Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 6 December 2010 at 22:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 December 2010, Liverpool vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         16   32  +16      75.02     6.42    37.54    18.30    47.15    82.22    94.26    99.46     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   31  +19      79.88     6.21    48.25    49.50    78.15    94.75    98.84    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   30  +19      77.33     6.00    47.59    30.70    66.44    90.67    97.44    99.82     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        16   29   +9      65.72     6.44    19.08     1.15     5.67    19.62    55.80    89.18     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham       16   26   +3      60.09     6.62     9.00     0.17     1.19     5.27    20.13    64.19     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          16   23   +5      49.89     6.49    -1.62     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.34    11.34     1.88R    0.10  
Sunderland      16   23   +2      51.43     6.49    -1.14     0.00     0.02     0.29     1.93    15.38     1.05R    0.04  
Liverpool       16   22   +1      61.03     6.49    14.22     0.17     1.31     6.35    24.93    70.96     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom       16   22   -4      48.59     6.75   -10.36     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.97     8.05     3.98R    0.32  
Stoke           16   21   +0      46.83     6.36    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.34     4.54     5.07R    0.42  
Blackburn       16   21   -4      48.08     6.59    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.61     6.70     4.11R    0.33  
Newcastle       16   19   -1      47.79     6.81    -3.68     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.87     7.97     4.63R    0.39  
Blackpool       15   19   -6      41.04     6.60   -24.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.90    26.06R    4.54  
Birmingham      16   18   -2      43.62     6.29    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.61    12.16R    1.43  
Everton         16   17   -2      50.47     6.60     2.67     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.82    13.49     1.76R    0.13  
Aston_Villa     16   17  -10      47.20     6.60   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.53     5.32     5.42R    0.61  
Fulham          16   15   -4      42.16     6.35    -8.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.08    16.99R    2.38  
Wigan           16   15  -15      32.62     5.80   -37.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    77.88R   34.97  
Wolverhampton   16   12  -13      32.66     6.05   -28.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    75.42R   32.84  
West_Ham        16   12  -13      34.66     6.31   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    63.54R   21.49  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Cardiff vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              19   41  +26      85.44     7.78    36.80    52.47    74.72    96.42    80.63P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          20   37  +14      80.90     7.68    26.75    24.81    51.57    89.16    62.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          20   36  +10      75.93     7.43    16.45     8.29    23.34    72.84    36.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich          20   33   +6      70.61     7.95     8.90     2.80     9.06    46.06    17.36P    0.33R    0.02  
Coventry         20   33   +6      66.15     7.43     2.40     0.69     2.69    23.59     6.58P    0.96R    0.08  
Leeds_United     20   32   +1      66.51     7.86    -1.11     1.00     3.58    25.78     8.06P    1.24R    0.12  
Derby            20   30   +9      65.53     7.61     8.60     0.64     2.56    23.23     7.00P    1.34R    0.11  
Burnley          19   29   +7      70.56     8.21    13.82     3.46    10.54    47.01    20.30P    0.42R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      68.97     7.75    11.56     1.68     5.95    38.70    14.75P    0.55R    0.04  
Watford          20   27   +3      62.63     7.78     2.47     0.36     1.40    13.86     4.21P    3.65R    0.50  
Millwall         20   27   +2      60.27     7.65    -1.02     0.10     0.51     8.06     2.05P    6.43R    0.80  
Doncaster        19   27   +0      63.74     7.89    -0.27     0.38     1.53    16.81     4.54P    3.11R    0.38  
Reading          19   26   +6      68.72     7.91    14.54     1.80     6.30    38.74    15.77P    0.66R    0.08  
Barnsley         19   26   -6      56.87     7.56   -15.36     0.02     0.14     3.14     0.64P   15.22R    2.82  
Portsmouth       19   25   -1      67.05     8.21     6.58     1.23     4.64    30.44    12.27P    1.39R    0.18  
Leicester        20   25   -8      61.38     7.60    -6.85     0.12     0.62     9.44     2.65P    5.39R    0.72  
