Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 12 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 December 2010, Bolton vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         16   32  +16      75.14     6.45    37.50    20.48    49.42    81.16    94.64    99.48     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        17   32  +11      67.37     6.22    21.16     1.91     9.01    27.20    68.13    94.10     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   31  +19      79.72     6.27    47.75    51.58    78.22    94.09    98.79    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   31  +19      76.37     5.75    46.48    25.82    61.59    88.46    97.45    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       17   27   +3      60.30     6.46     9.84     0.16     1.16     5.17    19.54    67.62     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          17   26   +6      51.30     6.28    -0.89     0.00     0.02     0.23     1.68    15.89     0.99R    0.05  
Sunderland      17   24   +2      51.31     6.27    -0.71     0.00     0.01     0.19     1.56    15.72     1.04R    0.05  
Newcastle       17   22   +1      50.19     6.60    -0.53     0.00     0.02     0.16     1.42    13.66     2.02R    0.18  
Liverpool       17   22   -1      58.87     6.32    10.97     0.04     0.52     3.03    14.28    60.62     0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool       16   22   -5      43.74     6.43   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     2.10    14.51R    2.02  
West_Brom       17   22   -5      47.64     6.57   -10.76     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.55     6.72     5.07R    0.50  
Stoke           17   21   -1      44.44     6.09    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     2.10     9.83R    1.01  
Blackburn       17   21   -5      47.02     6.33   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.32     4.87     5.36R    0.57  
Aston_Villa     17   20   -9      48.35     6.37   -10.76     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.60     7.04     3.78R    0.38  
Everton         17   18   -2      48.53     6.38     0.22     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.74     8.44     3.18R    0.31  
Birmingham      17   18   -3      42.01     6.12   -10.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.00    17.93R    2.67  
Fulham          17   16   -4      41.43     6.11    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.81    20.26R    3.17  
Wigan           17   16  -15      33.42     5.63   -34.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    75.53R   32.38  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -12      34.49     5.84   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    67.51R   24.27  
West_Ham        17   12  -15      33.30     6.10   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    72.95R   32.44  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 December 2010, Barnsley vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              20   41  +24      82.57     7.52    32.64    45.73    67.27    93.89    74.31P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   37  +13      79.09     7.49    25.02    24.85    48.14    85.85    59.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          21   37  +10      74.89     7.27    15.50     9.52    23.94    69.63    35.57P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds_United     21   35   +2      69.24     7.72     1.67     2.96     8.21    38.86    14.45P    0.58R    0.06  
Coventry         21   34   +5      66.34     7.28     2.17     1.08     3.61    24.81     7.51P    1.04R    0.08  
Norwich          21   33   +4      68.27     7.65     5.33     2.15     6.38    35.04    12.78P    0.79R    0.07  
Derby            21   30   +7      63.97     7.35     6.28     0.54     2.05    17.56     5.40P    2.26R    0.22  
Watford          21   30   +5      65.66     7.56     6.71     1.04     3.63    24.32     8.18P    1.67R    0.12  
Burnley          20   29   +6      67.89     8.03    10.69     2.53     7.32    35.27    14.97P    1.12R    0.13  
Barnsley         20   29   -4      59.10     7.34   -12.48     0.12     0.47     5.38     1.28P   10.22R    1.58  
Millwall         21   28   +3      61.02     7.43     1.34     0.20     0.84     9.54     2.73P    5.53R    0.72  
Portsmouth       20   28   +1      69.80     7.79    10.30     3.42    10.01    43.58    19.93P    0.54R    0.04  
Leicester        21   28   -4      63.81     7.44    -1.70     0.45     1.66    15.98     5.20P    2.94R    0.41  
Reading          20   27   +6      67.75     7.72    13.62     2.13     6.40    34.63    14.66P    0.97R    0.09  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      68.95     7.75    11.52     2.80     8.13    39.68    16.60P    0.62R    0.05  
Doncaster        20   27   -3      61.61     7.61    -4.59     0.31     1.12    10.57     2.98P    5.95R    0.88  
