Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 19 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Blackburn vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         16   34  +20      80.73     6.01    47.51    58.31    84.00    96.02    99.31    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32  +15      74.04     6.25    36.79    14.04    42.40    77.59    93.51    99.44     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        17   32  +11      67.37     6.26    21.21     1.85     9.20    28.40    68.27    94.24     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   31  +19      76.37     5.77    46.50    25.60    62.62    88.54    97.45    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       17   27   +3      60.21     6.47     9.76     0.12     1.09     5.22    19.45    67.37     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland      18   27   +3      52.81     6.10     0.17     0.00     0.06     0.37     2.36    20.86     0.42R    0.02  
Bolton          18   26   +5      49.97     6.02    -1.75     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.91    10.68     1.43R    0.07  
Newcastle       17   22   +1      50.26     6.67    -0.40     0.00     0.03     0.21     1.58    14.16     2.05R    0.15  
Liverpool       17   22   -1      58.99     6.33    11.14     0.08     0.57     3.33    14.80    61.89     0.03R    0.00  
Blackpool       16   22   -5      43.70     6.40   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     2.10    14.61R    2.05  
West_Brom       17   22   -5      47.69     6.55   -10.59     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.61     6.60     4.98R    0.48  
Blackburn       18   22   -5      45.89     6.13   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     3.24     6.84R    0.67  
Stoke           17   21   -1      44.37     6.06    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.94     9.91R    1.18  
Aston_Villa     17   20   -9      48.40     6.30   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.54     7.12     3.68R    0.35  
Everton         17   18   -2      48.57     6.36     0.31     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.74     8.78     2.94R    0.27  
Birmingham      17   18   -3      42.00     6.06   -10.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.87    17.87R    2.55  
Fulham          17   16   -4      41.42     6.13    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.83    20.40R    3.35  
Wigan           17   16  -15      33.46     5.69   -34.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.98R   33.59  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -12      34.51     5.84   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    67.39R   24.73  
West_Ham        18   13  -15      33.56     5.86   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    72.47R   30.54  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Coventry vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              21   41  +22      80.59     7.39    29.78    36.77    57.72    89.77    65.92P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     22   38   +4      71.68     7.46     5.00     5.50    13.57    49.93    20.92P    0.18R    0.02  
Cardiff          21   37  +13      79.08     7.41    25.06    28.01    49.02    85.15    59.69P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          22   37   +9      73.27     7.04    14.14     7.12    17.88    60.45    28.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Norwich          22   36   +5      70.56     7.39     7.35     3.99    10.67    44.49    18.07P    0.26R    0.01  
Coventry         22   34   +4      64.37     7.00     0.22     0.59     1.99    15.72     4.49P    1.68R    0.13  
Reading          21   30   +7      69.44     7.45    14.79     3.37     8.99    41.32    18.57P    0.43R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    20   30   +7      70.90     7.49    14.99     4.73    12.27    48.68    22.45P    0.20R    0.01  
Derby            22   30   +6      62.18     7.21     4.60     0.38     1.17    11.20     3.34P    3.69R    0.36  
Watford          21   30   +5      65.73     7.51     6.85     1.27     3.89    23.50     8.39P    1.66R    0.16  
Doncaster        21   30   -2      63.45     7.43    -3.22     0.49     1.71    14.25     4.24P    3.24R    0.37  
Burnley          20   29   +6      68.06     7.92    10.91     2.99     7.88    34.88    15.24P    0.99R    0.12  
Barnsley         20   29   -4      59.03     7.34   -12.67     0.13     0.41     4.96     1.16P   10.63R    1.58  
Millwall         21   28   +3      60.80     7.40     0.99     0.20     0.74     8.39     2.34P    5.91R    0.75  
Portsmouth       20   28   +1      69.71     7.85    10.16     4.02    10.26    42.22    19.50P    0.62R    0.06  
Leicester        22   28   -7      61.59     7.17    -6.04     0.18     0.74     8.76     2.56P    4.98R    0.63  
Ipswich          22   27   -5      57.64     7.04    -8.36     0.02     0.15     2.96     0.71P   12.69R    2.02  
