Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 18 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, Chelsea vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         13   28  +20      83.07     6.37    54.62    61.60    87.85    98.24    99.66    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         13   26  +14      75.32     7.01    38.25    13.98    44.80    84.89    94.73    99.11     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   25  +11      77.90     6.58    42.06    23.96    63.10    92.24    97.95    99.75     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   22   +5      62.80     7.06    14.86     0.33     2.59    12.49    44.02    77.06     0.00R    0.00  
Bolton          13   19   +2      48.92     7.04    -6.31     0.01     0.02     0.28     2.09    11.15     3.58R    0.35  
Sunderland      13   19   +2      52.03     7.11    -0.08     0.00     0.07     0.70     4.59    21.05     1.45R    0.11  
Tottenham       13   19   +1      55.59     7.22     4.26     0.02     0.34     2.38    11.70    38.68     0.43R    0.01  
Newcastle       13   18   +5      52.04     7.53     4.26     0.01     0.09     0.98     6.04    23.96     1.70R    0.13  
Aston_Villa     13   17   -3      52.18     7.20    -2.31     0.02     0.10     0.88     5.20    21.81     1.36R    0.12  
Stoke           13   16   -3      44.36     6.87   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.40     3.09    11.77R    1.81  
Liverpool       13   16   -4      59.43     7.12     9.49     0.07     0.93     5.55    24.70    60.53     0.09R    0.00  
West_Brom       13   16   -6      45.24     7.38   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.78     5.10    11.36R    1.91  
Everton         13   15   +1      53.02     7.15     6.32     0.00     0.10     1.05     6.53    26.89     1.01R    0.09  
Blackburn       13   15   -3      45.69     7.08    -9.61     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.76     5.01     8.96R    1.32  
Blackpool       13   15   -7      38.85     7.04   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.74    37.36R   10.31  
Fulham          13   14   +0      45.47     6.91    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.66     4.81     8.08R    1.09  
Wigan           13   14  -11      34.14     6.29   -35.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    66.12R   27.57  
Birmingham      13   13   -3      40.58     6.78   -13.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.97    24.56R    5.07  
Wolverhampton   13    9  -10      33.61     6.70   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    65.75R   28.93  
West_Ham        13    9  -11      35.25     6.86   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    56.43R   21.17  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, Swansea vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          17   36  +17      86.83     8.29    34.38    51.17    74.12    96.37    80.88P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              17   35  +23      82.75     8.23    34.80    28.60    56.83    91.73    66.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          17   32   +9      76.19     8.05    15.67     7.35    22.04    71.51    34.69P    0.03R    0.00  
Derby            17   27  +10      68.09     8.31    11.75     1.38     5.16    34.99    11.46P    0.91R    0.10  
Leeds_United     17   27   +0      64.37     8.68    -4.55     0.68     2.41    20.10     6.02P    3.63R    0.50  
Burnley          17   26   +7      71.24     8.78    15.22     3.74    11.07    49.66    21.73P    0.50R    0.07  
Doncaster        17   26   +2      65.99     8.30     2.39     0.65     2.83    24.75     7.22P    1.96R    0.26  
Norwich          17   26   +2      67.05     8.60     3.72     1.08     4.09    29.99     9.89P    1.71R    0.22  
Reading          17   24   +6      70.79     8.31    16.71     2.52     8.90    47.96    20.27P    0.40R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    17   24   +3      67.70     8.12     9.06     1.01     4.08    32.29    11.73P    1.04R    0.10  
Coventry         17   24   +1      59.48     8.17    -5.86     0.07     0.45     7.68     1.76P    9.41R    1.74  
Ipswich          17   24   -1      62.20     8.15    -3.21     0.23     1.02    12.60     3.39P    5.06R    0.85  
Watford          17   22   +2      61.74     8.49     1.16     0.24     1.18    13.20     3.84P    6.18R    1.20  
Portsmouth       17   22   -1      66.60     8.64     6.36     0.94     3.69    28.68    10.93P    2.03R    0.29  
Barnsley         17   22   -6      55.34     8.03   -16.32     0.02     0.09     2.74     0.55P   21.58R    5.45  
Leicester        17   22   -6      63.01     8.21    -4.15     0.21     1.11    14.79     4.25P    4.44R    0.70  