Bristol_City     20   26   -4      58.24     7.39    -9.03     0.06     0.27     4.44     1.10P   12.14R    2.11  
Ipswich          21   24   -8      55.17     7.24   -12.58     0.01     0.07     1.72     0.39P   21.87R    4.84  
Hull             20   23   -6      58.01     7.68    -6.55     0.07     0.32     4.72     1.34P   13.26R    2.48  
Sheff_Utd        20   22  -12      56.01     7.42   -14.16     0.03     0.11     2.38     0.60P   19.45R    4.08  
Middlesbrough    21   21  -10      54.84     7.27   -10.41     0.01     0.05     1.58     0.43P   22.70R    5.32  
Crystal_Palace   21   21  -13      50.76     7.22   -19.67     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.08P   44.64R   13.97  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.66     7.26   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   67.78R   33.32  
Preston          21   19  -14      47.21     7.28   -24.11     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.03P   63.90R   29.45  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 December 2010, Charlton vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         19   36  +16      78.74     7.87    24.50    20.02    37.33    79.40    46.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        20   33  +17      80.50     7.74    34.80    29.05    48.33    86.17    61.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     19   32  +10      76.83     7.95    21.90    13.93    28.12    71.71    39.76P    0.05R    0.00  
Charlton         19   32   +6      76.78     7.96    17.75    13.57    27.70    70.70    39.75P    0.09R    0.00  
Bournemouth      19   30  +15      69.70     8.22    18.83     3.45     8.42    38.68    14.98P    0.94R    0.02  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.59     7.87     5.86     2.60     6.89    34.90    13.25P    0.76R    0.01  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.91     8.06     6.91     1.75     4.89    28.51     9.44P    1.51R    0.04  
Peterborough     19   29   -2      67.14     8.39    -1.09     1.83     4.77    25.62     8.85P    2.61R    0.17  
Southampton      19   28   +8      75.37     7.81    23.65    10.52    22.72    66.17    37.33P    0.11R    0.00  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.58     7.75     2.98     0.71     2.34    18.48     5.45P    2.65R    0.15  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.15     7.94     7.55     0.80     2.49    18.42     5.91P    3.02R    0.16  
Hartlepool       18   26   -3      60.79     7.93    -8.95     0.23     0.75     7.35     1.83P    9.96R    0.67  
Exeter           19   26   -6      56.19     7.60   -17.07     0.04     0.12     1.99     0.40P   23.81R    2.64  
MK_Dons          19   26   -7      62.32     7.99    -8.45     0.30     1.06    10.08     2.87P    7.29R    0.50  
Plymouth         19   25   -4      63.99     8.16    -1.18     0.54     1.79    14.83     4.76P    5.10R    0.36  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      59.06     7.78    -2.00     0.08     0.31     4.95     1.11P   12.46R    1.05  
Swindon          19   24   -3      63.08     7.96    -0.20     0.39     1.33    12.30     3.68P    5.74R    0.35  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.38     8.07    -1.87     0.07     0.24     3.85     0.96P   18.57R    1.99  
Notts_County     18   22   -5      56.95     8.25   -10.44     0.07     0.27     3.40     0.88P   21.79R    2.73  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      52.86     7.50   -17.23     0.00     0.02     0.65     0.13P   38.57R    5.71  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      54.80     7.88   -17.98     0.03     0.09     1.53     0.34P   30.02R    4.37  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.64     7.61   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   78.44R   33.39  
Walsall          19   17  -14      48.69     7.69   -22.22     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   59.89R   15.65  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.23     7.54   -28.10     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   76.59R   30.04  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 December 2010, Barnet vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.82     8.00    26.25    30.86    64.51    92.25    71.38P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +16      80.15     7.73    26.37    22.33    57.10    90.13    65.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.68     7.86    22.46    12.42    39.29    79.96    49.45P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.57     7.90    15.86     9.07    32.73    74.56    43.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.17     7.88    22.08    10.69    36.77    78.33    47.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              19   31   +7      75.11     8.13    17.57     8.81    31.68    72.62    43.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.68     7.90    13.42     1.80    10.57    43.05    18.24P    0.12R    0.03  
