Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 8 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 December 2010, Liverpool vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         16   32  +16      75.20     6.39    37.74    18.89    48.09    82.48    94.60    99.47     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   31  +19      79.84     6.24    48.10    49.31    77.68    94.54    98.74    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   30  +19      77.32     5.94    47.60    30.38    66.06    90.90    97.56    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        16   29   +9      65.65     6.48    19.02     1.07     5.60    19.23    55.01    89.03     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       16   26   +3      60.16     6.62     9.10     0.16     1.12     5.30    20.29    64.28     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          16   23   +5      49.88     6.50    -1.58     0.00     0.02     0.20     1.27    11.27     1.92R    0.10  
Sunderland      16   23   +2      51.49     6.49    -1.04     0.00     0.03     0.26     1.91    15.69     1.11R    0.05  
Liverpool       16   22   +1      61.12     6.55    14.37     0.19     1.34     6.46    25.37    71.55     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom       16   22   -4      48.61     6.76   -10.36     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.88     8.09     3.95R    0.36  
Stoke           16   21   +0      46.82     6.34    -7.26     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.35     4.40     5.13R    0.44  
Blackburn       16   21   -4      48.06     6.58    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.64     6.58     4.09R    0.36  
Newcastle       16   19   -1      47.64     6.86    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.93     7.60     4.77R    0.46  
Blackpool       15   19   -6      41.05     6.62   -24.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.92    25.84R    4.57  
Birmingham      16   18   -2      43.65     6.34    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.74    11.99R    1.43  
Everton         16   17   -2      50.47     6.56     2.65     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.73    13.29     1.65R    0.14  
Aston_Villa     16   17  -10      47.16     6.56   -11.07     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.47     5.14     5.47R    0.55  
Fulham          16   15   -4      42.15     6.36    -8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.11    16.76R    2.40  
Wigan           16   15  -15      32.57     5.74   -37.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.55R   35.18  
Wolverhampton   16   12  -13      32.68     6.06   -28.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    75.15R   32.47  
West_Ham        16   12  -13      34.63     6.32   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03    63.57R   21.50  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Cardiff vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              19   41  +26      85.57     7.83    37.15    53.41    75.19    96.48    81.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          20   37  +14      80.87     7.64    26.77    24.41    51.09    89.41    62.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          20   36  +10      75.84     7.46    16.30     8.18    22.97    72.61    35.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich          20   33   +6      70.79     7.92     9.16     2.92     9.47    46.63    17.80P    0.32R    0.01  
Coventry         20   33   +5      65.77     7.43     0.66     0.64     2.46    21.85     5.87P    1.10R    0.08  
Leeds_United     20   32   +1      66.41     7.87    -1.32     1.04     3.47    25.39     7.90P    1.36R    0.10  
Derby            20   30   +9      65.72     7.63     8.84     0.69     2.83    23.80     7.31P    1.20R    0.10  
Burnley          19   29   +7      70.48     8.21    13.67     3.19    10.36    46.63    20.01P    0.45R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      68.96     7.75    11.50     1.54     6.08    38.37    15.17P    0.62R    0.06  
Watford          20   27   +3      62.66     7.74     2.40     0.30     1.29    13.80     3.96P    3.87R    0.51  
Millwall         20   27   +3      60.76     7.69     0.47     0.13     0.61     9.13     2.30P    5.88R    0.79  
Doncaster        19   27   +1      64.19     7.82     1.37     0.40     1.91    17.78     5.12P    2.62R    0.30  
Reading          19   26   +6      68.87     7.93    14.80     1.82     6.51    39.33    16.43P    0.66R    0.08  
Barnsley         19   26   -5      57.19     7.58   -14.02     0.03     0.19     3.60     0.77P   14.74R    2.59  
Portsmouth       19   25   -1      66.99     8.04     6.43     1.09     4.25    29.82    11.56P    1.29R    0.14  
Leicester        20   25   -8      61.23     7.57    -7.06     0.08     0.53     9.00     2.61P    5.68R    0.78  
