Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 19 November 2010 at 22:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, Chelsea vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         13   28  +20      83.08     6.47    54.64    62.35    87.88    98.24    99.61    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         13   26  +14      75.28     7.02    38.23    13.79    45.13    85.03    94.97    99.14     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   25  +11      77.75     6.56    41.75    23.35    62.60    92.37    97.86    99.75     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   22   +5      62.68     7.09    14.71     0.33     2.57    12.25    43.94    76.61     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          13   19   +2      48.85     7.06    -6.46     0.00     0.02     0.24     2.07    11.02     3.84R    0.40  
Sunderland      13   19   +2      52.21     7.13     0.17     0.01     0.09     0.73     4.88    21.91     1.31R    0.14  
Tottenham       13   19   +1      55.55     7.25     4.15     0.04     0.34     2.45    11.71    38.52     0.43R    0.02  
Newcastle       13   18   +5      52.04     7.52     4.24     0.02     0.12     0.99     6.02    23.91     1.64R    0.14  
Aston_Villa     13   17   -3      52.12     7.21    -2.40     0.01     0.11     0.85     5.31    21.86     1.38R    0.12  
Stoke           13   16   -3      44.32     6.89   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.42     3.18    11.78R    1.90  
Liverpool       13   16   -4      59.38     7.08     9.44     0.09     0.96     5.50    24.38    60.28     0.11R    0.00  
West_Brom       13   16   -6      45.20     7.36   -14.63     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.78     5.09    11.36R    1.83  
Everton         13   15   +1      52.98     7.14     6.29     0.01     0.14     1.03     6.42    26.55     1.04R    0.09  
Blackburn       13   15   -3      45.82     7.11    -9.34     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.72     5.18     8.80R    1.39  
Blackpool       13   15   -7      38.79     7.01   -26.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.69    37.79R   10.38  
Fulham          13   14   +0      45.59     6.95    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.69     5.08     7.92R    1.15  
Wigan           13   14  -11      34.23     6.27   -35.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    65.86R   26.84  
Birmingham      13   13   -3      40.59     6.82   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.99    24.81R    5.37  
Wolverhampton   13    9  -10      33.62     6.71   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    65.56R   29.20  
West_Ham        13    9  -11      35.31     6.86   -24.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    56.34R   21.02  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, Swansea vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          17   36  +17      86.96     8.25    34.66    51.74    74.83    96.59    81.34P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              17   35  +23      82.75     8.20    34.80    28.70    56.85    91.71    66.42P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          17   32   +9      76.16     8.01    15.67     7.12    21.51    71.73    34.35P    0.06R    0.00  
Derby            17   27  +10      68.02     8.26    11.60     1.29     4.91    34.71    11.34P    0.95R    0.10  
Leeds_United     17   27   +0      64.61     8.59    -4.24     0.57     2.51    20.67     5.98P    3.50R    0.52  
Burnley          17   26   +7      71.13     8.76    15.01     3.54    10.91    49.47    21.39P    0.60R    0.08  
Doncaster        17   26   +2      65.98     8.23     2.45     0.58     2.65    24.77     7.15P    2.00R    0.27  
Norwich          17   26   +2      66.83     8.68     3.42     1.03     4.21    29.33     9.75P    1.95R    0.28  
Reading          17   24   +6      70.64     8.31    16.52     2.37     8.67    47.40    19.99P    0.49R    0.06  
Nott'm_Forest    17   24   +3      67.76     8.12     9.17     1.09     4.21    32.62    11.83P    0.99R    0.10  
Coventry         17   24   +1      59.62     8.08    -5.58     0.12     0.55     7.64     1.83P    8.90R    1.67  
Ipswich          17   24   -1      62.14     8.19    -3.26     0.20     1.00    12.80     3.57P    5.15R    0.88  
Watford          17   22   +2      61.46     8.43     0.72     0.24     1.09    12.68     3.54P    6.50R    1.23  
Portsmouth       17   22   -1      66.70     8.61     6.45     0.98     3.88    29.47    11.18P    2.08R    0.32  
Barnsley         17   22   -6      55.39     8.04   -16.28     0.02     0.11     2.62     0.51P   21.60R    5.43  
Leicester        17   22   -6      62.93     8.27    -4.22     0.25     1.21    14.64     4.22P    4.53R    0.72  
