Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 25 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 December 2010, Man_City vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         16   34  +20      80.79     6.04    47.65    58.60    84.55    97.10    99.45    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32  +15      74.16     6.24    36.96    14.48    44.21    82.24    94.45    99.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        18   32  +10      65.12     6.03    18.78     0.69     4.76    18.58    57.12    89.77     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   31  +19      76.44     5.74    46.62    26.05    64.63    91.35    97.85    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       17   27   +3      60.22     6.46     9.71     0.11     1.11     5.76    23.30    66.59     0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland      18   27   +3      52.79     6.08     0.14     0.00     0.04     0.41     2.98    20.54     0.47R    0.02  
Bolton          18   26   +5      49.97     6.00    -1.69     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.16    10.61     1.32R    0.07  
Newcastle       17   22   +1      50.28     6.70    -0.35     0.00     0.03     0.26     2.08    14.19     2.04R    0.15  
Liverpool       17   22   -1      58.97     6.30    11.13     0.06     0.63     3.77    17.52    60.87     0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool       16   22   -5      43.55     6.42   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     1.94    15.05R    2.25  
West_Brom       17   22   -5      47.79     6.54   -10.42     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.81     6.86     4.91R    0.48  
Blackburn       18   22   -5      45.83     6.14   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22     3.08     6.97R    0.68  
Stoke           17   21   -1      44.40     6.08    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     2.15     9.75R    1.02  
Everton         18   21   -1      51.23     6.19     2.88     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.88    15.49     1.06R    0.09  
Aston_Villa     17   20   -9      48.34     6.35   -10.73     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.77     6.90     3.75R    0.40  
Birmingham      17   18   -3      41.95     6.09   -10.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.85    18.14R    2.70  
Fulham          17   16   -4      41.50     6.14    -8.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.85    20.29R    3.19  
Wigan           17   16  -15      33.38     5.62   -34.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    75.81R   33.42  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -12      34.43     5.83   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    67.95R   24.86  
West_Ham        18   13  -15      33.50     5.89   -26.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    72.40R   30.66  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Coventry vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              21   41  +22      80.43     7.31    29.53    35.93    57.36    89.71    65.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     22   38   +4      71.63     7.45     4.92     5.45    13.45    49.92    20.70P    0.16R    0.00  
Cardiff          21   37  +13      79.07     7.42    24.97    28.36    49.06    85.42    59.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          22   37   +9      73.42     7.04    14.34     7.52    18.41    61.83    29.62P    0.03R    0.00  
Norwich          22   36   +5      70.60     7.38     7.43     4.28    10.87    45.32    18.44P    0.25R    0.01  
Coventry         22   34   +5      64.59     6.97     1.76     0.62     2.11    16.61     4.78P    1.46R    0.12  
Reading          21   30   +7      69.49     7.45    14.85     3.46     9.40    41.82    18.84P    0.38R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest    20   30   +7      70.88     7.50    14.95     4.89    12.43    48.85    22.53P    0.27R    0.01  
Derby            22   30   +6      61.86     7.12     4.23     0.34     1.07    10.50     3.03P    3.79R    0.43  
Watford          21   30   +5      65.58     7.51     6.54     1.18     3.67    23.10     8.05P    1.60R    0.16  
Doncaster        21   30   -3      63.25     7.36    -4.51     0.39     1.52    13.31     3.79P    3.31R    0.37  
Burnley          20   29   +6      67.69     7.96    10.40     2.84     7.49    33.45    14.33P    1.04R    0.13  
Barnsley         20   29   -5      58.79     7.27   -13.88     0.10     0.35     4.47     1.05P   10.84R    1.66  
Millwall         21   28   +2      60.70     7.37    -0.02     0.20     0.72     8.19     2.31P    6.01R    0.77  
Portsmouth       20   28   +1      69.57     7.83     9.98     3.89    10.05    41.86    19.35P    0.60R    0.07  
Leicester        22   28   -7      61.49     7.15    -6.09     0.20     0.78     8.38     2.58P    4.96R    0.59  
