Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 15 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 December 2010, Man_Utd vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         16   34  +20      80.76     5.99    47.58    58.48    84.01    96.09    99.34    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32  +15      74.06     6.23    36.90    14.31    42.71    77.97    93.48    99.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        17   32  +11      67.40     6.23    21.31     1.78     9.02    27.87    68.25    94.25     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   31  +19      76.36     5.73    46.43    25.26    62.59    88.55    97.53    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       17   27   +3      60.30     6.43     9.92     0.12     1.02     5.29    19.59    67.31     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          17   26   +6      51.32     6.24    -0.87     0.00     0.03     0.22     1.67    15.80     0.95R    0.04  
Sunderland      17   24   +2      51.33     6.26    -0.68     0.00     0.01     0.21     1.59    15.73     0.95R    0.04  
Newcastle       17   22   +1      50.29     6.67    -0.31     0.00     0.03     0.25     1.62    13.95     2.08R    0.16  
Liverpool       17   22   -1      58.96     6.31    11.13     0.05     0.55     3.28    14.39    61.35     0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool       16   22   -5      43.58     6.42   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     2.02    15.14R    2.11  
West_Brom       17   22   -5      47.70     6.53   -10.64     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.58     6.37     4.92R    0.46  
Stoke           17   21   -1      44.40     6.05    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.95     9.68R    1.03  
Blackburn       17   21   -5      46.93     6.39   -10.33     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.32     4.98     5.72R    0.58  
Aston_Villa     17   20   -9      48.29     6.33   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.60     6.77     3.59R    0.33  
Everton         17   18   -2      48.60     6.35     0.33     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.75     8.56     2.91R    0.30  
Birmingham      17   18   -3      42.00     6.05   -10.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.82    17.76R    2.69  
Fulham          17   16   -4      41.47     6.13    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.80    20.24R    3.21  
Wigan           17   16  -15      33.51     5.66   -34.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    75.02R   31.95  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -12      34.54     5.90   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    67.39R   24.26  
West_Ham        17   12  -15      33.23     6.06   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    73.58R   32.83  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 December 2010, Barnsley vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              20   41  +24      82.64     7.58    32.76    46.15    67.16    93.70    74.17P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   37  +13      79.07     7.44    24.97    24.67    48.16    85.83    59.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          21   37  +10      74.92     7.26    15.57     9.26    23.81    69.78    35.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     21   35   +2      69.05     7.68     1.33     2.88     7.90    37.63    13.77P    0.55R    0.03  
Coventry         21   34   +5      66.18     7.27     1.96     1.07     3.38    24.03     7.06P    1.13R    0.08  
Norwich          21   33   +4      68.38     7.68     5.54     2.37     6.79    35.52    13.22P    0.72R    0.07  
Derby            21   30   +7      63.80     7.44     5.99     0.56     2.04    17.40     5.42P    2.53R    0.26  
Watford          21   30   +5      65.89     7.59     7.10     1.17     3.93    25.35     8.80P    1.58R    0.19  
Burnley          20   29   +6      68.03     8.07    10.95     2.71     7.84    36.13    15.30P    1.03R    0.12  
Barnsley         20   29   -4      59.19     7.36   -12.35     0.11     0.44     5.57     1.27P   10.07R    1.58  
Millwall         21   28   +3      60.76     7.49     1.01     0.20     0.85     8.99     2.56P    6.17R    0.92  
Portsmouth       20   28   +1      69.62     7.83    10.05     3.29     9.77    43.08    19.48P    0.52R    0.05  
Leicester        21   28   -4      63.83     7.45    -1.70     0.45     1.73    15.97     5.07P    2.98R    0.31  
Reading          20   27   +6      67.63     7.67    13.50     1.98     6.05    34.15    14.50P    0.94R    0.12  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      69.11     7.70    11.72     2.65     8.13    40.45    17.16P    0.60R    0.05  
Doncaster        20   27   -3      61.73     7.65    -4.41     0.28     1.09    11.06     3.01P    5.63R    0.84  
