Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 26 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 November 2010, Sunderland vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         14   28  +19      80.51     6.30    51.57    54.62    84.35    95.82    98.93    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   28  +13      77.92     6.50    40.75    32.79    70.52    90.87    97.25    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         14   26  +13      72.58     6.83    35.11    10.90    34.71    71.66    88.46    97.86     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        14   25   +8      65.36     6.89    19.60     1.23     6.72    23.56    54.22    85.21     0.00R    0.00  
Bolton          14   22   +6      51.76     6.92    -0.37     0.01     0.08     0.67     3.31    17.26     1.20R    0.09  
Tottenham       14   22   +2      58.77     7.08     7.87     0.21     1.30     5.63    17.56    52.62     0.08R    0.00  
Sunderland      14   20   +2      52.00     6.92     0.28     0.01     0.09     0.69     3.17    17.54     1.24R    0.10  
Stoke           14   19   +0      47.39     6.75    -7.14     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.72     5.69     4.89R    0.52  
Liverpool       14   19   -1      60.89     7.01    12.28     0.22     1.92     8.93    26.42    65.58     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle       14   18   +1      49.05     7.28    -2.47     0.00     0.06     0.36     1.83    10.78     3.62R    0.34  
Blackburn       14   18   -1      47.93     6.89    -6.48     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.82     6.77     4.66R    0.48  
Blackpool       14   18   -6      40.29     6.79   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.75    29.30R    5.81  
Aston_Villa     14   17   -5      50.34     7.01    -5.08     0.01     0.07     0.48     2.29    12.51     2.35R    0.22  
Everton         14   16   +1      52.81     6.91     6.58     0.01     0.15     0.96     4.45    22.19     0.92R    0.07  
Birmingham      14   16   -2      43.85     6.68    -9.50     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20     2.02    11.98R    1.58  
West_Brom       14   16   -9      42.36     7.05   -20.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     1.64    20.07R    3.60  
Fulham          14   14   -3      43.29     6.66    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     1.85    13.17R    1.84  
Wigan           14   14  -13      34.11     6.22   -34.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    67.27R   25.47  
Wolverhampton   14    9  -11      32.19     6.49   -26.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    74.13R   34.63  
West_Ham        14    9  -14      34.02     6.67   -27.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    65.07R   25.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 November 2010, Swansea vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              18   38  +25      83.91     7.98    35.94    40.37    67.24    94.59    74.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          18   36  +15      84.16     8.12    30.27    40.91    67.14    94.14    75.14P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          19   33   +8      73.70     7.61    13.64     4.78    14.95    62.85    27.14P    0.07R    0.00  
Derby            18   30  +11      68.93     8.10    11.64     1.94     6.65    39.75    13.74P    0.68R    0.05  
Leeds_United     18   28   +0      64.74     8.40    -3.19     0.80     2.90    21.68     6.58P    3.32R    0.47  
Nott'm_Forest    18   27   +5      70.63     7.90    13.00     2.51     8.87    47.58    19.53P    0.37R    0.05  
Coventry         18   27   +3      61.93     7.82    -2.16     0.21     0.98    12.20     2.96P    5.09R    0.69  
Doncaster        18   27   +2      65.78     8.08     2.72     0.74     2.87    24.76     7.38P    2.21R    0.27  
Norwich          18   27   +2      65.97     8.34     2.66     0.90     3.57    26.52     8.67P    2.19R    0.24  
Burnley          18   26   +6      68.99     8.53    12.84     2.49     8.03    40.84    16.87P    1.10R    0.13  
Reading          18   25   +6      70.04     8.05    16.12     2.36     8.44    46.12    19.53P    0.60R    0.07  
Portsmouth       19   25   -1      67.22     8.12     6.86     1.19     4.50    31.74    12.40P    1.41R    0.16  
Barnsley         18   25   -6      57.34     7.79   -15.47     0.04     0.19     4.24     0.84P   15.76R    3.13  
Watford          18   23   +2      61.39     8.18     1.40     0.28     1.22    12.19     3.64P    6.69R    1.13  
Millwall         18   23   -1      58.19     8.07    -5.31     0.08     0.38     5.97     1.42P   12.99R    2.77  
Ipswich          18   22   -4      57.90     7.87    -7.45     0.05     0.27     4.97     1.23P   13.25R    2.74  
Leicester        18   22   -8      60.62     7.99    -7.63     0.13     0.65     9.38     2.75P    7.96R    1.30  
