Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 14 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 December 2010, Man_Utd vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         16   34  +20      80.76     6.02    47.68    58.08    83.69    96.02    99.29    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32  +15      74.08     6.26    36.88    14.22    42.85    78.08    93.52    99.31     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        17   32  +11      67.34     6.18    21.18     1.82     8.85    27.41    67.76    94.15     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   31  +19      76.42     5.75    46.59    25.69    62.70    88.82    97.38    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       17   27   +3      60.31     6.45     9.93     0.14     1.16     5.30    19.66    67.45     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          17   26   +6      51.17     6.22    -1.04     0.00     0.04     0.26     1.62    15.02     1.00R    0.05  
Sunderland      17   24   +2      51.28     6.29    -0.78     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.53    15.56     1.01R    0.05  
Newcastle       17   22   +1      50.11     6.68    -0.66     0.00     0.03     0.20     1.48    13.34     2.14R    0.15  
Liverpool       17   22   -1      59.11     6.31    11.32     0.05     0.64     3.37    15.10    62.11     0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool       16   22   -5      43.67     6.41   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.99    14.73R    2.09  
West_Brom       17   22   -5      47.74     6.55   -10.56     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.61     6.69     4.90R    0.49  
Stoke           17   21   -1      44.39     6.02    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.99     9.64R    1.01  
Blackburn       17   21   -5      46.96     6.38   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.41     4.98     5.38R    0.60  
Aston_Villa     17   20   -9      48.41     6.37   -10.67     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.60     7.10     3.67R    0.31  
Everton         17   18   -2      48.58     6.41     0.31     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.77     8.59     3.08R    0.31  
Birmingham      17   18   -3      42.09     6.11   -10.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.00    17.62R    2.54  
Fulham          17   16   -4      41.54     6.16    -8.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.85    19.85R    3.20  
Wigan           17   16  -15      33.42     5.67   -34.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    75.42R   32.45  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -12      34.49     5.83   -27.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    67.75R   24.19  
West_Ham        17   12  -15      33.18     6.05   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    73.77R   32.56  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 December 2010, Barnsley vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              20   41  +24      82.60     7.59    32.65    45.61    67.43    93.55    74.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   37  +13      79.02     7.48    24.98    24.57    47.54    85.51    58.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          21   37  +10      75.10     7.26    15.81    10.06    24.50    70.48    36.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     21   35   +2      69.33     7.70     1.78     3.13     8.58    39.10    14.59P    0.53R    0.03  
Coventry         21   34   +5      66.14     7.31     1.89     1.02     3.44    23.96     7.15P    1.10R    0.09  
Norwich          21   33   +4      68.42     7.65     5.56     2.26     6.92    35.74    13.26P    0.66R    0.04  
Derby            21   30   +7      63.75     7.37     5.93     0.55     1.98    16.99     5.10P    2.48R    0.26  
Watford          21   30   +5      65.69     7.60     6.73     1.06     3.55    24.70     8.21P    1.67R    0.17  
Burnley          20   29   +6      67.90     7.94    10.71     2.39     7.16    35.39    14.75P    1.06R    0.09  
Barnsley         20   29   -4      58.97     7.32   -12.73     0.09     0.38     5.25     1.21P   10.41R    1.54  
Millwall         21   28   +3      60.92     7.40     1.21     0.17     0.79     9.13     2.62P    5.67R    0.82  
Portsmouth       20   28   +1      69.78     7.85    10.32     3.52    10.01    43.63    19.96P    0.58R    0.06  
Leicester        21   28   -4      63.86     7.44    -1.64     0.44     1.81    16.13     5.17P    2.88R    0.32  
Reading          20   27   +6      67.61     7.60    13.45     1.89     6.00    33.68    14.33P    0.92R    0.08  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      69.06     7.70    11.65     2.72     7.85    39.95    17.01P    0.57R    0.06  
Doncaster        20   27   -3      61.77     7.67    -4.34     0.30     1.12    11.19     3.09P    5.65R    0.86  
