Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 30 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 November 2010, Newcastle vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         15   31  +19      79.93     6.22    48.25    44.87    77.39    94.96    98.86    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   29  +19      79.18     6.12    50.11    39.76    75.56    94.37    98.65    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   29  +15      74.40     6.57    38.03    14.32    40.30    80.16    93.46    99.23     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        15   26   +8      64.90     6.67    19.43     0.74     4.45    17.66    53.39    86.89     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham       15   25   +3      60.65     6.93     9.30     0.23     1.52     7.01    25.07    67.58     0.03R    0.00  
Bolton          15   23   +6      50.47     6.73    -2.19     0.01     0.03     0.27     2.21    14.48     2.12R    0.16  
Sunderland      15   20   +1      50.31     6.74    -1.44     0.00     0.02     0.23     1.85    13.66     2.30R    0.21  
Stoke           15   20   +0      47.19     6.55    -7.12     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.56     5.68     5.61R    0.61  
Newcastle       15   19   +1      49.73     7.08    -0.78     0.00     0.01     0.28     2.13    13.77     3.21R    0.29  
Liverpool       15   19   -2      59.43     6.74    11.17     0.07     0.69     4.57    19.72    62.51     0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool       15   19   -6      40.88     6.59   -24.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.94    28.56R    5.78  
West_Brom       15   19   -6      46.49     7.02   -13.26     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.69     5.83     8.84R    1.24  
Blackburn       15   18   -7      46.17     6.79   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.44     4.63     9.06R    1.20  
Birmingham      15   17   -2      43.76     6.52    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     2.31    13.70R    1.97  
Aston_Villa     15   17   -7      48.59     6.82    -7.92     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.11     9.30     4.43R    0.50  
Everton         15   16   -2      49.44     6.75     0.29     0.00     0.01     0.20     1.54    11.51     3.08R    0.36  
Fulham          15   15   -3      42.62     6.55    -8.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.64    17.12R    2.75  
Wigan           15   14  -15      32.95     6.02   -37.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    76.41R   37.75  
Wolverhampton   15   12  -10      34.18     6.29   -25.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    67.29R   26.98  
West_Ham        15   12  -12      35.78     6.56   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    58.16R   20.19  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 November 2010, Leicester vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              19   41  +26      85.46     7.79    36.81    50.14    75.30    96.76    81.07P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          19   36  +14      82.66     7.84    29.05    32.45    61.65    92.78    70.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          19   33   +8      73.85     7.66    13.85     4.88    16.00    64.44    28.52P    0.09R    0.01  
Derby            19   30  +10      67.64     7.84    10.72     1.31     4.89    34.26    11.04P    0.85R    0.08  
Norwich          19   30   +5      68.48     8.18     7.04     1.81     6.27    37.79    13.51P    0.88R    0.07  
Coventry         19   30   +5      64.20     7.66     0.88     0.37     1.78    18.66     4.87P    2.40R    0.23  
Burnley          19   29   +7      70.35     8.23    13.49     3.11     9.98    47.98    20.16P    0.53R    0.05  
Leeds_United     19   29   +0      65.12     8.14    -1.81     0.76     2.84    23.06     7.11P    2.71R    0.30  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      68.77     7.73    11.27     1.44     5.66    39.13    14.86P    0.64R    0.07  
Doncaster        19   27   +0      63.73     7.80    -0.31     0.32     1.54    17.37     4.68P    3.29R    0.35  
Reading          19   26   +6      68.68     7.86    14.52     1.59     6.11    40.07    16.02P    0.67R    0.07  
Barnsley         19   26   -6      57.02     7.60   -15.18     0.04     0.20     3.81     0.75P   16.15R    2.94  
Portsmouth       19   25   -1      67.09     8.14     6.62     1.14     4.50    31.94    12.52P    1.45R    0.15  
Leicester        19   25   -7      62.81     7.72    -5.76     0.19     1.05    13.93     4.04P    4.18R    0.59  
Watford          19   24   +2      60.89     7.98     1.26     0.23     0.97    11.00     3.17P    6.80R    1.12  
Millwall         19   24   -1      58.02     7.76    -4.88     0.05     0.27     5.38     1.33P   12.42R    2.33  
Bristol_City     19   24   -4      57.72     7.68    -8.71     0.03     0.22     4.75     1.04P   13.56R    2.51  
