Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 9 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 December 2010, Liverpool vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         16   32  +16      74.97     6.47    37.35    18.63    46.94    81.67    94.05    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   31  +19      79.82     6.23    48.14    49.54    78.07    94.75    98.76    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   30  +19      77.27     5.98    47.48    30.34    66.35    90.67    97.47    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        16   29   +9      65.60     6.48    18.98     1.08     5.85    19.71    54.89    88.47     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       16   26   +3      60.23     6.67     9.23     0.22     1.33     5.71    20.72    64.55     0.03R    0.00  
Bolton          16   23   +5      49.92     6.48    -1.53     0.01     0.02     0.17     1.28    11.36     1.82R    0.13  
Sunderland      16   23   +2      51.46     6.56    -1.13     0.00     0.03     0.26     2.05    15.55     1.21R    0.06  
Liverpool       16   22   +1      61.14     6.49    14.40     0.18     1.34     6.46    25.47    71.52     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom       16   22   -4      48.66     6.76   -10.22     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.00     8.18     3.80R    0.35  
Stoke           16   21   +0      46.80     6.34    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.38     4.35     5.30R    0.38  
Blackburn       16   21   -4      48.18     6.56    -9.58     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.64     6.85     3.87R    0.34  
Newcastle       16   19   -1      47.70     6.83    -3.87     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.83     7.57     4.70R    0.46  
Blackpool       15   19   -6      41.04     6.62   -24.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.90    25.90R    4.69  
Birmingham      16   18   -2      43.65     6.32    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.59    12.23R    1.42  
Everton         16   17   -2      50.48     6.61     2.72     0.00     0.02     0.20     1.79    13.50     1.77R    0.15  
Aston_Villa     16   17  -10      47.26     6.53   -10.95     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.45     5.23     5.33R    0.53  
Fulham          16   15   -4      42.10     6.40    -8.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.07    17.36R    2.49  
Wigan           16   15  -15      32.59     5.80   -37.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    77.89R   35.27  
Wolverhampton   16   12  -13      32.65     6.03   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    75.37R   32.26  
West_Ham        16   12  -13      34.67     6.30   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    63.40R   21.46  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Cardiff vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              19   41  +26      85.49     7.79    37.00    52.60    74.83    96.40    80.49P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          20   37  +14      80.94     7.70    26.88    24.54    51.48    89.18    62.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          20   36  +10      76.09     7.48    16.66     8.74    23.89    73.54    36.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Norwich          20   33   +6      70.80     7.90     9.11     2.95     9.37    46.32    17.65P    0.31R    0.02  
Coventry         20   33   +5      65.88     7.43     0.80     0.63     2.44    22.21     6.17P    1.19R    0.08  
Leeds_United     20   32   +1      66.50     7.84    -1.19     0.90     3.43    25.85     7.82P    1.31R    0.13  
Derby            20   30   +9      65.57     7.63     8.56     0.64     2.55    23.31     6.97P    1.34R    0.14  
Burnley          19   29   +7      70.70     8.19    14.06     3.42    10.52    47.37    20.45P    0.39R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      69.00     7.70    11.57     1.52     5.72    38.59    14.88P    0.51R    0.05  
Watford          20   27   +3      62.56     7.73     2.33     0.32     1.26    13.27     3.83P    3.80R    0.49  
Millwall         20   27   +3      60.61     7.59     0.31     0.12     0.55     8.55     2.34P    5.90R    0.85  
Doncaster        19   27   +1      64.17     7.86     1.34     0.42     1.78    17.85     5.13P    2.63R    0.31  
Reading          19   26   +6      68.95     7.86    14.99     1.85     6.49    39.41    16.13P    0.60R    0.06  
Barnsley         19   26   -5      57.18     7.58   -14.07     0.03     0.17     3.44     0.70P   14.59R    2.66  
Portsmouth       19   25   -1      66.92     8.03     6.35     1.13     4.20    29.22    11.46P    1.34R    0.15  
Leicester        20   25   -8      61.35     7.59    -6.95     0.08     0.59     9.20     2.56P    5.31R    0.70  
Ipswich          20   24   -7      56.69     7.53   -11.43     0.02     0.13     2.95     0.68P   15.59R    3.08  
