7.59   -13.52     0.03     0.28     3.62     0.88P    5.54R    1.88  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.22     7.73     3.32     0.11     1.09    10.45     3.34P    1.71R    0.45  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.60     7.83     0.49     0.09     0.93     9.56     2.67P    2.29R    0.65  
Gillingham           19   24   -3      62.74     8.11    -0.50     0.36     2.61    17.36     6.26P    1.09R    0.29  
Bradford             19   24   -3      60.21     7.78    -3.95     0.10     1.02     9.89     3.08P    1.92R    0.55  
Northampton          20   24   -6      61.85     7.68    -2.81     0.16     1.38    13.53     4.55P    1.05R    0.27  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      55.13     7.67    -8.42     0.03     0.22     2.88     0.70P    7.10R    2.42  
Southend             19   23   -2      65.86     8.04     6.55     0.73     5.30    29.01    12.09P    0.35R    0.08  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.76     7.81    -8.75     0.03     0.44     5.54     1.51P    4.18R    1.36  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.87     7.82    -9.89     0.01     0.13     2.29     0.54P    9.95R    3.74  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      56.96     7.85    -7.93     0.03     0.38     4.83     1.33P    5.05R    1.69  
Stockport            20   20  -20      47.02     7.51   -34.08     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.05P   38.11R   20.04  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      49.11     7.53   -23.45     0.00     0.02     0.39     0.07P   26.04R   11.99  
Barnet               20   19  -13      46.12     7.22   -26.33     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   40.66R   21.33  
Hereford             20   15  -18      43.89     7.33   -28.36     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   53.29R   32.79  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Fleetwood_Town vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.71     7.54    23.61    13.58    81.62    28.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.31     7.69    35.13    23.83    89.34    40.21P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.48     7.14    46.70    56.69    97.65    73.50P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     22   38  +12      72.76     7.46    14.88     1.21    34.18     7.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     21   34  +10      69.22     7.59    11.66     0.44    19.56     4.02P    0.04R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.45     7.24     2.53     0.35    18.19     3.66P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.65     7.10    16.25     0.98    33.29     8.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.53     7.09    16.65     1.25    37.96    11.40P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.62     7.37    15.33     0.62    24.92     5.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.72     7.65    13.39     0.63    25.93     7.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.08     7.52    14.59     0.30    19.34     5.68P    0.07R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.30     7.47   -11.43     0.01     0.82     0.14P    4.46R    0.46  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.71     7.30    12.97     0.05     7.63     1.92P    0.20R    0.02  
York               21   26   +1      63.97     7.18     6.63     0.05     5.25     1.26P    0.29R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.43     7.12   -12.72     0.00     0.28     0.03P    6.95R    0.77  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.54     7.31    -1.11     0.02     3.65     0.75P    0.61R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      50.05     7.05   -17.84     0.00     0.05     0.01P   18.48R    3.38  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.56     7.19   -14.52     0.00     0.14     0.02P   11.27R    1.59  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.40     7.28   -14.09     0.00     0.18     0.02P    9.65R    1.51  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.83     6.98   -27.01     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.58R    8.78  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.92     6.68   -36.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.73R   20.86  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.50     7.18   -28.19     0.00     0.01     0.00P   37.03R    9.50  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.25     7.34   -21.20     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.65R   12.92  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.87     6.82   -45.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.89R   40.15