Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 11 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 December 2010, Aston_Villa vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         16   32  +16      74.98     6.45    37.23    18.39    46.30    80.43    94.46    99.47     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        17   32  +11      67.39     6.22    21.22     1.79     8.41    26.50    68.23    94.33     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   31  +19      79.72     6.26    47.65    48.45    77.01    93.72    98.83    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   30  +19      77.38     5.95    47.61    31.15    66.47    90.19    97.81    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       16   26   +3      60.03     6.67     8.94     0.17     1.20     5.10    18.97    65.58     0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland      17   24   +2      51.43     6.31    -0.56     0.00     0.03     0.23     1.60    16.21     0.89R    0.03  
Bolton          16   23   +5      49.87     6.45    -1.64     0.00     0.01     0.16     1.19    12.17     1.87R    0.11  
Newcastle       17   22   +1      50.36     6.64    -0.20     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.61    14.41     1.82R    0.10  
Liverpool       17   22   -1      58.91     6.34    11.04     0.05     0.52     3.17    14.35    61.27     0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool       16   22   -5      43.64     6.40   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.97    14.19R    1.68  
West_Brom       17   22   -5      47.65     6.60   -10.70     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.62     6.82     4.73R    0.44  
Stoke           17   21   -1      44.46     6.07    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     2.14     9.14R    0.83  
Blackburn       16   21   -4      47.99     6.59    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.62     7.21     4.38R    0.38  
Aston_Villa     17   20   -9      48.38     6.34   -10.74     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.62     7.07     3.46R    0.30  
Everton         17   18   -2      48.58     6.40     0.30     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.73     8.87     3.02R    0.24  
Birmingham      16   18   -2      43.59     6.29    -9.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.82    12.50R    1.51  
Fulham          17   16   -4      41.42     6.14    -8.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.80    19.85R    2.67  
Wigan           17   16  -15      33.47     5.64   -34.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.81R   28.91  
Wolverhampton   16   12  -13      32.59     6.06   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    76.44R   33.90  
West_Ham        17   12  -15      33.33     6.08   -27.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    72.84R   28.88  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 December 2010, Barnsley vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              20   41  +24      82.70     7.60    32.82    46.26    67.74    93.79    74.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   37  +13      78.92     7.46    24.82    24.11    47.23    85.25    58.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          21   37  +10      75.14     7.24    15.82     9.99    24.91    71.06    36.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     21   35   +2      69.27     7.70     1.70     3.00     8.40    39.01    14.42P    0.58R    0.06  
Coventry         21   34   +5      66.32     7.25     2.15     1.12     3.55    24.58     7.43P    1.05R    0.07  
Norwich          21   33   +4      68.29     7.67     5.33     2.29     6.65    34.82    12.86P    0.76R    0.06  
Derby            21   30   +7      63.83     7.40     6.03     0.53     1.97    17.22     5.16P    2.46R    0.26  
Watford          21   30   +5      65.77     7.58     6.89     1.03     3.69    24.82     8.39P    1.53R    0.18  
Burnley          20   29   +6      67.92     8.00    10.72     2.51     7.39    35.45    15.15P    1.09R    0.10  
Barnsley         20   29   -4      59.03     7.32   -12.63     0.07     0.37     5.34     1.16P   10.23R    1.61  
Millwall         21   28   +3      60.94     7.40     1.21     0.17     0.77     9.32     2.64P    5.64R    0.77  
Portsmouth       20   28   +1      69.52     7.88     9.90     3.37     9.72    42.28    19.25P    0.62R    0.06  
Leicester        21   28   -4      63.91     7.42    -1.55     0.46     1.66    16.30     5.24P    2.92R    0.34  
Reading          20   27   +6      67.73     7.66    13.65     2.01     6.21    34.42    14.52P    0.88R    0.08  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      68.92     7.71    11.47     2.67     7.80    39.56    16.42P    0.66R    0.07  
Doncaster        20   27   -3      61.71     7.66    -4.39     0.24     1.02    10.97     2.98P    5.89R    0.82  
