Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 18 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Blackburn vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         16   34  +20      80.66     6.01    47.48    57.80    83.61    95.91    99.29    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32  +15      74.03     6.26    36.77    14.09    42.27    77.63    93.48    99.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        17   32  +11      67.40     6.23    21.27     1.87     9.20    28.01    68.07    94.27     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   31  +19      76.44     5.74    46.59    26.05    63.05    88.75    97.39    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       17   27   +3      60.29     6.49     9.88     0.13     1.17     5.39    19.96    67.51     0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland      18   27   +3      52.65     6.03    -0.06     0.00     0.04     0.30     2.11    19.77     0.44R    0.01  
Bolton          18   26   +5      50.12     6.03    -1.53     0.01     0.02     0.13     1.01    11.09     1.36R    0.09  
Newcastle       17   22   +1      50.33     6.63    -0.29     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.53    14.46     1.91R    0.13  
Liverpool       17   22   -1      59.03     6.32    11.24     0.05     0.59     3.44    14.75    62.22     0.03R    0.00  
Blackpool       16   22   -5      43.61     6.39   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     2.01    15.10R    2.08  
West_Brom       17   22   -5      47.66     6.53   -10.58     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.58     6.62     4.92R    0.46  
Blackburn       18   22   -5      45.95     6.12   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     3.32     6.59R    0.62  
Stoke           17   21   -1      44.41     6.03    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.96     9.57R    1.01  
Aston_Villa     17   20   -9      48.32     6.34   -10.82     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.63     6.90     3.73R    0.34  
Everton         17   18   -2      48.56     6.44     0.25     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.76     8.95     3.27R    0.31  
Birmingham      17   18   -3      41.93     6.05   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.84    18.27R    2.73  
Fulham          17   16   -4      41.48     6.15    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.78    20.01R    3.29  
Wigan           17   16  -15      33.46     5.66   -34.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    75.07R   33.19  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -12      34.50     5.85   -27.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    67.48R   24.84  
West_Ham        18   13  -15      33.54     5.90   -26.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    72.25R   30.91  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Coventry vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              21   41  +22      80.41     7.36    29.50    35.92    56.88    89.62    65.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     22   38   +4      71.83     7.46     5.24     5.82    14.38    50.82    21.73P    0.17R    0.01  
Cardiff          21   37  +13      78.95     7.42    24.82    27.95    48.49    85.07    59.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          22   37   +9      73.25     7.06    14.14     7.26    17.93    60.75    29.11P    0.04R    0.00  
Norwich          22   36   +5      70.65     7.44     7.52     4.35    11.21    45.48    18.70P    0.27R    0.02  
Coventry         22   34   +5      64.55     6.96     1.69     0.58     2.00    16.45     4.62P    1.46R    0.13  
Reading          21   30   +7      69.41     7.44    14.73     3.42     9.19    41.48    18.61P    0.38R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    20   30   +7      70.87     7.50    14.98     4.88    12.38    48.73    22.86P    0.29R    0.01  
Derby            22   30   +6      61.99     7.13     4.40     0.27     1.05    10.58     3.01P    3.61R    0.38  
Watford          21   30   +5      65.80     7.52     6.96     1.26     3.82    24.09     8.43P    1.53R    0.16  
Doncaster        21   30   -3      63.17     7.39    -4.64     0.42     1.57    13.19     3.75P    3.42R    0.44  
Burnley          20   29   +6      67.69     7.96    10.39     2.91     7.55    33.44    14.44P    1.11R    0.12  
Barnsley         20   29   -5      58.77     7.28   -14.00     0.09     0.37     4.64     0.98P   10.87R    1.63  
Millwall         21   28   +2      60.51     7.33    -0.26     0.17     0.66     7.64     2.12P    6.27R    0.87  
Portsmouth       20   28   +1      69.66     7.86    10.05     4.12    10.52    42.09    19.81P    0.63R    0.06  
Leicester        22   28   -7      61.59     7.16    -5.98     0.20     0.73     8.73     2.60P    4.73R    0.60  
Bristol_City     21   27   -4      58.19     7.22    -8.44     0.07     0.26     3.73     0.96P   11.59R    1.89  