Bristol_City     20   26   -4      58.14     7.46    -9.20     0.07     0.28     4.36     1.11P   12.83R    2.42  
Ipswich          21   24   -8      55.30     7.28   -12.44     0.02     0.08     1.83     0.41P   21.27R    4.71  
Hull             20   23   -6      57.90     7.63    -6.70     0.08     0.36     4.53     1.30P   13.30R    2.40  
Sheff_Utd        20   22  -12      56.04     7.50   -14.10     0.02     0.14     2.47     0.66P   19.64R    4.40  
Middlesbrough    21   21  -10      54.88     7.32   -10.36     0.01     0.05     1.59     0.44P   22.58R    5.31  
Crystal_Palace   21   21  -13      50.74     7.17   -19.70     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.08P   44.87R   14.05  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.82     7.29   -27.25     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   66.64R   32.62  
Preston          21   19  -14      47.14     7.27   -24.23     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.02P   64.39R   29.47  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 December 2010, Charlton vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         19   36  +16      78.77     7.89    24.59    20.00    36.81    79.39    46.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        20   33  +17      80.60     7.67    34.94    29.12    48.87    86.35    61.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     19   32  +10      76.98     7.89    22.12    14.24    28.90    72.42    40.48P    0.04R    0.00  
Charlton         19   32   +6      76.78     7.94    17.81    13.50    27.25    70.72    39.56P    0.04R    0.00  
Bournemouth      19   30  +15      69.74     8.26    18.92     3.40     8.55    38.60    15.15P    0.89R    0.04  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.31     7.84     5.38     2.23     6.36    33.67    12.52P    0.84R    0.02  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.87     8.07     6.78     1.77     4.76    28.29     9.36P    1.58R    0.06  
Peterborough     19   29   -2      67.05     8.39    -1.27     1.79     4.63    24.93     8.51P    2.71R    0.16  
Southampton      19   28   +8      75.61     7.76    23.94    10.69    23.41    67.70    38.43P    0.08R    0.00  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.63     7.75     3.06     0.73     2.25    18.68     5.58P    2.50R    0.11  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.08     7.86     7.46     0.72     2.26    18.20     5.56P    2.98R    0.13  
Hartlepool       18   26   -3      60.75     8.06    -9.02     0.23     0.76     7.89     1.98P   10.23R    0.74  
Exeter           19   26   -6      55.95     7.53   -17.34     0.02     0.08     1.80     0.31P   24.66R    2.50  
MK_Dons          19   26   -7      62.24     7.97    -8.58     0.30     0.95     9.68     2.48P    7.52R    0.46  
Plymouth         19   25   -4      63.89     8.20    -1.30     0.60     1.85    14.56     4.77P    5.15R    0.32  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      59.10     7.77    -1.89     0.09     0.39     4.99     1.18P   12.42R    1.05  
Swindon          19   24   -3      63.03     8.00    -0.23     0.40     1.26    12.29     3.48P    5.84R    0.38  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.34     8.12    -1.92     0.06     0.29     3.82     0.95P   19.04R    2.08  
Notts_County     18   22   -5      57.13     8.16   -10.14     0.09     0.28     3.47     0.82P   20.70R    2.45  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      53.03     7.50   -17.01     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.14P   37.43R    5.55  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      54.80     7.87   -17.97     0.01     0.08     1.57     0.33P   30.40R    4.32  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.65     7.68   -27.98     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   78.26R   33.97  
Walsall          19   17  -14      48.57     7.64   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   60.56R   15.92  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.34     7.53   -27.94     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   76.12R   29.73  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 December 2010, Cheltenham vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.88     8.03    26.34    30.98    64.48    92.27    71.21P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +16      80.39     7.71    26.69    23.03    58.05    90.76    66.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.47     7.95    22.13    11.83    38.50    78.66    48.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.70     7.85    16.08     9.13    33.05    75.22    43.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.13     7.82    22.04    10.49    36.59    78.23    47.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              19   31   +7      75.06     8.11    17.46     8.68    31.35    72.23    42.85P    0.01R    0.01  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.70     7.92    13.46     1.89    10.22    43.04    18.05P    0.12R    0.02  
