Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 17 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 December 2010, Man_Utd vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         16   34  +20      80.71     5.99    47.51    57.91    83.51    96.09    99.27    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32  +15      74.15     6.28    37.04    14.52    42.93    78.18    93.58    99.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        17   32  +11      67.40     6.21    21.32     1.87     9.07    27.62    68.38    94.28     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   31  +19      76.40     5.71    46.55    25.50    62.76    88.70    97.52    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       17   27   +3      60.20     6.46     9.75     0.13     1.08     5.10    19.29    67.00     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          17   26   +6      51.24     6.30    -0.99     0.00     0.03     0.23     1.64    15.63     0.99R    0.03  
Sunderland      17   24   +2      51.36     6.36    -0.65     0.00     0.02     0.25     1.69    16.20     1.10R    0.07  
Newcastle       17   22   +1      50.30     6.58    -0.29     0.00     0.01     0.22     1.48    13.86     1.91R    0.14  
Liverpool       17   22   -1      58.97     6.36    11.13     0.07     0.56     3.35    14.69    61.17     0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool       16   22   -5      43.58     6.39   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.86    15.27R    2.16  
West_Brom       17   22   -5      47.56     6.55   -10.79     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.56     6.36     5.14R    0.53  
Stoke           17   21   -1      44.46     6.05    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     2.11     9.46R    1.04  
Blackburn       17   21   -5      46.96     6.38   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.34     4.94     5.68R    0.55  
Aston_Villa     17   20   -9      48.36     6.31   -10.72     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.58     6.80     3.55R    0.34  
Everton         17   18   -2      48.68     6.38     0.46     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.73     8.78     2.99R    0.28  
Birmingham      17   18   -3      41.86     6.07   -10.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.83    18.58R    2.67  
Fulham          17   16   -4      41.51     6.14    -8.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.89    20.05R    3.19  
Wigan           17   16  -15      33.54     5.68   -34.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.59R   32.06  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -12      34.53     5.88   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    66.95R   24.25  
West_Ham        17   12  -15      33.24     6.06   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    73.68R   32.67  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 17 December 2010, Doncaster vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              20   41  +24      82.63     7.58    32.78    45.89    67.19    93.80    74.37P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   37  +13      79.02     7.47    24.96    24.77    47.45    85.55    58.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          21   37  +10      75.08     7.26    15.76     9.73    24.40    70.37    36.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     21   35   +2      69.20     7.68     1.62     2.88     8.09    38.33    14.02P    0.54R    0.04  
Coventry         21   34   +5      66.20     7.24     1.96     0.93     3.33    23.85     6.97P    1.02R    0.09  
Norwich          21   33   +4      68.48     7.61     5.67     2.28     6.78    35.30    13.28P    0.65R    0.05  
Derby            21   30   +7      63.76     7.39     5.91     0.52     1.98    16.86     4.99P    2.47R    0.22  
Watford          21   30   +5      65.65     7.62     6.72     1.01     3.62    24.29     8.12P    1.70R    0.18  
Doncaster        21   30   -2      63.55     7.41    -3.11     0.44     1.69    14.77     4.27P    3.05R    0.38  
Burnley          20   29   +6      68.01     7.96    10.85     2.66     7.59    35.33    15.16P    1.01R    0.10  
Barnsley         20   29   -4      59.06     7.33   -12.58     0.09     0.38     5.09     1.18P   10.03R    1.54  
Millwall         21   28   +3      60.78     7.47     1.02     0.17     0.81     9.08     2.51P    5.92R    0.81  
Portsmouth       20   28   +1      69.77     7.85    10.26     3.35     9.94    43.53    19.77P    0.52R    0.06  
Leicester        21   28   -4      63.84     7.42    -1.66     0.47     1.78    15.79     5.17P    2.74R    0.32  
Reading          20   27   +6      67.71     7.67    13.65     1.98     6.20    34.03    14.47P    0.87R    0.06  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      69.04     7.67    11.63     2.64     7.91    39.78    16.71P    0.58R    0.05  
