Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 3 December 2010 at 22:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 November 2010, Newcastle vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         15   31  +19      79.82     6.21    48.10    44.73    77.07    94.89    98.88    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   29  +19      79.09     6.10    49.93    39.18    74.82    94.30    98.58    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   29  +15      74.49     6.61    38.18    14.99    41.07    80.55    93.62    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        15   26   +8      64.89     6.67    19.47     0.75     4.53    17.35    53.25    86.70     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham       15   25   +3      60.63     6.93     9.23     0.27     1.59     6.96    24.96    67.30     0.03R    0.00  
Bolton          15   23   +6      50.49     6.64    -2.12     0.00     0.02     0.27     2.10    14.26     1.88R    0.15  
Sunderland      15   20   +1      50.20     6.71    -1.65     0.00     0.02     0.27     1.77    13.22     2.46R    0.21  
Stoke           15   20   +0      47.31     6.57    -6.94     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.66     5.95     5.57R    0.61  
Newcastle       15   19   +1      49.71     7.13    -0.78     0.00     0.04     0.29     2.22    14.08     3.21R    0.32  
Liverpool       15   19   -2      59.42     6.73    11.14     0.08     0.79     4.56    19.70    62.56     0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool       15   19   -6      40.85     6.60   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.93    28.56R    5.90  
West_Brom       15   19   -6      46.40     7.06   -13.33     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.66     5.82     9.04R    1.15  
Blackburn       15   18   -7      46.22     6.82   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.49     4.77     8.78R    1.24  
Birmingham      15   17   -2      43.76     6.52    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     2.28    13.35R    2.04  
Aston_Villa     15   17   -7      48.68     6.77    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.13     1.21     9.25     4.03R    0.47  
Everton         15   16   -2      49.65     6.74     0.57     0.00     0.01     0.19     1.58    12.18     2.86R    0.31  
Fulham          15   15   -3      42.47     6.54    -9.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.46    17.85R    2.84  
Wigan           15   14  -15      32.95     6.01   -37.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    76.86R   37.72  
Wolverhampton   15   12  -10      34.20     6.30   -25.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    67.17R   26.97  
West_Ham        15   12  -12      35.75     6.55   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    58.28R   20.08  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 November 2010, Leicester vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              19   41  +26      85.61     7.82    37.17    51.04    75.94    96.75    81.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          19   36  +14      82.55     7.87    28.91    31.47    60.76    92.68    70.38P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          19   33   +8      73.73     7.65    13.66     5.02    15.55    63.54    27.97P    0.08R    0.00  
Derby            19   30  +10      67.70     7.88    10.76     1.26     5.03    34.30    11.28P    0.98R    0.10  
Norwich          19   30   +5      68.42     8.18     6.96     1.68     6.13    37.22    13.24P    0.99R    0.09  
Coventry         19   30   +4      64.10     7.67    -0.50     0.40     1.72    17.89     4.80P    2.62R    0.26  
Burnley          19   29   +7      70.70     8.20    14.03     3.22    10.41    48.94    20.93P    0.48R    0.05  
Leeds_United     19   29   +0      65.10     8.08    -1.89     0.76     2.74    22.32     6.67P    2.64R    0.34  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      69.02     7.68    11.59     1.47     5.81    40.39    15.21P    0.59R    0.04  
Doncaster        19   27   +1      63.99     7.81     1.03     0.35     1.66    18.20     5.01P    2.98R    0.35  
Reading          19   26   +6      68.99     7.85    15.01     1.61     6.54    41.16    16.62P    0.64R    0.06  
Barnsley         19   26   -5      57.22     7.52   -13.96     0.03     0.15     3.60     0.65P   15.56R    2.75  
Portsmouth       19   25   -1      66.97     8.10     6.45     1.10     4.31    30.95    11.82P    1.53R    0.16  
Leicester        19   25   -7      62.56     7.76    -6.15     0.19     1.01    13.24     3.83P    4.58R    0.57  
Watford          19   24   +2      60.89     7.94     1.28     0.18     0.88    10.83     3.09P    6.76R    1.06  
Millwall         19   24   +0      58.62     7.80    -3.25     0.06     0.36     6.20     1.57P   11.03R    2.00  