Hull             21   26   -3      60.26     7.42    -2.65     0.19     0.68     7.31     2.33P    7.00R    0.98  
Ipswich          22   25   -7      55.04     7.07   -11.12     0.02     0.07     1.43     0.35P   21.37R    4.31  
Sheff_Utd        21   25  -11      57.98     7.26   -12.67     0.07     0.24     3.54     0.97P   12.65R    2.13  
Middlesbrough    22   21  -10      53.67     7.12   -10.08     0.01     0.01     0.83     0.22P   26.94R    6.36  
Crystal_Palace   22   21  -16      49.29     6.93   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   53.51R   18.22  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.69     7.30   -27.49     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   67.45R   32.66  
Preston          21   19  -14      47.15     7.24   -24.20     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   64.71R   28.99  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Exeter vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         19   36  +16      78.92     7.87    24.77    23.40    40.88    80.33    49.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        21   33  +13      76.93     7.57    27.52    16.37    31.80    74.77    45.88P    0.05R    0.00  
Huddersfield     19   32  +10      77.03     7.97    22.25    17.05    31.78    73.11    42.88P    0.06R    0.00  
Charlton         19   32   +6      76.72     7.93    17.68    15.46    29.82    71.05    41.29P    0.08R    0.00  
Bournemouth      19   30  +15      69.73     8.25    18.95     4.05     9.63    39.30    16.16P    0.94R    0.03  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.46     7.90     5.60     2.97     7.60    35.09    13.85P    0.97R    0.03  
Oldham           18   29   +6      68.09     8.09     7.15     2.31     5.80    29.65    10.39P    1.62R    0.05  
Peterborough     19   29   -2      67.06     8.27    -1.21     1.86     4.77    25.43     8.70P    2.77R    0.14  
Exeter           20   29   -2      60.01     7.52    -9.75     0.12     0.47     5.54     1.26P   11.32R    0.73  
Southampton      19   28   +8      75.41     7.82    23.65    12.37    25.18    67.32    39.50P    0.11R    0.00  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.35     7.74     2.69     0.90     2.60    18.21     5.79P    2.87R    0.14  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.18     7.94     7.60     0.99     2.89    19.27     6.44P    3.29R    0.15  
Hartlepool       18   26   -3      60.76     8.00    -9.02     0.29     0.85     7.78     2.01P   10.80R    0.76  
MK_Dons          19   26   -7      62.25     7.97    -8.58     0.34     1.13    10.30     2.90P    8.04R    0.49  
Plymouth         19   25   -4      63.78     8.14    -1.51     0.67     2.04    14.73     5.11P    5.51R    0.33  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      59.10     7.80    -1.89     0.12     0.45     5.20     1.28P   13.45R    1.04  
Swindon          19   24   -3      62.91     7.97    -0.49     0.49     1.52    12.44     3.94P    6.19R    0.36  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.44     8.15    -1.78     0.10     0.34     4.14     1.21P   19.41R    2.05  
Notts_County     18   22   -5      56.98     8.17   -10.41     0.10     0.29     3.47     0.88P   22.70R    2.64  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      52.93     7.56   -17.24     0.01     0.04     0.76     0.16P   39.80R    6.02  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      55.06     7.88   -17.61     0.02     0.11     1.79     0.38P   30.50R    4.22  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.64     7.60   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   79.59R   34.10  
Walsall          19   17  -14      48.64     7.65   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   62.24R   16.13  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.27     7.53   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    77.64R   30.59  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 December 2010, Cheltenham vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.73     8.03    26.13    30.25    63.93    92.09    70.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +16      80.40     7.69    26.74    23.43    58.16    90.68    66.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.37     7.89    21.99    11.53    37.63    78.55    47.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.64     7.88    15.99     9.16    32.92    74.95    43.26P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.34     7.85    22.31    11.06    37.42    78.77    48.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              19   31   +7      75.14     8.08    17.59     8.71    31.77    72.76    43.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.60     7.95    13.31     1.81    10.30    42.82    17.99P    0.12R    0.02  