Bristol_City     20   26   -4      58.09     7.40    -9.21     0.06     0.28     4.24     1.05P   12.41R    2.15  
Ipswich          21   24   -8      55.23     7.26   -12.49     0.02     0.07     1.74     0.41P   21.24R    4.44  
Hull             20   23   -6      58.00     7.65    -6.57     0.08     0.32     4.58     1.34P   12.84R    2.45  
Sheff_Utd        20   22  -12      56.00     7.43   -14.20     0.03     0.15     2.29     0.59P   19.12R    4.03  
Middlesbrough    22   21  -11      53.42     7.08   -11.53     0.00     0.02     0.78     0.22P   27.93R    6.91  
Crystal_Palace   21   21  -13      50.70     7.16   -19.78     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.09P   44.54R   13.99  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.64     7.31   -27.55     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.02P   67.22R   32.93  
Preston          21   19  -14      47.22     7.28   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   63.59R   29.18  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 December 2010, Charlton vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         19   36  +16      78.75     7.91    24.51    19.95    37.08    79.18    46.54P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        20   33  +17      80.57     7.72    34.93    29.20    48.79    86.27    61.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     19   32  +10      76.98     7.98    22.14    14.55    28.93    72.30    40.35P    0.08R    0.00  
Charlton         19   32   +6      76.74     7.93    17.69    13.45    27.25    70.35    39.04P    0.09R    0.00  
Bournemouth      19   30  +15      69.83     8.26    19.06     3.47     8.81    39.12    15.43P    0.88R    0.04  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.56     7.88     5.77     2.48     6.61    34.81    13.05P    0.84R    0.01  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.78     8.02     6.74     1.66     4.66    27.99     9.01P    1.50R    0.06  
Peterborough     19   29   -2      67.12     8.29    -1.17     1.63     4.45    25.12     8.47P    2.56R    0.13  
Southampton      19   28   +8      75.40     7.77    23.64    10.47    22.86    66.39    37.47P    0.09R    0.00  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.60     7.75     3.00     0.76     2.45    18.51     5.68P    2.61R    0.11  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.25     7.86     7.71     0.74     2.39    18.66     6.08P    2.84R    0.12  
Hartlepool       18   26   -3      60.85     7.97    -8.80     0.21     0.75     7.85     1.92P    9.75R    0.67  
Exeter           19   26   -6      56.02     7.59   -17.35     0.04     0.12     1.94     0.37P   24.47R    2.57  
MK_Dons          19   26   -7      62.23     7.93    -8.62     0.27     0.88     9.64     2.54P    7.36R    0.51  
Plymouth         19   25   -4      63.77     8.17    -1.49     0.54     1.71    14.29     4.67P    5.19R    0.35  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      59.26     7.83    -1.68     0.12     0.41     5.26     1.33P   12.24R    0.95  
Swindon          19   24   -3      63.20     7.96     0.00     0.35     1.28    12.56     3.79P    5.48R    0.35  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.14     8.03    -2.22     0.04     0.23     3.58     0.92P   19.27R    2.16  
Notts_County     18   22   -5      57.03     8.24   -10.31     0.07     0.25     3.53     0.92P   21.32R    2.53  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      52.86     7.56   -17.27     0.00     0.02     0.72     0.14P   38.45R    5.71  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      55.02     7.83   -17.60     0.01     0.06     1.66     0.32P   28.87R    3.99  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.61     7.66   -28.01     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   78.32R   33.62  
Walsall          19   17  -14      48.48     7.69   -22.56     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.06P   61.34R   16.12  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.24     7.56   -28.10     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   76.40R   30.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 December 2010, Cheltenham vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.86     8.01    26.31    30.76    64.66    92.31    71.28P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +16      80.21     7.75    26.44    22.60    57.23    90.11    65.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.35     7.90    21.93    11.77    37.82    78.45    47.67P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.58     7.91    15.90     9.03    32.84    74.43    42.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.29     7.88    22.30    11.11    37.39    78.58    48.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              19   31   +7      75.19     8.13    17.68     8.85    31.92    72.84    43.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.80     7.92    13.60     1.86    10.55    43.77    18.42P    0.11R    0.03  
