Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 24 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 December 2010, Man_City vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         16   34  +20      80.80     5.99    47.62    58.93    84.82    97.21    99.44    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32  +15      74.24     6.26    37.16    14.87    44.81    82.89    94.64    99.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        18   32  +10      64.99     6.01    18.55     0.68     4.48    17.51    56.48    89.47     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   31  +19      76.40     5.71    46.46    25.30    63.93    91.27    97.87    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       17   27   +3      60.23     6.49     9.76     0.15     1.21     5.95    23.30    66.50     0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland      18   27   +3      52.82     6.07     0.17     0.00     0.04     0.42     2.99    20.33     0.43R    0.01  
Bolton          18   26   +5      50.04     6.05    -1.61     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.20    10.81     1.34R    0.07  
Newcastle       17   22   +1      50.16     6.67    -0.54     0.00     0.01     0.25     1.92    13.69     2.09R    0.17  
Liverpool       17   22   -1      59.07     6.30    11.29     0.06     0.64     3.91    17.92    61.55     0.03R    0.00  
Blackpool       16   22   -5      43.64     6.42   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19     2.07    14.82R    2.02  
West_Brom       17   22   -5      47.69     6.58   -10.59     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.77     6.63     5.03R    0.51  
Blackburn       18   22   -5      45.88     6.11   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23     3.12     6.50R    0.63  
Stoke           17   21   -1      44.39     6.05    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.98     9.62R    0.93  
Everton         18   21   -1      51.29     6.21     2.94     0.00     0.02     0.21     2.00    15.86     1.03R    0.06  
Aston_Villa     17   20   -9      48.41     6.32   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.84     6.98     3.58R    0.32  
Birmingham      17   18   -3      41.99     6.08   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.89    17.98R    2.59  
Fulham          17   16   -4      41.46     6.15    -8.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.82    20.49R    3.26  
Wigan           17   16  -15      33.34     5.61   -34.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    75.98R   33.37  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -12      34.38     5.86   -27.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    68.38R   25.47  
West_Ham        18   13  -15      33.47     5.89   -26.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    72.66R   30.59  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Coventry vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              21   41  +22      80.29     7.37    29.34    35.54    56.56    89.33    64.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     22   38   +4      71.65     7.45     4.92     5.50    13.45    50.02    20.64P    0.17R    0.01  
Cardiff          21   37  +13      78.98     7.42    24.89    28.41    48.87    85.11    59.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          22   37   +9      73.29     7.06    14.18     7.42    18.34    60.88    29.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Norwich          22   36   +5      70.69     7.41     7.56     4.28    11.16    45.61    18.73P    0.28R    0.02  
Coventry         22   34   +5      64.67     7.01     1.85     0.68     2.16    17.21     4.90P    1.54R    0.11  
Reading          21   30   +7      69.53     7.42    14.90     3.62     9.54    41.99    19.18P    0.32R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    20   30   +7      70.85     7.50    14.95     4.85    12.38    48.16    22.42P    0.23R    0.02  
Derby            22   30   +6      62.10     7.10     4.60     0.29     1.06    11.02     3.22P    3.51R    0.36  
Watford          21   30   +5      65.60     7.54     6.57     1.25     3.90    23.15     7.89P    1.68R    0.20  
Doncaster        21   30   -3      63.14     7.41    -4.67     0.46     1.55    13.23     3.81P    3.48R    0.41  
Burnley          20   29   +6      68.04     7.92    10.94     3.01     7.95    34.98    15.37P    0.91R    0.09  
Barnsley         20   29   -5      58.76     7.32   -13.96     0.09     0.38     4.63     1.01P   10.99R    1.73  
Millwall         21   28   +2      60.37     7.29    -0.43     0.16     0.65     7.31     2.06P    6.37R    0.82  
Portsmouth       20   28   +1      69.51     7.78     9.85     3.94    10.02    41.39    19.39P    0.57R    0.08  
Leicester        22   28   -7      61.59     7.17    -5.98     0.20     0.79     8.78     2.71P    4.73R    0.60  
Bristol_City     21   27   -4      58.14     7.23    -8.53     0.05     0.25     3.72     0.90P   11.71R    2.06  
