Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 4 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Arsenal vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         16   32  +16      74.97     6.46    37.33    18.12    46.83    82.31    94.36    99.46     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   31  +19      79.80     6.22    48.02    49.24    77.95    94.92    98.86    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   30  +19      77.44     5.97    47.62    31.28    67.21    91.46    97.91    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        16   29   +9      65.61     6.51    18.96     1.09     5.67    19.71    57.19    89.03     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham       16   26   +3      60.11     6.68     9.03     0.16     1.25     5.62    21.65    65.08     0.04R    0.00  
Bolton          16   23   +5      49.89     6.56    -1.49     0.00     0.03     0.18     1.51    12.22     2.02R    0.13  
Stoke           16   21   +0      46.89     6.38    -7.09     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.44     4.92     5.28R    0.38  
Blackburn       16   21   -4      48.06     6.62    -9.71     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.81     7.14     4.31R    0.39  
Sunderland      15   20   +1      50.28     6.78    -1.51     0.00     0.04     0.24     1.79    13.65     2.32R    0.17  
Newcastle       15   19   +1      49.57     7.08    -0.98     0.00     0.02     0.26     1.90    13.08     3.15R    0.27  
Liverpool       15   19   -2      59.46     6.78    11.25     0.10     0.93     4.69    19.62    62.37     0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool       15   19   -6      40.90     6.59   -24.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.95    27.28R    4.96  
West_Brom       15   19   -6      46.58     7.01   -13.03     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.67     5.84     7.80R    0.95  
Birmingham      16   18   -2      43.53     6.35    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.79    12.90R    1.66  
Everton         16   17   -2      50.41     6.61     2.62     0.00     0.02     0.20     1.83    14.18     1.86R    0.17  
Aston_Villa     15   17   -7      48.63     6.84    -7.80     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.21     9.16     4.03R    0.43  
Fulham          16   15   -4      42.11     6.40    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.23    17.72R    2.68  
Wigan           16   15  -15      32.62     5.78   -37.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    78.41R   36.23  
West_Ham        15   12  -12      35.62     6.55   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    58.06R   18.65  
Wolverhampton   16   12  -13      32.81     6.09   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    74.75R   32.91  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Cardiff vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              19   41  +26      85.62     7.83    37.20    53.05    74.92    96.51    80.88P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          20   37  +14      80.95     7.65    26.85    24.56    51.44    89.36    62.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          20   36  +10      76.06     7.44    16.58     8.25    23.55    73.26    36.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich          20   33   +6      70.84     7.91     9.17     2.87     9.24    46.74    17.64P    0.25R    0.01  
Coventry         20   33   +5      65.85     7.45     0.80     0.67     2.43    22.15     5.92P    1.18R    0.09  
Leeds_United     20   32   +1      66.53     7.92    -1.11     1.01     3.73    25.81     8.39P    1.46R    0.12  
Derby            20   30   +9      65.65     7.63     8.71     0.66     2.62    23.46     7.08P    1.30R    0.09  
Burnley          19   29   +7      70.60     8.16    13.86     3.28    10.17    46.90    20.01P    0.36R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      69.03     7.71    11.59     1.61     6.11    38.51    15.03P    0.52R    0.04  
Watford          20   27   +3      62.60     7.68     2.34     0.28     1.19    13.44     3.76P    3.66R    0.46  
Millwall         20   27   +3      60.58     7.58     0.27     0.11     0.59     8.47     2.20P    5.72R    0.76  
Doncaster        19   27   +1      64.01     7.82     1.05     0.36     1.64    17.37     4.92P    2.79R    0.31  
Reading          19   26   +6      68.89     7.89    14.84     1.78     6.47    39.26    16.14P    0.57R    0.05  
Barnsley         19   26   -5      57.26     7.56   -13.89     0.05     0.18     3.51     0.71P   14.16R    2.49  
Portsmouth       19   25   -1      67.10     8.12     6.62     1.21     4.36    30.08    11.87P    1.40R    0.15  
Leicester        20   25   -8      61.35     7.58    -6.95     0.10     0.59     9.14     2.51P    5.33R    0.72  
Ipswich          20   24   -7      56.64     7.44   -11.52     0.00     0.11     2.75     0.62P   15.22R    2.94  