Millwall         17   20   -1      56.27     8.31    -6.05     0.03     0.18     3.94     0.98P   18.28R    4.72  
Scunthorpe       17   20   -6      51.66     8.05   -19.97     0.00     0.03     1.11     0.18P   37.82R   12.67  
Sheff_Utd        17   19   -9      58.74     8.11    -8.81     0.06     0.28     5.82     1.70P   11.30R    2.33  
Hull             17   18   -7      56.54     8.35    -8.44     0.04     0.21     4.07     1.17P   17.25R    4.43  
Middlesbrough    17   17   -9      57.17     8.14    -8.25     0.03     0.18     4.27     1.18P   15.13R    3.48  
Bristol_City     17   17  -11      51.05     8.03   -19.57     0.00     0.02     0.82     0.16P   40.20R   13.93  
Crystal_Palace   17   17  -12      51.82     8.05   -19.45     0.00     0.02     0.94     0.21P   36.52R   12.25  
Preston          17   14  -13      46.15     8.04   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   64.21R   34.53  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 November 2010, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         16   34  +17      81.46     8.52    26.47    26.43    44.22    82.19    52.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +6      80.19     8.49    23.00    21.11    37.89    78.28    49.45P    0.04R    0.00  
Bournemouth      16   26  +14      71.02     9.03    19.72     4.38    10.10    40.33    16.75P    0.81R    0.04  
Carlisle         16   26   +9      71.49     8.46    15.43     3.84     9.27    40.64    16.26P    0.45R    0.01  
Huddersfield     16   26   +7      75.97     8.59    20.56    10.29    21.59    61.70    31.94P    0.14R    0.00  
Colchester       16   26   +3      72.02     8.48    10.30     4.13    10.08    42.01    17.60P    0.43R    0.01  
MK_Dons          16   26   +1      68.76     8.60     3.25     1.96     5.15    27.85     9.70P    1.22R    0.04  
Peterborough     16   25   +0      68.35     9.02     2.81     2.22     5.80    27.51    10.28P    1.90R    0.09  
Sheff_Wed        16   24   +8      75.48     8.60    23.19     9.12    20.14    60.29    32.95P    0.14R    0.00  
Southampton      16   24   +7      77.47     8.32    25.74    13.66    27.21    69.25    41.31P    0.06R    0.00  
Oldham           15   24   +5      67.48     8.69     6.62     1.46     3.96    23.87     7.87P    1.91R    0.11  
Exeter           16   22   -5      54.38     8.03   -19.06     0.02     0.09     1.27     0.24P   27.34R    3.27  
Swindon          16   20   -3      62.98     8.61    -0.53     0.37     1.26    11.45     3.38P    5.67R    0.38  
Hartlepool       15   20   -4      57.00     8.45   -13.05     0.08     0.26     2.97     0.73P   18.19R    1.95  
Bristol_Rovers   16   20   -7      55.72     8.29   -15.62     0.04     0.14     2.06     0.46P   22.13R    2.61  
Rochdale         15   19   +2      59.27     9.04    -1.96     0.26     0.73     6.54     1.88P   12.75R    1.21  
Leyton_Orient    16   19   +0      56.93     8.33    -4.80     0.06     0.22     3.05     0.73P   16.71R    1.74  
Brentford        16   19   -3      57.04     8.20    -7.31     0.04     0.19     2.63     0.68P   16.87R    1.80  
Plymouth         16   19   -6      63.32     8.82    -1.30     0.46     1.45    12.39     4.18P    5.92R    0.43  
Tranmere         16   19   -7      54.53     8.28   -15.56     0.01     0.07     1.39     0.28P   26.92R    3.60  
Notts_County     15   16   -7      54.77     8.97   -13.27     0.03     0.17     2.10     0.55P   27.25R    4.38  
Dag_&_Red        16   15  -11      43.52     8.14   -31.97     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   77.26R   33.44  
Yeovil           16   15  -13      46.55     8.05   -28.11     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   64.84R   19.19  
Walsall          16   11  -13      44.78     8.18   -24.54     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   71.04R   25.71  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 November 2010, Burton_Albion vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         16   32  +14      80.70     8.70    25.38    28.69    60.43    88.48    67.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 17   31  +10      74.47     8.24    15.50     8.95    30.59    69.66    39.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            16   30  +11      77.16     8.34    19.83    14.68    43.28    79.99    52.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   28   +9      75.63     8.49    18.63    11.30    36.33    74.41    46.02P    0.02R    0.01  
Wycombe              16   28   +9      78.06     8.75    22.30    19.01    48.14    81.42    57.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            16   27   +7      72.63     8.52    13.71     6.18    24.14    61.45    33.52P    0.06R    0.01  
Torquay              16   24   +7      67.80     8.60    10.89     2.34    11.25    39.67    18.03P    0.32R    0.08  
