Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 20 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 November 2010, Arsenal vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         14   28  +19      80.30     6.28    51.23    53.37    84.51    96.42    99.07    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   28  +13      78.04     6.44    40.90    34.54    72.84    92.83    97.84    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         14   26  +13      72.44     6.88    34.88    10.98    35.08    74.72    89.23    97.72     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          14   22   +6      51.90     6.87    -0.07     0.00     0.09     0.82     3.94    17.81     1.21R    0.08  
Man_City        13   22   +5      62.63     7.10    14.68     0.64     3.79    15.21    40.31    73.53     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham       14   22   +2      58.79     7.09     7.99     0.20     1.38     6.45    20.21    52.98     0.11R    0.01  
Sunderland      13   19   +2      52.21     7.14     0.20     0.01     0.11     0.96     4.47    19.31     1.33R    0.10  
Stoke           14   19   +0      47.33     6.75    -7.16     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.94     5.79     4.98R    0.52  
Liverpool       14   19   -1      60.71     6.88    11.98     0.23     1.80     9.26    28.97    64.72     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle       14   18   +1      49.25     7.29    -2.14     0.00     0.06     0.49     2.37    11.51     3.52R    0.32  
Blackpool       14   18   -6      40.19     6.74   -26.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.68    30.05R    5.88  
Aston_Villa     13   17   -3      52.38     7.19    -2.00     0.01     0.14     1.18     5.04    19.93     1.43R    0.10  
Birmingham      14   16   -2      43.64     6.67    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.24     1.96    12.87R    1.78  
West_Brom       14   16   -9      42.38     7.07   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.24     1.72    20.32R    3.75  
Everton         13   15   +1      53.00     7.07     6.32     0.01     0.16     1.22     5.76    23.84     0.93R    0.06  
Blackburn       13   15   -3      45.89     7.09    -9.19     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.68     4.50     8.88R    1.24  
Fulham          13   14   +0      45.51     6.93    -3.75     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.62     4.20     8.21R    0.98  
Wigan           14   14  -13      34.05     6.19   -34.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    68.02R   25.90  
Wolverhampton   14    9  -11      32.40     6.46   -26.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    73.20R   33.83  
West_Ham        14    9  -14      34.11     6.70   -27.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    64.88R   25.47  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 November 2010, Barnsley vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              18   38  +25      83.76     7.95    35.74    38.94    65.35    94.41    73.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          18   36  +15      84.12     8.09    30.24    40.16    65.98    94.15    74.19P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          18   33   +9      75.68     7.80    15.54     7.78    21.77    71.44    34.69P    0.04R    0.00  
Derby            18   30  +11      69.04     8.07    11.72     1.95     6.76    40.38    14.05P    0.60R    0.03  
Leeds_United     18   28   +0      64.85     8.37    -3.02     0.72     2.72    21.92     6.60P    3.24R    0.43  
Nott'm_Forest    18   27   +5      70.77     7.90    13.16     2.59     8.68    48.45    19.81P    0.35R    0.03  
Coventry         18   27   +3      61.94     7.86    -2.12     0.18     0.92    12.14     3.02P    5.27R    0.80  
Norwich          18   27   +2      66.07     8.37     2.88     0.92     3.40    26.73     8.46P    2.15R    0.25  
Doncaster        18   27   +1      65.32     8.09     1.00     0.67     2.45    22.92     6.56P    2.43R    0.27  
Burnley          18   26   +6      69.07     8.49    13.05     2.28     7.75    41.59    16.90P    1.06R    0.12  
Reading          18   25   +6      69.99     8.15    16.03     2.45     8.20    45.70    19.25P    0.53R    0.05  
Barnsley         18   25   -6      57.22     7.76   -15.67     0.05     0.19     3.95     0.77P   15.98R    3.15  
Watford          18   23   +2      61.14     8.25     0.96     0.28     1.01    12.00     3.27P    6.97R    1.25  
Millwall         18   23   -1      58.42     8.04    -4.99     0.07     0.36     6.13     1.49P   12.41R    2.62  
Portsmouth       18   22   -2      64.68     8.27     4.50     0.58     2.46    22.06     8.05P    3.21R    0.50  
Ipswich          18   22   -4      57.91     7.87    -7.36     0.04     0.25     5.05     1.18P   13.13R    2.73  
