Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 23 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 December 2010, Man_City vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         16   34  +20      80.83     5.97    47.67    59.33    84.91    97.13    99.48    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32  +15      74.16     6.25    37.03    14.29    44.52    82.51    94.52    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        18   32  +10      65.12     6.00    18.81     0.74     4.62    18.27    57.19    90.03     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         17   31  +19      76.38     5.71    46.46    25.45    64.04    91.43    97.99    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       17   27   +3      60.24     6.45     9.81     0.14     1.15     5.78    23.47    67.05     0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland      18   27   +3      52.66     6.05    -0.06     0.00     0.04     0.34     2.88    20.00     0.45R    0.02  
Bolton          18   26   +5      49.99     6.04    -1.67     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.23    10.77     1.39R    0.07  
Newcastle       17   22   +1      50.28     6.60    -0.35     0.00     0.02     0.28     2.09    13.99     1.89R    0.13  
Liverpool       17   22   -1      58.85     6.32    10.95     0.05     0.65     3.65    17.16    60.36     0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool       16   22   -5      43.66     6.40   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     2.13    14.88R    2.04  
West_Brom       17   22   -5      47.68     6.57   -10.62     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.69     6.65     5.25R    0.57  
Blackburn       18   22   -5      45.92     6.14   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25     3.31     6.70R    0.64  
Stoke           17   21   -1      44.34     6.02    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.89    10.05R    1.08  
Everton         18   21   -1      51.21     6.19     2.84     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.89    15.67     0.99R    0.07  
Aston_Villa     17   20   -9      48.34     6.38   -10.76     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.79     7.09     3.91R    0.40  
Birmingham      17   18   -3      42.01     6.09   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.90    18.16R    2.56  
Fulham          17   16   -4      41.46     6.16    -8.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.84    20.49R    3.36  
Wigan           17   16  -15      33.51     5.69   -34.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    75.02R   33.21  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -12      34.47     5.80   -27.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    67.82R   24.79  
West_Ham        18   13  -15      33.46     5.88   -27.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    72.95R   31.06  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Coventry vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              21   41  +22      80.50     7.38    29.63    35.99    57.42    89.71    65.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     22   38   +4      71.76     7.44     5.09     5.77    13.84    50.46    21.16P    0.15R    0.01  
Cardiff          21   37  +13      79.06     7.46    25.07    28.30    49.25    84.98    60.10P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          22   37   +9      73.41     7.09    14.32     7.52    18.45    61.61    29.54P    0.05R    0.00  
Norwich          22   36   +5      70.54     7.36     7.35     4.06    10.58    44.64    17.82P    0.22R    0.01  
Coventry         22   34   +4      64.42     7.00     0.30     0.60     1.92    16.03     4.61P    1.72R    0.14  
Reading          21   30   +7      69.60     7.42    15.07     3.37     9.21    42.32    19.05P    0.39R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    20   30   +7      71.01     7.49    15.14     5.09    12.77    49.20    23.15P    0.23R    0.02  
Derby            22   30   +6      62.05     7.14     4.38     0.27     0.94    10.73     2.94P    3.71R    0.42  
Watford          21   30   +5      65.72     7.55     6.78     1.31     3.91    23.50     8.23P    1.63R    0.15  
Doncaster        21   30   -2      63.51     7.35    -3.17     0.50     1.65    14.24     4.07P    2.96R    0.31  
Burnley          20   29   +6      67.61     7.94    10.25     2.77     7.13    32.83    14.07P    1.08R    0.11  
Barnsley         20   29   -4      59.07     7.32   -12.58     0.13     0.45     4.83     1.14P   10.38R    1.63  
Millwall         21   28   +3      60.94     7.41     1.20     0.20     0.86     8.78     2.57P    5.84R    0.77  
Portsmouth       20   28   +1      69.46     7.81     9.79     3.69     9.69    40.92    18.82P    0.60R    0.06  
Leicester        22   28   -7      61.59     7.18    -5.96     0.18     0.69     8.64     2.46P    5.15R    0.59  
