Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 29 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 November 2010, Newcastle vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         15   31  +19      79.73     6.25    47.91    43.90    76.26    94.78    98.77    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   29  +19      79.21     6.06    50.24    40.24    75.68    94.47    98.74    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   29  +15      74.49     6.60    38.19    14.70    41.10    80.45    93.55    99.26     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        15   26   +8      64.85     6.72    19.37     0.84     4.56    17.50    53.00    86.40     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham       15   25   +3      60.62     6.89     9.25     0.22     1.48     6.72    24.83    67.43     0.04R    0.00  
Bolton          15   23   +6      50.49     6.73    -2.08     0.01     0.03     0.31     2.21    14.52     2.07R    0.16  
Sunderland      15   20   +1      50.29     6.75    -1.50     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.84    13.75     2.33R    0.21  
Stoke           15   20   +0      47.33     6.58    -6.94     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.63     6.14     5.56R    0.58  
Newcastle       15   19   +1      49.69     7.09    -0.83     0.00     0.01     0.28     2.05    13.74     3.28R    0.31  
Liverpool       15   19   -2      59.43     6.77    11.14     0.08     0.79     4.74    20.08    62.55     0.08R    0.00  
Blackpool       15   19   -6      40.80     6.58   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.87    28.61R    5.83  
West_Brom       15   19   -6      46.36     6.98   -13.49     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.59     5.36     8.94R    1.23  
Blackburn       15   18   -7      46.27     6.79   -13.08     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.49     4.76     8.63R    1.12  
Birmingham      15   17   -2      43.74     6.56    -9.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     2.23    13.74R    1.91  
Aston_Villa     15   17   -7      48.80     6.79    -7.62     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.26     9.54     4.04R    0.45  
Everton         15   16   -2      49.54     6.74     0.45     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.62    11.75     2.84R    0.30  
Fulham          15   15   -3      42.50     6.53    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.62    17.30R    2.85  
Wigan           15   14  -15      32.88     5.99   -37.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    77.00R   37.97  
Wolverhampton   15   12  -10      34.31     6.34   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    66.63R   26.37  
West_Ham        15   12  -12      35.66     6.56   -25.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    58.92R   20.72  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 November 2010, Leicester vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              19   41  +26      85.44     7.75    36.82    50.29    75.43    96.75    81.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          19   36  +14      82.59     7.93    28.95    31.96    61.28    92.53    70.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          19   33   +8      73.80     7.61    13.79     4.92    15.94    64.20    28.49P    0.09R    0.00  
Derby            19   30  +10      67.70     7.86    10.81     1.37     5.04    34.62    11.38P    0.86R    0.10  
Norwich          19   30   +5      68.56     8.13     7.15     1.70     6.23    38.16    13.46P    0.92R    0.08  
Coventry         19   30   +5      64.51     7.60     1.30     0.45     1.92    19.40     5.29P    2.11R    0.21  
Burnley          19   29   +7      70.58     8.18    13.83     3.35    10.48    48.75    20.63P    0.47R    0.03  
Leeds_United     19   29   +0      65.23     8.05    -1.63     0.74     2.78    22.89     6.93P    2.44R    0.30  
Nott'm_Forest    19   27   +4      68.84     7.71    11.37     1.52     5.79    39.53    15.11P    0.62R    0.05  
Doncaster        19   27   +0      63.66     7.88    -0.39     0.33     1.52    17.77     4.78P    3.35R    0.41  
Reading          19   26   +6      68.62     7.90    14.45     1.67     6.15    39.74    16.03P    0.74R    0.08  
Barnsley         19   26   -6      56.99     7.49   -15.23     0.03     0.16     3.46     0.71P   15.85R    2.77  
Portsmouth       19   25   -1      66.82     8.14     6.26     1.05     4.11    30.73    11.81P    1.65R    0.21  
Leicester        19   25   -7      62.73     7.76    -5.87     0.19     0.99    13.79     3.98P    4.46R    0.61  
Watford          19   24   +2      60.90     7.90     1.27     0.22     0.84    10.82     3.00P    6.53R    1.08  
Millwall         19   24   -1      58.06     7.75    -4.82     0.05     0.26     5.39     1.31P   12.21R    2.19  
Bristol_City     19   24   -4      57.64     7.73    -8.94     0.02     0.24     4.64     1.13P   13.82R    2.48  