Hull             21   26   -3      60.32     7.41    -2.51     0.16     0.63     7.35     2.33P    6.90R    0.95  
Ipswich          22   25   -7      55.02     6.99   -11.16     0.01     0.06     1.32     0.29P   21.48R    4.09  
Sheff_Utd        21   25  -11      57.98     7.30   -12.68     0.07     0.26     3.62     1.00P   12.78R    2.21  
Middlesbrough    22   21  -10      53.67     7.02   -10.05     0.01     0.03     0.85     0.24P   26.72R    6.22  
Crystal_Palace   22   21  -16      49.25     6.99   -22.95     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.04P   53.67R   18.72  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.59     7.25   -27.63     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   68.16R   32.97  
Preston          21   19  -14      47.30     7.22   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   63.75R   28.31  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Exeter vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         19   36  +16      78.91     7.92    24.74    23.92    41.05    80.33    49.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        21   33  +13      76.70     7.59    27.23    15.89    31.30    73.63    45.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield     19   32  +10      76.86     7.97    21.94    16.86    31.61    72.48    42.50P    0.07R    0.00  
Charlton         19   32   +6      76.74     7.89    17.72    15.38    29.82    71.41    41.45P    0.06R    0.00  
Bournemouth      19   30  +15      69.76     8.23    18.94     4.12     9.62    39.62    16.29P    1.04R    0.03  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.43     7.91     5.63     2.96     7.60    34.89    14.01P    1.13R    0.02  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.93     8.05     6.99     2.16     5.73    29.10    10.16P    1.63R    0.05  
Peterborough     19   29   -2      67.10     8.32    -1.20     1.93     5.05    26.02     9.17P    2.80R    0.16  
Exeter           20   29   -2      60.10     7.54    -9.59     0.11     0.51     5.65     1.36P   11.45R    0.71  
Southampton      19   28   +8      75.32     7.81    23.50    12.35    25.04    66.93    39.32P    0.13R    0.00  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.62     7.78     3.04     0.99     2.78    19.47     6.18P    2.87R    0.12  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.28     7.89     7.73     1.03     3.04    19.62     6.72P    3.10R    0.15  
Hartlepool       18   26   -3      60.80     7.99    -8.97     0.32     0.95     7.76     2.09P   10.68R    0.72  
MK_Dons          19   26   -7      62.29     7.94    -8.52     0.40     1.22    10.32     2.90P    7.89R    0.49  
Plymouth         19   25   -4      63.72     8.15    -1.59     0.70     1.97    14.60     4.97P    5.81R    0.36  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      59.05     7.77    -1.97     0.11     0.43     5.38     1.39P   13.38R    1.09  
Swindon          19   24   -3      62.87     7.96    -0.53     0.49     1.45    12.22     3.78P    6.64R    0.41  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.52     8.11    -1.63     0.13     0.36     4.25     1.15P   19.30R    2.06  
Notts_County     18   22   -5      56.89     8.23   -10.57     0.08     0.31     3.37     0.95P   23.11R    2.90  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      52.90     7.58   -17.29     0.01     0.04     0.79     0.16P   40.07R    6.25  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      55.00     7.85   -17.65     0.04     0.11     1.80     0.37P   30.84R    4.14  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.76     7.58   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   79.25R   33.65  
Walsall          19   17  -14      48.71     7.68   -22.24     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.04P   61.66R   16.16  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.35     7.58   -27.94     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   77.02R   30.51  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 December 2010, Cheltenham vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.76     7.96    26.14    30.58    64.17    92.21    71.07P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +16      80.33     7.64    26.60    22.98    58.10    90.69    66.75P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.54     7.84    22.23    12.00    38.54    79.12    48.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.57     7.90    15.89     9.24    32.66    74.56    43.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.20     7.78    22.12    10.56    36.87    78.39    47.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              19   31   +7      75.07     8.15    17.46     8.69    31.43    72.23    43.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.75     7.93    13.55     1.79    10.50    43.48    18.14P    0.13R    0.03  