Ipswich          22   27   -5      57.79     7.04    -8.10     0.03     0.18     3.04     0.73P   12.14R    1.93  
Hull             21   26   -4      59.97     7.42    -4.05     0.15     0.66     6.72     2.15P    7.91R    1.14  
Bristol_City     21   26   -6      56.47     7.20   -11.67     0.02     0.14     2.28     0.55P   17.60R    3.24  
Sheff_Utd        21   25  -11      57.95     7.25   -12.78     0.04     0.23     3.50     0.94P   12.83R    2.17  
Middlesbrough    22   21  -11      53.43     7.07   -11.52     0.01     0.03     0.74     0.19P   28.82R    7.01  
Crystal_Palace   22   21  -16      49.24     6.87   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   54.59R   18.77  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.73     7.29   -27.43     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   67.83R   32.59  
Preston          21   19  -14      47.32     7.28   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.04P   64.17R   28.87  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Exeter vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         19   36  +16      78.90     7.92    24.78    23.40    40.89    80.35    49.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        21   33  +13      76.94     7.56    27.60    16.33    31.94    74.55    45.76P    0.05R    0.00  
Huddersfield     19   32  +10      76.89     7.98    22.01    16.58    31.31    72.56    42.28P    0.08R    0.00  
Charlton         19   32   +6      76.81     7.91    17.80    15.74    29.92    71.52    41.61P    0.07R    0.00  
Bournemouth      19   30  +15      69.69     8.23    18.87     4.10     9.48    39.16    16.18P    1.04R    0.03  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.47     7.89     5.66     3.01     7.51    35.28    13.98P    0.97R    0.03  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.83     8.01     6.75     2.09     5.41    28.65     9.84P    1.62R    0.05  
Peterborough     19   29   -2      67.16     8.32    -1.11     2.08     5.19    26.00     9.40P    2.77R    0.14  
Exeter           20   29   -2      59.93     7.54    -9.87     0.13     0.48     5.43     1.20P   11.51R    0.73  
Southampton      19   28   +8      75.40     7.83    23.65    12.41    25.42    67.19    39.74P    0.13R    0.01  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.63     7.72     3.04     0.95     2.79    19.23     6.03P    2.70R    0.14  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.10     7.90     7.49     1.02     2.86    18.64     6.34P    3.31R    0.17  
Hartlepool       18   26   -3      60.86     7.97    -8.81     0.32     0.94     7.89     2.16P   10.39R    0.68  
MK_Dons          19   26   -7      62.29     7.98    -8.54     0.36     1.16    10.37     2.89P    7.81R    0.48  
Plymouth         19   25   -4      63.82     8.10    -1.48     0.67     2.00    14.66     5.07P    5.46R    0.33  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      59.03     7.76    -2.03     0.12     0.40     5.13     1.32P   13.54R    1.03  
Swindon          19   24   -3      63.13     7.96    -0.16     0.45     1.53    12.98     3.97P    6.11R    0.40  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.23     8.10    -2.11     0.10     0.33     3.92     1.01P   20.09R    2.14  
Notts_County     18   22   -5      57.18     8.19   -10.12     0.12     0.29     3.70     0.94P   21.91R    2.53  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      52.91     7.57   -17.25     0.00     0.03     0.75     0.14P   39.81R    5.86  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      55.13     7.86   -17.49     0.02     0.12     1.74     0.34P   30.03R    4.03  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.70     7.65   -27.94     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   79.40R   33.61  
Walsall          19   17  -14      48.49     7.68   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P   62.90R   16.61  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.16     7.52   -28.19     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   78.24R   31.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 December 2010, Cheltenham vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.80     8.04    26.23    30.66    64.51    92.07    71.18P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +16      80.32     7.66    26.62    23.14    57.86    90.66    66.53P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.39     7.90    22.02    11.70    37.85    78.73    47.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.69     7.87    16.08     9.32    33.34    74.99    43.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.21     7.83    22.14    10.56    36.81    78.43    47.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              19   31   +7      75.07     8.08    17.50     8.45    31.32    72.43    43.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.77     7.91    13.61     1.88    10.49    43.35    18.26P    0.12R    0.03  