Bristol_City     19   23   -6      55.96     7.70   -12.04     0.02     0.12     2.58     0.62P   18.39R    3.74  
Hull             19   22   -6      58.19     7.95    -6.95     0.07     0.30     5.15     1.42P   12.14R    2.27  
Sheff_Utd        19   22  -11      57.58     7.70   -12.95     0.04     0.19     3.91     1.01P   13.51R    2.53  
Scunthorpe       20   20  -12      46.81     7.33   -27.24     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.01P   63.92R   28.44  
Crystal_Palace   20   20  -13      51.29     7.40   -19.60     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.08P   39.15R   11.14  
Middlesbrough    20   18  -11      52.68     7.52   -12.20     0.00     0.02     0.89     0.21P   30.26R    8.18  
Preston          20   16  -15      45.49     7.50   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   68.69R   35.44  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Swindon vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         18   36  +17      80.25     8.15    25.80    23.12    40.83    81.51    49.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         18   32   +7      79.60     8.12    21.10    20.35    37.04    79.01    48.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth      18   30  +16      72.33     8.45    21.76     5.44    12.59    48.14    20.38P    0.38R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        19   30  +13      78.04     7.93    29.35    15.78    30.92    75.24    45.59P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   29   +9      75.32     8.16    21.09     9.29    20.09    62.04    31.17P    0.13R    0.00  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.96     8.06     6.97     1.35     3.93    26.11     8.06P    1.24R    0.02  
Colchester       18   29   +2      70.71     8.19     6.94     3.17     7.88    38.03    14.55P    0.54R    0.01  
Southampton      18   28  +10      78.49     7.92    28.34    17.10    33.18    76.85    48.29P    0.03R    0.00  
Carlisle         18   27   +8      68.44     8.14    12.47     1.77     4.89    29.56    10.27P    1.15R    0.04  
Peterborough     18   26   -3      65.69     8.53    -1.81     0.95     2.79    19.18     5.90P    3.38R    0.17  
Exeter           18   26   -4      57.50     7.80   -15.17     0.05     0.20     2.82     0.55P   16.86R    1.10  
MK_Dons          18   26   -5      64.37     8.18    -5.44     0.49     1.58    14.04     3.85P    4.22R    0.14  
Brentford        18   25   +0      62.50     7.90    -1.13     0.26     0.89     9.30     2.50P    5.22R    0.25  
Swindon          19   24   -3      63.04     7.95    -0.19     0.24     1.01    10.91     3.02P    4.89R    0.19  
Hartlepool       17   23   -4      58.16     8.24   -11.68     0.11     0.34     4.00     0.99P   15.81R    1.10  
Rochdale         18   22   +2      58.34     8.41    -1.65     0.11     0.45     4.80     1.28P   14.66R    1.12  
Plymouth         18   22   -6      62.13     8.37    -3.54     0.30     0.93     9.95     3.07P    7.11R    0.44  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   -7      56.85     8.00   -12.71     0.05     0.14     2.48     0.53P   19.14R    1.61  
Tranmere         18   22   -7      54.74     7.79   -15.46     0.01     0.06     1.24     0.27P   27.13R    2.45  
Leyton_Orient    18   21   +0      57.01     7.93    -3.59     0.04     0.15     2.78     0.60P   16.97R    1.21  
Notts_County     17   19   -7      54.86     8.42   -13.25     0.03     0.12     1.86     0.45P   27.81R    3.31  
Dag_&_Red        18   15  -13      41.25     7.66   -33.13     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   86.91R   43.51  
Yeovil           18   15  -16      45.02     7.70   -29.25     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   74.59R   22.86  
Walsall          18   14  -15      45.53     7.81   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   71.77R   20.47  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 December 2010, Northampton vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            18   36  +17      82.47     7.95    28.72    30.75    66.34    93.47    73.52P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         18   35  +15      80.34     8.22    25.49    22.38    55.49    88.57    63.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 18   34  +15      78.02     8.08    23.42    15.18    44.09    82.54    53.40P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   32  +13      77.20     8.02    23.09    12.24    40.16    80.52    50.57P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            18   31   +8      74.16     8.11    15.21     6.39    25.79    67.62    36.20P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              18   28   +9      70.08     8.27    14.42     2.67    13.65    49.01    21.87P    0.08R    0.01  
Wycombe              18   28   +6      73.17     8.38    16.09     5.46    23.32    63.20    34.85P    0.03R    0.01  
