Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 7 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 December 2010, Liverpool vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         16   32  +16      75.03     6.47    37.51    18.46    46.95    81.76    94.13    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   31  +19      79.82     6.20    48.13    49.49    77.82    94.71    98.78    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   30  +19      77.33     6.00    47.62    30.62    66.66    90.64    97.40    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        16   29   +9      65.59     6.47    18.91     1.03     5.65    19.43    54.54    88.55     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham       16   26   +3      60.22     6.70     9.23     0.22     1.38     5.80    20.82    64.71     0.03R    0.00  
Bolton          16   23   +5      49.92     6.54    -1.59     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.43    11.43     2.00R    0.11  
Sunderland      16   23   +2      51.55     6.50    -0.94     0.00     0.04     0.27     2.10    15.95     1.05R    0.05  
Liverpool       16   22   +1      61.12     6.52    14.40     0.17     1.41     6.56    25.46    71.36     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom       16   22   -4      48.54     6.79   -10.44     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.93     8.07     4.07R    0.39  
Stoke           16   21   +0      46.85     6.36    -7.22     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.38     4.49     5.16R    0.38  
Blackburn       16   21   -4      48.06     6.61    -9.76     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.72     6.70     4.18R    0.29  
Newcastle       16   19   -1      47.59     6.81    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.85     7.26     4.80R    0.47  
Blackpool       15   19   -6      40.91     6.59   -24.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.87    26.56R    4.53  
Birmingham      16   18   -2      43.65     6.34    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.70    12.06R    1.46  
Everton         16   17   -2      50.50     6.61     2.68     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.69    13.34     1.84R    0.15  
Aston_Villa     16   17  -10      47.23     6.60   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.51     5.25     5.49R    0.59  
Fulham          16   15   -4      42.14     6.39    -8.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.13    17.28R    2.48  
Wigan           16   15  -15      32.65     5.82   -37.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.43R   35.34  
Wolverhampton   16   12  -13      32.71     6.03   -28.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.87R   32.40  
West_Ham        16   12  -13      34.71     6.28   -25.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    63.15R   21.35  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Cardiff vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              19   41  +26      85.57     7.73    37.01    53.03    75.27    96.72    81.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          20   37  +14      80.86     7.67    26.69    24.30    51.23    89.18    62.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          20   36  +10      76.17     7.47    16.78     8.68    24.01    74.06    37.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich          20   33   +6      70.88     7.93     9.20     3.06     9.67    47.26    17.98P    0.27R    0.01  
Coventry         20   33   +6      66.01     7.41     2.18     0.65     2.48    22.96     6.09P    0.98R    0.06  
Leeds_United     20   32   +1      66.35     7.83    -1.36     0.87     3.35    25.36     7.77P    1.33R    0.12  
Derby            20   30   +9      65.69     7.57     8.85     0.64     2.64    24.12     7.24P    1.11R    0.11  
Burnley          19   29   +7      70.55     8.22    13.83     3.31    10.34    46.96    20.22P    0.43R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      69.02     7.76    11.60     1.56     6.00    38.66    14.93P    0.47R    0.05  
Watford          20   27   +3      62.53     7.72     2.30     0.31     1.19    13.53     3.90P    3.81R    0.51  
Millwall         20   27   +2      60.16     7.63    -1.21     0.10     0.49     7.88     1.97P    6.49R    0.89  
Doncaster        19   27   +0      63.78     7.84    -0.22     0.35     1.57    16.48     4.53P    2.91R    0.31  
Reading          19   26   +6      68.69     7.86    14.48     1.65     6.03    38.29    15.50P    0.58R    0.06  
Barnsley         19   26   -6      56.87     7.57   -15.38     0.04     0.16     3.16     0.60P   15.23R    2.88  
Portsmouth       19   25   -1      67.04     8.05     6.61     1.22     4.24    29.95    11.70P    1.23R    0.13  
Leicester        20   25   -8      61.24     7.60    -7.07     0.11     0.54     9.08     2.57P    5.35R    0.69  