Cheltenham           19   27   -3      61.53     7.81    -7.12     0.21     1.59    12.78     3.54P    1.56R    0.45  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.82     8.11    20.89     2.21    11.79    45.13    20.41P    0.14R    0.02  
Macclesfield         19   25   -5      56.22     7.56   -13.59     0.02     0.26     3.56     0.76P    5.76R    1.96  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.11     7.78     3.19     0.11     1.09    10.71     3.27P    1.84R    0.52  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.58     7.90     0.49     0.11     1.00     9.76     2.81P    2.34R    0.69  
Gillingham           19   24   -3      62.78     8.09    -0.46     0.38     2.65    17.66     6.39P    1.05R    0.29  
Bradford             19   24   -3      60.26     7.79    -3.91     0.13     1.09     9.99     3.05P    1.98R    0.60  
Northampton          20   24   -6      61.97     7.73    -2.62     0.16     1.54    13.97     4.54P    1.20R    0.31  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      55.03     7.69    -8.60     0.01     0.20     2.89     0.69P    7.47R    2.68  
Southend             19   23   -2      65.91     8.09     6.70     0.87     5.60    29.56    12.74P    0.38R    0.11  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.73     7.75    -8.79     0.03     0.42     5.39     1.41P    4.24R    1.43  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.73     7.80   -10.16     0.02     0.14     2.26     0.52P   10.38R    4.07  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      57.03     7.88    -7.83     0.04     0.43     4.84     1.30P    5.21R    1.91  
Stockport            20   20  -20      46.99     7.42   -34.08     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   38.49R   20.33  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      49.06     7.58   -23.56     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.07P   27.00R   12.63  
Barnet               20   19  -13      46.10     7.24   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   41.32R   21.98  
Hereford             19   15  -17      44.68     7.51   -28.36     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   49.50R   29.98  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Fleetwood_Town vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.64     7.49    23.55    13.30    81.28    27.97P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.34     7.65    35.11    23.71    89.74    40.02P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.54     7.13    46.73    57.12    97.76    73.68P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     22   38  +12      72.67     7.48    14.73     1.12    33.83     7.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     21   34  +10      69.32     7.55    11.78     0.46    19.68     4.24P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.49     7.29     2.64     0.34    18.48     3.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.58     7.15    16.18     0.92    32.84     8.62P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.64     7.11    16.82     1.31    38.45    11.64P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.54     7.40    15.21     0.53    24.87     5.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.72     7.63    13.41     0.68    25.96     7.46P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.05     7.56    14.55     0.37    19.16     5.50P    0.04R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.22     7.46   -11.56     0.00     0.65     0.10P    4.64R    0.48  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.70     7.29    12.94     0.05     7.58     1.91P    0.25R    0.01  
York               21   26   +1      63.99     7.20     6.70     0.07     5.51     1.39P    0.32R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.62     7.21   -12.41     0.00     0.32     0.04P    6.59R    0.76  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.45     7.30    -1.26     0.01     3.50     0.73P    0.56R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      49.87     7.08   -18.13     0.00     0.03     0.00P   19.05R    3.47  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.55     7.20   -14.49     0.00     0.15     0.02P   11.08R    1.63  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.41     7.26   -14.06     0.00     0.18     0.02P    9.57R    1.55  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.69     7.02   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.33R    9.19  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.89     6.63   -36.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.29R   20.89  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.44     7.20   -28.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.54R    9.74  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.46     7.36   -20.81     0.00     0.01     0.00    41.37R   12.29  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.94     6.86   -45.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.27R   39.94