Cheltenham           18   27   -1      63.57     8.04    -4.08     0.43     3.12    19.71     5.99P    0.88R    0.26  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.79     8.14    20.84     2.19    11.69    45.37    20.53P    0.15R    0.04  
Macclesfield         19   25   -5      56.29     7.59   -13.50     0.03     0.25     3.74     0.79P    5.73R    1.97  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.38     7.84     3.54     0.17     1.41    11.31     3.79P    1.71R    0.50  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.63     7.92     0.55     0.11     1.12     9.85     2.98P    2.30R    0.69  
Gillingham           19   24   -3      62.77     8.08    -0.42     0.33     2.64    17.76     6.60P    1.08R    0.30  
Bradford             19   24   -3      60.15     7.74    -4.05     0.13     1.00     9.66     2.78P    1.94R    0.52  
Northampton          20   24   -6      61.89     7.65    -2.73     0.14     1.49    13.63     4.73P    1.13R    0.32  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      55.07     7.70    -8.52     0.02     0.22     3.11     0.80P    7.36R    2.58  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.80     7.77    -8.67     0.03     0.48     5.61     1.56P    4.06R    1.34  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.90     7.81    -9.86     0.01     0.17     2.39     0.62P   10.22R    3.93  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      57.02     7.90    -7.83     0.02     0.37     5.04     1.32P    5.35R    1.90  
Southend             18   20   -4      63.49     8.30     3.53     0.43     3.34    21.05     8.46P    1.14R    0.39  
Stockport            20   20  -20      46.89     7.42   -34.32     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P   39.09R   20.85  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      48.98     7.53   -23.70     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.08P   27.02R   12.63  
Barnet               20   19  -13      46.14     7.27   -26.31     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   40.84R   21.75  
Hereford             19   15  -17      44.62     7.56   -28.46     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   49.86R   30.02  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 December 2010, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.57     7.47    23.48    12.89    81.00    27.41P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.29     7.68    35.04    23.67    89.33    40.21P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.49     7.10    46.68    57.19    97.59    73.54P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.67     7.71    14.19     1.32    33.81     7.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.52     7.28     2.62     0.42    18.09     3.71P    0.05R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.01     7.77    12.25     0.67    22.87     4.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.44     7.06    15.95     0.83    32.01     8.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.54     7.12    16.66     1.31    37.96    11.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.56     7.39    15.24     0.53    24.82     6.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.46     7.65    13.01     0.66    24.69     7.13P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.18     7.54    14.73     0.37    19.49     5.76P    0.05R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.31     7.53   -11.46     0.01     0.77     0.11P    4.71R    0.52  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.69     7.31    12.91     0.06     7.46     1.92P    0.26R    0.02  
York               21   26   +1      64.11     7.23     6.85     0.06     5.69     1.40P    0.27R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.61     7.18   -12.44     0.00     0.30     0.03P    6.75R    0.83  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.57     7.31    -1.07     0.02     3.70     0.69P    0.61R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      49.97     7.01   -17.94     0.00     0.04     0.00P   18.67R    3.24  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.58     7.19   -14.48     0.00     0.14     0.03P   11.07R    1.74  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.57     7.31   -13.78     0.00     0.22     0.05P    9.63R    1.53  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.67     7.01   -27.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.54R    9.39  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.93     6.65   -36.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.19R   20.71  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.45     7.17   -28.34     0.00     0.01     0.00    37.33R    9.70  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.47     7.35   -20.84     0.00     0.01     0.00    41.29R   12.30  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.94     6.84   -45.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.48R   39.93