Leicester        18   22   -8      60.60     8.07    -7.64     0.13     0.62     9.44     2.77P    7.98R    1.50  
Sheff_Utd        18   22   -8      60.14     7.94    -8.16     0.09     0.46     8.23     2.25P    8.75R    1.46  
Hull             18   21   -5      58.79     8.12    -5.39     0.10     0.42     6.71     1.94P   11.72R    2.23  
Bristol_City     18   21   -7      55.01     7.86   -13.38     0.00     0.09     2.46     0.56P   23.36R    5.72  
Scunthorpe       18   20   -7      50.75     7.88   -20.08     0.00     0.03     0.83     0.13P   43.78R   14.75  
Middlesbrough    18   17   -9      55.19     7.96    -9.02     0.02     0.11     2.59     0.67P   21.77R    5.40  
Crystal_Palace   18   17  -13      50.54     7.83   -20.31     0.01     0.02     0.62     0.12P   44.34R   15.34  
Preston          18   14  -15      45.09     7.94   -27.71     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   70.93R   41.36  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 November 2010, Brighton vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         17   35  +17      80.32     8.29    25.32    20.97    38.19    79.91    47.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         17   31   +7      80.88     8.31    22.69    22.60    40.31    81.47    51.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       17   29   +4      73.43     8.37    10.91     5.19    12.86    49.48    21.41P    0.24R    0.01  
Bournemouth      17   27  +14      70.64     8.78    19.67     3.47     8.72    39.42    15.42P    0.87R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        17   27  +11      78.48     8.39    28.36    15.86    31.11    74.30    45.34P    0.05R    0.00  
Southampton      17   27  +10      79.64     8.16    29.62    19.78    36.16    79.08    50.90P    0.03R    0.00  
Oldham           16   27   +6      68.89     8.48     7.30     1.75     4.94    29.54     9.56P    1.20R    0.03  
Carlisle         17   26   +8      69.36     8.34    13.26     2.02     5.60    32.02    11.56P    0.97R    0.03  
Huddersfield     17   26   +6      73.16     8.37    17.25     5.31    12.66    49.77    22.20P    0.30R    0.00  
MK_Dons          17   26   -2      66.41     8.41    -1.40     0.90     2.63    19.74     5.91P    2.49R    0.12  
Peterborough     17   25   -3      66.62     8.89    -0.86     1.21     3.43    21.99     6.99P    3.17R    0.19  
Exeter           17   25   -4      57.38     7.98   -15.73     0.05     0.18     2.74     0.53P   17.21R    1.49  
Brentford        17   22   -2      59.73     8.09    -4.81     0.10     0.35     5.02     1.25P   10.45R    0.77  
Tranmere         17   22   -6      56.62     8.01   -13.72     0.02     0.10     2.10     0.44P   19.56R    1.95  
Swindon          17   21   -3      62.58     8.39    -0.64     0.27     1.02    10.59     3.04P    6.00R    0.39  
Bristol_Rovers   17   21   -7      56.12     8.25   -14.62     0.03     0.14     2.29     0.50P   22.00R    2.51  
Rochdale         16   20   +2      59.01     8.94    -1.90     0.18     0.58     6.25     1.78P   13.97R    1.41  
Leyton_Orient    17   20   +0      56.89     8.17    -4.35     0.04     0.17     2.87     0.69P   17.59R    1.64  
Hartlepool       16   20   -5      56.00     8.42   -13.66     0.03     0.15     2.53     0.54P   23.03R    2.66  
Plymouth         17   19   -7      60.92     8.62    -3.88     0.20     0.64     7.64     2.32P    9.54R    0.87  
Notts_County     16   16   -8      52.34     8.73   -15.85     0.00     0.04     1.01     0.21P   38.26R    7.17  
Dag_&_Red        17   15  -12      42.27     7.98   -32.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   82.54R   40.83  
Yeovil           17   15  -14      46.29     8.00   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   67.45R   20.48  
Walsall          17   14  -12      47.03     8.05   -22.71     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   63.05R   17.44  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 November 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         17   35  +16      82.95     8.45    28.33    37.13    70.05    93.71    75.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            17   33  +12      79.06     8.02    21.21    18.03    51.85    87.31    60.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 17   31  +10      74.56     8.29    15.66     8.37    30.90    71.63    40.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            17   30   +8      74.88     8.29    15.69     8.63    31.77    72.85    42.27P    0.02R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           17   29   +9      75.20     8.25    18.55     9.06    33.54    74.87    44.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              17   28   +8      76.30     8.53    20.72    12.35    39.95    77.76    51.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              17   25   +7      67.13     8.37    10.36     1.60     9.13    37.83    15.84P    0.34R    0.10  
