Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 5 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 December 2010, Sunderland vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         16   32  +16      75.08     6.46    37.54    18.42    46.81    82.73    94.51    99.37     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   31  +19      79.94     6.22    48.34    49.63    78.58    95.05    98.94    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   30  +19      77.41     6.00    47.72    30.69    66.93    91.18    97.70    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        16   29   +9      65.61     6.40    18.95     0.97     5.34    19.48    56.87    89.29     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       16   26   +3      60.31     6.70     9.40     0.17     1.28     5.64    22.26    66.09     0.03R    0.00  
Bolton          16   23   +5      49.90     6.50    -1.61     0.00     0.02     0.19     1.43    11.77     1.86R    0.10  
Sunderland      16   23   +2      51.43     6.49    -1.14     0.00     0.03     0.30     2.18    16.30     1.08R    0.04  
West_Brom       16   22   -4      48.54     6.79   -10.49     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.07     8.51     3.96R    0.37  
Stoke           16   21   +0      46.83     6.32    -7.25     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.37     4.59     5.22R    0.42  
Blackburn       16   21   -4      48.09     6.58    -9.67     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.69     7.18     4.19R    0.32  
Newcastle       16   19   -1      47.69     6.83    -3.85     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.86     7.83     4.73R    0.45  
Liverpool       15   19   -2      59.55     6.78    11.35     0.10     0.94     4.71    19.91    62.68     0.07R    0.01  
Blackpool       15   19   -6      40.78     6.55   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.88    27.06R    4.83  
Birmingham      16   18   -2      43.64     6.30    -9.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.72    12.00R    1.36  
Everton         16   17   -2      50.37     6.62     2.56     0.00     0.03     0.26     1.91    14.03     1.83R    0.13  
Aston_Villa     15   17   -7      48.55     6.72    -7.89     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.04     8.70     3.77R    0.35  
Fulham          16   15   -4      42.11     6.43    -8.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.22    17.35R    2.42  
Wigan           16   15  -15      32.58     5.79   -37.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.40R   35.21  
Wolverhampton   16   12  -13      32.72     6.11   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.97R   32.43  
West_Ham        16   12  -13      34.68     6.29   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    63.45R   21.54  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Cardiff vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              19   41  +26      85.66     7.76    37.23    53.58    75.31    96.51    80.98P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          20   37  +14      80.93     7.68    26.82    24.20    51.28    89.13    62.76P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          20   36  +10      76.08     7.46    16.64     8.38    23.38    73.47    36.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich          20   33   +6      70.94     7.97     9.37     3.09     9.99    47.11    18.32P    0.32R    0.02  
Coventry         20   33   +5      65.80     7.45     0.72     0.65     2.40    22.00     5.83P    1.17R    0.08  
Leeds_United     20   32   +1      66.49     7.83    -1.20     0.88     3.37    25.73     7.78P    1.35R    0.13  
Derby            20   30   +9      65.59     7.66     8.60     0.58     2.64    23.55     7.10P    1.37R    0.12  
Burnley          19   29   +7      70.54     8.22    13.75     3.16    10.09    47.00    20.32P    0.41R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      68.96     7.69    11.47     1.57     5.82    38.39    14.66P    0.50R    0.03  
Watford          20   27   +3      62.54     7.76     2.26     0.23     1.16    13.28     3.71P    3.99R    0.53  
Millwall         20   27   +3      60.75     7.61     0.50     0.10     0.56     8.76     2.37P    5.67R    0.73  
Doncaster        19   27   +1      64.12     7.79     1.28     0.40     1.70    17.47     4.90P    2.60R    0.30  
Reading          19   26   +6      68.82     7.89    14.72     1.74     6.37    38.69    15.88P    0.66R    0.07  
Barnsley         19   26   -5      57.10     7.56   -14.19     0.02     0.17     3.34     0.68P   14.80R    2.73  
Portsmouth       19   25   -1      67.16     8.12     6.74     1.18     4.44    30.55    11.90P    1.32R    0.13  
Leicester        20   25   -8      61.09     7.58    -7.31     0.10     0.53     8.58     2.34P    5.84R    0.75  
Ipswich          20   24   -7      56.83     7.49   -11.19     0.01     0.11     3.06     0.69P   14.76R    2.83  