Cheltenham           19   27   -3      61.62     7.82    -6.96     0.17     1.60    12.82     3.50P    1.41R    0.38  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.74     8.15    20.83     2.11    11.83    44.95    20.43P    0.19R    0.04  
Macclesfield         19   25   -5      56.23     7.56   -13.60     0.01     0.29     3.63     0.80P    5.86R    1.94  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.34     7.81     3.50     0.13     1.23    11.04     3.69P    1.71R    0.51  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.59     7.92     0.44     0.11     1.02     9.75     2.89P    2.52R    0.81  
Gillingham           19   24   -3      62.66     8.10    -0.62     0.31     2.46    17.36     6.18P    1.10R    0.32  
Bradford             19   24   -3      60.34     7.74    -3.79     0.10     1.11    10.05     3.11P    1.75R    0.53  
Northampton          20   24   -6      62.02     7.67    -2.55     0.15     1.55    13.92     4.74P    1.06R    0.28  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      55.00     7.64    -8.64     0.01     0.20     2.84     0.69P    7.40R    2.58  
Southend             19   23   -2      65.91     8.05     6.65     0.83     5.37    29.70    12.49P    0.41R    0.13  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.76     7.74    -8.73     0.03     0.40     5.49     1.48P    4.19R    1.36  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.79     7.84   -10.05     0.01     0.10     2.31     0.55P   10.29R    4.02  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      56.95     7.88    -7.92     0.04     0.38     4.89     1.33P    5.11R    1.88  
Stockport            20   20  -20      46.97     7.39   -34.16     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   38.44R   20.43  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      48.97     7.47   -23.65     0.00     0.02     0.35     0.08P   26.93R   12.25  
Barnet               20   19  -13      46.11     7.20   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   41.11R   21.80  
Hereford             19   15  -17      44.53     7.50   -28.54     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   50.41R   30.70  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 December 2010, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.73     7.49    23.72    13.39    81.42    27.98P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.31     7.67    35.06    23.62    89.39    40.20P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.52     7.09    46.73    56.85    97.73    73.84P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.60     7.70    14.08     1.31    33.50     7.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.45     7.23     2.55     0.40    17.75     3.66P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.04     7.73    12.33     0.63    22.92     4.87P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.50     7.12    16.04     0.83    32.44     8.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.59     7.12    16.74     1.32    38.02    11.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.48     7.38    15.11     0.50    24.33     5.72P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.63     7.60    13.19     0.66    25.20     7.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.03     7.51    14.57     0.33    19.15     5.56P    0.05R    0.01  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.21     7.51   -11.58     0.00     0.78     0.10P    4.88R    0.52  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.58     7.33    12.79     0.08     7.36     1.90P    0.30R    0.02  
York               21   26   +1      64.09     7.21     6.80     0.06     5.59     1.42P    0.26R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.54     7.15   -12.55     0.00     0.26     0.03P    6.78R    0.81  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.64     7.33    -0.97     0.02     3.79     0.81P    0.61R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      49.85     7.02   -18.18     0.00     0.03     0.00P   19.23R    3.52  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.53     7.21   -14.59     0.00     0.13     0.01P   11.33R    1.85  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.37     7.27   -14.08     0.00     0.19     0.03P    9.78R    1.53  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.78     7.01   -27.08     0.00     0.01     0.00P   35.26R    9.09  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.87     6.67   -36.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.69R   21.48  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.52     7.15   -28.14     0.00     0.01     0.00P   37.12R    9.84  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.62     7.40   -20.59     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.54R   12.11  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      40.06     6.80   -45.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.03R   39.17