Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 21 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 November 2010, Blackburn vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         14   28  +19      80.42     6.28    51.35    53.98    83.92    95.82    98.96    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   28  +13      78.03     6.49    40.84    33.72    71.42    91.12    97.39    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         14   26  +13      72.39     6.87    34.83    10.51    34.07    70.73    87.54    97.72     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        14   25   +8      65.35     6.88    19.59     1.29     6.82    23.41    53.69    84.62     0.00R    0.00  
Bolton          14   22   +6      51.70     6.85    -0.43     0.01     0.09     0.70     3.18    16.26     1.19R    0.08  
Tottenham       14   22   +2      58.78     7.09     7.91     0.17     1.22     5.61    17.74    52.37     0.09R    0.00  
Sunderland      13   19   +2      52.27     7.12     0.25     0.01     0.12     0.78     3.60    18.99     1.36R    0.11  
Stoke           14   19   +0      47.31     6.73    -7.23     0.00     0.03     0.15     0.69     5.35     5.07R    0.50  
Liverpool       14   19   -1      60.96     6.96    12.33     0.27     2.03     9.29    26.49    65.51     0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle       14   18   +1      49.26     7.31    -2.11     0.01     0.04     0.39     1.97    11.25     3.61R    0.35  
Blackburn       14   18   -1      48.06     6.89    -6.26     0.00     0.02     0.16     0.90     6.81     4.32R    0.46  
Blackpool       14   18   -6      40.42     6.80   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.77    29.05R    5.65  
Aston_Villa     14   17   -5      50.17     6.98    -5.30     0.00     0.05     0.47     2.06    11.56     2.49R    0.24  
Birmingham      14   16   -2      43.81     6.67    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     1.87    12.29R    1.63  
West_Brom       14   16   -9      42.22     7.05   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     1.51    20.71R    3.79  
Everton         13   15   +1      53.07     7.22     6.45     0.03     0.19     1.31     5.23    23.76     1.09R    0.08  
Fulham          14   14   -3      43.37     6.72    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.20     1.88    13.31R    1.82  
Wigan           14   14  -13      34.21     6.24   -34.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    66.46R   24.73  
Wolverhampton   14    9  -11      32.21     6.50   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    74.05R   34.86  
West_Ham        14    9  -14      34.03     6.73   -27.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    64.87R   25.70  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 November 2010, Barnsley vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              18   38  +25      84.02     8.03    36.22    39.88    66.25    94.48    74.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          18   36  +15      84.18     8.06    30.41    39.67    65.85    94.33    74.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          18   33   +9      75.63     7.81    15.47     7.48    20.99    70.62    33.61P    0.04R    0.00  
Derby            18   30  +11      69.10     8.10    11.73     1.92     6.68    40.08    13.79P    0.62R    0.06  
Leeds_United     18   28   +0      64.58     8.40    -3.51     0.67     2.55    20.79     6.20P    3.37R    0.49  
Nott'm_Forest    18   27   +5      70.76     7.92    13.14     2.56     8.65    47.77    19.29P    0.35R    0.02  
Doncaster        18   27   +2      65.86     8.09     2.80     0.72     2.84    24.78     7.27P    2.05R    0.24  
Norwich          18   27   +2      66.05     8.38     2.81     0.91     3.49    26.34     8.60P    2.21R    0.27  
Coventry         18   27   +2      61.76     7.87    -3.67     0.17     0.83    11.47     2.73P    5.53R    0.79  
Burnley          18   26   +6      69.07     8.43    12.99     2.22     7.32    41.09    16.34P    0.92R    0.12  
Reading          18   25   +6      70.16     8.07    16.40     2.48     8.43    46.19    19.95P    0.49R    0.06  
Barnsley         18   25   -5      57.60     7.84   -14.15     0.03     0.23     4.34     0.93P   14.85R    3.02  
Ipswich          18   24   -2      60.76     7.91    -4.25     0.13     0.61     9.47     2.44P    7.15R    1.21  
Watford          18   23   +2      61.41     8.19     1.35     0.25     1.02    12.15     3.48P    6.53R    1.16  
Millwall         18   23   +0      58.91     8.13    -3.44     0.08     0.43     6.97     1.80P   11.23R    2.14  
Portsmouth       18   22   -2      64.46     8.33     4.16     0.54     2.32    21.31     7.71P    3.37R    0.49  
Leicester        18   22   -8      60.57     7.96    -7.76     0.12     0.57     8.99     2.59P    7.91R    1.30  
Sheff_Utd        18   22   -8      60.13     7.97    -8.20     0.08     0.50     8.05     2.24P    8.72R    1.51  