Cheltenham           19   27   -3      61.58     7.81    -7.05     0.17     1.60    12.88     3.47P    1.45R    0.38  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.90     8.16    21.05     2.32    12.23    45.74    21.15P    0.16R    0.03  
Macclesfield         19   25   -5      56.24     7.59   -13.56     0.03     0.26     3.74     0.83P    5.86R    1.96  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.34     7.84     3.48     0.11     1.30    11.08     3.64P    1.89R    0.53  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.48     7.88     0.30     0.09     0.98     9.51     2.79P    2.51R    0.76  
Gillingham           19   24   -3      62.71     8.09    -0.55     0.32     2.48    17.59     6.22P    1.15R    0.33  
Bradford             19   24   -3      60.12     7.75    -4.02     0.10     0.99     9.77     2.87P    1.98R    0.60  
Northampton          20   24   -6      61.85     7.65    -2.76     0.12     1.42    13.52     4.35P    1.10R    0.31  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      54.98     7.68    -8.64     0.02     0.18     2.98     0.73P    7.64R    2.74  
Southend             19   23   -2      65.75     8.06     6.44     0.80     5.28    28.75    11.96P    0.42R    0.14  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.76     7.77    -8.76     0.03     0.44     5.41     1.41P    4.27R    1.40  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.88     7.84    -9.84     0.01     0.14     2.43     0.58P   10.26R    4.07  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      57.11     7.88    -7.64     0.04     0.41     5.20     1.39P    5.03R    1.82  
Stockport            20   20  -20      46.97     7.41   -34.15     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   38.84R   20.49  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      49.03     7.48   -23.61     0.01     0.01     0.36     0.06P   26.82R   12.59  
Barnet               20   19  -13      46.17     7.27   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   40.86R   21.79  
Hereford             19   15  -17      44.65     7.50   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   49.61R   30.04  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Fleetwood_Town vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.74     7.47    23.68    13.37    81.90    28.32P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.35     7.67    35.13    23.66    89.62    40.12P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.51     7.13    46.72    57.18    97.69    73.55P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     22   38  +12      72.61     7.41    14.66     1.05    33.31     6.91P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     21   34  +10      69.13     7.52    11.51     0.46    19.09     3.98P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.51     7.23     2.65     0.36    18.36     3.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.51     7.15    16.08     0.91    32.81     8.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.62     7.07    16.78     1.38    38.51    11.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.62     7.30    15.25     0.51    25.15     5.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.65     7.69    13.24     0.70    25.62     7.52P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.21     7.47    14.84     0.31    19.77     5.77P    0.05R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.16     7.45   -11.62     0.00     0.75     0.10P    4.73R    0.52  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.54     7.35    12.69     0.07     7.54     1.93P    0.31R    0.01  
York               21   26   +1      64.06     7.25     6.76     0.03     5.69     1.38P    0.29R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.38     7.16   -12.76     0.00     0.28     0.02P    7.02R    0.87  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.42     7.29    -1.29     0.01     3.49     0.75P    0.70R    0.02  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      50.03     6.98   -17.85     0.00     0.02     0.01P   18.49R    3.05  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.64     7.22   -14.40     0.00     0.15     0.02P   11.15R    1.70  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.46     7.35   -13.97     0.00     0.21     0.05P    9.61R    1.57  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.86     7.01   -26.91     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.37R    8.95  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.86     6.63   -36.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.72R   21.25  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.49     7.17   -28.19     0.00     0.01     0.00P   37.28R    9.74  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.47     7.39   -20.91     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.54R   12.47  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.93     6.75   -45.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.63R   39.81