Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 21 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 December 2010, Man_City vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         16   34  +20      80.65     6.04    47.37    57.99    84.09    97.03    99.48    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32  +15      74.16     6.25    37.03    14.54    44.41    82.24    94.38    99.37     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        18   32  +10      65.17     6.04    18.91     0.75     4.82    18.56    57.60    90.02     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   31  +19      76.44     5.75    46.56    26.51    64.59    91.33    97.84    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       17   27   +3      60.24     6.44     9.80     0.15     1.27     5.82    23.22    66.98     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland      18   27   +3      52.63     6.08    -0.04     0.00     0.03     0.33     2.71    20.00     0.50R    0.03  
Bolton          18   26   +5      50.03     6.05    -1.60     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.24    11.04     1.36R    0.07  
Newcastle       17   22   +1      50.31     6.64    -0.30     0.00     0.03     0.29     1.98    14.17     1.99R    0.16  
Liverpool       17   22   -1      58.94     6.32    11.06     0.06     0.71     3.87    17.73    60.69     0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool       16   22   -5      43.53     6.43   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.96    15.51R    2.23  
West_Brom       17   22   -5      47.70     6.53   -10.58     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.67     6.55     5.04R    0.52  
Blackburn       18   22   -5      45.87     6.12   -11.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     3.16     6.91R    0.70  
Stoke           17   21   -1      44.37     6.03    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.94     9.80R    1.03  
Everton         18   21   -1      51.16     6.20     2.76     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.86    15.50     1.04R    0.06  
Aston_Villa     17   20   -9      48.36     6.31   -10.75     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.76     7.01     3.76R    0.34  
Birmingham      17   18   -3      41.99     6.13   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.86    18.18R    2.70  
Fulham          17   16   -4      41.62     6.15    -8.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.88    19.62R    3.02  
Wigan           17   16  -15      33.35     5.62   -34.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.00R   34.10  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -12      34.53     5.86   -27.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    67.34R   24.50  
West_Ham        18   13  -15      33.52     5.88   -26.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    72.89R   30.52  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Coventry vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              21   41  +22      80.48     7.35    29.62    36.38    57.35    89.67    65.68P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     22   38   +4      71.79     7.43     5.17     5.56    13.88    50.56    21.09P    0.15R    0.01  
Cardiff          21   37  +13      79.08     7.42    25.07    28.44    49.07    85.29    59.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          22   37   +9      73.41     7.02    14.35     7.34    18.20    61.28    29.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Norwich          22   36   +5      70.40     7.41     7.13     4.07    10.50    43.95    17.64P    0.22R    0.01  
Coventry         22   34   +4      64.22     7.01     0.06     0.60     1.83    15.24     4.22P    1.74R    0.14  
Reading          21   30   +7      69.53     7.47    14.95     3.44     9.35    41.96    19.17P    0.42R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest    20   30   +7      71.00     7.51    15.16     4.97    12.82    49.06    23.09P    0.26R    0.01  
Derby            22   30   +6      62.17     7.15     4.52     0.29     1.09    11.15     3.15P    3.72R    0.43  
Watford          21   30   +5      65.72     7.54     6.76     1.21     3.79    23.57     8.09P    1.62R    0.18  
Doncaster        21   30   -2      63.44     7.40    -3.32     0.53     1.66    14.11     4.11P    3.29R    0.38  
Burnley          20   29   +6      67.76     7.95    10.50     2.64     7.39    33.60    14.42P    1.11R    0.11  
Barnsley         20   29   -4      59.00     7.34   -12.71     0.11     0.42     5.02     1.16P   10.50R    1.62  
Millwall         21   28   +3      60.88     7.39     1.12     0.24     0.85     8.65     2.53P    6.09R    0.83  
Portsmouth       20   28   +1      69.51     7.77     9.89     3.69     9.81    41.05    19.09P    0.58R    0.05  
Leicester        22   28   -7      61.69     7.22    -5.87     0.21     0.79     8.94     2.76P    4.86R    0.60  