Bristol_City     21   27   -4      58.14     7.20    -8.49     0.05     0.22     3.82     0.92P   11.54R    1.86  
Hull             21   26   -3      60.26     7.46    -2.60     0.22     0.72     7.34     2.42P    7.15R    1.07  
Ipswich          22   25   -7      55.09     7.05   -11.02     0.01     0.05     1.41     0.33P   21.10R    4.18  
Sheff_Utd        21   25  -11      57.99     7.21   -12.63     0.06     0.24     3.59     1.00P   12.53R    1.95  
Middlesbrough    22   21  -10      53.69     7.06   -10.04     0.00     0.03     0.78     0.22P   26.81R    6.40  
Crystal_Palace   22   21  -16      49.13     6.90   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   54.33R   18.82  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.66     7.27   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   67.76R   32.87  
Preston          21   19  -14      47.24     7.24   -24.01     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   64.07R   28.52  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Exeter vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         19   36  +16      78.85     7.97    24.68    23.55    40.65    79.97    49.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        21   33  +13      76.85     7.59    27.44    16.19    31.86    74.33    45.63P    0.05R    0.00  
Huddersfield     19   32  +10      76.85     7.98    21.96    16.47    31.22    72.25    42.15P    0.09R    0.00  
Charlton         19   32   +6      76.81     7.95    17.80    16.02    30.42    71.48    41.98P    0.07R    0.00  
Bournemouth      19   30  +15      69.70     8.30    18.88     4.05     9.68    39.67    16.25P    1.09R    0.04  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.41     7.88     5.59     2.97     7.46    35.01    13.82P    1.02R    0.02  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.87     8.10     6.84     2.22     5.66    28.97    10.16P    1.65R    0.06  
Peterborough     19   29   -2      67.15     8.36    -1.10     1.99     5.13    26.38     9.30P    2.79R    0.15  
Exeter           20   29   -2      59.96     7.47    -9.79     0.13     0.45     5.55     1.22P   11.33R    0.75  
Southampton      19   28   +8      75.48     7.78    23.75    12.53    25.50    67.71    39.98P    0.09R    0.00  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.56     7.77     2.98     0.93     2.70    19.20     6.03P    2.88R    0.14  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.12     7.90     7.54     0.91     2.76    18.89     6.30P    3.39R    0.19  
Hartlepool       18   26   -3      60.79     7.93    -8.94     0.28     0.79     7.75     2.05P   10.61R    0.80  
MK_Dons          19   26   -7      62.38     7.96    -8.40     0.37     1.20    10.66     2.91P    7.76R    0.45  
Plymouth         19   25   -4      63.71     8.09    -1.57     0.62     1.89    14.45     4.92P    5.73R    0.40  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      59.14     7.80    -1.80     0.13     0.48     5.38     1.38P   13.33R    1.10  
Swindon          19   24   -3      62.82     7.97    -0.62     0.43     1.40    12.14     3.63P    6.68R    0.38  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.18     8.10    -2.18     0.09     0.32     3.79     1.03P   20.33R    2.28  
Notts_County     18   22   -5      57.08     8.22   -10.24     0.09     0.30     3.67     0.96P   22.38R    2.67  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      53.02     7.54   -17.08     0.01     0.03     0.75     0.15P   39.42R    5.84  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      55.03     7.86   -17.65     0.02     0.10     1.75     0.38P   30.63R    4.19  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.77     7.64   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   79.05R   33.66  
Walsall          19   17  -14      48.58     7.70   -22.46     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   62.50R   16.63  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.43     7.58   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   77.12R   30.27  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 December 2010, Cheltenham vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.71     8.07    26.04    30.07    63.92    91.71    70.59P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +16      80.41     7.69    26.71    23.20    58.52    90.66    67.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.52     7.94    22.23    12.23    38.40    79.07    48.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.78     7.87    16.17     9.28    33.38    75.36    43.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.16     7.83    22.08    10.58    36.44    78.04    47.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              19   31   +7      75.16     8.07    17.62     8.74    31.24    72.84    42.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.81     7.93    13.64     1.92    10.69    43.42    18.40P    0.11R    0.04  