Cheltenham           17   26   -1      63.34     8.23    -5.10     0.36     2.89    18.73     5.65P    0.96R    0.25  
Crewe                18   25  +12      70.00     8.28    22.24     2.77    14.26    50.26    24.06P    0.11R    0.01  
Macclesfield         18   25   -3      58.20     7.80   -10.54     0.06     0.57     6.12     1.45P    3.27R    0.94  
Stevenage            18   24   +5      62.40     8.06     5.41     0.28     2.22    16.74     5.80P    0.95R    0.25  
Oxford_Utd           19   23   -2      55.06     7.66    -8.58     0.01     0.15     2.80     0.66P    6.55R    2.28  
Aldershot            18   22   -6      59.00     7.95    -8.04     0.07     0.77     7.56     2.18P    2.82R    0.92  
Burton_Albion        18   21   +1      57.09     8.09    -2.86     0.06     0.54     5.83     1.59P    4.52R    1.54  
Accrington_Stanley   18   21   -1      56.09     8.13    -6.65     0.03     0.39     4.51     1.11P    6.05R    2.18  
Bradford             18   21   -4      58.76     8.02    -4.74     0.05     0.70     7.47     2.15P    3.10R    0.98  
Gillingham           18   21   -5      60.30     8.35    -3.67     0.17     1.44    11.41     3.94P    2.33R    0.75  
Northampton          19   21   -7      59.82     7.88    -4.41     0.09     0.85     9.23     2.92P    2.09R    0.62  
Southend             17   20   -2      65.99     8.57     7.16     0.95     6.12    30.46    13.38P    0.49R    0.15  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      48.87     7.60   -23.90     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.08P   25.55R   11.51  
Stockport            19   19  -20      46.42     7.65   -35.54     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.03P   39.76R   21.09  
Morecambe            18   18   -7      54.73     8.16    -9.89     0.02     0.24     3.09     0.86P    8.67R    3.31  
Barnet               19   16  -15      43.72     7.43   -29.74     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   52.29R   31.48  
Hereford             18   15  -16      45.95     7.82   -27.60     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.03P   40.34R   21.71  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 November 2010, Kidderminster vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.69     7.49    23.66    13.42    81.16    28.27P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.17     7.70    34.87    23.18    89.12    39.62P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.52     7.09    46.75    56.97    97.76    73.55P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.85     7.65    14.51     1.37    34.31     7.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.36     7.23     2.42     0.40    17.39     3.53P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.08     7.71    12.32     0.59    22.88     4.94P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.49     7.10    16.06     1.01    31.86     8.38P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.66     7.09    16.86     1.31    38.40    11.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.53     7.33    15.18     0.50    24.17     5.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.70     7.65    13.33     0.70    25.49     7.19P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.10     7.65    14.61     0.41    19.64     5.80P    0.05R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.30     7.49   -11.46     0.00     0.72     0.09P    4.57R    0.45  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.62     7.35    12.82     0.06     7.31     1.85P    0.26R    0.02  
York               21   26   +1      63.98     7.21     6.68     0.06     5.41     1.38P    0.30R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.55     7.16   -12.57     0.00     0.34     0.03P    6.45R    0.70  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.48     7.41    -1.21     0.04     3.63     0.75P    0.64R    0.03  
Eastbourne_Boro    20   22   -5      51.40     7.26   -16.85     0.00     0.07     0.00P   14.46R    2.25  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.63     7.18   -14.46     0.00     0.14     0.01P   10.77R    1.52  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.41     7.33   -14.07     0.00     0.18     0.02P    9.63R    1.46  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.80     6.99   -27.02     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.09R    8.19  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.53     7.15   -28.16     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.16R    8.79  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.25     7.33   -21.15     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.04R   11.93  
Hayes_&_Yeading    21   17  -20      41.30     6.87   -37.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.62R   27.69  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.96     6.86   -45.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.84R   36.95