Bristol_City     19   23   -6      56.06     7.67   -11.96     0.01     0.09     2.57     0.56P   17.92R    3.73  
Hull             19   22   -6      58.27     7.90    -6.81     0.08     0.32     5.31     1.56P   11.91R    2.19  
Sheff_Utd        19   22  -11      57.58     7.69   -12.96     0.03     0.22     3.85     1.00P   13.33R    2.44  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.61     7.30   -27.63     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   65.06R   29.33  
Crystal_Palace   20   20  -13      51.48     7.40   -19.28     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.12P   37.96R   10.85  
Middlesbrough    20   18  -11      52.75     7.53   -12.12     0.01     0.04     0.92     0.23P   29.99R    7.87  
Preston          20   16  -15      45.50     7.47   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   69.07R   35.09  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Swindon vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         18   36  +17      80.34     8.15    25.91    23.26    40.77    81.98    50.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Charlton         18   32   +7      79.67     8.13    21.25    20.17    37.20    79.07    48.66P    0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth      18   30  +16      72.23     8.52    21.59     5.66    12.91    47.97    20.67P    0.40R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        19   30  +13      78.10     7.88    29.44    15.95    31.40    75.80    46.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   29   +9      75.18     8.18    20.85     9.18    19.67    61.53    30.69P    0.12R    0.00  
Oldham           18   29   +6      68.02     8.08     7.07     1.45     4.14    26.47     8.36P    1.12R    0.02  
Colchester       18   29   +2      70.61     8.20     6.76     3.14     7.92    37.84    14.70P    0.55R    0.01  
Southampton      18   28  +10      78.36     7.97    28.07    16.79    32.50    76.18    47.30P    0.04R    0.00  
Carlisle         18   27   +8      68.34     8.09    12.33     1.75     4.80    29.10    10.01P    1.03R    0.03  
Peterborough     18   26   -3      65.77     8.57    -1.72     1.00     2.93    19.54     6.20P    3.46R    0.17  
Exeter           18   26   -4      57.69     7.74   -14.79     0.04     0.15     2.81     0.49P   16.31R    1.02  
MK_Dons          18   26   -5      64.31     8.18    -5.50     0.51     1.61    13.91     3.93P    4.21R    0.15  
Brentford        18   25   +0      62.49     7.90    -1.13     0.22     0.83     9.53     2.53P    5.32R    0.22  
Swindon          19   24   -3      62.99     7.92    -0.31     0.28     1.01    10.97     3.17P    4.77R    0.19  
Hartlepool       17   23   -4      58.21     8.18   -11.55     0.08     0.29     3.93     0.88P   15.53R    1.12  
Rochdale         18   22   +2      58.61     8.43    -1.22     0.13     0.41     5.15     1.40P   14.10R    1.12  
Plymouth         18   22   -6      61.97     8.38    -3.80     0.27     0.97     9.54     2.97P    7.57R    0.45  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   -7      56.88     8.01   -12.57     0.03     0.18     2.70     0.60P   19.07R    1.58  
Tranmere         18   22   -7      54.80     7.77   -15.37     0.02     0.06     1.26     0.24P   26.91R    2.38  
Leyton_Orient    18   21   +0      57.04     8.00    -3.57     0.04     0.15     2.87     0.68P   17.31R    1.20  
Notts_County     17   19   -7      54.63     8.40   -13.57     0.02     0.09     1.72     0.36P   28.81R    3.47  
Dag_&_Red        18   15  -13      41.34     7.62   -32.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    86.75R   42.92  
Yeovil           18   15  -16      44.86     7.72   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   75.22R   23.76  
Walsall          18   14  -15      45.64     7.75   -25.72     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   71.33R   20.16  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Northampton vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            18   36  +17      82.52     7.86    28.75    30.66    66.54    93.86    73.85P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         18   35  +15      80.39     8.30    25.52    22.54    55.74    88.50    63.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 18   34  +15      77.88     8.06    23.20    14.43    43.48    82.47    53.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   32  +13      77.31     8.10    23.23    12.68    40.88    80.84    51.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            18   31   +8      74.32     8.01    15.39     6.45    25.81    68.63    36.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              18   28   +9      70.13     8.21    14.53     2.65    13.64    49.36    22.13P    0.07R    0.01  
Wycombe              18   28   +6      73.25     8.43    16.25     5.86    23.73    63.55    34.95P    0.04R    0.02  
