Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 27 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 November 2010, Aston_Villa vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         15   31  +19      79.86     6.23    48.09    40.02    75.11    94.56    98.75    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   29  +15      74.67     6.60    38.44    13.35    39.13    80.52    93.83    99.32     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         14   28  +19      80.52     6.29    51.86    45.74    79.52    95.52    99.01    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        15   26   +8      64.83     6.74    19.29     0.63     4.03    16.64    51.91    86.67     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          15   23   +6      50.57     6.70    -1.94     0.00     0.02     0.29     2.18    15.00     1.88R    0.13  
Tottenham       14   22   +2      58.89     7.14     7.98     0.11     0.81     4.58    18.54    58.35     0.14R    0.01  
Sunderland      15   20   +1      50.19     6.74    -1.69     0.00     0.01     0.20     1.72    13.55     2.43R    0.21  
Stoke           15   20   +0      47.19     6.56    -7.11     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.59     6.13     5.67R    0.61  
Liverpool       14   19   -1      60.95     6.97    12.33     0.15     1.31     6.98    27.41    70.45     0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool       15   19   -6      40.88     6.64   -24.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.03    28.38R    5.71  
West_Brom       15   19   -6      46.48     7.02   -13.29     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.63     6.09     8.91R    1.14  
Newcastle       14   18   +1      49.00     7.37    -2.66     0.00     0.03     0.27     2.00    12.82     4.60R    0.49  
Blackburn       15   18   -7      46.27     6.78   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.43     4.84     8.58R    1.22  
Birmingham      15   17   -2      43.70     6.56    -9.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     2.40    13.46R    1.98  
Aston_Villa     15   17   -7      48.68     6.80    -7.73     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.25     9.62     4.08R    0.48  
Everton         15   16   -2      49.41     6.74     0.21     0.00     0.02     0.16     1.47    12.01     2.98R    0.29  
Fulham          15   15   -3      42.56     6.56    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.64    17.36R    2.73  
Wigan           15   14  -15      32.83     5.97   -37.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    77.32R   38.58  
Wolverhampton   15   12  -10      34.30     6.35   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    66.29R   26.33  
West_Ham        15   12  -12      35.73     6.55   -25.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    57.88R   20.10  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 November 2010, Barnsley vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              19   41  +26      85.66     7.74    37.15    51.07    76.11    97.04    81.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          19   36  +14      82.55     7.89    28.83    31.22    60.60    92.54    70.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          19   33   +8      73.73     7.57    13.70     4.74    15.22    63.95    27.86P    0.09R    0.00  
Derby            19   30  +10      67.79     7.86    10.99     1.32     5.05    35.19    11.54P    0.74R    0.05  
Coventry         19   30   +5      64.31     7.66     1.03     0.39     1.78    19.04     4.92P    2.32R    0.23  
Burnley          19   29   +7      70.58     8.26    13.85     3.24    10.48    48.67    20.77P    0.51R    0.05  
Leeds_United     19   29   +0      64.95     8.17    -2.06     0.67     2.65    22.51     6.69P    2.90R    0.35  
Nott'm_Forest    18   27   +5      70.62     7.90    12.94     2.57     8.94    48.77    19.85P    0.36R    0.04  
Norwich          18   27   +2      66.04     8.39     2.82     0.99     3.77    27.40     8.96P    2.24R    0.29  
Doncaster        19   27   +1      64.16     7.81     1.32     0.37     1.70    19.00     5.21P    2.81R    0.35  
Reading          19   26   +6      68.92     7.89    14.87     1.78     6.40    41.35    16.66P    0.64R    0.06  
Barnsley         19   26   -6      56.81     7.50   -15.42     0.03     0.14     3.29     0.65P   16.43R    3.04  
Portsmouth       19   25   -1      67.06     8.10     6.58     1.05     4.28    31.58    12.12P    1.43R    0.16  
Watford          19   24   +2      60.88     7.95     1.26     0.21     0.92    11.11     3.05P    6.80R    1.11  
Millwall         19   24   -1      57.98     7.81    -4.90     0.04     0.24     5.36     1.28P   12.74R    2.36  
Bristol_City     19   24   -4      57.85     7.70    -8.55     0.02     0.21     4.77     1.10P   13.13R    2.42  
Ipswich          18   22   -4      57.85     7.84    -7.49     0.04     0.23     5.24     1.29P   13.25R    2.60  