Ipswich          20   24   -7      56.74     7.53   -11.39     0.02     0.11     2.94     0.62P   15.69R    3.08  
Bristol_City     19   23   -6      55.89     7.65   -12.19     0.02     0.13     2.60     0.55P   18.56R    3.84  
Hull             19   22   -6      58.23     7.84    -6.85     0.05     0.30     5.16     1.37P   11.78R    2.14  
Sheff_Utd        19   22  -11      57.68     7.71   -12.81     0.03     0.21     4.10     1.02P   13.47R    2.59  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.75     7.36   -27.37     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   64.44R   29.16  
Crystal_Palace   20   20  -13      51.35     7.39   -19.49     0.00     0.02     0.48     0.10P   38.55R   11.29  
Middlesbrough    20   18  -11      52.85     7.51   -12.01     0.00     0.03     0.90     0.22P   29.78R    7.91  
Preston          20   16  -15      45.74     7.51   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   67.93R   34.41  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Swindon vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         18   36  +17      80.26     8.09    25.78    22.98    40.63    81.62    49.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         18   32   +7      79.70     8.12    21.33    20.70    37.33    79.24    48.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      18   30  +16      72.31     8.49    21.73     5.52    12.76    48.25    20.56P    0.41R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        19   30  +13      78.03     7.95    29.36    15.71    30.99    75.23    45.73P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   29   +9      75.32     8.09    21.05     9.23    19.99    62.35    31.35P    0.10R    0.00  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.90     8.03     6.91     1.38     3.96    25.78     8.05P    1.18R    0.03  
Colchester       18   29   +2      70.71     8.15     6.94     3.18     7.97    38.02    14.82P    0.56R    0.02  
Southampton      18   28  +10      78.40     7.92    28.17    16.93    32.95    76.45    47.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Carlisle         18   27   +8      68.43     8.06    12.47     1.68     4.71    29.21    10.12P    1.05R    0.03  
Peterborough     18   26   -3      65.66     8.57    -1.77     1.03     2.90    19.09     5.93P    3.55R    0.17  
Exeter           18   26   -4      57.64     7.82   -14.97     0.05     0.21     2.92     0.58P   16.52R    1.05  
MK_Dons          18   26   -5      64.40     8.18    -5.38     0.55     1.56    14.04     3.90P    3.97R    0.16  
Brentford        18   25   +0      62.79     7.92    -0.75     0.24     0.90    10.18     2.67P    5.06R    0.21  
Swindon          19   24   -3      62.89     8.06    -0.54     0.32     1.09    10.76     3.17P    5.25R    0.21  
Hartlepool       17   23   -4      58.20     8.17   -11.62     0.08     0.33     4.02     0.96P   15.42R    1.10  
Rochdale         18   22   +2      58.58     8.33    -1.29     0.09     0.40     4.91     1.32P   13.87R    1.02  
Plymouth         18   22   -6      62.00     8.35    -3.73     0.23     0.88     9.54     2.85P    7.33R    0.42  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   -7      56.63     8.03   -13.07     0.03     0.12     2.48     0.52P   20.05R    1.68  
Tranmere         18   22   -7      54.75     7.74   -15.41     0.01     0.05     1.21     0.22P   26.83R    2.32  
Leyton_Orient    18   21   +0      57.07     7.99    -3.47     0.02     0.16     2.71     0.58P   17.21R    1.25  
Notts_County     17   19   -7      54.75     8.40   -13.44     0.03     0.10     1.86     0.41P   27.99R    3.25  
Dag_&_Red        18   15  -13      41.23     7.72   -33.10     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   86.89R   43.42  
Yeovil           18   15  -16      44.81     7.74   -29.58     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   75.57R   23.74  
Walsall          18   14  -15      45.66     7.81   -25.65     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   71.11R   19.89  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Northampton vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            18   36  +17      82.39     7.90    28.65    30.54    66.02    93.37    73.26P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         18   35  +15      80.24     8.23    25.36    22.31    55.22    88.12    63.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 18   34  +15      77.92     8.11    23.29    14.74    43.58    82.26    52.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   32  +13      77.20     8.09    23.11    12.37    40.38    80.20    50.79P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            18   31   +8      74.12     8.09    15.09     6.48    25.56    67.57    36.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              18   28   +9      70.42     8.20    14.94     2.91    14.59    50.59    22.97P    0.05R    0.01  
