Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 1 December 2010 at 22:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 November 2010, Newcastle vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         15   31  +19      79.85     6.24    48.13    44.53    76.83    94.92    98.91    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   29  +19      79.22     6.15    50.19    39.82    75.65    94.32    98.65    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   29  +15      74.42     6.67    38.04    14.61    40.56    79.85    93.45    99.20     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        15   26   +8      64.93     6.70    19.48     0.75     4.51    18.00    53.42    86.93     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       15   25   +3      60.67     6.95     9.35     0.20     1.54     6.97    25.17    67.64     0.05R    0.00  
Bolton          15   23   +6      50.53     6.70    -2.04     0.00     0.03     0.32     2.24    14.51     1.92R    0.14  
Sunderland      15   20   +1      50.16     6.73    -1.69     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.77    13.19     2.54R    0.22  
Stoke           15   20   +0      47.27     6.54    -6.99     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.56     5.93     5.58R    0.57  
Newcastle       15   19   +1      49.74     7.16    -0.77     0.00     0.04     0.29     2.33    14.21     3.33R    0.34  
Liverpool       15   19   -2      59.38     6.71    11.06     0.08     0.77     4.58    19.38    62.24     0.06R    0.00  
Blackpool       15   19   -6      40.80     6.63   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.04    29.00R    5.99  
West_Brom       15   19   -6      46.29     7.06   -13.62     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.63     5.51     9.24R    1.37  
Blackburn       15   18   -7      46.30     6.78   -13.08     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.43     4.82     8.55R    1.19  
Birmingham      15   17   -2      43.81     6.56    -9.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     2.26    13.64R    2.02  
Aston_Villa     15   17   -7      48.72     6.75    -7.70     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.13     9.31     4.08R    0.43  
Everton         15   16   -2      49.43     6.76     0.26     0.00     0.01     0.19     1.59    11.74     3.08R    0.34  
Fulham          15   15   -3      42.40     6.50    -9.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.42    17.88R    2.91  
Wigan           15   14  -15      33.01     6.04   -36.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    76.26R   37.36  
Wolverhampton   15   12  -10      34.31     6.36   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    66.44R   26.83  
West_Ham        15   12  -12      35.76     6.55   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    58.34R   20.28  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 November 2010, Leicester vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              19   41  +26      85.40     7.76    36.73    50.20    75.38    96.64    80.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          19   36  +14      82.58     7.83    28.88    31.99    61.33    92.89    70.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          19   33   +8      73.85     7.62    13.89     5.06    16.17    64.43    28.40P    0.07R    0.00  
Derby            19   30  +10      67.51     7.81    10.54     1.20     4.67    33.46    10.85P    0.93R    0.08  
Norwich          19   30   +5      68.36     8.18     6.86     1.71     6.08    37.46    13.15P    1.04R    0.10  
Coventry         19   30   +5      64.53     7.67     1.34     0.50     2.02    19.78     5.41P    2.22R    0.20  
Burnley          19   29   +7      70.65     8.17    13.90     3.29    10.42    49.47    20.79P    0.47R    0.05  
Leeds_United     19   29   +0      64.96     8.03    -2.06     0.71     2.59    22.07     6.52P    2.78R    0.32  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      68.88     7.69    11.45     1.52     5.84    40.07    15.34P    0.56R    0.05  
Doncaster        19   27   +0      63.63     7.85    -0.43     0.31     1.55    17.17     4.76P    3.50R    0.41  
Reading          19   26   +6      68.77     7.86    14.62     1.68     6.32    40.66    16.57P    0.68R    0.06  
Barnsley         19   26   -6      56.87     7.52   -15.35     0.03     0.15     3.59     0.69P   16.38R    3.09  
Portsmouth       19   25   -1      66.84     8.12     6.24     1.12     4.25    31.08    12.06P    1.60R    0.19  
Leicester        19   25   -7      62.71     7.76    -5.88     0.23     1.02    13.83     4.06P    4.38R    0.53  
Watford          19   24   +2      60.96     7.97     1.43     0.23     0.95    11.27     3.25P    6.72R    1.20  
Millwall         19   24   -1      58.00     7.76    -4.91     0.03     0.26     5.36     1.27P   12.54R    2.31  