Hull             19   22   -6      57.99     7.86    -7.15     0.05     0.28     5.31     1.45P   13.01R    2.44  
Leicester        18   22   -8      60.73     8.04    -7.42     0.14     0.69    10.03     2.83P    7.87R    1.33  
Sheff_Utd        19   22  -11      57.68     7.71   -12.74     0.03     0.20     4.46     1.19P   13.97R    2.46  
Scunthorpe       19   20   -9      48.41     7.61   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P   56.18R   22.33  
Crystal_Palace   19   20  -12      52.33     7.65   -18.95     0.01     0.03     0.94     0.22P   35.46R   10.09  
Middlesbrough    19   18   -9      54.51     7.74    -9.49     0.01     0.07     2.05     0.54P   23.93R    5.88  
Preston          19   15  -15      44.73     7.66   -27.41     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   73.20R   42.36  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 November 2010, Rochdale vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         18   36  +17      80.28     8.09    25.83    21.10    38.88    81.66    48.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         18   32   +7      79.57     8.11    21.06    18.64    34.94    78.63    46.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      18   30  +16      72.20     8.46    21.60     4.85    11.65    47.62    19.56P    0.42R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        18   30  +14      80.36     8.09    31.70    22.58    40.71    82.58    54.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   29   +9      75.40     8.18    21.19     8.76    19.24    62.19    30.54P    0.10R    0.00  
Oldham           18   29   +6      68.13     8.09     7.21     1.26     3.85    26.81     8.19P    1.09R    0.03  
Colchester       18   29   +2      70.69     8.16     6.94     2.67     7.12    37.56    13.91P    0.59R    0.02  
Southampton      18   28  +10      78.58     8.02    28.45    16.31    31.87    76.55    47.17P    0.03R    0.00  
Carlisle         18   27   +8      68.43     8.13    12.49     1.55     4.36    28.96     9.65P    1.09R    0.03  
Peterborough     18   26   -3      65.63     8.57    -1.88     0.91     2.65    18.66     5.64P    3.38R    0.16  
Exeter           18   26   -4      57.67     7.80   -14.88     0.03     0.16     2.79     0.48P   16.18R    0.98  
MK_Dons          18   26   -5      64.26     8.16    -5.60     0.46     1.44    13.46     3.59P    4.05R    0.18  
Brentford        18   25   +0      62.64     7.85    -0.95     0.24     0.77     9.52     2.43P    4.82R    0.24  
Hartlepool       17   23   -4      58.11     8.07   -11.72     0.06     0.25     3.68     0.78P   15.23R    1.11  
Rochdale         18   22   +2      58.47     8.40    -1.43     0.11     0.35     4.86     1.21P   14.11R    1.08  
Plymouth         18   22   -6      62.05     8.27    -3.65     0.21     0.77     9.20     2.63P    6.92R    0.42  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   -7      56.70     8.01   -12.90     0.03     0.16     2.51     0.59P   19.32R    1.58  
Tranmere         18   22   -7      54.79     7.76   -15.35     0.01     0.04     1.22     0.21P   26.33R    2.30  
Leyton_Orient    18   21   +0      56.90     7.99    -3.72     0.03     0.15     2.69     0.64P   17.34R    1.34  
Swindon          18   21   -4      60.56     8.14    -2.62     0.16     0.54     6.86     1.83P    8.83R    0.49  
Notts_County     17   19   -7      54.87     8.47   -13.22     0.03     0.11     1.88     0.42P   27.74R    3.15  
Dag_&_Red        18   15  -13      41.24     7.71   -33.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    86.37R   42.60  
Yeovil           18   15  -16      44.80     7.73   -29.59     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   75.05R   23.96  
Walsall          18   14  -15      45.54     7.81   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   70.98R   20.32  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 November 2010, Morecambe vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            18   36  +17      82.37     7.90    28.60    30.24    65.77    93.33    73.05P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         18   35  +15      80.36     8.26    25.47    22.41    55.59    88.52    63.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 18   34  +15      77.89     8.10    23.18    14.34    43.46    82.23    53.04P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   32  +13      77.31     8.10    23.25    12.92    40.79    80.88    51.33P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            18   31   +8      74.28     8.05    15.35     6.48    25.94    68.45    36.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              18   28   +9      70.07     8.18    14.42     2.53    13.29    49.46    21.74P    0.09R    0.03  
Wycombe              18   28   +6      73.42     8.36    16.51     5.97    24.39    64.37    35.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Cheltenham           17   26   -1      63.24     8.22    -5.27     0.40     2.83    18.50     5.52P    0.99R    0.29  