Wycombe              18   28   +6      73.29     8.34    16.33     5.83    23.78    63.76    35.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham           17   26   -1      63.14     8.27    -5.46     0.40     3.01    18.22     5.63P    1.02R    0.28  
Crewe                18   25  +12      69.92     8.32    22.08     2.79    14.09    49.63    23.41P    0.10R    0.03  
Macclesfield         18   25   -3      58.24     7.86   -10.46     0.03     0.58     6.29     1.52P    3.41R    1.09  
Stevenage            18   24   +5      62.30     8.11     5.27     0.30     2.31    16.51     5.61P    1.00R    0.24  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      55.08     7.72    -8.54     0.01     0.15     2.89     0.71P    6.76R    2.27  
Aldershot            18   22   -6      59.05     7.98    -8.00     0.06     0.68     7.76     2.07P    2.97R    0.97  
Burton_Albion        18   21   +1      56.98     8.14    -3.06     0.04     0.51     5.71     1.58P    4.75R    1.65  
Accrington_Stanley   18   21   -1      56.14     8.16    -6.51     0.03     0.42     4.73     1.28P    6.20R    2.16  
Bradford             18   21   -4      58.79     8.00    -4.70     0.06     0.67     7.55     2.15P    3.04R    0.91  
Gillingham           18   21   -5      60.16     8.26    -3.83     0.14     1.28    10.80     3.65P    2.21R    0.73  
Northampton          19   21   -7      59.75     7.91    -4.44     0.05     0.78     9.17     2.87P    2.21R    0.66  
Southend             17   20   -2      66.09     8.57     7.35     0.89     6.18    31.01    13.60P    0.57R    0.14  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      49.03     7.55   -23.64     0.00     0.02     0.44     0.08P   24.80R   10.91  
Stockport            19   19  -20      46.68     7.64   -35.19     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   38.34R   20.23  
Morecambe            18   18   -7      54.86     8.06    -9.70     0.01     0.20     3.10     0.85P    8.18R    3.09  
Barnet               19   16  -15      43.60     7.46   -30.01     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   53.10R   32.24  
Hereford             18   15  -16      45.81     7.77   -27.93     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   41.26R   22.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 December 2010, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.67     7.51    23.58    13.20    81.23    27.98P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.31     7.72    35.11    23.70    89.43    40.27P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.53     7.16    46.79    57.03    97.72    73.26P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.68     7.67    14.23     1.27    33.83     7.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.39     7.26     2.46     0.36    17.63     3.67P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.02     7.75    12.31     0.63    22.90     4.91P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.52     7.05    16.10     0.82    32.42     8.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.49     7.11    16.57     1.32    37.65    11.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.43     7.38    15.04     0.48    24.09     5.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.50     7.65    13.06     0.69    24.61     6.94P    0.04R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.31     7.57    14.92     0.35    20.11     5.89P    0.04R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.32     7.46   -11.39     0.01     0.74     0.13P    4.48R    0.41  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.70     7.36    12.95     0.05     7.68     1.97P    0.28R    0.01  
York               21   26   +1      63.94     7.24     6.58     0.06     5.41     1.34P    0.36R    0.03  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.39     7.14   -12.76     0.00     0.28     0.04P    7.06R    0.92  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.71     7.36    -0.91     0.02     3.88     0.77P    0.59R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      50.14     7.03   -17.74     0.00     0.04     0.01P   18.00R    3.10  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.50     7.23   -14.64     0.00     0.12     0.02P   11.57R    1.83  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.44     7.31   -13.99     0.00     0.20     0.04P    9.75R    1.58  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.74     7.00   -27.17     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.19R    9.13  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.94     6.67   -36.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.08R   20.78  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.59     7.15   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.71R    9.55  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.27     7.34   -21.15     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.49R   12.94  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      40.00     6.83   -45.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.29R   39.66