Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 10 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 December 2010, Liverpool vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         16   32  +16      75.01     6.44    37.44    18.44    46.70    81.80    94.21    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   31  +19      79.81     6.20    48.05    48.86    77.96    94.64    98.83    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   30  +19      77.40     5.98    47.71    31.26    67.07    90.70    97.50    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        16   29   +9      65.67     6.45    19.05     1.03     5.50    19.39    54.87    89.05     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       16   26   +3      60.23     6.70     9.29     0.20     1.33     5.66    20.74    64.64     0.04R    0.00  
Bolton          16   23   +5      49.82     6.49    -1.75     0.00     0.02     0.17     1.32    10.91     1.94R    0.13  
Sunderland      16   23   +2      51.41     6.52    -1.21     0.00     0.03     0.28     2.02    15.39     1.12R    0.06  
Liverpool       16   22   +1      61.15     6.55    14.42     0.20     1.35     6.67    25.34    71.39     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom       16   22   -4      48.66     6.77   -10.23     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.92     8.25     3.79R    0.32  
Stoke           16   21   +0      46.82     6.34    -7.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.36     4.39     5.13R    0.38  
Blackburn       16   21   -4      48.08     6.61    -9.75     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.64     6.85     4.21R    0.37  
Newcastle       16   19   -1      47.67     6.87    -3.92     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.85     7.65     4.76R    0.46  
Blackpool       15   19   -6      41.00     6.57   -24.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.97    25.85R    4.54  
Birmingham      16   18   -2      43.55     6.32    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.63    12.69R    1.60  
Everton         16   17   -2      50.42     6.61     2.59     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.71    13.04     1.83R    0.16  
Aston_Villa     16   17  -10      47.32     6.59   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.47     5.44     5.43R    0.53  
Fulham          16   15   -4      42.16     6.42    -8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.20    17.05R    2.53  
Wigan           16   15  -15      32.67     5.81   -37.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    77.49R   34.67  
Wolverhampton   16   12  -13      32.63     6.04   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    75.52R   32.91  
West_Ham        16   12  -13      34.72     6.31   -25.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    63.12R   21.34  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 10 December 2010, QPR vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              20   41  +24      82.70     7.59    32.87    41.76    64.58    93.14    72.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          20   37  +14      80.78     7.72    26.57    29.81    53.62    88.53    63.92P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          21   37  +10      75.00     7.23    15.65     8.14    21.41    68.55    33.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich          20   33   +6      70.77     7.93     9.09     3.89    10.78    46.17    18.64P    0.36R    0.03  
Coventry         20   33   +5      65.88     7.46     0.80     0.92     2.91    21.82     6.53P    1.17R    0.07  
Leeds_United     20   32   +1      66.68     7.86    -0.89     1.52     4.24    26.19     8.51P    1.34R    0.11  
Derby            20   30   +9      65.75     7.63     8.80     0.96     3.24    23.59     7.54P    1.40R    0.11  
Watford          21   30   +5      65.76     7.58     6.89     0.94     3.24    23.18     7.63P    1.38R    0.17  
Burnley          19   29   +7      70.57     8.18    13.79     4.48    11.71    46.63    21.41P    0.44R    0.03  
Millwall         21   28   +3      61.10     7.48     1.45     0.15     0.66     9.02     2.47P    4.90R    0.59  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      69.06     7.73    11.70     2.29     6.95    38.57    15.61P    0.53R    0.04  
Doncaster        19   27   +1      64.09     7.89     1.19     0.63     2.09    17.58     5.37P    2.90R    0.34  
Reading          19   26   +6      68.86     7.91    14.78     2.44     7.47    38.71    16.61P    0.64R    0.06  
Barnsley         19   26   -5      57.23     7.55   -13.92     0.05     0.23     3.32     0.72P   14.37R    2.54  
Portsmouth       19   25   -1      67.07     8.17     6.58     1.63     5.18    29.88    12.56P    1.41R    0.19  
Leicester        20   25   -8      61.29     7.65    -7.01     0.17     0.71     8.96     2.68P    5.67R    0.73  