Macclesfield         17   25   -1      60.54     8.10    -7.05     0.18     1.59    12.44     3.49P    2.71R    0.86  
Stevenage            17   23   +5      62.87     8.24     5.60     0.38     3.34    20.71     7.38P    1.37R    0.45  
Cheltenham           16   23   -3      60.47     8.34    -9.06     0.22     1.80    12.90     3.68P    3.12R    1.02  
Crewe                17   22  +11      67.89     8.55    20.38     2.10    11.45    43.32    20.04P    0.43R    0.13  
Burton_Albion        17   21   +2      59.18     8.27    -0.77     0.12     1.28    10.71     3.24P    3.90R    1.45  
Accrington_Stanley   17   20   -1      56.12     8.28    -7.14     0.04     0.53     5.62     1.52P    8.42R    3.40  
Bradford             17   20   -4      59.33     8.11    -4.48     0.11     1.09     9.91     3.05P    3.80R    1.34  
Southend             16   19   -2      66.50     8.68     7.39     1.36     8.39    35.19    16.56P    0.65R    0.18  
Aldershot            17   19   -7      56.80     8.12    -9.93     0.03     0.47     5.59     1.46P    7.17R    2.92  
Lincoln_City         17   19   -7      51.71     7.82   -16.47     0.00     0.07     1.39     0.30P   19.17R    8.55  
Stockport            17   19  -13      51.17     8.24   -25.04     0.01     0.13     1.54     0.40P   23.38R   11.51  
Morecambe            17   18   -6      56.39     8.30    -8.49     0.07     0.57     5.71     1.72P    8.19R    3.37  
Gillingham           17   18   -6      58.39     8.45    -5.04     0.12     1.12     9.16     3.08P    5.15R    2.10  
Oxford_Utd           17   17   -4      50.07     8.05   -13.03     0.01     0.07     1.10     0.27P   25.43R   12.66  
Northampton          17   17   -9      58.09     8.25    -7.04     0.07     0.87     7.93     2.68P    5.46R    2.04  
Barnet               17   16  -13      46.40     7.89   -27.67     0.00     0.02     0.32     0.07P   44.72R   27.55  
Hereford             17   15  -12      47.80     7.99   -22.68     0.00     0.02     0.50     0.11P   36.53R   20.36  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 November 2010, Bath_City vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.32     7.66    35.12    24.01    89.31    40.20P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.54     7.13    46.78    57.97    97.51    73.98P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      19   38  +13      81.40     7.66    22.98    10.47    75.83    24.81P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     20   34  +11      71.76     7.93    14.39     1.17    30.20     6.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     20   33  +10      69.89     7.75    12.13     0.61    22.11     4.76P    0.05R    0.00  
Kidderminster      20   33   +1      70.20     7.48     3.06     0.56    20.76     4.21P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham            20   32   +8      73.41     7.33    16.87     1.40    36.76     9.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   20   31   +5      74.64     7.29    17.73     2.02    43.28    13.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          20   30   +7      70.57     7.55    14.69     0.65    24.58     5.83P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.67     7.61    13.27     0.63    25.04     7.12P    0.05R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.15     7.53    14.69     0.36    19.05     5.54P    0.05R    0.00  
Kettering          19   25   -3      63.49     7.55    -0.68     0.06     5.05     1.00P    0.58R    0.05  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.52     7.18   -12.59     0.00     0.27     0.02P    7.44R    0.95  
Bath_City          20   24   -4      53.74     7.66   -13.99     0.00     0.37     0.05P   10.41R    1.51  
Cambridge_Utd      20   23   +2      62.87     7.53     8.68     0.03     5.00     1.24P    0.73R    0.06  
York               19   22   -1      62.83     7.61     4.80     0.06     4.39     1.10P    0.84R    0.08  
Eastbourne_Boro    20   22   -5      51.34     7.29   -16.92     0.00     0.11     0.01P   16.50R    2.91  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.44     7.23   -14.68     0.00     0.13     0.02P   12.57R    1.87  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.31     7.30   -14.14     0.00     0.19     0.02P   10.83R    1.97  
Forest_Green       20   19  -14      46.72     7.22   -27.64     0.00     0.02     0.00P   37.91R   10.36  
Histon             19   19  -14      48.64     7.47   -25.96     0.00     0.04     0.00P   29.04R    7.07  
Southport          19   18   -6      46.61     7.55   -19.19     0.00     0.02     0.00P   37.62R   10.79  
Hayes_&_Yeading    20   17  -19      41.85     7.04   -38.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.49R   29.41  
Altrincham         20   14  -27      41.35     7.06   -41.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.79R   32.96