Hull             18   21   -6      58.20     8.12    -7.35     0.07     0.30     5.62     1.56P   13.42R    2.69  
Scunthorpe       18   20   -7      50.85     7.88   -20.08     0.00     0.02     0.81     0.17P   43.12R   14.47  
Bristol_City     18   20   -9      53.29     7.81   -16.65     0.01     0.06     1.33     0.31P   30.79R    8.37  
Middlesbrough    18   17  -10      54.94     7.93   -10.43     0.01     0.07     2.25     0.60P   22.75R    6.00  
Crystal_Palace   18   17  -13      50.65     7.83   -20.27     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.16P   43.68R   14.88  
Preston          18   14  -15      45.12     7.82   -27.71     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   70.91R   40.72  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 November 2010, Brighton vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         17   35  +17      80.23     8.32    25.20    20.91    38.05    79.65    47.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         17   31   +7      81.03     8.34    22.80    23.41    41.22    81.86    52.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       17   29   +4      73.20     8.32    10.60     5.09    12.03    48.52    20.27P    0.26R    0.01  
Bournemouth      17   27  +14      70.66     8.80    19.73     3.59     8.90    39.39    15.51P    0.86R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        17   27  +11      78.44     8.42    28.25    15.37    30.67    74.30    45.11P    0.07R    0.00  
Southampton      17   27  +10      79.54     8.14    29.48    19.27    36.08    78.87    50.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Oldham           16   27   +6      69.05     8.50     7.54     1.98     5.32    30.14     9.89P    1.11R    0.03  
Carlisle         17   26   +8      69.41     8.28    13.35     2.07     5.59    32.38    11.40P    0.80R    0.02  
Huddersfield     17   26   +6      73.13     8.39    17.21     5.27    12.59    50.11    22.41P    0.28R    0.01  
MK_Dons          17   26   -2      66.35     8.39    -1.43     0.86     2.61    19.67     6.01P    2.57R    0.09  
Peterborough     17   25   -3      66.68     8.83    -0.76     1.19     3.46    21.99     7.02P    3.04R    0.19  
Exeter           17   25   -4      57.43     7.88   -15.63     0.03     0.16     2.55     0.48P   17.01R    1.24  
Brentford        17   22   -2      59.75     8.17    -4.81     0.11     0.41     5.20     1.30P   10.80R    0.87  
Tranmere         17   22   -6      56.79     8.04   -13.49     0.02     0.11     2.35     0.55P   19.35R    1.76  
Swindon          17   21   -3      62.49     8.41    -0.76     0.29     1.03    10.41     3.08P    6.44R    0.38  
Bristol_Rovers   17   21   -7      56.03     8.24   -14.71     0.04     0.14     2.30     0.51P   22.42R    2.47  
Rochdale         16   20   +2      58.77     8.86    -2.25     0.16     0.54     5.81     1.59P   14.40R    1.50  
Leyton_Orient    17   20   +0      56.82     8.15    -4.50     0.05     0.16     2.86     0.62P   17.95R    1.68  
Hartlepool       16   20   -5      56.11     8.37   -13.47     0.05     0.17     2.45     0.61P   22.40R    2.54  
Plymouth         17   19   -7      61.02     8.59    -3.78     0.20     0.71     7.88     2.43P    9.26R    0.72  
Notts_County     16   16   -8      52.45     8.69   -15.69     0.01     0.06     1.08     0.28P   37.53R    6.66  
Dag_&_Red        17   15  -12      42.17     7.91   -32.88     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   82.90R   41.58  
Yeovil           17   15  -14      46.31     7.99   -27.45     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   67.46R   20.74  
Walsall          17   14  -12      47.09     8.01   -22.55     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   63.06R   17.46  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 November 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         17   35  +16      82.88     8.40    28.19    36.55    69.99    93.68    75.84P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            17   33  +12      79.16     8.12    21.34    18.25    52.13    87.18    61.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 17   31  +10      74.39     8.28    15.40     8.14    29.86    70.86    39.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            17   30   +8      75.14     8.26    16.03     9.04    32.94    73.96    43.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           17   29   +9      75.26     8.28    18.63     9.45    34.11    74.84    44.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              17   28   +8      76.27     8.57    20.71    12.31    39.44    77.62    51.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              17   25   +7      67.07     8.32    10.31     1.50     8.87    37.58    15.48P    0.38R    0.12  
Macclesfield         17   25   -1      60.41     8.08    -7.23     0.14     1.49    12.24     3.23P    2.79R    0.94  