Cheltenham           19   27   -3      61.71     7.80    -6.83     0.18     1.60    13.14     3.59P    1.36R    0.39  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.83     8.09    20.92     2.13    11.60    45.21    20.74P    0.12R    0.03  
Macclesfield         19   25   -5      56.10     7.54   -13.75     0.02     0.23     3.43     0.71P    5.90R    2.04  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.29     7.82     3.43     0.14     1.28    10.99     3.53P    1.81R    0.53  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.55     7.88     0.41     0.11     1.04     9.52     2.78P    2.42R    0.75  
Gillingham           19   24   -3      62.78     8.10    -0.44     0.29     2.63    17.74     6.53P    1.15R    0.36  
Bradford             19   24   -3      60.20     7.80    -3.97     0.10     1.05    10.09     3.00P    1.90R    0.54  
Northampton          20   24   -6      61.80     7.68    -2.89     0.15     1.42    13.11     4.38P    1.20R    0.32  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      55.03     7.66    -8.62     0.01     0.19     2.95     0.73P    7.47R    2.62  
Southend             19   23   -2      65.81     8.10     6.53     0.75     5.36    29.07    12.29P    0.49R    0.13  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.84     7.77    -8.64     0.04     0.40     5.62     1.41P    4.13R    1.38  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.58     7.78   -10.28     0.02     0.16     2.09     0.49P   10.77R    4.09  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      57.10     7.91    -7.72     0.04     0.42     5.15     1.44P    5.14R    1.82  
Stockport            20   20  -20      47.04     7.44   -33.95     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.03P   38.15R   20.31  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      48.91     7.47   -23.79     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.07P   27.14R   12.67  
Barnet               20   19  -13      46.13     7.25   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   40.99R   21.74  
Hereford             19   15  -17      44.58     7.57   -28.53     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   49.72R   30.25  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Fleetwood_Town vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.75     7.51    23.69    13.62    81.88    28.50P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.35     7.65    35.16    23.64    89.67    40.30P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.60     7.13    46.86    57.13    97.71    73.63P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     22   38  +12      72.64     7.40    14.75     1.21    33.44     7.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     21   34  +10      69.37     7.49    11.86     0.38    19.80     4.30P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.57     7.25     2.70     0.42    18.48     3.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.51     7.11    16.09     0.84    33.01     8.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.58     7.06    16.73     1.25    38.48    11.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.51     7.39    15.16     0.50    24.66     5.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.57     7.61    13.17     0.58    25.17     7.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      68.98     7.51    14.48     0.28    19.13     5.46P    0.05R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.22     7.43   -11.60     0.01     0.73     0.09P    4.48R    0.47  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.68     7.37    12.92     0.06     7.80     2.02P    0.22R    0.01  
York               21   26   +1      63.97     7.18     6.67     0.05     5.47     1.26P    0.28R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.57     7.15   -12.48     0.00     0.33     0.03P    6.76R    0.77  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.49     7.38    -1.15     0.02     3.78     0.73P    0.67R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      49.87     7.03   -18.13     0.00     0.04     0.00P   19.27R    3.45  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.55     7.24   -14.61     0.00     0.16     0.02P   11.22R    1.62  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.36     7.31   -14.12     0.00     0.23     0.03P    9.92R    1.63  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.85     7.05   -26.95     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.52R    8.89  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.91     6.68   -36.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.12R   20.89  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.60     7.23   -28.06     0.00     0.01     0.00P   36.74R    9.63  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.38     7.38   -20.95     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.92R   12.74  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.87     6.77   -45.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.74R   39.85