Bristol_City     19   24   -4      57.52     7.64    -8.98     0.03     0.20     4.28     1.01P   13.99R    2.55  
Hull             19   22   -5      58.60     7.87    -5.20     0.07     0.38     6.04     1.77P   11.44R    2.05  
Ipswich          19   22   -7      56.04     7.60   -11.22     0.02     0.12     2.76     0.63P   18.55R    4.17  
Sheff_Utd        19   22  -11      57.72     7.67   -12.70     0.04     0.20     4.36     1.15P   13.94R    2.50  
Scunthorpe       19   20   -9      48.66     7.59   -23.28     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.05P   55.05R   21.47  
Crystal_Palace   19   20  -12      52.42     7.57   -18.84     0.01     0.01     0.90     0.17P   35.15R    9.48  
Middlesbrough    19   18   -9      54.55     7.76    -9.48     0.02     0.10     1.97     0.54P   24.17R    5.98  
Preston          19   15  -15      44.66     7.58   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   73.87R   43.22  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 November 2010, Rochdale vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         18   36  +17      80.40     8.06    25.99    21.56    39.29    82.18    49.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         18   32   +7      79.67     8.14    21.20    19.03    35.94    78.64    47.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      18   30  +16      72.27     8.53    21.64     4.96    11.80    47.98    19.49P    0.39R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        18   30  +14      80.39     8.09    31.73    22.80    40.86    82.91    54.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   29   +9      75.21     8.17    21.00     8.58    18.68    61.32    29.83P    0.11R    0.00  
Oldham           18   29   +6      68.08     8.05     7.15     1.32     3.86    26.30     8.13P    1.13R    0.03  
Colchester       18   29   +2      70.47     8.12     6.54     2.48     6.72    36.79    13.23P    0.56R    0.01  
Southampton      18   28  +10      78.41     7.96    28.22    15.50    31.15    76.34    47.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Carlisle         18   27   +8      68.25     8.09    12.19     1.49     4.29    28.32     9.31P    1.04R    0.04  
Peterborough     18   26   -3      65.76     8.62    -1.68     0.98     2.82    19.52     6.08P    3.47R    0.18  
Exeter           18   26   -4      57.45     7.76   -15.23     0.03     0.15     2.67     0.47P   16.61R    1.03  
MK_Dons          18   26   -5      64.50     8.19    -5.24     0.46     1.46    14.42     3.74P    3.97R    0.13  
Brentford        18   25   +0      62.48     7.87    -1.16     0.20     0.73     9.11     2.36P    5.12R    0.25  
Hartlepool       17   23   -4      58.05     8.16   -11.76     0.06     0.24     3.72     0.81P   15.48R    1.18  
Rochdale         18   22   +2      58.57     8.38    -1.25     0.10     0.31     4.99     1.22P   13.73R    1.09  
Plymouth         18   22   -6      62.09     8.32    -3.59     0.23     0.83     9.40     2.85P    6.97R    0.35  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   -7      56.83     8.04   -12.64     0.03     0.13     2.64     0.57P   18.97R    1.48  
Tranmere         18   22   -7      54.75     7.74   -15.38     0.00     0.03     1.14     0.19P   26.33R    2.45  
Leyton_Orient    18   21   +0      57.06     8.01    -3.46     0.04     0.15     2.87     0.65P   16.77R    1.31  
Swindon          18   21   -4      60.65     8.11    -2.49     0.13     0.46     6.82     1.85P    8.74R    0.48  
Notts_County     17   19   -7      54.68     8.44   -13.52     0.02     0.09     1.79     0.40P   28.21R    3.41  
Dag_&_Red        18   15  -13      41.42     7.72   -32.85     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    86.00R   42.28  
Yeovil           18   15  -16      44.89     7.72   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   74.73R   23.40  
Walsall          18   14  -15      45.49     7.80   -25.95     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   71.59R   20.89  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 November 2010, Morecambe vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            18   36  +17      82.42     7.92    28.63    30.18    66.05    93.56    73.38P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         18   35  +15      80.36     8.26    25.50    22.32    55.84    88.45    63.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 18   34  +15      77.95     8.18    23.25    14.72    43.61    82.38    53.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   32  +13      77.32     8.09    23.26    12.61    40.55    80.92    51.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            18   31   +8      74.37     8.11    15.48     6.67    26.51    68.83    37.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              18   28   +9      70.26     8.17    14.73     2.76    13.80    50.11    22.46P    0.08R    0.02  