Bristol_City     19   24   -4      57.61     7.67    -8.90     0.04     0.20     4.21     1.03P   12.70R    2.32  
Hull             19   22   -5      58.50     7.92    -5.41     0.06     0.36     5.66     1.66P   10.74R    2.01  
Ipswich          20   22   -9      54.13     7.43   -14.19     0.00     0.03     1.29     0.27P   24.18R    5.77  
Sheff_Utd        19   22  -11      57.69     7.65   -12.79     0.05     0.22     3.86     1.04P   12.83R    2.43  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.66     7.28   -27.38     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   64.34R   28.56  
Crystal_Palace   20   20  -13      51.31     7.38   -19.50     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.13P   38.11R   10.93  
Middlesbrough    20   18  -10      52.91     7.53   -10.83     0.00     0.03     0.95     0.30P   28.41R    7.64  
Preston          20   16  -15      45.56     7.48   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   68.00R   34.44  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Swindon vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         18   36  +17      80.43     8.05    26.01    23.35    41.18    82.23    50.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         18   32   +7      79.72     8.13    21.29    20.77    37.74    79.35    49.31P    0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      18   30  +16      72.22     8.52    21.60     5.38    12.43    47.99    20.11P    0.43R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        19   30  +13      78.20     7.89    29.58    15.65    31.68    76.06    46.53P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   29   +9      75.30     8.18    21.08     9.47    19.91    62.47    31.08P    0.13R    0.00  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.83     8.03     6.77     1.35     3.79    25.70     8.04P    1.21R    0.02  
Colchester       18   29   +2      70.51     8.12     6.68     2.99     7.49    36.99    13.96P    0.60R    0.00  
Southampton      18   28  +10      78.41     7.86    28.19    16.62    32.30    76.71    47.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle         18   27   +8      68.32     8.08    12.28     1.70     4.72    28.61     9.79P    1.06R    0.03  
Peterborough     18   26   -3      65.72     8.64    -1.70     1.03     2.96    19.84     6.10P    3.54R    0.19  
Exeter           18   26   -4      57.59     7.81   -14.99     0.04     0.19     2.88     0.55P   16.82R    1.08  
MK_Dons          18   26   -5      64.31     8.14    -5.56     0.51     1.51    13.90     3.80P    4.04R    0.15  
Brentford        18   25   +0      62.57     7.92    -1.07     0.24     0.88     9.42     2.57P    5.46R    0.25  
Swindon          19   24   -3      62.90     7.99    -0.47     0.26     0.94    10.72     3.12P    5.11R    0.19  
Hartlepool       17   23   -4      58.07     8.07   -11.77     0.10     0.33     3.77     0.90P   15.45R    1.12  
Rochdale         18   22   +2      58.74     8.41    -1.06     0.13     0.42     5.29     1.34P   13.65R    1.01  
Plymouth         18   22   -6      61.97     8.38    -3.77     0.29     1.00     9.37     2.92P    7.61R    0.50  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   -7      56.74     7.99   -12.85     0.02     0.15     2.48     0.56P   19.70R    1.62  
Tranmere         18   22   -7      54.77     7.76   -15.40     0.02     0.07     1.27     0.27P   26.93R    2.46  
Leyton_Orient    18   21   +0      57.07     7.96    -3.49     0.04     0.18     2.90     0.69P   17.04R    1.23  
Notts_County     17   19   -7      54.80     8.42   -13.35     0.04     0.14     1.96     0.49P   28.11R    3.11  
Dag_&_Red        18   15  -13      41.26     7.73   -33.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   86.74R   43.60  
Yeovil           18   15  -16      44.91     7.67   -29.37     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   75.02R   23.42  
Walsall          18   14  -15      45.69     7.77   -25.55     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   71.27R   20.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Northampton vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            18   36  +17      82.43     7.90    28.69    30.31    66.02    93.52    73.15P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         18   35  +15      80.60     8.32    25.88    23.75    56.70    88.84    64.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 18   34  +15      77.92     8.10    23.25    14.41    43.66    82.43    53.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   32  +13      77.22     8.07    23.08    12.18    40.11    80.69    50.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            18   31   +8      74.22     8.14    15.24     6.40    26.05    67.83    36.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              18   28   +9      70.19     8.14    14.60     2.66    13.67    49.64    22.00P    0.06R    0.02  
