Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 16 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 December 2010, Man_Utd vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         16   34  +20      80.75     6.01    47.63    58.13    83.90    96.11    99.34    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32  +15      74.10     6.23    36.93    13.88    42.70    78.48    93.88    99.37     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        17   32  +11      67.37     6.23    21.26     1.86     9.14    27.47    68.42    94.16     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   31  +19      76.40     5.77    46.57    25.96    62.55    88.57    97.49    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       17   27   +3      60.14     6.44     9.68     0.11     1.03     5.05    18.99    66.63     0.03R    0.00  
Bolton          17   26   +6      51.23     6.24    -0.99     0.00     0.03     0.25     1.65    15.37     0.96R    0.03  
Sunderland      17   24   +2      51.43     6.30    -0.55     0.00     0.02     0.27     1.72    16.09     0.98R    0.06  
Newcastle       17   22   +1      50.33     6.67    -0.26     0.00     0.03     0.21     1.60    14.30     2.00R    0.16  
Liverpool       17   22   -1      58.99     6.28    11.17     0.06     0.57     3.27    14.34    61.51     0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool       16   22   -5      43.59     6.45   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     2.05    15.23R    2.06  
West_Brom       17   22   -5      47.71     6.53   -10.61     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.59     6.47     4.88R    0.47  
Stoke           17   21   -1      44.38     6.04    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.91     9.97R    1.02  
Blackburn       17   21   -5      46.94     6.35   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.35     4.91     5.61R    0.61  
Aston_Villa     17   20   -9      48.36     6.33   -10.75     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.59     6.90     3.69R    0.35  
Everton         17   18   -2      48.64     6.39     0.39     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.79     8.66     3.03R    0.26  
Birmingham      17   18   -3      41.97     6.09   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.93    17.95R    2.63  
Fulham          17   16   -4      41.53     6.16    -8.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.84    19.89R    3.18  
Wigan           17   16  -15      33.42     5.68   -34.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    75.23R   32.77  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -12      34.47     5.86   -27.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    67.31R   24.56  
West_Ham        17   12  -15      33.30     6.04   -27.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    73.21R   31.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 December 2010, Barnsley vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              20   41  +24      82.52     7.59    32.53    45.08    66.92    93.55    74.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   37  +13      79.07     7.49    25.02    25.17    48.03    85.85    59.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          21   37  +10      75.22     7.27    15.97    10.38    25.21    71.48    37.23P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     21   35   +2      69.22     7.69     1.65     2.95     8.27    38.65    14.31P    0.51R    0.05  
Coventry         21   34   +6      66.54     7.22     3.63     1.12     3.69    26.03     7.71P    0.82R    0.05  
Norwich          21   33   +4      68.24     7.65     5.32     2.10     6.55    34.65    12.67P    0.71R    0.06  
Derby            21   30   +7      63.81     7.36     6.15     0.54     2.02    17.01     5.19P    2.24R    0.24  
Watford          21   30   +5      65.55     7.61     6.52     1.08     3.62    24.13     8.17P    1.69R    0.18  
Burnley          20   29   +6      67.97     7.97    10.79     2.62     7.45    35.52    15.06P    0.99R    0.11  
Barnsley         20   29   -5      58.76     7.31   -13.91     0.07     0.33     4.86     1.07P   10.48R    1.71  
Millwall         21   28   +2      60.46     7.37    -0.30     0.14     0.66     8.10     2.22P    6.07R    0.82  
Portsmouth       20   28   +1      69.62     7.83    10.03     3.47     9.75    43.00    19.50P    0.50R    0.05  
Leicester        21   28   -4      63.93     7.42    -1.49     0.47     1.81    16.42     5.33P    2.66R    0.30  
Reading          20   27   +6      67.57     7.61    13.38     1.78     5.79    33.81    14.30P    0.88R    0.08  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      68.93     7.73    11.50     2.52     7.81    39.84    16.60P    0.64R    0.06  
Bristol_City     20   27   -2      59.80     7.54    -6.02     0.14     0.57     6.90     1.78P    8.29R    1.31  