Sheff_Utd        18   22   -8      60.17     7.91    -8.10     0.10     0.53     8.32     2.30P    8.51R    1.49  
Hull             18   21   -6      58.22     8.08    -7.24     0.09     0.35     5.75     1.52P   13.26R    2.61  
Bristol_City     18   21   -7      54.96     7.87   -13.44     0.01     0.12     2.35     0.57P   23.61R    5.97  
Scunthorpe       18   20   -7      50.64     7.86   -20.34     0.00     0.03     0.67     0.13P   44.28R   15.24  
Middlesbrough    18   17   -9      55.40     7.89    -8.74     0.01     0.11     2.61     0.73P   20.95R    5.19  
Crystal_Palace   18   17  -13      50.53     7.88   -20.42     0.00     0.02     0.66     0.16P   44.87R   15.57  
Preston          18   14  -15      45.17     7.92   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   70.82R   40.72  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 November 2010, Bournemouth vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         18   36  +17      80.30     8.04    25.87    21.22    38.97    81.65    48.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         18   32   +7      79.59     8.13    21.08    18.99    35.27    78.26    47.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      18   30  +16      72.38     8.45    21.83     4.97    11.89    48.12    19.82P    0.34R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        18   30  +14      80.13     8.08    31.45    21.83    39.78    81.67    53.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   29   +9      75.27     8.13    21.03     8.51    18.70    61.47    29.99P    0.10R    0.00  
Colchester       18   29   +2      70.78     8.13     7.06     2.78     7.22    38.24    14.17P    0.53R    0.01  
Southampton      18   28  +10      78.45     8.08    28.25    16.21    31.73    75.93    46.92P    0.03R    0.00  
Oldham           17   28   +6      68.12     8.31     6.69     1.46     4.20    27.11     8.53P    1.31R    0.04  
Carlisle         18   27   +8      68.31     8.08    12.28     1.58     4.36    28.24     9.47P    1.07R    0.02  
Peterborough     18   26   -3      65.59     8.57    -1.91     0.96     2.69    18.59     5.59P    3.54R    0.20  
Exeter           18   26   -4      57.57     7.80   -15.10     0.05     0.17     2.82     0.48P   16.51R    1.07  
MK_Dons          18   26   -5      64.46     8.16    -5.25     0.47     1.59    14.02     3.91P    3.88R    0.15  
Brentford        18   25   +0      62.60     7.89    -1.00     0.23     0.80     9.25     2.38P    5.08R    0.24  
Hartlepool       17   23   -4      58.08     8.14   -11.78     0.08     0.26     3.87     0.88P   15.68R    1.08  
Plymouth         18   22   -6      62.13     8.35    -3.55     0.25     0.86     9.54     2.86P    7.00R    0.37  
Bristol_Rovers   18   22   -7      56.62     8.04   -13.09     0.02     0.13     2.42     0.56P   20.13R    1.71  
Tranmere         18   22   -7      54.68     7.77   -15.52     0.01     0.06     1.16     0.24P   26.80R    2.56  
Rochdale         17   21   +2      59.31     8.61    -0.72     0.16     0.55     6.25     1.69P   12.45R    1.00  
Leyton_Orient    18   21   +0      57.04     7.98    -3.54     0.03     0.13     2.62     0.57P   16.92R    1.28  
Swindon          18   21   -4      60.56     8.18    -2.61     0.17     0.57     6.83     1.94P    8.95R    0.52  
Notts_County     17   19   -7      54.59     8.44   -13.67     0.02     0.08     1.78     0.38P   28.46R    3.52  
Dag_&_Red        18   15  -13      41.41     7.73   -32.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   85.87R   42.59  
Yeovil           18   15  -16      44.95     7.73   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   74.64R   23.24  
Walsall          18   14  -15      45.67     7.80   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   70.68R   20.40  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 November 2010, Barnet vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            18   36  +17      82.44     7.87    28.71    30.49    66.65    93.71    73.78P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         18   35  +15      80.39     8.25    25.53    22.64    56.39    88.92    64.46P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 18   34  +15      77.92     8.13    23.26    14.72    44.18    83.05    53.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   32  +13      77.34     8.13    23.22    12.87    41.32    81.57    51.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            18   31   +8      74.24     8.05    15.29     6.53    26.31    68.89    37.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              18   28   +9      70.10     8.19    14.47     2.84    13.84    49.83    22.27P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              18   28   +6      73.34     8.37    16.37     5.87    24.27    65.08    35.91P    0.03R    0.01  