Hull             19   22   -5      58.60     7.89    -5.26     0.08     0.35     6.30     1.80P   11.42R    2.07  
Ipswich          19   22   -7      55.79     7.66   -11.54     0.01     0.10     2.66     0.64P   19.76R    4.32  
Sheff_Utd        19   22  -11      57.58     7.73   -12.87     0.03     0.21     4.45     1.18P   14.50R    2.66  
Scunthorpe       19   20   -9      48.56     7.61   -23.45     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.07P   55.55R   22.02  
Crystal_Palace   19   20  -12      52.41     7.64   -18.88     0.00     0.02     0.97     0.22P   35.13R    9.67  
Middlesbrough    19   18   -9      54.57     7.79    -9.41     0.01     0.07     2.11     0.60P   23.80R    5.96  
Preston          19   15  -15      44.74     7.67   -27.44     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   73.22R   42.41  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 November 2010, Rochdale vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         18   36  +17      80.35     8.09    25.93    21.67    39.23    81.79    49.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         18   32   +7      79.77     8.11    21.37    19.07    35.87    79.43    48.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      18   30  +16      72.18     8.50    21.54     4.79    11.50    47.57    19.17P    0.44R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        18   30  +14      80.49     8.08    31.91    23.01    41.29    83.09    55.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   29   +9      75.18     8.13    20.89     8.19    18.23    61.26    29.31P    0.10R    0.00  
Oldham           18   29   +6      68.00     8.01     7.06     1.28     3.65    26.07     7.84P    1.09R    0.02  
Colchester       18   29   +2      70.65     8.18     6.88     2.68     7.20    37.53    13.87P    0.59R    0.01  
Southampton      18   28  +10      78.43     7.96    28.22    15.47    31.07    76.35    46.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Carlisle         18   27   +8      68.23     8.06    12.15     1.43     4.24    28.10     9.30P    1.06R    0.03  
Peterborough     18   26   -3      65.48     8.60    -2.12     0.95     2.65    18.55     5.63P    3.61R    0.18  
Exeter           18   26   -4      57.60     7.80   -15.00     0.03     0.15     2.77     0.52P   16.07R    1.14  
MK_Dons          18   26   -5      64.60     8.23    -5.04     0.49     1.59    14.46     3.93P    4.01R    0.16  
Brentford        18   25   +0      62.55     7.87    -1.04     0.25     0.84     9.10     2.45P    5.00R    0.23  
Hartlepool       17   23   -4      58.06     8.15   -11.82     0.05     0.21     3.73     0.79P   15.52R    1.07  
Rochdale         18   22   +2      58.78     8.36    -0.95     0.12     0.41     5.30     1.37P   13.24R    0.93  
Plymouth         18   22   -6      62.11     8.38    -3.55     0.25     0.89     9.66     2.99P    6.96R    0.42  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   -7      56.70     8.03   -12.97     0.04     0.14     2.51     0.56P   19.32R    1.65  
Tranmere         18   22   -7      54.63     7.70   -15.56     0.01     0.04     1.12     0.22P   26.80R    2.34  
Leyton_Orient    18   21   +0      56.94     8.03    -3.71     0.03     0.13     2.73     0.64P   17.09R    1.30  
Swindon          18   21   -4      60.58     8.14    -2.53     0.15     0.54     6.89     1.93P    8.85R    0.50  
Notts_County     17   19   -7      54.70     8.49   -13.46     0.04     0.12     1.87     0.45P   28.15R    3.46  
Dag_&_Red        18   15  -13      41.42     7.69   -32.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    86.10R   42.14  
Yeovil           18   15  -16      44.93     7.73   -29.38     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   74.47R   23.27  
Walsall          18   14  -15      45.43     7.83   -26.06     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   71.46R   21.14  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 November 2010, Morecambe vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            18   36  +17      82.32     7.89    28.51    30.11    65.80    93.51    73.22P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         18   35  +15      80.28     8.26    25.38    22.50    55.31    88.29    63.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 18   34  +15      77.95     8.17    23.25    14.96    43.82    82.61    53.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   32  +13      77.24     8.09    23.11    12.46    40.55    80.80    51.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            18   31   +8      74.25     8.09    15.27     6.75    26.08    68.19    36.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              18   28   +9      70.17     8.19    14.56     2.63    13.92    49.78    22.30P    0.07R    0.02  
Wycombe              18   28   +6      73.21     8.37    16.16     5.65    23.57    63.73    35.25P    0.03R    0.01  