Hull             21   26   -4      59.95     7.44    -4.10     0.16     0.59     6.63     2.12P    8.00R    1.23  
Bristol_City     21   26   -6      56.57     7.21   -11.54     0.04     0.14     2.37     0.59P   16.98R    3.14  
Sheff_Utd        21   25  -11      57.94     7.25   -12.77     0.03     0.18     3.39     0.88P   13.06R    2.29  
Middlesbrough    22   21  -11      53.36     7.04   -11.63     0.01     0.04     0.67     0.22P   28.85R    7.05  
Crystal_Palace   22   21  -16      49.31     6.99   -22.94     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   54.01R   18.50  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.77     7.25   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   67.46R   32.15  
Preston          21   19  -14      47.19     7.25   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   64.43R   29.36  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Exeter vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         19   36  +16      78.76     7.91    24.58    23.20    40.25    79.77    49.48P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        21   33  +13      76.78     7.56    27.38    15.98    31.37    74.21    44.92P    0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield     19   32  +10      76.86     7.96    21.91    16.51    31.28    72.62    42.54P    0.06R    0.00  
Charlton         19   32   +6      76.77     7.98    17.78    15.69    30.04    71.39    41.79P    0.08R    0.00  
Bournemouth      19   30  +15      69.67     8.28    18.84     4.06     9.64    39.38    16.24P    1.06R    0.03  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.58     7.93     5.85     3.22     7.90    36.08    14.42P    0.95R    0.03  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.90     8.07     6.87     2.18     5.48    28.95     9.96P    1.74R    0.05  
Peterborough     19   29   -2      67.08     8.34    -1.27     2.02     5.12    25.90     9.15P    2.72R    0.16  
Exeter           20   29   -2      59.90     7.50    -9.88     0.12     0.41     5.35     1.13P   11.73R    0.74  
Southampton      19   28   +8      75.51     7.81    23.80    12.91    25.94    67.48    40.04P    0.10R    0.00  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.70     7.69     3.12     0.97     2.80    19.35     6.04P    2.62R    0.10  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.02     7.91     7.36     0.96     2.90    18.62     6.30P    3.43R    0.16  
Hartlepool       18   26   -3      60.74     7.99    -8.98     0.27     0.86     7.76     2.13P   10.80R    0.71  
MK_Dons          19   26   -7      62.10     7.92    -8.82     0.37     1.20     9.75     2.86P    8.07R    0.50  
Plymouth         19   25   -4      63.98     8.12    -1.22     0.75     2.11    15.28     5.25P    5.40R    0.32  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      59.45     7.76    -1.43     0.10     0.47     5.60     1.44P   12.40R    0.89  
Swindon          19   24   -3      62.83     7.93    -0.64     0.45     1.43    12.03     3.75P    6.42R    0.45  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.25     8.05    -2.04     0.08     0.29     3.86     1.00P   20.13R    2.07  
Notts_County     18   22   -5      57.04     8.23   -10.35     0.11     0.33     3.64     0.92P   22.52R    2.87  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      52.92     7.56   -17.22     0.01     0.05     0.78     0.16P   40.02R    6.00  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      55.19     7.87   -17.31     0.04     0.13     1.88     0.40P   29.94R    3.96  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.61     7.64   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   79.69R   34.78  
Walsall          19   17  -14      48.66     7.66   -22.30     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P   62.29R   16.03  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.32     7.55   -27.96     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   77.77R   30.13  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 December 2010, Cheltenham vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.75     8.05    26.14    30.27    64.13    91.98    70.93P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +16      80.43     7.67    26.76    23.44    58.63    90.86    67.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.40     7.92    22.03    11.81    38.01    78.80    47.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.59     7.89    15.92     9.20    32.45    74.57    42.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.19     7.86    22.17    10.64    36.94    78.28    47.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              19   31   +7      75.22     8.10    17.66     8.81    31.93    73.08    43.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.78     7.95    13.57     1.86    10.61    43.47    18.46P    0.10R    0.03  