Bristol_City     19   23   -6      56.05     7.64   -11.93     0.01     0.08     2.70     0.56P   17.79R    3.60  
Hull             19   22   -6      58.14     7.93    -7.00     0.06     0.29     5.22     1.49P   12.39R    2.29  
Sheff_Utd        19   22  -11      57.61     7.66   -12.87     0.03     0.19     3.89     1.03P   13.21R    2.42  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.73     7.35   -27.43     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.03P   64.50R   29.01  
Crystal_Palace   20   20  -13      51.33     7.36   -19.58     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.11P   38.61R   10.95  
Middlesbrough    20   18  -11      52.69     7.48   -12.22     0.00     0.02     0.86     0.22P   30.28R    7.98  
Preston          20   16  -15      45.58     7.47   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   68.38R   35.01  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Swindon vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         18   36  +17      80.27     8.11    25.80    23.04    40.65    81.57    49.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         18   32   +7      79.72     8.16    21.33    20.88    37.51    79.17    48.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      18   30  +16      72.24     8.50    21.60     5.46    12.48    47.93    20.24P    0.40R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        19   30  +13      77.99     7.89    29.22    15.39    30.86    75.07    45.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   29   +9      75.32     8.18    21.09     9.33    20.33    62.09    31.33P    0.11R    0.00  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.82     8.07     6.78     1.39     3.91    25.90     8.08P    1.23R    0.04  
Colchester       18   29   +2      70.59     8.21     6.74     3.07     7.69    37.78    14.25P    0.63R    0.02  
Southampton      18   28  +10      78.44     7.91    28.19    16.98    33.04    76.64    48.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Carlisle         18   27   +8      68.55     8.05    12.68     1.75     4.88    29.90    10.52P    0.98R    0.02  
Peterborough     18   26   -3      65.73     8.59    -1.69     1.03     2.97    19.40     6.22P    3.57R    0.22  
Exeter           18   26   -4      57.61     7.77   -14.95     0.04     0.18     2.86     0.54P   16.44R    1.06  
MK_Dons          18   26   -5      64.41     8.22    -5.40     0.54     1.63    14.18     3.81P    4.16R    0.14  
Brentford        18   25   +0      62.47     7.88    -1.14     0.21     0.78     9.36     2.48P    5.27R    0.19  
Swindon          19   24   -3      63.02     7.98    -0.32     0.36     1.09    11.09     3.23P    4.87R    0.23  
Hartlepool       17   23   -4      58.06     8.09   -11.80     0.05     0.22     3.73     0.78P   15.66R    1.07  
Rochdale         18   22   +2      58.76     8.37    -1.02     0.12     0.41     5.07     1.40P   13.64R    0.95  
Plymouth         18   22   -6      62.11     8.33    -3.55     0.27     0.93     9.65     2.93P    7.26R    0.43  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   -7      56.80     8.01   -12.80     0.05     0.15     2.40     0.53P   19.33R    1.64  
Tranmere         18   22   -7      54.75     7.77   -15.42     0.00     0.04     1.26     0.21P   26.95R    2.28  
Leyton_Orient    18   21   +0      57.04     7.99    -3.56     0.02     0.13     2.93     0.69P   17.36R    1.28  
Notts_County     17   19   -7      54.82     8.41   -13.34     0.03     0.11     1.90     0.41P   28.01R    3.07  
Dag_&_Red        18   15  -13      41.26     7.66   -33.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   86.81R   42.85  
Yeovil           18   15  -16      44.84     7.78   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   75.49R   23.89  
Walsall          18   14  -15      45.53     7.83   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   71.76R   20.61  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Northampton vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            18   36  +17      82.48     7.91    28.74    30.21    66.09    93.49    73.42P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         18   35  +15      80.45     8.25    25.68    22.92    55.91    88.55    64.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 18   34  +15      77.79     8.10    23.06    14.07    42.84    81.94    52.24P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   32  +13      77.43     8.14    23.41    13.02    40.99    81.04    51.35P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            18   31   +8      74.42     8.12    15.55     6.58    26.48    68.64    36.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              18   28   +9      70.19     8.20    14.58     2.65    13.68    49.49    22.06P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              18   28   +6      73.31     8.35    16.31     5.74    23.51    63.58    35.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham           17   26   -1      63.25     8.23    -5.25     0.38     2.92    18.54     5.57P    0.97R    0.26  