Ipswich          20   24   -7      56.85     7.52   -11.19     0.03     0.12     3.10     0.76P   14.88R    2.72  
Bristol_City     19   23   -6      56.00     7.68   -12.01     0.02     0.12     2.62     0.56P   18.19R    3.61  
Hull             19   22   -6      58.14     7.96    -6.98     0.11     0.40     5.16     1.51P   12.42R    2.45  
Sheff_Utd        19   22  -11      57.58     7.71   -12.94     0.07     0.28     3.87     1.10P   13.58R    2.39  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.58     7.29   -27.64     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   65.15R   29.16  
Crystal_Palace   20   20  -13      51.26     7.40   -19.61     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.13P   39.13R   11.15  
Middlesbrough    20   18  -11      52.60     7.49   -12.35     0.01     0.03     0.82     0.20P   30.76R    8.06  
Preston          20   16  -15      45.39     7.50   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   69.36R   35.47  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 10 December 2010, Peterborough vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         18   36  +17      80.44     8.09    26.03    23.46    41.16    82.25    50.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         18   32   +7      79.63     8.11    21.18    20.29    37.16    78.83    48.92P    0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      18   30  +16      72.19     8.51    21.57     5.26    12.28    47.45    19.80P    0.40R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        19   30  +13      78.07     7.91    29.40    15.40    30.80    75.31    45.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   29   +9      75.25     8.15    21.01     9.15    19.73    61.73    30.70P    0.10R    0.00  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.97     8.05     7.00     1.38     3.99    26.22     8.33P    1.06R    0.03  
Colchester       18   29   +2      70.61     8.13     6.80     2.93     7.55    37.21    14.20P    0.57R    0.01  
Peterborough     19   29   -2      67.36     8.33    -0.69     1.40     3.88    23.88     7.52P    2.01R    0.07  
Southampton      18   28  +10      78.48     7.97    28.22    17.38    33.24    76.15    48.16P    0.04R    0.00  
Carlisle         18   27   +8      68.49     8.12    12.52     1.78     4.81    29.16    10.09P    1.06R    0.04  
Exeter           18   26   -4      57.66     7.81   -14.94     0.04     0.17     2.89     0.50P   16.41R    1.05  
MK_Dons          18   26   -5      64.35     8.14    -5.44     0.48     1.54    13.69     3.71P    4.13R    0.15  
Brentford        18   25   +0      62.57     7.87    -1.03     0.19     0.78     9.40     2.45P    5.09R    0.23  
Swindon          19   24   -3      62.97     7.89    -0.42     0.30     0.89    10.55     2.98P    4.87R    0.22  
Hartlepool       17   23   -4      58.20     8.12   -11.60     0.08     0.30     3.98     0.90P   14.99R    1.07  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.16     8.06    -2.18     0.07     0.22     3.11     0.78P   17.02R    1.32  
Plymouth         18   22   -6      62.08     8.38    -3.62     0.31     1.00     9.54     2.93P    7.21R    0.40  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   -7      56.66     8.04   -12.98     0.03     0.15     2.49     0.54P   19.71R    1.58  
Tranmere         18   22   -7      54.76     7.76   -15.44     0.02     0.06     1.24     0.25P   26.44R    2.44  
Leyton_Orient    18   21   +0      57.09     7.98    -3.46     0.03     0.17     2.79     0.63P   17.02R    1.29  
Notts_County     17   19   -7      54.65     8.48   -13.55     0.04     0.12     1.99     0.46P   28.61R    3.34  
Dag_&_Red        18   15  -13      41.24     7.68   -33.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   86.80R   43.17  
Yeovil           18   15  -16      45.03     7.75   -29.22     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   74.36R   22.72  
Walsall          18   14  -15      45.39     7.79   -26.06     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   72.08R   20.87  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Northampton vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            18   36  +17      82.45     7.88    28.71    30.27    66.16    93.50    73.28P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         18   35  +15      80.30     8.26    25.41    22.24    55.13    88.18    63.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 18   34  +15      77.87     8.14    23.18    14.43    43.20    81.98    52.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   32  +13      77.52     8.14    23.51    13.17    41.82    81.29    52.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            18   31   +8      74.26     8.07    15.36     6.46    25.63    68.25    36.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              18   28   +9      70.13     8.15    14.51     2.66    13.43    49.43    21.81P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              18   28   +6      73.39     8.40    16.41     5.90    24.20    64.05    35.39P    0.03R    0.00  