Ipswich          22   27   -5      57.71     7.04    -8.24     0.04     0.16     3.03     0.72P   12.48R    1.90  
Hull             21   26   -4      60.02     7.46    -4.01     0.14     0.61     6.97     2.25P    7.96R    1.19  
Bristol_City     21   26   -6      56.61     7.18   -11.48     0.04     0.16     2.34     0.59P   16.90R    3.13  
Sheff_Utd        21   25  -11      58.01     7.23   -12.68     0.05     0.23     3.52     0.89P   12.70R    2.10  
Middlesbrough    22   21  -11      53.45     7.07   -11.47     0.01     0.04     0.74     0.22P   28.80R    7.03  
Crystal_Palace   22   21  -16      49.18     6.94   -23.13     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   54.69R   19.18  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.73     7.29   -27.47     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   68.06R   32.63  
Preston          21   19  -14      47.38     7.27   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   63.80R   28.44  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Exeter vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         19   36  +16      78.81     7.88    24.61    23.16    40.08    80.14    49.36P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        21   33  +13      76.87     7.57    27.46    16.28    31.71    74.31    45.55P    0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield     19   32  +10      76.81     7.93    21.96    16.42    31.03    72.24    41.95P    0.06R    0.00  
Charlton         19   32   +6      76.90     8.01    17.94    16.32    30.74    71.73    42.34P    0.09R    0.00  
Bournemouth      19   30  +15      69.77     8.26    18.97     4.10     9.76    39.54    16.24P    1.04R    0.03  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.34     7.92     5.45     2.90     7.47    34.70    13.74P    1.06R    0.02  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.92     8.13     6.95     2.30     5.95    28.98    10.48P    1.70R    0.06  
Peterborough     19   29   -2      67.11     8.34    -1.12     2.03     5.18    26.01     9.27P    2.75R    0.17  
Exeter           20   29   -2      59.92     7.48    -9.87     0.11     0.46     5.43     1.16P   11.29R    0.66  
Southampton      19   28   +8      75.43     7.77    23.65    12.28    25.31    67.28    39.68P    0.13R    0.00  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.65     7.76     3.11     1.00     2.78    19.31     6.03P    2.75R    0.11  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.31     7.91     7.74     1.01     2.94    19.39     6.52P    3.16R    0.18  
Hartlepool       18   26   -3      60.63     8.02    -9.22     0.28     0.84     7.63     1.99P   11.29R    0.74  
MK_Dons          19   26   -7      62.24     7.98    -8.58     0.38     1.19    10.08     2.89P    8.03R    0.51  
Plymouth         19   25   -4      63.81     8.09    -1.44     0.62     1.91    14.73     4.99P    5.46R    0.35  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      59.08     7.80    -1.92     0.11     0.36     5.26     1.32P   13.31R    1.02  
Swindon          19   24   -3      62.95     7.96    -0.40     0.50     1.45    12.41     3.79P    6.23R    0.38  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.33     8.13    -1.92     0.10     0.36     4.06     1.12P   19.98R    2.29  
Notts_County     18   22   -5      57.13     8.27   -10.21     0.09     0.32     3.78     1.02P   22.18R    2.73  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      53.04     7.61   -17.08     0.01     0.04     0.95     0.18P   39.51R    5.72  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      55.04     7.82   -17.59     0.02     0.10     1.76     0.34P   30.56R    4.09  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.68     7.60   -27.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   79.59R   33.75  
Walsall          19   17  -14      48.56     7.71   -22.47     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P   62.32R   16.60  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.27     7.53   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   77.43R   30.58  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 December 2010, Cheltenham vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.85     7.97    26.25    30.92    64.75    92.40    71.27P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +16      80.31     7.69    26.59    23.18    58.08    90.65    66.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.40     7.85    22.04    11.52    37.82    78.99    48.23P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.55     7.85    15.90     9.05    32.73    74.63    43.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.17     7.84    22.10    10.87    36.88    78.12    47.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              19   31   +7      75.14     8.07    17.58     8.56    31.65    72.57    43.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.72     7.96    13.47     1.87    10.49    43.32    17.98P    0.10R    0.01  