Hull             19   22   -5      58.59     7.90    -5.26     0.06     0.36     6.25     1.72P   11.57R    2.14  
Ipswich          19   22   -7      55.91     7.67   -11.39     0.03     0.13     2.89     0.65P   19.43R    4.04  
Sheff_Utd        19   22  -11      57.72     7.69   -12.65     0.04     0.23     4.42     1.18P   13.67R    2.57  
Scunthorpe       19   20   -9      48.36     7.52   -23.84     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.05P   56.73R   22.29  
Crystal_Palace   19   20  -12      52.44     7.60   -18.81     0.00     0.03     0.96     0.22P   34.85R    9.50  
Middlesbrough    19   18   -9      54.49     7.71    -9.48     0.01     0.08     1.96     0.54P   23.83R    5.91  
Preston          19   15  -15      44.59     7.62   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   73.80R   42.93  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 November 2010, Rochdale vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         18   36  +17      80.53     8.04    26.16    22.19    40.00    82.73    49.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         18   32   +7      79.74     8.13    21.33    19.33    36.10    79.23    48.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      18   30  +16      72.25     8.48    21.66     4.96    11.63    47.68    19.14P    0.38R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        18   30  +14      80.26     8.10    31.62    22.34    40.17    82.30    54.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   29   +9      75.12     8.20    20.82     8.22    18.37    60.82    29.47P    0.11R    0.00  
Oldham           18   29   +6      68.15     8.00     7.24     1.25     3.69    26.50     7.95P    1.05R    0.02  
Colchester       18   29   +2      70.67     8.12     6.88     2.86     7.26    37.16    13.85P    0.53R    0.01  
Southampton      18   28  +10      78.35     7.93    28.08    15.15    30.95    75.91    46.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Carlisle         18   27   +8      68.44     8.14    12.49     1.58     4.66    29.22    10.09P    1.00R    0.04  
Peterborough     18   26   -3      65.70     8.49    -1.79     0.81     2.52    18.79     5.67P    3.31R    0.13  
Exeter           18   26   -4      57.50     7.73   -15.18     0.04     0.15     2.68     0.48P   16.34R    1.06  
MK_Dons          18   26   -5      64.46     8.15    -5.31     0.42     1.39    13.92     3.76P    3.86R    0.16  
Brentford        18   25   +0      62.57     7.88    -1.07     0.22     0.69     9.30     2.36P    5.05R    0.22  
Hartlepool       17   23   -4      57.97     8.14   -11.93     0.06     0.27     3.74     0.90P   15.87R    1.08  
Rochdale         18   22   +2      58.68     8.39    -1.06     0.12     0.40     5.15     1.36P   13.28R    0.99  
Plymouth         18   22   -6      62.14     8.37    -3.51     0.23     0.83     9.61     2.89P    6.95R    0.35  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   -7      56.65     8.00   -13.09     0.02     0.13     2.53     0.53P   19.42R    1.63  
Tranmere         18   22   -7      54.62     7.76   -15.61     0.01     0.03     1.14     0.22P   27.18R    2.42  
Leyton_Orient    18   21   +0      57.03     7.96    -3.55     0.03     0.13     2.73     0.61P   16.73R    1.28  
Swindon          18   21   -4      60.54     8.17    -2.65     0.13     0.52     6.74     1.86P    8.85R    0.58  
Notts_County     17   19   -7      54.86     8.52   -13.27     0.03     0.11     2.01     0.47P   27.53R    3.27  
Dag_&_Red        18   15  -13      41.27     7.70   -33.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   86.29R   43.12  
Yeovil           18   15  -16      44.77     7.69   -29.58     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   75.50R   23.69  
Walsall          18   14  -15      45.64     7.81   -25.69     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   70.71R   19.93  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 November 2010, Morecambe vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            18   36  +17      82.51     7.93    28.78    30.70    66.49    93.61    73.75P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         18   35  +15      80.50     8.27    25.72    22.96    56.58    88.92    64.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 18   34  +15      77.87     8.14    23.19    14.39    43.46    82.40    53.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   32  +13      77.26     8.12    23.15    12.39    40.68    80.87    51.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            18   31   +8      74.23     8.11    15.23     6.48    25.65    68.12    36.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              18   28   +9      70.11     8.14    14.47     2.59    13.41    49.61    21.93P    0.09R    0.02  