Bristol_City     19   24   -4      57.73     7.68    -8.77     0.04     0.21     4.22     0.98P   12.41R    2.17  
Hull             19   22   -5      58.52     7.92    -5.34     0.06     0.34     5.59     1.63P   10.83R    2.06  
Ipswich          20   22   -9      54.06     7.48   -14.22     0.00     0.04     1.31     0.31P   24.52R    6.00  
Sheff_Utd        19   22  -11      57.50     7.68   -13.03     0.02     0.17     3.85     1.05P   13.42R    2.43  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.66     7.27   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   64.05R   28.81  
Crystal_Palace   20   20  -13      51.26     7.40   -19.53     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.11P   38.26R   11.02  
Middlesbrough    20   18  -10      52.96     7.44   -10.74     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.20P   27.98R    7.20  
Preston          20   16  -15      45.53     7.46   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   68.32R   34.45  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Swindon vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         18   36  +17      80.51     8.08    26.11    23.90    41.45    82.41    50.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         18   32   +7      79.46     8.08    20.91    19.86    36.23    78.21    47.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      18   30  +16      72.33     8.52    21.74     5.69    13.01    48.44    21.08P    0.42R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        19   30  +13      78.08     7.90    29.39    15.55    31.31    75.41    45.95P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   29   +9      75.25     8.18    21.05     9.13    19.82    61.79    30.75P    0.13R    0.00  
Oldham           18   29   +6      68.00     8.06     6.99     1.37     3.98    26.40     8.35P    1.17R    0.03  
Colchester       18   29   +2      70.72     8.18     7.02     3.18     7.91    37.99    14.62P    0.61R    0.00  
Southampton      18   28  +10      78.51     7.89    28.34    16.86    32.88    77.07    47.89P    0.03R    0.00  
Carlisle         18   27   +8      68.33     8.11    12.32     1.68     4.77    28.71     9.99P    1.13R    0.04  
Peterborough     18   26   -3      65.63     8.56    -1.85     0.97     2.71    19.09     5.79P    3.58R    0.20  
Exeter           18   26   -4      57.72     7.78   -14.76     0.04     0.19     2.80     0.55P   16.24R    1.01  
MK_Dons          18   26   -5      64.30     8.23    -5.58     0.54     1.59    13.86     3.82P    4.29R    0.18  
Brentford        18   25   +0      62.74     7.93    -0.83     0.30     0.98     9.89     2.75P    4.98R    0.21  
Swindon          19   24   -3      62.97     7.95    -0.38     0.29     1.02    10.79     3.05P    4.92R    0.23  
Hartlepool       17   23   -4      58.02     8.06   -11.83     0.06     0.27     3.64     0.81P   15.65R    1.11  
Rochdale         18   22   +2      58.70     8.44    -1.07     0.15     0.45     5.18     1.35P   13.85R    1.08  
Plymouth         18   22   -6      62.17     8.42    -3.49     0.31     1.00     9.96     3.08P    7.14R    0.40  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   -7      56.67     8.02   -13.00     0.04     0.14     2.57     0.51P   19.80R    1.66  
Tranmere         18   22   -7      54.72     7.70   -15.47     0.01     0.05     1.13     0.18P   26.82R    2.34  
Leyton_Orient    18   21   +0      56.85     7.94    -3.85     0.04     0.14     2.59     0.56P   17.60R    1.40  
Notts_County     17   19   -7      54.88     8.45   -13.24     0.03     0.10     1.95     0.47P   27.65R    3.08  
Dag_&_Red        18   15  -13      41.23     7.74   -33.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   86.79R   43.33  
Yeovil           18   15  -16      44.86     7.73   -29.48     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   75.25R   23.44  
Walsall          18   14  -15      45.50     7.75   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   71.91R   20.22  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Northampton vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            18   36  +17      82.47     7.91    28.73    30.71    66.42    93.37    73.49P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         18   35  +15      80.27     8.27    25.36    22.24    55.49    88.17    63.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 18   34  +15      77.78     8.16    23.07    14.51    43.03    81.85    52.49P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   32  +13      77.33     8.14    23.26    12.73    40.91    80.70    51.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            18   31   +8      74.30     8.09    15.40     6.58    26.21    68.23    36.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              18   28   +9      70.12     8.24    14.48     2.68    13.77    49.11    22.10P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              18   28   +6      73.27     8.32    16.25     5.61    23.17    64.06    34.94P    0.03R    0.01  