Cheltenham           17   26   -1      63.12     8.17    -5.40     0.37     2.78    18.48     5.52P    1.10R    0.34  
Macclesfield         18   25   -3      58.05     7.78   -10.68     0.05     0.51     6.21     1.40P    3.71R    1.19  
Stevenage            18   24   +5      62.31     8.03     5.33     0.25     2.27    17.01     5.71P    1.13R    0.31  
Crewe                17   22  +11      68.08     8.62    20.63     2.00    10.71    42.40    19.37P    0.33R    0.08  
Aldershot            18   22   -6      59.11     7.96    -7.86     0.07     0.77     8.27     2.28P    3.15R    1.06  
Burton_Albion        18   21   +1      57.23     8.12    -2.66     0.04     0.57     6.28     1.77P    5.04R    1.80  
Accrington_Stanley   18   21   -1      56.03     8.09    -6.74     0.04     0.36     4.66     1.07P    6.67R    2.52  
Bradford             18   21   -4      58.78     7.99    -4.70     0.07     0.72     7.84     2.34P    3.28R    1.11  
Gillingham           18   21   -5      60.19     8.28    -3.78     0.13     1.34    11.45     3.94P    2.58R    0.80  
Southend             17   20   -2      65.82     8.52     6.90     0.92     5.81    30.54    12.94P    0.60R    0.15  
Oxford_Utd           18   20   -3      53.42     7.91    -9.58     0.00     0.12     2.18     0.49P   11.40R    4.60  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      48.95     7.54   -23.76     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.09P   26.68R   12.56  
Stockport            18   19  -18      48.13     7.91   -33.02     0.00     0.03     0.52     0.11P   32.97R   17.03  
Morecambe            17   18   -6      56.44     8.36    -8.47     0.02     0.44     5.37     1.50P    6.68R    2.60  
Northampton          18   18   -9      58.11     8.13    -6.50     0.05     0.60     6.96     2.24P    4.11R    1.40  
Barnet               18   16  -14      45.00     7.71   -28.79     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   47.47R   28.14  
Hereford             18   15  -16      45.87     7.82   -27.75     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P   43.01R   24.27  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 25 November 2010, Histon vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.80     7.52    23.74    13.02    80.62    27.84P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.33     7.71    35.12    23.21    88.94    39.75P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.65     7.09    46.96    56.90    97.60    73.42P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     20   34  +11      71.87     7.90    14.55     1.14    29.83     6.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.01     7.72    12.23     0.60    21.72     4.53P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster      20   33   +1      70.04     7.48     2.84     0.43    19.98     4.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham            20   32   +8      73.31     7.32    16.69     1.28    35.64     9.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   20   31   +5      74.61     7.32    17.69     1.76    42.61    12.85P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          20   30   +7      70.41     7.60    14.42     0.56    23.38     5.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.58     7.68    13.16     0.64    24.31     6.75P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.27     7.52    14.89     0.32    19.23     5.53P    0.04R    0.00  
Bath_City          21   27   -3      56.28     7.49   -11.53     0.00     0.67     0.08P    4.79R    0.51  
York               20   25   +1      64.12     7.43     6.30     0.07     5.95     1.47P    0.29R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.43     7.20   -12.64     0.00     0.27     0.03P    6.91R    0.94  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.62     7.39    -1.02     0.03     3.69     0.72P    0.62R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd      20   23   +2      63.11     7.57     9.06     0.05     5.14     1.41P    0.63R    0.06  
Eastbourne_Boro    20   22   -5      51.40     7.28   -16.93     0.00     0.07     0.01P   15.10R    2.55  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.61     7.24   -14.51     0.00     0.12     0.02P   11.42R    1.73  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.27     7.35   -14.25     0.00     0.19     0.04P   10.31R    1.72  
Forest_Green       20   19  -14      46.76     7.30   -27.61     0.00     0.01     0.00P   36.31R    9.85  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.55     7.21   -28.14     0.00     0.01     0.00    37.24R    9.75  
Southport          20   18   -8      45.15     7.31   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.27R   13.34  
Hayes_&_Yeading    20   17  -19      41.80     7.00   -38.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.99R   27.78  
Altrincham         20   14  -27      41.26     7.03   -41.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.94R   31.71