Cheltenham           19   27   -3      61.65     7.82    -6.94     0.18     1.59    13.28     3.62P    1.41R    0.39  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.82     8.08    20.91     2.14    11.68    44.99    20.51P    0.13R    0.03  
Macclesfield         19   25   -5      56.15     7.52   -13.66     0.02     0.21     3.44     0.69P    5.86R    2.04  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.32     7.85     3.50     0.12     1.21    11.16     3.63P    1.95R    0.60  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.55     7.88     0.40     0.12     1.08     9.47     2.78P    2.45R    0.76  
Gillingham           19   24   -3      62.87     8.05    -0.31     0.35     2.66    17.73     6.53P    1.03R    0.30  
Bradford             19   24   -3      60.15     7.71    -4.07     0.09     0.92     9.59     2.73P    1.88R    0.56  
Northampton          20   24   -6      61.93     7.68    -2.67     0.16     1.59    13.75     4.74P    1.13R    0.31  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      55.11     7.65    -8.47     0.01     0.20     2.94     0.68P    7.20R    2.67  
Southend             19   23   -2      65.82     8.09     6.48     0.75     5.42    29.39    12.42P    0.45R    0.12  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.71     7.74    -8.81     0.03     0.43     5.38     1.45P    4.34R    1.37  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.80     7.84   -10.00     0.01     0.15     2.33     0.52P   10.52R    4.00  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      56.96     7.91    -7.94     0.03     0.41     5.00     1.29P    5.39R    1.93  
Stockport            20   20  -20      47.00     7.44   -34.07     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   38.47R   20.45  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      49.04     7.57   -23.58     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.11P   26.99R   12.70  
Barnet               20   19  -13      46.07     7.25   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   41.34R   22.16  
Hereford             19   15  -17      44.70     7.52   -28.26     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.01P   49.35R   29.60  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Fleetwood_Town vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.71     7.47    23.62    13.44    81.71    28.38P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.05     7.70    34.72    23.00    88.82    39.15P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.50     7.11    46.70    57.61    97.71    74.11P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     22   38  +12      72.64     7.48    14.72     1.14    33.67     6.93P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     21   34  +10      69.41     7.46    11.94     0.46    19.77     4.19P    0.04R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.40     7.23     2.50     0.35    17.90     3.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.59     7.11    16.18     0.94    32.92     8.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.63     7.05    16.81     1.23    38.55    11.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.59     7.34    15.29     0.59    24.91     5.94P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.67     7.66    13.28     0.71    25.65     7.33P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.14     7.57    14.69     0.38    19.96     5.90P    0.05R    0.01  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.28     7.49   -11.48     0.00     0.68     0.12P    4.57R    0.49  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.67     7.36    12.93     0.05     7.71     2.02P    0.30R    0.02  
York               21   26   +1      64.06     7.23     6.78     0.05     5.47     1.36P    0.30R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.51     7.15   -12.53     0.00     0.29     0.03P    6.59R    0.78  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.61     7.38    -1.02     0.02     3.84     0.78P    0.65R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      50.01     7.02   -17.87     0.00     0.04     0.01P   18.28R    3.18  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.52     7.23   -14.61     0.00     0.15     0.02P   11.36R    1.76  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.48     7.32   -13.92     0.00     0.21     0.04P    9.67R    1.59  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.74     6.99   -27.20     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.97R    8.88  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.82     6.62   -36.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.59R   20.92  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.51     7.17   -28.21     0.00     0.01     0.00P   36.78R    9.73  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.39     7.36   -21.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    41.85R   12.50  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.87     6.76   -45.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.90R   40.07