Cheltenham           17   26   -1      63.15     8.27    -5.39     0.35     2.87    18.19     5.51P    1.02R    0.27  
Crewe                18   25  +12      69.96     8.30    22.10     2.71    14.05    50.11    23.60P    0.11R    0.02  
Macclesfield         18   25   -3      58.12     7.74   -10.64     0.04     0.51     5.89     1.37P    3.24R    0.98  
Stevenage            18   24   +5      62.14     8.01     5.12     0.26     2.03    15.59     5.27P    1.00R    0.27  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      54.93     7.66    -8.76     0.01     0.17     2.70     0.56P    6.79R    2.22  
Aldershot            18   22   -6      59.16     7.96    -7.85     0.06     0.74     7.95     2.09P    2.80R    0.87  
Burton_Albion        18   21   +1      56.95     8.06    -3.05     0.03     0.43     5.51     1.56P    4.68R    1.54  
Accrington_Stanley   18   21   -1      56.11     8.10    -6.61     0.03     0.37     4.57     1.12P    6.04R    2.18  
Bradford             18   21   -4      58.66     7.94    -4.90     0.08     0.66     7.10     2.09P    3.01R    0.95  
Gillingham           18   21   -5      60.28     8.28    -3.66     0.16     1.24    11.27     3.68P    2.25R    0.69  
Northampton          19   21   -7      59.83     7.91    -4.38     0.09     0.79     9.23     2.94P    2.25R    0.66  
Southend             17   20   -2      66.17     8.61     7.42     1.03     6.37    31.41    13.94P    0.59R    0.16  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      49.02     7.52   -23.72     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.06P   24.89R   11.04  
Stockport            19   19  -20      46.54     7.69   -35.36     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.03P   38.90R   20.66  
Morecambe            18   18   -7      54.79     8.07    -9.79     0.02     0.18     2.96     0.79P    8.28R    3.18  
Barnet               19   16  -15      43.55     7.44   -30.02     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   53.47R   32.44  
Hereford             18   15  -16      45.93     7.74   -27.63     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   40.58R   21.86  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 December 2010, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.68     7.51    23.64    13.19    80.97    28.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.45     7.70    35.29    24.11    89.65    40.70P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.47     7.14    46.66    56.59    97.48    73.06P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.59     7.71    14.10     1.29    33.36     7.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.50     7.30     2.68     0.38    18.22     3.81P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.09     7.76    12.38     0.62    23.04     4.78P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.60     7.15    16.20     0.97    32.75     8.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.62     7.13    16.75     1.33    38.18    11.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.63     7.40    15.36     0.49    24.95     5.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.35     7.71    12.76     0.60    24.40     7.00P    0.03R    0.01  
Darlington         20   27   +5      68.96     7.49    14.46     0.29    18.62     5.24P    0.03R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.48     7.44   -11.13     0.00     0.74     0.11P    4.18R    0.44  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.74     7.34    13.01     0.06     7.75     2.05P    0.27R    0.02  
York               21   26   +1      64.05     7.21     6.77     0.06     5.53     1.45P    0.30R    0.03  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.52     7.19   -12.56     0.00     0.32     0.04P    6.69R    0.86  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.61     7.34    -1.03     0.01     3.57     0.73P    0.70R    0.06  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      49.84     7.00   -18.19     0.00     0.04     0.00P   19.13R    3.30  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.49     7.22   -14.65     0.00     0.16     0.02P   11.42R    1.68  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.53     7.33   -13.85     0.00     0.23     0.03P    9.52R    1.47  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.67     7.04   -27.29     0.00     0.01     0.00P   35.51R    9.32  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.75     6.62   -37.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.74R   21.65  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.37     7.14   -28.40     0.00     0.00     0.00P   37.47R   10.03  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.49     7.42   -20.78     0.00     0.01     0.01P   41.13R   12.35  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      40.05     6.83   -45.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.81R   38.79