Stevenage            16   23   +6      64.63     8.57     7.07     0.97     5.83    26.45    10.75P    0.81R    0.23  
Crewe                16   22  +12      70.05     8.88    22.74     4.42    18.23    51.93    27.56P    0.22R    0.06  
Macclesfield         16   22   -2      58.24     8.22    -9.10     0.10     0.97     7.75     2.15P    4.55R    1.40  
Cheltenham           15   22   -3      61.16     8.70    -8.73     0.37     2.51    14.84     4.66P    2.89R    0.90  
Burton_Albion        17   21   +2      58.96     8.21    -1.12     0.13     1.29     9.64     3.08P    3.39R    1.07  
Bradford             16   20   -3      61.54     8.41    -2.30     0.33     2.34    15.35     5.21P    2.19R    0.66  
Aldershot            16   19   -5      58.85     8.38    -6.96     0.16     1.16     9.05     2.81P    4.26R    1.49  
Southend             15   18   -2      66.45     9.02     6.80     1.87     9.11    34.41    16.62P    0.77R    0.23  
Stockport            16   18  -13      51.28     8.48   -25.52     0.02     0.17     1.71     0.43P   21.61R    9.97  
Accrington_Stanley   16   17   -2      54.11     8.53    -8.93     0.04     0.36     3.65     0.96P   12.44R    5.24  
Oxford_Utd           16   17   -3      52.21     8.26   -10.96     0.01     0.17     1.92     0.51P   16.63R    7.12  
Morecambe            16   17   -6      56.39     8.56    -9.15     0.05     0.66     5.90     1.76P    7.87R    2.92  
Northampton          16   17   -6      61.15     8.49    -1.57     0.30     2.26    14.54     5.61P    2.54R    0.84  
Lincoln_City         16   16   -9      49.45     7.94   -19.32     0.00     0.03     0.67     0.14P   26.56R   12.28  
Gillingham           16   15   -7      56.38     8.66    -6.66     0.06     0.71     6.07     2.25P    8.16R    3.25  
Hereford             16   15  -10      49.80     8.26   -19.66     0.00     0.06     0.95     0.23P   25.86R   12.27  
Barnet               16   13  -16      43.27     7.92   -32.86     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   58.83R   39.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, York vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      19   38  +13      81.42     7.70    23.04    13.23    75.11    26.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       18   37  +15      82.44     7.92    26.04    16.60    78.82    29.74P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              19   36  +17      89.44     7.33    43.51    56.55    96.20    72.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   32  +10      70.55     8.01    12.60     1.11    24.62     5.59P    0.05R    0.01  
Newport_County     19   31   +9      70.08     8.19    12.31     0.97    23.64     5.19P    0.11R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   19   31   +9      77.86     7.49    24.53     6.27    60.91    22.56P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   30   +0      69.44     7.72     3.54     0.66    18.84     4.19P    0.08R    0.00  
Wrexham            19   29   +7      71.45     7.53    15.38     1.07    27.82     7.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   28   +4      72.26     7.80    15.21     1.66    31.56     9.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          19   27   +6      70.02     7.78    15.56     0.85    22.79     5.76P    0.08R    0.00  
Darlington         19   27   +6      70.48     7.73    15.68     0.85    24.46     7.46P    0.06R    0.00  
Kettering          19   25   -3      63.75     7.46    -0.26     0.05     5.05     1.05P    0.56R    0.04  
Gateshead          19   24   -3      55.43     7.34   -11.70     0.00     0.44     0.07P    7.16R    1.00  
Bath_City          19   23   -4      53.91     7.89   -14.31     0.00     0.44     0.07P   11.94R    2.04  
Cambridge_Utd      19   22   +2      64.30     7.71    10.23     0.11     7.21     1.97P    0.54R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Boro    19   22   -4      51.94     7.45   -17.22     0.00     0.17     0.04P   16.50R    3.06  
Barrow             19   21   -6      51.78     7.35   -16.40     0.00     0.11     0.02P   16.77R    3.19  
Tamworth           19   21   -7      52.67     7.38   -15.55     0.00     0.13     0.03P   14.37R    2.86  
York               18   19   -5      58.98     7.75    -2.41     0.02     1.55     0.33P    3.18R    0.40  
Histon             18   19  -10      49.78     7.61   -22.29     0.00     0.06     0.01P   25.98R    6.42  
Southport          18   18   -4      48.24     7.86   -16.63     0.00     0.05     0.01P   32.53R    9.39  
Forest_Green       19   18  -14      46.24     7.34   -29.13     0.00     0.02     0.00    43.51R   14.21  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -18      42.02     7.12   -39.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.86R   33.20  
Altrincham         19   14  -20      43.53     7.18   -32.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.67R   24.12