Bristol_City     20   26   -4      58.21     7.42    -9.05     0.04     0.28     4.51     1.10P   12.33R    2.15  
Ipswich          21   24   -8      55.27     7.26   -12.42     0.01     0.06     1.84     0.40P   21.42R    4.58  
Hull             20   23   -6      57.99     7.69    -6.61     0.09     0.35     4.83     1.39P   13.11R    2.53  
Sheff_Utd        20   22  -12      55.99     7.45   -14.16     0.03     0.13     2.49     0.65P   19.58R    4.07  
Middlesbrough    21   21  -10      54.74     7.32   -10.53     0.01     0.05     1.54     0.46P   23.21R    5.46  
Crystal_Palace   21   21  -13      50.68     7.13   -19.77     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.09P   44.99R   14.29  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.77     7.34   -27.30     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.02P   66.97R   32.96  
Preston          21   19  -14      47.21     7.27   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   64.07R   29.49  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 December 2010, Bournemouth vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         19   36  +16      78.72     7.90    24.48    18.08    35.06    78.61    44.76P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        20   33  +17      80.45     7.74    34.72    26.32    45.81    85.43    59.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     19   32  +10      76.79     7.92    21.87    12.60    26.48    70.92    38.15P    0.05R    0.00  
Charlton         18   32   +7      79.62     8.15    21.15    22.03    39.06    80.43    50.74P    0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      19   30  +15      69.69     8.24    18.87     3.11     7.80    37.59    14.24P    0.87R    0.02  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.49     7.92     5.69     2.29     6.01    33.97    12.46P    0.84R    0.02  
Oldham           18   29   +6      68.09     8.07     7.15     1.63     4.61    28.51     9.23P    1.30R    0.04  
Peterborough     19   29   -2      66.99     8.33    -1.36     1.56     4.16    24.10     7.88P    2.43R    0.13  
Southampton      19   28   +8      75.53     7.73    23.83     9.62    21.76    66.35    36.88P    0.08R    0.00  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.63     7.72     3.05     0.63     2.00    18.10     5.24P    2.35R    0.05  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.15     7.90     7.56     0.72     2.18    18.04     5.57P    2.82R    0.12  
Hartlepool       18   26   -3      60.70     7.97    -9.12     0.20     0.64     7.21     1.78P    9.46R    0.65  
Exeter           19   26   -6      56.38     7.61   -16.80     0.03     0.11     2.13     0.39P   22.07R    2.01  
MK_Dons          19   26   -7      62.23     7.95    -8.59     0.23     0.83     9.34     2.35P    6.98R    0.42  
Plymouth         19   25   -4      63.81     8.08    -1.45     0.47     1.53    13.73     4.34P    4.73R    0.29  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      59.04     7.79    -2.01     0.08     0.32     4.83     1.19P   11.91R    0.86  
Swindon          19   24   -3      62.83     7.93    -0.62     0.27     1.05    11.35     3.29P    5.69R    0.27  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.13     8.07    -2.22     0.06     0.24     3.31     0.84P   18.65R    1.83  
Notts_County     18   22   -5      57.20     8.25   -10.09     0.05     0.24     3.49     0.82P   19.92R    2.26  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      52.86     7.55   -17.30     0.01     0.02     0.68     0.13P   37.21R    4.97  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      55.14     7.93   -17.41     0.02     0.07     1.67     0.33P   27.48R    3.52  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.73     7.64   -27.83     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   76.95R   30.31  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.29     7.52   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   75.54R   26.65  
Walsall          18   14  -15      45.67     7.83   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   72.63R   25.58  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 December 2010, Barnet vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.83     7.97    26.25    30.31    64.58    92.49    71.55P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +16      80.42     7.63    26.67    22.87    58.45    90.73    67.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.50     7.91    22.13    11.94    38.29    79.12    48.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.69     7.91    16.08     9.30    32.96    74.91    43.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.06     7.89    21.95    10.45    36.02    77.75    47.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              19   31   +7      75.28     8.17    17.79     9.28    32.27    73.24    44.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.66     7.93    13.40     1.87    10.32    42.95    17.94P    0.09R    0.02  