Doncaster        20   27   -4      61.26     7.62    -6.06     0.22     0.94     9.69     2.64P    6.27R    0.90  
Hull             20   23   -5      58.13     7.59    -5.34     0.10     0.35     4.91     1.44P   11.86R    2.18  
Ipswich          21   22  -10      52.62     7.25   -15.27     0.01     0.03     0.76     0.19P   32.74R    8.63  
Sheff_Utd        20   22  -12      56.05     7.47   -14.08     0.03     0.12     2.49     0.65P   18.81R    4.14  
Middlesbrough    21   21   -9      55.11     7.30    -8.94     0.02     0.06     1.73     0.48P   20.82R    4.65  
Crystal_Palace   21   21  -13      50.72     7.16   -19.68     0.01     0.02     0.42     0.09P   43.56R   13.61  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.72     7.34   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   66.42R   31.85  
Preston          21   19  -14      47.17     7.28   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   63.02R   29.02  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 December 2010, Charlton vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         19   36  +16      78.85     7.88    24.71    20.10    37.54    79.75    47.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        20   33  +17      80.59     7.70    34.98    28.98    48.59    86.31    61.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield     19   32  +10      76.92     7.92    22.08    14.30    28.45    71.91    40.08P    0.06R    0.00  
Charlton         19   32   +6      76.76     7.94    17.73    13.14    27.10    70.52    39.30P    0.07R    0.00  
Bournemouth      19   30  +15      69.76     8.21    19.01     3.45     8.56    38.65    15.10P    0.87R    0.02  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.46     7.94     5.66     2.54     6.63    34.44    12.78P    0.88R    0.03  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.89     8.09     6.88     1.77     4.79    28.37     9.28P    1.47R    0.06  
Peterborough     19   29   -2      67.13     8.31    -1.08     1.70     4.46    25.13     8.34P    2.53R    0.14  
Southampton      19   28   +8      75.55     7.77    23.85    10.78    23.26    66.99    38.13P    0.10R    0.00  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.76     7.78     3.22     0.80     2.45    19.08     5.69P    2.61R    0.12  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.10     7.93     7.49     0.82     2.44    18.09     5.67P    3.11R    0.17  
Hartlepool       18   26   -3      60.76     8.02    -8.98     0.22     0.74     7.69     1.95P   10.09R    0.70  
Exeter           19   26   -6      55.94     7.47   -17.39     0.02     0.09     1.69     0.33P   24.32R    2.55  
MK_Dons          19   26   -7      62.39     7.96    -8.39     0.27     0.98     9.96     2.69P    7.15R    0.43  
Plymouth         19   25   -4      63.91     8.13    -1.34     0.51     1.66    14.62     4.70P    4.96R    0.28  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      59.00     7.78    -2.03     0.11     0.40     4.97     1.26P   12.71R    0.97  
Swindon          19   24   -3      63.01     7.90    -0.34     0.33     1.23    11.98     3.56P    5.57R    0.32  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.17     8.09    -2.19     0.06     0.25     3.66     0.90P   19.22R    2.14  
Notts_County     18   22   -5      57.08     8.21   -10.26     0.07     0.25     3.56     0.87P   21.20R    2.52  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      52.99     7.52   -17.08     0.01     0.04     0.74     0.13P   37.79R    5.46  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      54.96     7.84   -17.72     0.03     0.11     1.65     0.37P   29.21R    3.92  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.30     7.61   -28.56     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   79.63R   35.11  
Walsall          19   17  -14      48.65     7.68   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   60.17R   15.65  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.30     7.55   -27.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   76.24R   29.39  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 December 2010, Cheltenham vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.70     8.02    26.04    30.24    64.21    91.87    71.13P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +16      80.33     7.70    26.63    23.35    58.17    90.60    66.68P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.39     7.90    22.05    11.68    38.14    78.75    48.17P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.62     7.84    15.94     9.09    32.62    74.69    42.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.16     7.87    22.11    10.97    36.98    77.99    47.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              19   31   +7      75.10     8.05    17.57     8.67    31.43    72.71    43.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.62     7.94    13.33     1.86    10.43    42.86    18.02P    0.10R    0.02  