Bristol_City     20   26   -4      58.13     7.43    -9.17     0.06     0.30     4.36     1.04P   12.63R    2.17  
Ipswich          21   24   -8      55.26     7.24   -12.43     0.02     0.09     1.79     0.42P   21.53R    4.67  
Hull             20   23   -6      58.01     7.69    -6.60     0.10     0.36     4.89     1.42P   13.09R    2.42  
Sheff_Utd        20   22  -12      55.99     7.44   -14.19     0.03     0.14     2.42     0.61P   19.59R    4.24  
Middlesbrough    21   21  -10      54.79     7.30   -10.44     0.01     0.05     1.55     0.42P   23.13R    5.52  
Crystal_Palace   21   21  -13      50.80     7.14   -19.66     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.06P   44.30R   13.76  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.76     7.29   -27.36     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   67.32R   33.25  
Preston          21   19  -14      47.20     7.27   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   64.18R   29.55  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 December 2010, Charlton vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         19   36  +16      78.67     7.91    24.43    19.53    36.33    78.83    45.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        20   33  +17      80.57     7.76    34.91    29.41    48.68    86.06    61.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     19   32  +10      76.93     7.90    22.05    14.14    28.58    72.08    40.09P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton         19   32   +6      76.88     7.90    17.86    13.64    27.79    71.00    40.11P    0.06R    0.00  
Bournemouth      19   30  +15      69.76     8.25    18.98     3.32     8.34    38.92    14.88P    0.89R    0.03  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.35     7.97     5.49     2.39     6.57    34.12    12.58P    0.99R    0.02  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.80     8.05     6.77     1.62     4.79    27.74     9.13P    1.48R    0.05  
Peterborough     19   29   -2      67.09     8.32    -1.13     1.72     4.42    25.01     8.22P    2.48R    0.15  
Southampton      19   28   +8      75.64     7.79    24.06    10.89    23.65    67.51    38.90P    0.09R    0.00  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.62     7.81     3.08     0.77     2.53    18.91     5.66P    2.59R    0.12  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.20     7.89     7.61     0.82     2.49    18.63     5.93P    2.86R    0.14  
Hartlepool       18   26   -3      60.68     7.95    -9.11     0.18     0.66     7.24     1.78P   10.04R    0.74  
Exeter           19   26   -6      56.05     7.56   -17.26     0.02     0.11     1.98     0.40P   24.14R    2.51  
MK_Dons          19   26   -7      62.17     7.96    -8.72     0.27     0.94     9.56     2.58P    7.44R    0.54  
Plymouth         19   25   -4      64.04     8.14    -1.13     0.56     1.72    15.15     4.84P    4.94R    0.28  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      59.08     7.78    -1.92     0.11     0.38     4.95     1.24P   12.60R    1.04  
Swindon          19   24   -3      63.04     7.95    -0.28     0.39     1.31    12.26     3.76P    5.63R    0.37  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.25     8.16    -2.07     0.07     0.29     3.84     0.95P   19.10R    2.12  
Notts_County     18   22   -5      57.12     8.23   -10.17     0.09     0.30     3.61     0.91P   21.09R    2.55  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      53.07     7.56   -16.92     0.01     0.03     0.78     0.16P   37.62R    5.54  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      54.82     7.85   -17.95     0.02     0.09     1.54     0.32P   30.14R    4.17  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.59     7.58   -28.07     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   78.55R   33.98  
Walsall          19   17  -14      48.54     7.64   -22.50     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   60.77R   16.14  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.29     7.54   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   76.45R   29.52  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 December 2010, Cheltenham vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.80     8.06    26.23    30.46    64.14    92.13    70.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +16      80.38     7.66    26.68    23.11    58.11    90.86    66.71P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.58     7.84    22.32    11.76    38.74    79.51    48.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.68     7.89    16.07     9.14    32.85    75.09    43.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.26     7.90    22.24    10.81    37.02    78.40    47.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              19   31   +7      75.09     8.14    17.53     8.79    31.34    72.56    43.10P    0.01R    0.01  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.73     7.92    13.54     1.79    10.40    43.27    18.10P    0.10R    0.02  