Wycombe              18   28   +6      73.21     8.39    16.19     5.80    23.18    63.46    34.55P    0.04R    0.00  
Cheltenham           17   26   -1      63.08     8.27    -5.54     0.38     2.96    18.16     5.65P    1.14R    0.35  
Crewe                18   25  +12      69.93     8.36    22.06     2.86    14.08    50.13    23.73P    0.11R    0.03  
Macclesfield         18   25   -3      58.05     7.81   -10.70     0.05     0.51     5.97     1.43P    3.72R    1.17  
Stevenage            18   24   +5      62.18     8.03     5.15     0.28     2.11    16.10     5.38P    1.09R    0.30  
Aldershot            18   22   -6      58.98     7.95    -8.07     0.08     0.73     7.57     2.06P    3.18R    0.97  
Burton_Albion        18   21   +1      57.01     8.13    -2.99     0.03     0.48     5.88     1.64P    4.92R    1.75  
Accrington_Stanley   18   21   -1      56.18     8.11    -6.45     0.03     0.34     4.67     1.05P    6.33R    2.42  
Bradford             18   21   -4      58.74     7.99    -4.81     0.07     0.67     7.53     2.18P    3.23R    1.06  
Gillingham           18   21   -5      60.37     8.24    -3.53     0.13     1.30    11.45     3.78P    2.24R    0.73  
Southend             17   20   -2      66.15     8.54     7.36     0.95     6.29    31.32    13.71P    0.53R    0.16  
Oxford_Utd           18   20   -3      53.33     7.92    -9.70     0.01     0.16     2.08     0.58P   11.44R    4.57  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      48.91     7.56   -23.84     0.00     0.02     0.43     0.09P   26.70R   12.36  
Stockport            18   19  -18      48.03     7.96   -33.24     0.00     0.02     0.51     0.12P   33.01R   17.24  
Morecambe            18   18   -7      54.64     8.10   -10.03     0.01     0.17     2.97     0.74P    9.27R    3.70  
Northampton          18   18   -9      58.32     8.12    -6.15     0.05     0.60     7.25     2.28P    3.79R    1.31  
Barnet               18   16  -14      44.96     7.62   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   47.00R   28.11  
Hereford             18   15  -16      45.87     7.76   -27.74     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.03P   42.17R   23.76  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 November 2010, Kidderminster vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.76     7.50    23.70    13.68    81.53    28.41P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.38     7.70    35.21    24.06    89.51    40.24P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.39     7.15    46.47    55.95    97.43    72.61P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.64     7.68    14.17     1.25    33.51     7.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.49     7.26     2.62     0.40    17.98     3.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.05     7.70    12.33     0.66    22.76     4.63P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.54     7.14    16.14     0.99    32.74     8.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.49     7.05    16.60     1.26    37.34    11.04P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.58     7.40    15.27     0.59    24.76     6.06P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.63     7.69    13.22     0.67    25.40     7.36P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.03     7.53    14.54     0.35    19.25     5.84P    0.04R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.22     7.45   -11.52     0.00     0.66     0.12P    4.65R    0.41  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.64     7.34    12.91     0.05     7.50     2.01P    0.24R    0.02  
York               21   26   +1      63.96     7.25     6.58     0.05     5.35     1.34P    0.31R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.63     7.17   -12.36     0.00     0.32     0.04P    6.47R    0.72  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.53     7.33    -1.13     0.02     3.54     0.70P    0.65R    0.03  
Eastbourne_Boro    20   22   -5      51.25     7.21   -17.12     0.00     0.08     0.02P   14.70R    2.26  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.45     7.17   -14.75     0.00     0.11     0.01P   11.15R    1.64  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.60     7.28   -13.75     0.00     0.20     0.02P    9.03R    1.40  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.80     7.02   -27.02     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.50R    8.19  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.50     7.19   -28.16     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.53R    8.91  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.61     7.36   -20.66     0.00     0.01     0.00    40.04R   11.01  
Hayes_&_Yeading    21   17  -20      41.23     6.83   -37.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.30R   27.80  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.89     6.84   -45.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.27R   37.57