Cheltenham           17   26   -1      63.18     8.22    -5.32     0.38     2.81    18.47     5.55P    1.11R    0.33  
Crewe                18   25  +12      70.02     8.37    22.24     2.90    14.79    50.91    24.29P    0.10R    0.03  
Macclesfield         18   25   -3      58.11     7.82   -10.67     0.05     0.57     6.00     1.44P    3.68R    1.24  
Stevenage            18   24   +5      62.34     8.06     5.33     0.27     2.16    16.60     5.39P    1.04R    0.27  
Aldershot            18   22   -6      59.17     8.04    -7.79     0.07     0.79     8.24     2.32P    3.09R    0.98  
Burton_Albion        18   21   +1      57.00     8.05    -3.02     0.05     0.53     5.74     1.57P    4.90R    1.70  
Accrington_Stanley   18   21   -1      56.10     8.11    -6.58     0.03     0.34     4.66     1.14P    6.68R    2.44  
Bradford             18   21   -4      58.65     7.99    -4.90     0.05     0.64     7.43     2.10P    3.23R    1.01  
Gillingham           18   21   -5      60.34     8.24    -3.58     0.14     1.34    11.41     3.97P    2.29R    0.73  
Southend             17   20   -2      66.09     8.44     7.33     0.93     6.08    30.91    13.48P    0.56R    0.18  
Oxford_Utd           18   20   -3      53.28     7.89    -9.74     0.00     0.11     2.00     0.50P   11.54R    4.66  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      49.02     7.55   -23.65     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.09P   26.21R   12.16  
Stockport            18   19  -18      48.11     7.94   -33.10     0.00     0.04     0.48     0.11P   33.11R   17.25  
Morecambe            18   18   -7      54.77     8.03    -9.82     0.02     0.19     2.85     0.79P    8.93R    3.49  
Northampton          18   18   -9      58.08     8.05    -6.55     0.04     0.55     6.66     2.02P    4.18R    1.45  
Barnet               18   16  -14      45.03     7.66   -28.78     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.03P   46.92R   28.14  
Hereford             18   15  -16      45.92     7.79   -27.67     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.03P   42.31R   23.90  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 November 2010, Kidderminster vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.71     7.52    23.68    13.43    81.53    28.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.41     7.73    35.23    24.20    89.69    40.48P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.51     7.13    46.69    56.49    97.76    73.22P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.50     7.62    13.95     1.12    33.01     6.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      21   34   +1      69.60     7.22     2.77     0.39    18.26     3.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.06     7.74    12.36     0.61    22.86     4.81P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.58     7.12    16.19     0.85    32.49     8.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.58     7.05    16.73     1.23    37.81    11.02P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.66     7.35    15.39     0.56    24.96     6.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.58     7.66    13.17     0.67    25.11     7.33P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      68.97     7.55    14.42     0.31    19.03     5.62P    0.04R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.29     7.44   -11.43     0.01     0.70     0.14P    4.38R    0.43  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.67     7.28    12.96     0.06     7.21     1.82P    0.23R    0.01  
York               21   26   +1      63.92     7.23     6.55     0.05     5.24     1.38P    0.30R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.52     7.18   -12.55     0.00     0.31     0.04P    6.53R    0.78  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.47     7.35    -1.22     0.02     3.61     0.75P    0.59R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    20   22   -5      51.36     7.37   -16.97     0.00     0.09     0.01P   14.77R    2.42  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.61     7.16   -14.48     0.00     0.12     0.01P   10.65R    1.47  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.58     7.33   -13.80     0.00     0.18     0.02P    9.17R    1.31  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.77     6.97   -27.06     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.23R    7.70  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.50     7.17   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.00P   36.30R    8.74  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.37     7.39   -21.04     0.00     0.01     0.00    41.44R   11.74  
Hayes_&_Yeading    21   17  -20      41.27     6.84   -37.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.93R   27.69  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.86     6.80   -45.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.30R   37.66