Cheltenham           17   26   -1      62.88     8.27    -5.84     0.39     2.65    17.67     5.33P    1.11R    0.32  
Crewe                18   25  +12      69.87     8.35    21.99     2.68    13.91    49.62    23.38P    0.14R    0.04  
Macclesfield         18   25   -3      58.17     7.83   -10.57     0.06     0.54     6.20     1.43P    3.42R    1.06  
Stevenage            18   24   +5      62.23     8.06     5.22     0.27     2.21    16.15     5.48P    0.99R    0.31  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      55.05     7.73    -8.63     0.01     0.19     2.88     0.69P    6.90R    2.32  
Aldershot            18   22   -6      59.07     7.97    -7.86     0.06     0.75     7.73     2.12P    2.95R    0.91  
Burton_Albion        18   21   +1      57.03     8.09    -3.01     0.05     0.53     5.78     1.64P    4.64R    1.58  
Accrington_Stanley   18   21   -1      56.05     8.08    -6.63     0.03     0.31     4.48     1.04P    6.32R    2.25  
Bradford             18   21   -4      58.68     7.94    -4.85     0.04     0.62     7.17     2.01P    3.16R    0.97  
Gillingham           18   21   -5      60.40     8.25    -3.47     0.13     1.32    11.25     3.78P    2.18R    0.70  
Northampton          19   21   -7      59.83     7.92    -4.40     0.08     0.79     9.27     2.90P    2.07R    0.60  
Southend             17   20   -2      66.07     8.47     7.29     0.93     6.14    30.75    13.62P    0.46R    0.12  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      49.10     7.49   -23.60     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.08P   24.46R   10.98  
Stockport            19   19  -20      46.72     7.64   -35.06     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.03P   38.08R   19.87  
Morecambe            18   18   -7      54.73     8.09    -9.87     0.01     0.20     3.01     0.76P    8.69R    3.39  
Barnet               19   16  -15      43.69     7.43   -29.81     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   52.83R   31.96  
Hereford             18   15  -16      45.83     7.74   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   41.49R   22.59  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 November 2010, Kidderminster vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.79     7.49    23.80    13.28    81.54    27.99P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.40     7.69    35.23    23.79    89.50    40.54P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.60     7.14    46.87    57.06    97.78    73.46P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.70     7.69    14.27     1.22    33.87     7.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.39     7.26     2.51     0.38    17.67     3.37P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      69.73     7.73    11.82     0.54    21.61     4.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.67     7.12    16.29     0.91    33.18     8.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.54     7.03    16.59     1.19    37.61    11.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.68     7.33    15.43     0.54    25.07     5.97P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.49     7.63    13.03     0.58    24.55     6.86P    0.04R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.27     7.59    14.87     0.40    20.07     5.94P    0.04R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.49     7.48   -11.10     0.00     0.75     0.13P    4.02R    0.35  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.51     7.33    12.66     0.06     7.18     1.84P    0.26R    0.00  
York               21   26   +1      64.00     7.18     6.70     0.04     5.38     1.31P    0.26R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.35     7.17   -12.80     0.00     0.27     0.03P    6.85R    0.79  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.33     7.40    -1.42     0.01     3.50     0.68P    0.66R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    20   22   -5      51.47     7.29   -16.80     0.00     0.10     0.01P   14.29R    2.29  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.59     7.22   -14.47     0.00     0.14     0.01P   10.88R    1.59  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.45     7.34   -13.95     0.00     0.17     0.02P    9.49R    1.54  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.73     7.03   -27.17     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.73R    8.44  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.44     7.19   -28.34     0.00     0.02     0.00P   36.91R    9.19  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.37     7.36   -21.04     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.26R   11.82  
Hayes_&_Yeading    21   17  -20      41.38     6.86   -37.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.22R   27.28  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.97     6.82   -45.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.01R   36.66