Millwall         17   20   -1      56.14     8.33    -6.22     0.03     0.18     3.78     0.96P   18.64R    4.86  
Scunthorpe       17   20   -6      51.84     8.07   -19.67     0.00     0.03     1.13     0.21P   36.84R   12.13  
Sheff_Utd        17   19   -9      58.51     8.15    -9.07     0.04     0.31     5.75     1.55P   11.78R    2.57  
Hull             17   18   -7      56.53     8.35    -8.48     0.03     0.18     4.08     1.10P   17.76R    4.40  
Middlesbrough    17   17   -9      57.19     8.14    -8.22     0.02     0.17     4.21     1.09P   14.80R    3.55  
Bristol_City     17   17  -11      51.08     7.97   -19.62     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.14P   39.94R   13.90  
Crystal_Palace   17   17  -12      51.93     8.05   -19.25     0.00     0.03     1.11     0.25P   36.26R   11.68  
Preston          17   14  -13      45.97     8.13   -26.59     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   65.12R   35.40  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 November 2010, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         16   34  +17      81.35     8.48    26.34    25.87    43.62    82.29    52.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +6      80.24     8.52    23.10    21.71    38.54    78.36    49.96P    0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth      16   26  +14      70.91     8.86    19.55     3.88     9.53    39.79    16.09P    0.73R    0.03  
Carlisle         16   26   +9      71.31     8.54    15.17     3.71     9.36    40.21    16.34P    0.49R    0.02  
Huddersfield     16   26   +7      75.95     8.60    20.49    10.08    21.42    61.70    31.97P    0.12R    0.00  
Colchester       16   26   +3      71.95     8.47    10.21     4.17     9.91    42.12    17.58P    0.39R    0.01  
MK_Dons          16   26   +1      68.44     8.62     2.76     1.74     4.88    26.81     9.08P    1.39R    0.06  
Peterborough     16   25   +0      68.46     9.09     2.89     2.26     5.82    28.24    10.49P    1.92R    0.13  
Sheff_Wed        16   24   +8      75.65     8.58    23.43     9.64    20.60    61.14    33.71P    0.15R    0.01  
Southampton      16   24   +7      77.44     8.49    25.71    14.05    27.59    69.07    41.57P    0.05R    0.00  
Oldham           15   24   +5      67.29     8.68     6.31     1.44     3.94    23.38     7.56P    1.89R    0.09  
Exeter           16   22   -5      54.38     8.06   -19.08     0.02     0.08     1.32     0.25P   27.89R    3.38  
Swindon          16   20   -3      63.01     8.58    -0.47     0.42     1.35    11.44     3.51P    5.58R    0.36  
Hartlepool       15   20   -4      57.03     8.51   -12.99     0.06     0.24     3.21     0.71P   18.53R    2.06  
Bristol_Rovers   16   20   -7      55.80     8.37   -15.57     0.03     0.15     2.15     0.54P   22.52R    2.75  
Rochdale         15   19   +2      59.39     9.09    -1.73     0.22     0.75     6.84     1.94P   12.79R    1.32  
Leyton_Orient    16   19   +0      56.97     8.33    -4.75     0.07     0.22     3.03     0.75P   16.72R    1.71  
Brentford        16   19   -3      57.00     8.26    -7.36     0.05     0.18     2.71     0.64P   17.21R    1.78  
Plymouth         16   19   -6      63.39     8.82    -1.18     0.49     1.59    12.50     4.21P    5.79R    0.47  
Tranmere         16   19   -7      54.62     8.22   -15.43     0.02     0.07     1.27     0.24P   26.40R    3.30  
Notts_County     15   16   -7      54.86     8.98   -13.03     0.06     0.16     2.19     0.57P   27.18R    4.40  
Dag_&_Red        16   15  -11      43.37     8.14   -32.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   77.73R   34.37  
Yeovil           16   15  -13      46.82     8.11   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   63.73R   18.62  
Walsall          16   11  -13      44.91     8.15   -24.41     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   70.77R   25.12  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 November 2010, Bury vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         16   32  +14      80.65     8.61    25.28    28.60    60.99    88.97    67.94P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            16   30  +11      77.35     8.33    20.12    15.96    45.14    80.98    54.39P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   28   +9      75.67     8.59    18.72    12.04    37.84    74.51    47.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              16   28   +9      77.97     8.75    22.18    19.40    48.85    81.76    58.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 16   28   +8      72.06     8.51    12.39     6.08    22.82    59.13    31.15P    0.06R    0.01  
Rotherham            16   27   +7      72.41     8.49    13.43     6.21    23.89    60.71    33.11P    0.06R    0.01  