Wycombe              18   28   +6      73.33     8.37    16.37     5.69    23.67    64.28    35.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           17   26   -1      63.12     8.30    -5.49     0.39     2.93    18.47     5.65P    1.07R    0.25  
Crewe                18   25  +12      69.96     8.29    22.09     2.82    14.19    50.11    23.85P    0.09R    0.02  
Macclesfield         18   25   -3      58.12     7.79   -10.58     0.05     0.48     6.16     1.43P    3.60R    1.17  
Stevenage            18   24   +5      62.22     8.00     5.21     0.28     2.03    15.99     5.25P    1.00R    0.29  
Aldershot            18   22   -6      59.03     7.97    -7.99     0.06     0.69     7.79     2.10P    3.17R    1.02  
Burton_Albion        18   21   +1      56.95     8.07    -3.13     0.03     0.46     5.81     1.54P    4.89R    1.77  
Accrington_Stanley   18   21   -1      56.08     8.17    -6.58     0.02     0.35     4.72     1.12P    6.70R    2.53  
Bradford             18   21   -4      58.65     7.91    -4.92     0.05     0.63     7.14     2.03P    3.24R    1.15  
Gillingham           18   21   -5      60.34     8.29    -3.61     0.14     1.33    11.54     3.94P    2.37R    0.78  
Southend             17   20   -2      65.97     8.59     7.18     0.90     6.08    30.84    13.48P    0.59R    0.17  
Oxford_Utd           18   20   -3      53.35     7.94    -9.67     0.01     0.11     2.17     0.53P   11.50R    4.78  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      49.02     7.56   -23.62     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.06P   26.18R   12.02  
Stockport            18   19  -18      48.18     7.98   -32.96     0.00     0.02     0.53     0.14P   32.53R   16.98  
Morecambe            18   18   -7      54.63     8.13   -10.05     0.01     0.19     3.04     0.79P    9.41R    3.84  
Northampton          18   18   -9      58.36     8.09    -6.13     0.05     0.54     7.18     2.18P    3.74R    1.27  
Barnet               18   16  -14      44.92     7.66   -28.93     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   47.49R   28.21  
Hereford             18   15  -16      45.87     7.74   -27.71     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.04P   42.33R   23.71  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 November 2010, Cambridge_Utd vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.71     7.51    23.66    13.31    81.08    27.75P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.33     7.68    35.13    23.44    89.19    40.15P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.56     7.13    46.82    57.06    97.55    73.59P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.58     7.64    14.03     1.13    33.00     6.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.27     7.74    12.63     0.65    23.38     5.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.62     7.12    16.24     0.91    32.39     8.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      20   33   +1      70.20     7.49     3.06     0.51    20.94     4.35P    0.03R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.53     7.09    16.63     1.32    37.25    11.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.49     7.35    15.15     0.51    23.64     5.52P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.59     7.64    13.23     0.62    24.50     7.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.04     7.53    14.57     0.38    18.83     5.51P    0.05R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.28     7.45   -11.50     0.00     0.66     0.11P    4.19R    0.41  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.74     7.34    13.07     0.05     7.60     1.95P    0.21R    0.01  
York               20   25   +1      64.11     7.37     6.30     0.08     5.82     1.47P    0.33R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.60     7.21   -12.46     0.00     0.22     0.03P    6.48R    0.76  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.48     7.40    -1.23     0.03     3.51     0.71P    0.64R    0.03  
Eastbourne_Boro    20   22   -5      51.38     7.28   -16.94     0.00     0.09     0.01P   14.24R    2.24  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.55     7.21   -14.55     0.00     0.11     0.02P   10.91R    1.54  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.58     7.26   -13.77     0.00     0.20     0.02P    8.93R    1.37  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.63     6.98   -27.39     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.12R    8.41  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.38     7.17   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.76R    9.06  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.32     7.32   -21.08     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.40R   11.34  
Hayes_&_Yeading    21   17  -20      41.27     6.87   -37.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.98R   27.96  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.96     6.84   -45.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.61R   36.86