Cheltenham           19   27   -3      61.66     7.81    -6.93     0.19     1.68    13.16     3.72P    1.41R    0.40  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.94     8.13    21.15     2.28    12.05    45.58    20.99P    0.13R    0.04  
Macclesfield         19   25   -5      56.20     7.60   -13.65     0.02     0.27     3.56     0.82P    5.93R    1.98  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.24     7.78     3.39     0.13     1.19    10.71     3.44P    1.77R    0.50  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.58     7.94     0.38     0.12     1.15     9.80     3.05P    2.30R    0.77  
Gillingham           19   24   -3      62.63     8.02    -0.65     0.29     2.36    17.03     5.96P    1.11R    0.29  
Bradford             19   24   -3      60.19     7.70    -3.97     0.11     0.92     9.55     2.83P    1.99R    0.56  
Northampton          20   24   -6      61.83     7.70    -2.79     0.15     1.48    13.48     4.52P    1.22R    0.35  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      55.05     7.76    -8.62     0.02     0.22     3.05     0.71P    7.56R    2.77  
Southend             19   23   -2      65.68     8.03     6.36     0.75     5.07    28.44    11.78P    0.45R    0.11  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.82     7.78    -8.68     0.03     0.43     5.74     1.40P    4.13R    1.38  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.71     7.78   -10.14     0.00     0.12     2.23     0.50P   10.29R    3.93  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      57.05     7.91    -7.79     0.04     0.43     5.06     1.37P    5.31R    1.94  
Stockport            20   20  -20      46.75     7.38   -34.56     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P   39.68R   21.25  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      49.06     7.52   -23.60     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.07P   26.48R   12.55  
Barnet               20   19  -13      46.14     7.25   -26.30     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   41.21R   21.82  
Hereford             19   15  -17      44.76     7.53   -28.21     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   48.89R   29.33  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 December 2010, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.71     7.46    23.63    13.09    81.62    27.76P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.49     7.70    35.36    24.13    89.81    40.97P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.52     7.15    46.73    56.69    97.62    73.25P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.55     7.70    14.01     1.27    33.02     7.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.37     7.26     2.47     0.40    17.66     3.60P    0.04R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      69.90     7.73    12.05     0.57    22.24     4.61P    0.06R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.61     7.09    16.25     0.89    33.14     8.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.53     7.05    16.61     1.19    37.60    11.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.57     7.33    15.24     0.59    24.32     5.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.62     7.66    13.19     0.70    25.07     7.06P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.12     7.56    14.69     0.34    19.56     5.60P    0.04R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.32     7.46   -11.32     0.00     0.71     0.10P    4.53R    0.49  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.74     7.31    12.99     0.07     7.71     1.97P    0.25R    0.02  
York               21   26   +1      64.06     7.25     6.79     0.06     5.47     1.37P    0.28R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.58     7.19   -12.48     0.00     0.31     0.04P    6.69R    0.82  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.55     7.38    -1.14     0.02     3.69     0.76P    0.65R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      49.81     7.02   -18.22     0.00     0.03     0.01P   19.23R    3.39  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.56     7.24   -14.56     0.00     0.16     0.03P   11.27R    1.72  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.43     7.38   -14.01     0.00     0.22     0.03P    9.92R    1.62  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.54     6.97   -27.43     0.00     0.01     0.00P   36.09R    9.63  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      43.04     6.63   -36.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.08R   20.39  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.51     7.15   -28.22     0.00     0.01     0.00P   36.97R    9.73  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.44     7.45   -20.94     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.97R   12.87  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      40.01     6.84   -45.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.88R   39.24