Crewe                18   25  +12      70.04     8.33    22.23     2.83    14.24    50.15    24.01P    0.10R    0.03  
Macclesfield         18   25   -3      58.18     7.79   -10.53     0.03     0.53     5.98     1.44P    3.27R    1.04  
Stevenage            18   24   +5      62.23     8.09     5.19     0.29     2.25    16.11     5.56P    1.00R    0.24  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      54.97     7.73    -8.70     0.01     0.16     2.83     0.65P    6.88R    2.34  
Aldershot            18   22   -6      59.04     8.00    -7.98     0.06     0.73     7.70     2.16P    2.98R    0.97  
Burton_Albion        18   21   +1      57.09     8.08    -2.83     0.04     0.47     5.87     1.53P    4.44R    1.54  
Accrington_Stanley   18   21   -1      56.08     8.12    -6.66     0.03     0.37     4.59     1.12P    6.22R    2.28  
Bradford             18   21   -4      58.78     7.95    -4.72     0.04     0.65     7.36     2.09P    3.02R    0.92  
Gillingham           18   21   -5      60.28     8.30    -3.66     0.13     1.34    11.26     3.76P    2.27R    0.67  
Northampton          19   21   -7      59.75     7.90    -4.53     0.06     0.83     9.23     2.97P    2.17R    0.62  
Southend             17   20   -2      65.79     8.60     6.85     0.89     5.75    29.73    12.95P    0.55R    0.17  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      48.88     7.58   -23.88     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.08P   25.48R   11.40  
Stockport            19   19  -20      46.50     7.66   -35.38     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.03P   39.33R   20.61  
Morecambe            18   18   -7      54.65     8.11    -9.98     0.01     0.23     3.02     0.81P    8.72R    3.30  
Barnet               19   16  -15      43.75     7.47   -29.70     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   52.16R   31.60  
Hereford             18   15  -16      45.85     7.73   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   40.34R   21.99  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 December 2010, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.64     7.47    23.54    12.93    81.11    27.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.31     7.68    35.07    23.43    89.31    40.19P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.60     7.09    46.95    57.37    97.77    73.72P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.74     7.69    14.37     1.39    34.00     7.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.37     7.26     2.42     0.35    17.42     3.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.19     7.78    12.53     0.68    23.43     5.12P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.68     7.12    16.30     0.98    32.93     8.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.51     7.10    16.56     1.25    37.57    11.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.58     7.36    15.30     0.57    24.59     5.91P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.53     7.68    13.07     0.66    24.90     7.36P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.12     7.54    14.66     0.27    19.36     5.55P    0.07R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.31     7.43   -11.44     0.00     0.67     0.12P    4.51R    0.47  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.58     7.31    12.73     0.06     7.23     1.90P    0.25R    0.01  
York               21   26   +1      64.00     7.20     6.66     0.04     5.36     1.27P    0.27R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.50     7.17   -12.59     0.00     0.34     0.04P    6.68R    0.83  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.51     7.33    -1.17     0.02     3.58     0.75P    0.64R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      49.96     7.07   -17.98     0.00     0.05     0.01P   18.91R    3.29  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.62     7.21   -14.46     0.00     0.14     0.02P   10.89R    1.65  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.44     7.36   -14.01     0.00     0.20     0.02P    9.96R    1.65  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.82     7.01   -26.96     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.55R    8.71  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.85     6.63   -36.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.33R   20.94  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.50     7.20   -28.21     0.00     0.01     0.00P   37.10R    9.72  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.26     7.32   -21.16     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.43R   12.82  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.91     6.87   -45.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.28R   39.85