Cheltenham           17   26   -1      63.09     8.25    -5.49     0.40     2.82    18.14     5.54P    1.02R    0.25  
Crewe                18   25  +12      69.97     8.38    22.11     2.85    14.37    50.13    23.88P    0.12R    0.02  
Macclesfield         18   25   -3      58.23     7.83   -10.45     0.05     0.53     6.25     1.49P    3.30R    1.07  
Stevenage            18   24   +5      62.21     8.06     5.17     0.23     2.21    16.04     5.32P    0.96R    0.24  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      54.90     7.57    -8.76     0.01     0.13     2.49     0.56P    6.68R    2.27  
Aldershot            18   22   -6      59.18     7.95    -7.77     0.05     0.82     7.97     2.26P    2.82R    0.86  
Burton_Albion        18   21   +1      56.98     8.11    -3.03     0.04     0.49     5.69     1.56P    4.76R    1.59  
Accrington_Stanley   18   21   -1      55.96     8.10    -6.80     0.03     0.35     4.35     1.07P    6.42R    2.37  
Bradford             18   21   -4      58.74     8.05    -4.80     0.08     0.72     7.72     2.27P    3.25R    1.09  
Gillingham           18   21   -5      60.46     8.23    -3.42     0.13     1.30    11.35     3.84P    2.18R    0.67  
Northampton          19   21   -7      59.96     7.85    -4.23     0.08     0.86     9.30     3.00P    2.02R    0.58  
Southend             17   20   -2      66.15     8.56     7.36     0.97     6.17    31.23    13.59P    0.49R    0.12  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      48.90     7.54   -23.90     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.06P   25.54R   11.51  
Stockport            19   19  -20      46.63     7.73   -35.18     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.04P   38.33R   20.50  
Morecambe            18   18   -7      54.71     8.07    -9.93     0.02     0.20     3.00     0.89P    8.53R    3.24  
Barnet               19   16  -15      43.73     7.44   -29.72     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   52.68R   31.50  
Hereford             18   15  -16      45.89     7.78   -27.73     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.05P   40.80R   22.10  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 December 2010, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.64     7.46    23.52    13.22    81.20    27.89P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.19     7.67    34.90    23.46    89.14    39.69P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.50     7.12    46.70    57.07    97.59    73.59P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.46     7.64    13.92     1.16    32.31     6.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.36     7.19     2.44     0.36    17.11     3.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.19     7.76    12.51     0.75    23.27     5.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.55     7.15    16.15     0.88    32.71     8.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.65     7.09    16.80     1.37    38.36    11.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.59     7.37    15.26     0.60    24.58     5.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.75     7.68    13.40     0.66    25.84     7.42P    0.02R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.19     7.51    14.74     0.35    19.60     5.59P    0.05R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.27     7.47   -11.44     0.00     0.73     0.15P    4.67R    0.48  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.80     7.37    13.11     0.06     7.81     2.03P    0.24R    0.02  
York               21   26   +1      64.06     7.20     6.77     0.06     5.48     1.41P    0.27R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.51     7.14   -12.58     0.00     0.30     0.04P    6.74R    0.80  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.52     7.38    -1.13     0.01     3.58     0.74P    0.66R    0.06  
Eastbourne_Boro    21   22   -6      50.01     6.98   -17.80     0.00     0.05     0.01P   18.41R    3.24  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.49     7.16   -14.61     0.00     0.12     0.02P   11.22R    1.70  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.46     7.31   -13.96     0.00     0.21     0.04P    9.66R    1.60  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.67     6.95   -27.30     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.68R    8.94  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.92     6.71   -36.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.72R   20.88  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.53     7.17   -28.17     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.99R    9.83  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.32     7.30   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.11R   12.66  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.92     6.81   -45.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.48R   39.76