Cheltenham           19   27   -3      61.65     7.82    -6.91     0.18     1.64    12.95     3.56P    1.45R    0.38  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.89     8.09    21.02     2.21    11.91    45.63    20.81P    0.15R    0.04  
Macclesfield         19   25   -5      56.11     7.59   -13.75     0.02     0.24     3.39     0.67P    5.97R    2.08  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.31     7.82     3.47     0.14     1.24    10.88     3.41P    1.87R    0.52  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.66     7.87     0.62     0.10     0.98     9.67     2.87P    2.32R    0.65  
Gillingham           19   24   -3      62.79     8.08    -0.48     0.31     2.52    17.83     6.39P    1.14R    0.35  
Bradford             19   24   -3      60.04     7.82    -4.16     0.08     1.08     9.78     3.07P    2.07R    0.62  
Northampton          20   24   -6      61.75     7.67    -2.96     0.13     1.42    13.18     4.25P    1.17R    0.33  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      54.98     7.68    -8.64     0.03     0.20     2.91     0.67P    7.65R    2.70  
Southend             19   23   -2      65.71     8.00     6.40     0.72     5.16    28.80    12.10P    0.46R    0.14  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.88     7.73    -8.54     0.03     0.37     5.71     1.36P    3.92R    1.32  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.80     7.80   -10.04     0.00     0.13     2.22     0.45P   10.19R    3.93  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      57.07     7.89    -7.76     0.02     0.38     5.14     1.43P    5.21R    1.80  
Stockport            20   20  -20      46.87     7.38   -34.31     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   39.32R   20.84  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      49.14     7.56   -23.47     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.06P   26.37R   12.31  
Barnet               20   19  -13      46.14     7.28   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   41.09R   21.91  
Hereford             19   15  -17      44.67     7.60   -28.35     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   49.54R   30.04  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Fleetwood_Town vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.70     7.53    23.62    13.47    81.28    28.26P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.26     7.65    34.98    23.27    89.36    39.57P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.58     7.09    46.83    57.33    97.71    73.64P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     22   38  +12      72.90     7.49    15.08     1.17    34.68     7.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     21   34  +10      69.24     7.51    11.66     0.43    19.53     4.10P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.49     7.24     2.60     0.40    17.77     3.57P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.67     7.12    16.29     0.90    33.59     8.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.69     7.12    16.92     1.36    38.55    11.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.58     7.35    15.29     0.55    24.56     5.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.70     7.68    13.37     0.71    25.70     7.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.18     7.51    14.78     0.30    19.61     5.59P    0.06R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.25     7.45   -11.53     0.00     0.70     0.13P    4.56R    0.49  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.65     7.33    12.92     0.06     7.56     2.00P    0.26R    0.02  
York               21   26   +1      63.99     7.17     6.66     0.05     5.33     1.26P    0.24R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.38     7.18   -12.75     0.00     0.27     0.04P    7.02R    0.81  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.35     7.30    -1.37     0.02     3.37     0.72P    0.66R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      49.96     7.03   -17.96     0.00     0.05     0.01P   18.58R    3.38  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.63     7.22   -14.42     0.00     0.13     0.02P   10.78R    1.61  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.37     7.32   -14.16     0.00     0.22     0.02P    9.83R    1.59  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.66     7.02   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.23R    9.10  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.83     6.64   -36.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.06R   20.93  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.37     7.16   -28.41     0.00     0.01     0.00    37.55R    9.90  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.47     7.41   -20.81     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.36R   12.55  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.88     6.81   -45.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.68R   39.57