Ipswich          19   24   -5      58.83     7.70    -8.19     0.05     0.31     5.97     1.42P   10.92R    1.86  
Bristol_City     19   23   -6      55.92     7.64   -12.15     0.03     0.11     2.79     0.61P   19.53R    4.21  
Hull             19   22   -6      58.18     7.88    -6.91     0.06     0.29     5.56     1.56P   12.90R    2.54  
Sheff_Utd        19   22  -11      57.70     7.68   -12.76     0.03     0.22     4.35     1.20P   14.39R    2.62  
Scunthorpe       19   20   -9      48.35     7.51   -23.92     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.04P   57.15R   23.01  
Crystal_Palace   19   20  -12      52.35     7.57   -19.06     0.01     0.03     0.93     0.16P   35.66R    9.94  
Middlesbrough    19   18  -10      54.31     7.73   -10.92     0.01     0.05     1.84     0.52P   25.26R    6.36  
Preston          19   15  -15      44.94     7.65   -27.20     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.02P   72.71R   41.63  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 November 2010, Rochdale vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         18   36  +17      80.31     8.04    25.86    21.71    39.38    81.86    48.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         18   32   +7      79.59     8.10    21.12    19.04    35.37    78.58    47.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      18   30  +16      72.34     8.48    21.80     4.93    11.84    48.40    19.87P    0.43R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        18   30  +14      80.19     8.15    31.54    22.08    40.26    81.86    54.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   29   +9      75.32     8.11    21.10     8.48    18.67    61.76    29.97P    0.07R    0.00  
Oldham           18   29   +6      68.05     8.02     7.10     1.34     3.76    26.19     7.96P    1.16R    0.03  
Colchester       18   29   +2      70.62     8.16     6.78     2.73     7.08    37.23    13.71P    0.64R    0.01  
Southampton      18   28  +10      78.52     7.89    28.30    15.90    31.65    76.72    47.27P    0.04R    0.00  
Carlisle         18   27   +8      68.47     8.12    12.52     1.60     4.57    29.25     9.98P    1.04R    0.04  
Peterborough     18   26   -3      65.51     8.57    -2.07     0.80     2.51    18.59     5.68P    3.66R    0.21  
Exeter           18   26   -4      57.61     7.76   -14.97     0.03     0.17     2.76     0.51P   16.00R    1.06  
MK_Dons          18   26   -5      64.34     8.19    -5.46     0.45     1.44    13.63     3.67P    4.07R    0.16  
Brentford        18   25   +0      62.72     7.92    -0.83     0.24     0.90     9.83     2.55P    4.95R    0.23  
Hartlepool       17   23   -4      58.09     8.12   -11.74     0.07     0.25     3.76     0.80P   15.32R    1.14  
Rochdale         18   22   +2      58.48     8.35    -1.39     0.09     0.36     4.78     1.23P   13.81R    1.05  
Plymouth         18   22   -6      62.02     8.33    -3.73     0.26     0.81     9.38     2.79P    7.19R    0.43  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   -7      56.76     8.00   -12.81     0.03     0.15     2.43     0.48P   19.21R    1.53  
Tranmere         18   22   -7      54.79     7.76   -15.36     0.00     0.03     1.21     0.21P   26.33R    2.40  
Leyton_Orient    18   21   +0      56.95     7.96    -3.67     0.04     0.15     2.74     0.57P   16.91R    1.18  
Swindon          18   21   -4      60.75     8.21    -2.32     0.15     0.56     7.21     1.99P    8.78R    0.51  
Notts_County     17   19   -7      54.63     8.40   -13.59     0.02     0.09     1.73     0.35P   28.29R    3.31  
Dag_&_Red        18   15  -13      41.30     7.69   -32.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   86.11R   42.92  
Yeovil           18   15  -16      44.90     7.79   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   74.64R   23.44  
Walsall          18   14  -15      45.58     7.77   -25.76     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   71.30R   20.34  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 November 2010, Morecambe vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            18   36  +17      82.56     7.95    28.85    31.17    66.84    93.60    73.97P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         18   35  +15      80.28     8.26    25.39    22.27    55.31    88.22    63.38P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 18   34  +15      77.89     8.13    23.23    14.41    43.72    82.23    53.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   32  +13      77.34     8.11    23.27    12.71    40.83    81.28    51.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            18   31   +8      74.27     8.10    15.35     6.34    26.07    68.37    36.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              18   28   +9      70.15     8.21    14.48     2.76    13.88    49.78    22.28P    0.05R    0.01  
Wycombe              18   28   +6      73.11     8.32    16.04     5.42    23.08    63.16    34.81P    0.03R    0.02  