Cheltenham           19   27   -3      61.57     7.81    -7.07     0.21     1.60    13.02     3.52P    1.45R    0.42  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.95     8.01    21.16     2.20    11.92    45.95    21.02P    0.12R    0.03  
Macclesfield         19   25   -5      56.34     7.55   -13.47     0.04     0.29     3.58     0.85P    5.65R    1.93  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.15     7.82     3.23     0.13     1.18    10.60     3.26P    1.79R    0.54  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.67     7.87     0.57     0.08     1.09     9.73     2.95P    2.35R    0.70  
Gillingham           19   24   -3      62.77     8.07    -0.47     0.33     2.62    17.63     6.26P    1.06R    0.32  
Bradford             19   24   -3      60.24     7.75    -3.92     0.10     1.05     9.81     2.88P    1.96R    0.55  
Northampton          20   24   -6      61.85     7.71    -2.79     0.16     1.48    13.86     4.52P    1.22R    0.32  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      55.01     7.67    -8.64     0.01     0.19     2.95     0.68P    7.67R    2.76  
Southend             19   23   -2      65.90     8.07     6.64     0.81     5.58    29.79    13.05P    0.45R    0.12  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.86     7.78    -8.62     0.04     0.49     5.79     1.46P    4.13R    1.41  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.71     7.80   -10.17     0.00     0.13     2.21     0.53P   10.61R    4.04  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      57.02     7.81    -7.83     0.03     0.39     4.84     1.38P    5.17R    1.88  
Stockport            20   20  -20      46.95     7.43   -34.13     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   39.17R   20.85  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      48.95     7.46   -23.67     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.07P   27.18R   12.58  
Barnet               20   19  -13      46.22     7.28   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   40.55R   21.77  
Hereford             19   15  -17      44.70     7.53   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   49.37R   29.76  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 December 2010, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.63     7.43    23.52    12.82    81.28    28.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.28     7.64    35.00    23.62    89.44    39.75P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.51     7.10    46.70    57.39    97.74    73.79P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.56     7.68    14.05     1.26    33.27     7.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.49     7.26     2.64     0.38    18.10     3.67P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.09     7.72    12.42     0.64    23.04     4.92P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.53     7.12    16.08     0.92    32.40     8.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.58     7.11    16.69     1.29    38.10    11.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.47     7.37    15.13     0.57    24.05     5.66P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.63     7.65    13.24     0.62    25.27     7.30P    0.04R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.09     7.56    14.63     0.38    19.25     5.65P    0.07R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.28     7.45   -11.43     0.00     0.70     0.11P    4.50R    0.46  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.78     7.31    13.08     0.05     7.67     2.02P    0.20R    0.01  
York               21   26   +1      63.99     7.19     6.65     0.05     5.52     1.36P    0.29R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.63     7.20   -12.42     0.00     0.29     0.04P    6.68R    0.83  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.50     7.36    -1.18     0.02     3.51     0.75P    0.64R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      49.90     7.06   -18.04     0.00     0.02     0.01P   19.06R    3.34  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.55     7.22   -14.57     0.00     0.12     0.01P   11.31R    1.64  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.60     7.36   -13.76     0.00     0.19     0.03P    9.37R    1.52  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.73     7.01   -27.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.24R    9.14  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.86     6.65   -36.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.35R   21.31  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.58     7.23   -28.08     0.00     0.02     0.00P   36.64R    9.47  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.30     7.35   -21.06     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.38R   12.96  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.99     6.80   -45.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.16R   39.25