Wycombe              18   28   +6      73.30     8.31    16.31     5.64    23.37    63.89    34.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham           17   26   -1      63.16     8.30    -5.36     0.39     2.98    18.40     5.68P    1.00R    0.25  
Crewe                18   25  +12      69.85     8.35    21.97     2.61    13.87    49.78    23.48P    0.12R    0.03  
Macclesfield         18   25   -3      58.31     7.82   -10.40     0.06     0.54     6.32     1.42P    3.22R    0.98  
Stevenage            18   24   +5      62.28     8.07     5.28     0.28     2.34    16.23     5.86P    0.94R    0.23  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      55.07     7.78    -8.57     0.01     0.17     2.99     0.72P    7.00R    2.30  
Aldershot            18   22   -6      59.24     7.93    -7.66     0.07     0.77     8.05     2.28P    2.57R    0.81  
Burton_Albion        18   21   +1      56.97     8.13    -3.00     0.05     0.54     5.76     1.62P    4.60R    1.51  
Accrington_Stanley   18   21   -1      56.06     8.04    -6.70     0.03     0.33     4.31     1.08P    6.04R    2.16  
Bradford             18   21   -4      58.72     7.92    -4.80     0.07     0.68     7.25     2.17P    2.97R    0.93  
Gillingham           18   21   -5      60.20     8.28    -3.77     0.11     1.25    11.20     3.74P    2.25R    0.72  
Northampton          19   21   -7      59.86     7.90    -4.36     0.08     0.86     9.18     2.91P    2.09R    0.61  
Southend             17   20   -2      65.80     8.57     6.88     0.86     5.86    29.73    12.96P    0.61R    0.18  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      49.07     7.54   -23.63     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.08P   24.79R   11.24  
Stockport            19   19  -20      46.43     7.68   -35.52     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.03P   39.69R   21.25  
Morecambe            18   18   -7      54.76     8.11    -9.87     0.02     0.21     3.17     0.89P    8.53R    3.18  
Barnet               19   16  -15      43.80     7.44   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   51.93R   31.05  
Hereford             18   15  -16      45.75     7.68   -27.95     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   41.56R   22.56  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 November 2010, Kidderminster vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.74     7.50    23.69    13.28    81.27    28.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.44     7.70    35.31    24.04    89.77    40.80P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.54     7.10    46.78    56.67    97.65    73.46P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.70     7.66    14.27     1.26    33.77     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.44     7.21     2.55     0.37    17.46     3.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.14     7.76    12.44     0.61    23.36     4.90P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.49     7.15    16.03     0.91    32.28     8.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.49     7.08    16.49     1.22    37.32    11.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.68     7.35    15.42     0.58    25.22     5.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.65     7.65    13.24     0.64    25.58     7.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      68.87     7.57    14.32     0.28    18.55     5.25P    0.05R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.30     7.49   -11.46     0.00     0.71     0.13P    4.54R    0.46  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.69     7.30    12.97     0.05     7.44     1.90P    0.24R    0.02  
York               21   26   +1      63.91     7.21     6.55     0.06     5.30     1.30P    0.28R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.38     7.12   -12.77     0.00     0.24     0.02P    6.83R    0.80  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.53     7.41    -1.13     0.02     3.68     0.68P    0.64R    0.03  
Eastbourne_Boro    20   22   -5      51.33     7.22   -17.02     0.00     0.06     0.00P   14.52R    2.24  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.49     7.19   -14.64     0.00     0.13     0.03P   11.03R    1.49  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.45     7.32   -13.97     0.00     0.19     0.02P    9.38R    1.44  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.80     7.01   -27.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.46R    8.07  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.51     7.18   -28.16     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.49R    8.91  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.50     7.34   -20.77     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.66R   11.43  
Hayes_&_Yeading    21   17  -20      41.33     6.84   -37.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.51R   27.52  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.91     6.81   -45.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.24R   37.60