Stevenage            17   23   +5      62.83     8.32     5.51     0.48     3.46    20.64     7.44P    1.44R    0.47  
Cheltenham           16   23   -3      60.25     8.41    -9.44     0.18     1.68    12.78     3.68P    3.64R    1.31  
Crewe                17   22  +11      67.91     8.56    20.40     2.12    11.62    43.46    20.50P    0.40R    0.12  
Burton_Albion        17   21   +2      59.05     8.30    -0.97     0.13     1.30    10.72     3.29P    4.09R    1.47  
Accrington_Stanley   17   20   -1      56.15     8.33    -7.09     0.06     0.58     5.64     1.45P    8.74R    3.57  
Bradford             17   20   -4      59.53     8.16    -4.18     0.10     1.12    10.44     3.23P    3.89R    1.34  
Southend             16   19   -2      66.32     8.82     7.16     1.31     8.27    35.36    16.52P    0.84R    0.27  
Aldershot            17   19   -7      56.76     8.09    -9.94     0.04     0.47     5.54     1.50P    7.24R    2.90  
Lincoln_City         17   19   -7      52.01     7.82   -15.98     0.01     0.07     1.44     0.31P   18.23R    8.20  
Stockport            17   19  -13      51.34     8.27   -24.76     0.01     0.12     1.72     0.43P   23.07R   11.35  
Morecambe            17   18   -6      56.32     8.32    -8.63     0.04     0.53     5.67     1.63P    8.31R    3.52  
Gillingham           17   18   -6      58.34     8.47    -5.13     0.10     1.10     9.09     3.17P    5.56R    2.19  
Oxford_Utd           17   17   -4      50.20     8.03   -12.85     0.00     0.06     1.15     0.25P   24.78R   12.53  
Northampton          17   17   -9      57.91     8.26    -7.36     0.07     0.78     7.63     2.50P    5.82R    2.21  
Barnet               17   16  -13      46.51     7.87   -27.40     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.04P   44.33R   26.99  
Hereford             17   15  -12      47.80     7.94   -22.73     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.11P   36.40R   20.51  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 November 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      20   41  +14      82.72     7.55    23.63    13.07    80.57    27.69P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.29     7.73    35.10    23.14    88.71    39.20P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.64     7.13    46.92    56.80    97.56    73.38P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     20   34  +11      71.78     7.92    14.48     1.20    29.56     6.55P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      70.18     7.82    12.50     0.57    23.14     5.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Kidderminster      20   33   +1      70.25     7.53     3.10     0.53    21.03     4.27P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham            20   32   +8      73.45     7.36    16.85     1.32    36.59     9.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   20   31   +5      74.40     7.35    17.35     1.78    41.66    12.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          20   30   +7      70.42     7.61    14.47     0.50    24.09     5.59P    0.05R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.54     7.69    13.04     0.61    24.32     6.88P    0.04R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.25     7.51    14.84     0.38    19.10     5.81P    0.05R    0.00  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.62     7.17   -12.40     0.00     0.25     0.04P    7.02R    0.92  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.36     7.37    -1.38     0.02     3.32     0.68P    0.74R    0.04  
Bath_City          20   24   -4      53.73     7.74   -13.98     0.00     0.35     0.05P   10.79R    1.60  
Cambridge_Utd      20   23   +2      63.02     7.54     8.89     0.04     5.04     1.31P    0.67R    0.06  
York               19   22   -1      62.69     7.57     4.57     0.04     4.22     0.98P    0.77R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Boro    20   22   -5      51.34     7.30   -17.02     0.00     0.10     0.01P   16.46R    2.90  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.72     7.26   -14.27     0.00     0.13     0.02P   11.95R    1.89  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.49     7.33   -13.95     0.00     0.20     0.02P   10.45R    1.74  
Forest_Green       20   19  -14      46.62     7.20   -27.86     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.62R   10.81  
Histon             19   19  -14      48.67     7.44   -25.92     0.00     0.03     0.00P   28.52R    6.76  
Southport          19   18   -6      46.49     7.59   -19.42     0.00     0.02     0.00P   38.25R   11.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    20   17  -19      41.76     7.02   -38.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.51R   29.80  
Altrincham         20   14  -27      41.34     6.94   -41.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.00R   32.42