Cheltenham           17   26   -1      63.20     8.24    -5.34     0.40     2.81    18.75     5.52P    0.94R    0.28  
Crewe                18   25  +12      69.94     8.37    22.13     2.87    14.24    50.22    23.87P    0.10R    0.02  
Macclesfield         18   25   -3      58.25     7.81   -10.42     0.04     0.57     6.26     1.50P    3.45R    1.07  
Stevenage            18   24   +5      62.17     8.10     5.12     0.26     2.14    16.24     5.43P    1.24R    0.34  
Aldershot            18   22   -6      58.95     8.00    -8.06     0.06     0.68     7.81     2.13P    3.15R    1.04  
Burton_Albion        18   21   +1      57.01     8.12    -3.03     0.03     0.51     5.86     1.58P    5.05R    1.72  
Accrington_Stanley   18   21   -1      56.05     8.12    -6.66     0.03     0.37     4.61     1.16P    6.71R    2.53  
Bradford             18   21   -4      58.74     8.02    -4.78     0.07     0.72     7.61     2.25P    3.23R    1.12  
Gillingham           18   21   -5      60.36     8.29    -3.56     0.11     1.34    11.64     3.86P    2.42R    0.82  
Southend             17   20   -2      65.98     8.52     7.16     0.96     5.94    30.86    13.30P    0.58R    0.19  
Oxford_Utd           18   20   -3      53.44     7.89    -9.55     0.01     0.11     2.13     0.48P   11.29R    4.55  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      49.01     7.57   -23.71     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.08P   26.41R   12.55  
Stockport            18   19  -18      47.95     7.88   -33.37     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.08P   33.47R   17.31  
Morecambe            18   18   -7      54.79     8.14    -9.87     0.01     0.22     3.24     0.83P    9.21R    3.69  
Northampton          18   18   -9      58.19     8.10    -6.43     0.05     0.60     6.95     2.12P    3.90R    1.29  
Barnet               18   16  -14      45.04     7.69   -28.73     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.03P   46.97R   27.82  
Hereford             18   15  -16      45.95     7.73   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   41.79R   23.62  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 November 2010, Kidderminster vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.67     7.52    23.62    13.03    81.17    28.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.30     7.71    35.11    23.67    89.44    40.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.53     7.11    46.74    57.19    97.64    73.55P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.45     7.68    13.89     1.20    32.71     7.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.44     7.28     2.51     0.34    17.84     3.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      69.98     7.73    12.24     0.65    22.72     4.87P    0.05R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.56     7.12    16.17     0.90    32.29     8.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.64     7.14    16.84     1.37    38.34    11.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.56     7.44    15.23     0.58    24.92     5.92P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.54     7.69    13.09     0.58    24.99     7.10P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.07     7.59    14.62     0.38    19.50     5.64P    0.05R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.40     7.43   -11.26     0.00     0.72     0.09P    4.14R    0.34  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.78     7.35    13.12     0.06     7.69     1.97P    0.22R    0.01  
York               21   26   +1      64.06     7.28     6.76     0.05     5.63     1.41P    0.31R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.51     7.14   -12.57     0.00     0.28     0.03P    6.56R    0.72  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.49     7.33    -1.23     0.02     3.64     0.73P    0.58R    0.03  
Eastbourne_Boro    20   22   -5      51.38     7.26   -16.98     0.00     0.10     0.01P   14.43R    2.33  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.69     7.24   -14.34     0.00     0.18     0.04P   10.81R    1.50  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.43     7.30   -14.05     0.00     0.20     0.03P    9.22R    1.33  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.81     7.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.43R    8.10  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.44     7.16   -28.35     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.82R    8.92  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.51     7.33   -20.85     0.00     0.01     0.00    40.72R   11.06  
Hayes_&_Yeading    21   17  -20      41.24     6.88   -38.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.07R   28.36  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.90     6.81   -45.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.46R   37.27