Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 13 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 December 2010, Man_Utd vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         16   34  +20      80.64     5.99    47.46    57.89    83.67    96.00    99.24    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32  +15      74.08     6.27    36.84    14.53    42.99    78.01    93.41    99.37     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        17   32  +11      67.36     6.22    21.27     1.80     8.89    27.60    68.26    94.02     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   31  +19      76.37     5.75    46.46    25.60    62.61    88.63    97.31    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       17   27   +3      60.22     6.51     9.76     0.14     1.13     5.38    19.56    66.94     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          17   26   +6      51.32     6.30    -0.82     0.00     0.04     0.27     1.69    15.82     0.98R    0.04  
Sunderland      17   24   +2      51.24     6.31    -0.82     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.56    15.64     1.10R    0.07  
Newcastle       17   22   +1      50.23     6.61    -0.42     0.00     0.03     0.22     1.61    13.73     1.98R    0.16  
Liverpool       17   22   -1      59.04     6.35    11.25     0.04     0.59     3.34    14.78    61.68     0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool       16   22   -5      43.66     6.43   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     2.02    14.87R    2.09  
West_Brom       17   22   -5      47.70     6.58   -10.65     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.60     6.67     5.04R    0.53  
Stoke           17   21   -1      44.45     6.04    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.93     9.76R    1.03  
Blackburn       17   21   -5      46.87     6.42   -10.39     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.35     4.92     5.74R    0.58  
Aston_Villa     17   20   -9      48.32     6.38   -10.80     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.61     7.11     3.76R    0.33  
Everton         17   18   -2      48.66     6.35     0.44     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.72     8.55     2.98R    0.26  
Birmingham      17   18   -3      42.05     6.08   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.88    17.58R    2.46  
Fulham          17   16   -4      41.45     6.17    -8.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.84    20.40R    3.35  
Wigan           17   16  -15      33.45     5.61   -34.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    75.39R   32.70  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -12      34.55     5.85   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    67.38R   24.26  
West_Ham        17   12  -15      33.36     6.03   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    73.01R   32.13  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 December 2010, Barnsley vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              20   41  +24      82.69     7.63    32.83    46.40    67.55    93.69    74.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   37  +13      79.11     7.45    25.06    24.67    48.34    85.95    59.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          21   37  +10      75.08     7.23    15.79     9.89    24.52    70.75    36.68P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United     21   35   +2      69.17     7.63     1.51     2.81     7.76    38.26    13.86P    0.53R    0.04  
Coventry         21   34   +5      66.22     7.25     1.98     0.99     3.39    24.57     7.27P    1.10R    0.09  
Norwich          21   33   +4      68.32     7.66     5.45     2.24     6.85    35.02    13.04P    0.68R    0.06  
Derby            21   30   +7      63.84     7.41     6.04     0.53     2.16    17.29     5.23P    2.39R    0.25  
Watford          21   30   +5      65.64     7.58     6.67     0.98     3.52    24.64     8.22P    1.78R    0.19  
Burnley          20   29   +6      67.85     7.98    10.63     2.42     7.27    35.12    14.71P    1.12R    0.11  
Barnsley         20   29   -4      59.10     7.36   -12.55     0.09     0.41     5.42     1.28P   10.37R    1.67  
Millwall         21   28   +3      60.91     7.43     1.20     0.19     0.73     9.44     2.55P    5.83R    0.80  
Portsmouth       20   28   +1      69.77     7.85    10.25     3.35     9.90    43.78    20.07P    0.56R    0.05  
Leicester        21   28   -4      63.81     7.42    -1.66     0.47     1.67    15.86     5.23P    2.82R    0.28  
Reading          20   27   +6      67.57     7.68    13.42     1.93     6.12    33.69    14.09P    0.97R    0.10  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      68.95     7.72    11.52     2.52     7.86    39.90    16.69P    0.65R    0.05  
Doncaster        20   27   -3      61.85     7.62    -4.17     0.33     1.11    11.22     3.14P    5.36R    0.75  
Bristol_City     20   26   -4      58.10     7.45    -9.21     0.07     0.23     4.38     1.06P   12.87R    2.26  
Ipswich          21   24   -8      55.18     7.26   -12.58     0.02     0.08     1.74     0.38P   21.95R    4.72  
Hull             20   23   -6      57.92     7.63    -6.71     0.06     0.29     4.64     1.38P   13.17R    2.56  
Sheff_Utd        20   22  -12      56.13     7.45   -13.96     0.04     0.16     2.54     0.69P   18.97R    4.11  
Middlesbrough    21   21  -10      54.87     7.30   -10.35     0.01     0.07     1.54     0.42P   22.89R    5.40  
Crystal_Palace   21   21  -13      50.71     7.16   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P   45.07R   13.97  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.68     7.30   -27.45     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   67.57R   33.49  
Preston          21   19  -14      47.33     7.31   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   63.32R   29.06  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 December 2010, Charlton vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         19   36  +16      78.87     7.88    24.74    20.42    37.89    79.56    47.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        20   33  +17      80.51     7.67    34.78    28.75    48.31    86.03    61.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     19   32  +10      76.86     7.93    21.94    13.75    28.19    71.86    39.73P    0.06R    0.00  
Charlton         19   32   +6      76.81     7.91    17.79    13.64    27.62    70.75    39.83P    0.06R    0.01  
Bournemouth      19   30  +15      69.73     8.19    18.93     3.33     8.31    38.47    14.90P    0.93R    0.04  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.52     7.92     5.74     2.67     6.74    34.85    12.96P    0.90R    0.02  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.96     8.00     6.99     1.72     4.68    28.53     9.15P    1.39R    0.07  
Peterborough     19   29   -2      67.05     8.36    -1.22     1.62     4.50    25.00     8.47P    2.72R    0.15  
Southampton      19   28   +8      75.58     7.84    23.94    10.97    23.35    67.38    38.52P    0.10R    0.00  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.51     7.72     2.87     0.67     2.17    18.13     5.25P    2.69R    0.13  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.23     7.90     7.67     0.75     2.45    18.80     6.15P    3.02R    0.14  