Cheltenham           18   27   -1      63.59     8.03    -4.08     0.46     3.16    19.63     6.09P    0.81R    0.24  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.93     8.11    21.09     2.18    11.91    46.05    21.02P    0.14R    0.03  
Macclesfield         19   25   -5      56.19     7.58   -13.66     0.02     0.24     3.62     0.73P    5.93R    2.03  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.29     7.85     3.40     0.12     1.28    11.17     3.52P    1.84R    0.54  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.71     7.89     0.69     0.12     1.08     9.96     2.90P    2.36R    0.71  
Gillingham           19   24   -3      62.64     8.07    -0.66     0.31     2.47    17.17     6.15P    1.11R    0.34  
Bradford             19   24   -3      60.13     7.76    -4.03     0.11     0.99     9.73     2.89P    2.03R    0.62  
Northampton          20   24   -6      61.91     7.66    -2.74     0.13     1.47    13.79     4.60P    1.10R    0.29  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      55.20     7.71    -8.32     0.01     0.22     3.12     0.76P    7.44R    2.67  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.86     7.73    -8.60     0.04     0.44     5.52     1.47P    3.86R    1.30  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.72     7.78   -10.16     0.01     0.14     2.29     0.53P   10.38R    3.86  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      56.90     7.84    -8.01     0.03     0.31     4.80     1.23P    5.36R    1.90  
Southend             18   20   -4      63.52     8.29     3.54     0.43     3.37    21.14     8.47P    1.09R    0.33  
Stockport            20   20  -20      46.90     7.46   -34.31     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P   39.03R   20.82  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      48.98     7.51   -23.67     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.07P   27.17R   12.59  
Barnet               20   19  -13      46.11     7.20   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   40.79R   22.05  
Hereford             19   15  -17      44.64     7.53   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   49.45R   29.65  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 December 2010, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.68     7.49    23.59    12.99    81.23    27.53P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.46     7.69    35.32    23.98    89.70    40.86P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.60     7.08    46.87    56.99    97.79    73.64P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.57     7.64    14.09     1.21    32.93     6.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.46     7.25     2.59     0.37    17.81     3.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.06     7.76    12.36     0.62    23.02     4.96P    0.05R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.65     7.11    16.28     0.96    32.89     8.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.64     7.08    16.82     1.24    38.17    11.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.57     7.39    15.23     0.53    24.72     5.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.43     7.63    12.90     0.62    24.40     6.85P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.06     7.55    14.58     0.35    19.15     5.53P    0.04R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.39     7.44   -11.33     0.00     0.68     0.11P    4.39R    0.42  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.73     7.33    12.99     0.05     7.62     1.95P    0.27R    0.01  
York               21   26   +1      64.03     7.27     6.75     0.06     5.67     1.48P    0.31R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.48     7.17   -12.67     0.00     0.31     0.05P    6.61R    0.79  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.51     7.36    -1.15     0.01     3.55     0.76P    0.63R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      50.16     7.06   -17.68     0.00     0.03     0.01P   18.19R    3.06  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.40     7.17   -14.74     0.00     0.08     0.00P   11.38R    1.78  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.45     7.32   -13.95     0.00     0.22     0.03P    9.90R    1.51  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.81     6.94   -27.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.42R    8.69  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.84     6.64   -36.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.20R   21.05  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.49     7.26   -28.27     0.00     0.01     0.00    37.11R    9.91  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.21     7.34   -21.26     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.67R   12.84  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.86     6.82   -45.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.73R   39.87