Cheltenham           19   27   -3      61.64     7.78    -6.92     0.17     1.67    12.83     3.64P    1.40R    0.38  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.81     8.09    20.92     2.15    11.73    45.01    20.50P    0.14R    0.03  
Macclesfield         19   25   -5      56.33     7.56   -13.47     0.01     0.26     3.71     0.84P    5.48R    1.86  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.28     7.80     3.43     0.12     1.18    10.89     3.43P    1.75R    0.52  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.54     7.85     0.40     0.07     1.01     9.41     2.76P    2.27R    0.63  
Gillingham           19   24   -3      62.77     8.07    -0.41     0.30     2.59    17.57     6.46P    1.01R    0.27  
Bradford             19   24   -3      60.30     7.77    -3.83     0.11     1.03     9.98     2.98P    1.92R    0.61  
Northampton          20   24   -6      61.84     7.64    -2.82     0.14     1.39    13.39     4.31P    1.14R    0.31  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      54.89     7.71    -8.81     0.01     0.19     2.82     0.68P    7.67R    2.79  
Southend             19   23   -2      65.90     8.11     6.68     0.79     5.64    29.82    12.73P    0.40R    0.12  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.95     7.83    -8.50     0.04     0.52     5.99     1.61P    3.99R    1.23  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.78     7.79   -10.02     0.01     0.12     2.27     0.49P   10.27R    3.98  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      56.96     7.89    -7.96     0.03     0.41     5.06     1.39P    5.31R    1.94  
Stockport            20   20  -20      46.92     7.48   -34.19     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.03P   38.61R   20.81  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      48.92     7.53   -23.73     0.00     0.02     0.43     0.07P   27.21R   12.77  
Barnet               20   19  -13      45.99     7.22   -26.60     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   41.70R   22.08  
Hereford             19   15  -17      44.67     7.53   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   49.60R   29.62  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 December 2010, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.76     7.47    23.72    13.41    81.81    28.15P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.32     7.68    35.10    23.83    89.41    40.38P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.40     7.10    46.47    56.53    97.44    73.38P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.56     7.60    14.04     1.32    32.70     6.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.48     7.26     2.63     0.40    17.89     3.60P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.15     7.81    12.47     0.72    23.50     4.97P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.54     7.11    16.11     0.87    32.41     8.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.56     7.08    16.66     1.24    37.71    11.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.51     7.36    15.19     0.56    24.39     5.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.56     7.64    13.18     0.59    25.03     7.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.18     7.58    14.75     0.39    19.78     5.68P    0.05R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.46     7.50   -11.23     0.00     0.72     0.10P    4.64R    0.43  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.52     7.32    12.69     0.05     7.22     1.84P    0.20R    0.01  
York               21   26   +1      64.17     7.18     6.94     0.07     5.56     1.45P    0.24R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.35     7.17   -12.80     0.00     0.26     0.01P    7.12R    0.82  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.56     7.37    -1.10     0.02     3.70     0.81P    0.65R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      49.99     7.09   -17.88     0.00     0.04     0.00P   18.77R    3.47  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.55     7.21   -14.54     0.00     0.15     0.03P   11.21R    1.69  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.45     7.37   -13.94     0.00     0.22     0.03P    9.98R    1.58  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.78     7.00   -27.11     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.68R    8.83  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.86     6.62   -36.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.31R   21.28  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.55     7.15   -28.15     0.00     0.02     0.00P   36.58R    9.43  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.30     7.39   -21.10     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.29R   13.02  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.99     6.84   -45.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.13R   39.37