Crewe                18   25  +12      70.08     8.37    22.27     3.01    14.72    50.81    24.42P    0.09R    0.02  
Macclesfield         18   25   -3      58.17     7.84   -10.62     0.05     0.62     6.23     1.56P    3.49R    1.13  
Stevenage            18   24   +5      62.27     8.00     5.27     0.23     1.97    16.08     5.21P    1.03R    0.27  
Aldershot            18   22   -6      59.03     7.96    -8.00     0.05     0.70     7.66     2.05P    3.09R    1.02  
Burton_Albion        18   21   +1      57.09     8.05    -2.87     0.04     0.47     5.62     1.53P    4.83R    1.72  
Accrington_Stanley   18   21   -1      56.08     8.11    -6.62     0.02     0.32     4.43     1.08P    6.48R    2.36  
Bradford             18   21   -4      58.72     8.00    -4.80     0.07     0.77     7.55     2.24P    3.20R    1.08  
Gillingham           18   21   -5      60.36     8.28    -3.50     0.15     1.30    11.44     3.82P    2.39R    0.76  
Southend             17   20   -2      66.26     8.48     7.56     1.02     6.25    31.42    13.82P    0.44R    0.12  
Oxford_Utd           18   20   -3      53.36     7.94    -9.62     0.02     0.12     2.12     0.53P   11.20R    4.57  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      48.98     7.51   -23.74     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.06P   25.89R   12.02  
Stockport            18   19  -18      47.90     7.94   -33.45     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.09P   33.75R   17.51  
Morecambe            18   18   -7      54.58     8.11   -10.13     0.01     0.19     3.00     0.78P    9.34R    3.65  
Northampton          18   18   -9      58.14     8.09    -6.44     0.03     0.49     6.76     2.13P    4.03R    1.46  
Barnet               18   16  -14      45.00     7.65   -28.81     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   46.70R   27.54  
Hereford             18   15  -16      45.71     7.79   -28.01     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   42.93R   24.44  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 November 2010, Cambridge_Utd vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.71     7.51    23.64    13.31    81.12    28.25P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.14     7.75    34.84    23.25    88.67    39.52P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.48     7.11    46.69    57.03    97.64    73.58P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   37  +12      72.44     7.65    13.90     1.17    32.19     6.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.03     7.80    12.31     0.65    22.73     4.94P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.53     7.09    16.13     0.86    31.91     8.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      20   33   +1      70.22     7.49     3.11     0.59    20.97     4.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.68     7.10    16.89     1.38    38.01    11.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   31   +7      70.70     7.34    15.45     0.59    24.46     5.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.58     7.64    13.13     0.67    24.60     6.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.14     7.52    14.73     0.33    19.07     5.40P    0.04R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.51     7.53   -11.19     0.00     0.82     0.11P    4.21R    0.36  
Cambridge_Utd      21   26   +6      64.75     7.32    13.07     0.06     7.51     1.94P    0.26R    0.00  
York               20   25   +1      64.19     7.46     6.42     0.08     6.18     1.58P    0.35R    0.03  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.41     7.19   -12.81     0.00     0.29     0.03P    6.65R    0.79  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.51     7.31    -1.16     0.02     3.43     0.73P    0.60R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    20   22   -5      51.26     7.26   -17.14     0.00     0.08     0.01P   14.66R    2.38  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.64     7.20   -14.42     0.00     0.14     0.02P   10.44R    1.44  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.46     7.32   -14.02     0.00     0.16     0.02P    9.48R    1.46  
Forest_Green       21   20  -14      46.79     7.02   -27.12     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.20R    8.05  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.50     7.18   -28.23     0.00     0.01     0.01P   36.17R    8.86  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.36     7.38   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.58R   11.76  
Hayes_&_Yeading    21   17  -20      41.31     6.85   -37.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.73R   27.51  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.88     6.80   -45.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.52R   37.32