Hartlepool       18   26   -3      60.62     7.97    -9.18     0.20     0.70     7.38     1.73P   10.25R    0.74  
Exeter           19   26   -6      56.02     7.55   -17.29     0.03     0.10     1.85     0.36P   24.37R    2.65  
MK_Dons          19   26   -7      62.24     8.00    -8.61     0.29     1.00     9.79     2.60P    7.52R    0.53  
Plymouth         19   25   -4      63.85     8.10    -1.40     0.52     1.64    14.33     4.55P    4.98R    0.29  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      58.96     7.74    -2.08     0.10     0.36     4.80     1.15P   12.60R    1.03  
Swindon          19   24   -3      63.09     7.98    -0.20     0.41     1.36    12.43     3.64P    5.70R    0.38  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.22     8.17    -2.12     0.07     0.24     3.87     0.97P   19.26R    2.13  
Notts_County     18   22   -5      57.16     8.21   -10.14     0.07     0.25     3.58     0.89P   20.89R    2.51  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      52.94     7.57   -17.13     0.01     0.05     0.70     0.14P   38.19R    5.79  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      54.96     7.85   -17.70     0.02     0.09     1.61     0.31P   29.47R    3.91  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.51     7.73   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   78.64R   34.34  
Walsall          19   17  -14      48.63     7.69   -22.34     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   60.58R   15.95  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.41     7.57   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   75.64R   29.21  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 December 2010, Barnet vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.77     7.99    26.17    30.04    64.26    92.22    70.95P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +16      80.54     7.62    26.88    23.71    59.13    91.21    67.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.40     7.88    21.99    11.80    37.65    78.93    47.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.72     7.85    16.08     9.30    32.85    75.25    43.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.27     7.85    22.27    10.67    37.24    78.59    48.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              19   31   +7      75.16     8.07    17.66     8.59    31.48    73.02    43.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.82     7.94    13.66     1.88    10.61    43.92    18.44P    0.11R    0.03  
Cheltenham           18   27   -1      63.64     8.03    -3.98     0.48     3.04    19.80     6.01P    0.85R    0.24  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.71     8.15    20.81     2.15    11.67    44.97    20.78P    0.12R    0.03  
Macclesfield         19   25   -5      56.30     7.53   -13.54     0.02     0.23     3.60     0.77P    5.69R    1.93  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.27     7.85     3.40     0.12     1.27    11.07     3.64P    1.76R    0.50  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.51     7.90     0.31     0.11     1.05     9.58     2.84P    2.52R    0.77  
Gillingham           19   24   -3      62.80     8.09    -0.37     0.37     2.68    17.66     6.51P    1.10R    0.29  
Bradford             19   24   -3      60.20     7.74    -3.99     0.09     0.99     9.72     2.95P    1.90R    0.56  
Northampton          20   24   -6      61.86     7.67    -2.74     0.15     1.50    13.85     4.60P    1.06R    0.28  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      55.21     7.69    -8.34     0.02     0.20     2.97     0.69P    7.20R    2.61  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.58     7.74    -9.01     0.04     0.36     5.14     1.33P    4.40R    1.40  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.70     7.78   -10.18     0.01     0.14     2.18     0.54P   10.38R    4.00  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      56.96     7.86    -7.93     0.03     0.36     4.82     1.31P    5.45R    1.97  
Southend             18   20   -4      63.40     8.31     3.40     0.40     3.27    20.63     8.26P    1.13R    0.35  
Stockport            20   20  -20      46.86     7.43   -34.37     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   39.24R   20.91  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      49.05     7.53   -23.61     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.08P   26.91R   12.63  
Barnet               20   19  -13      46.28     7.26   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   40.23R   21.23  
Hereford             19   15  -17      44.61     7.56   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   49.94R   30.29  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 December 2010, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.64     7.52    23.53    13.02    80.90    27.46P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.44     7.63    35.29    23.86    89.64    40.62P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.60     7.10    46.87    57.08    97.71    73.57P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.65     7.67    14.19     1.27    33.61     7.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.45     7.26     2.55     0.33    17.84     3.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.12     7.73    12.45     0.62    22.98     4.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.60     7.07    16.21     0.82    32.84     8.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.64     7.13    16.77     1.34    38.16    11.31P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.58     7.37    15.26     0.59    24.63     5.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.52     7.67    13.08     0.65    24.87     7.22P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.03     7.55    14.52     0.29    19.02     5.53P    0.05R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.37     7.44   -11.28     0.00     0.73     0.13P    4.40R    0.44  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.69     7.38    12.96     0.07     7.48     2.01P    0.26R    0.02  
York               21   26   +1      64.06     7.20     6.78     0.04     5.41     1.26P    0.28R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.42     7.16   -12.66     0.00     0.25     0.01P    6.95R    0.81  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.54     7.40    -1.11     0.03     3.55     0.72P    0.63R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      49.93     6.99   -18.04     0.00     0.03     0.00    18.55R    3.22  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.50     7.24   -14.64     0.00     0.14     0.02P   11.49R    1.71  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.38     7.30   -14.08     0.00     0.20     0.03P    9.92R    1.60  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.70     7.01   -27.21     0.00     0.01     0.00P   35.56R    8.88  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.90     6.66   -36.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.93R   21.03  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.60     7.19   -28.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.44R    9.44  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.29     7.38   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00P   41.96R   13.02  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.91     6.80   -45.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.48R   39.77