Cheltenham           19   27   -3      61.54     7.81    -7.12     0.18     1.62    12.76     3.48P    1.55R    0.43  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.90     8.14    21.07     2.15    12.02    45.67    20.86P    0.14R    0.04  
Macclesfield         19   25   -5      56.29     7.56   -13.50     0.02     0.28     3.64     0.81P    5.46R    1.86  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.27     7.90     3.39     0.15     1.25    11.30     3.56P    2.02R    0.62  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.57     7.86     0.44     0.08     1.02     9.64     2.76P    2.37R    0.71  
Gillingham           19   24   -3      62.72     8.06    -0.53     0.31     2.47    17.32     6.28P    1.09R    0.34  
Bradford             19   24   -3      60.24     7.76    -3.93     0.11     1.05     9.84     2.92P    1.92R    0.61  
Northampton          20   24   -6      61.72     7.65    -2.97     0.15     1.37    13.36     4.32P    1.17R    0.30  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      55.02     7.70    -8.61     0.01     0.21     3.02     0.75P    7.46R    2.75  
Southend             19   23   -2      65.82     8.05     6.54     0.81     5.51    29.02    12.45P    0.41R    0.11  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.83     7.73    -8.67     0.03     0.40     5.50     1.35P    4.20R    1.37  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.85     7.84    -9.92     0.01     0.18     2.36     0.58P   10.32R    3.97  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      57.16     7.91    -7.60     0.04     0.46     5.27     1.51P    5.16R    1.81  
Stockport            20   20  -20      46.86     7.46   -34.31     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   39.07R   20.88  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      49.10     7.50   -23.48     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.08P   26.39R   12.29  
Barnet               20   19  -13      46.13     7.25   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   41.13R   21.65  
Hereford             19   15  -17      44.57     7.54   -28.48     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   50.00R   30.24  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 December 2010, Fleetwood_Town vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.84     7.47    23.88    13.79    82.21    28.91P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.29     7.68    35.06    23.30    89.69    39.96P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.54     7.08    46.81    57.22    97.69    73.66P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     22   38  +12      72.60     7.38    14.65     1.05    33.62     6.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     21   34  +10      69.32     7.49    11.80     0.49    19.71     4.06P    0.04R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.36     7.26     2.41     0.36    18.03     3.58P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.49     7.15    16.06     0.92    32.61     8.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.67     7.03    16.83     1.25    38.77    11.51P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.52     7.36    15.19     0.58    24.75     6.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.49     7.61    13.02     0.60    24.80     7.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.10     7.50    14.65     0.30    19.78     5.59P    0.03R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.52     7.46   -11.10     0.01     0.75     0.13P    4.22R    0.49  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.67     7.36    12.91     0.05     7.73     2.04P    0.28R    0.01  
York               21   26   +1      64.05     7.19     6.70     0.04     5.45     1.29P    0.31R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.39     7.17   -12.75     0.00     0.29     0.05P    6.97R    0.87  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.54     7.33    -1.12     0.04     3.66     0.75P    0.64R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      50.01     7.04   -17.89     0.00     0.04     0.01P   18.52R    3.07  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.62     7.20   -14.43     0.00     0.13     0.03P   11.17R    1.81  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.46     7.33   -14.04     0.00     0.26     0.04P    9.68R    1.61  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.81     7.02   -27.01     0.00     0.01     0.00P   35.02R    8.87  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.89     6.66   -36.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.04R   21.12  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.41     7.17   -28.36     0.00     0.01     0.00P   37.47R    9.82  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.31     7.36   -21.14     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.34R   12.87  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.95     6.81   -45.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.18R   39.37