Torquay              16   24   +7      67.68     8.56    10.66     2.31    11.35    39.62    18.03P    0.35R    0.08  
Stevenage            16   23   +6      64.88     8.52     7.43     1.04     6.29    27.96    11.50P    0.75R    0.19  
Crewe                16   22  +12      69.89     8.86    22.46     4.45    18.39    51.55    27.39P    0.26R    0.07  
Macclesfield         16   22   -2      58.13     8.24    -9.33     0.11     0.94     7.62     2.15P    4.80R    1.59  
Cheltenham           15   22   -3      61.14     8.64    -8.69     0.39     2.61    14.77     4.79P    2.82R    0.91  
Burton_Albion        16   21   +4      61.27     8.55     2.42     0.39     2.84    16.21     5.73P    2.30R    0.68  
Bradford             16   20   -3      61.58     8.41    -2.22     0.33     2.56    15.63     5.40P    2.10R    0.66  
Aldershot            16   19   -5      58.74     8.37    -7.10     0.16     1.18     9.05     2.91P    4.41R    1.55  
Southend             15   18   -2      66.45     9.03     6.82     1.97     9.59    34.75    17.22P    0.75R    0.21  
Stockport            16   18  -13      51.19     8.49   -25.70     0.02     0.20     1.74     0.48P   22.29R   10.11  
Accrington_Stanley   16   17   -2      54.17     8.50    -8.86     0.03     0.38     3.77     0.95P   12.11R    5.07  
Oxford_Utd           16   17   -3      52.16     8.37   -11.06     0.02     0.20     2.15     0.58P   17.08R    7.57  
Morecambe            16   17   -6      56.33     8.55    -9.31     0.05     0.69     5.81     1.93P    8.04R    3.11  
Northampton          16   17   -6      61.09     8.52    -1.65     0.30     2.31    14.77     5.73P    2.65R    0.93  
Lincoln_City         16   16   -9      49.62     7.91   -19.04     0.01     0.05     0.76     0.19P   26.01R   11.84  
Gillingham           16   15   -7      56.57     8.75    -6.36     0.13     0.81     6.62     2.33P    7.96R    3.22  
Hereford             16   15  -10      49.72     8.28   -19.75     0.01     0.07     1.03     0.31P   26.15R   12.53  
Barnet               16   13  -16      43.34     7.90   -32.81     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.03P   59.03R   39.67  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, York vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      19   38  +13      81.43     7.65    23.08    13.08    75.51    26.62P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       18   37  +15      82.59     7.88    26.21    17.24    79.56    30.50P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              19   36  +17      89.30     7.36    43.24    55.74    95.99    71.04P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   32  +10      70.70     8.07    12.82     1.13    25.41     5.88P    0.07R    0.01  
Newport_County     19   31   +9      70.14     8.20    12.41     1.15    23.40     5.27P    0.10R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   19   31   +9      77.84     7.48    24.59     6.46    60.79    22.63P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   30   +0      69.41     7.64     3.49     0.66    18.01     3.86P    0.11R    0.01  
Wrexham            19   29   +7      71.50     7.48    15.43     1.06    27.62     7.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   28   +4      72.29     7.94    15.24     1.65    31.89    10.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Mansfield          19   27   +6      70.01     7.77    15.56     0.79    22.77     5.74P    0.07R    0.00  
Darlington         19   27   +6      70.45     7.77    15.63     0.85    24.08     7.51P    0.05R    0.00  
Kettering          19   25   -3      63.63     7.53    -0.42     0.07     4.89     1.09P    0.61R    0.04  
Gateshead          19   24   -3      55.42     7.40   -11.79     0.00     0.42     0.06P    7.49R    1.15  
Bath_City          19   23   -4      53.92     7.84   -14.30     0.00     0.47     0.05P   11.75R    2.03  
Cambridge_Utd      19   22   +2      64.11     7.71     9.97     0.10     6.88     1.85P    0.62R    0.06  
Eastbourne_Boro    19   22   -4      51.91     7.40   -17.22     0.00     0.13     0.02P   16.44R    3.13  
Barrow             19   21   -6      51.82     7.34   -16.34     0.00     0.12     0.01P   16.37R    3.17  
Tamworth           19   21   -7      52.68     7.41   -15.58     0.00     0.17     0.03P   14.25R    2.84  
York               18   19   -5      59.12     7.77    -2.22     0.01     1.74     0.38P    3.06R    0.42  
Histon             18   19  -10      49.76     7.63   -22.34     0.00     0.07     0.02P   26.22R    6.28  
Southport          18   18   -4      48.21     7.89   -16.62     0.00     0.06     0.01P   32.70R    9.41  
Forest_Green       19   18  -14      46.26     7.37   -29.06     0.00     0.02     0.00    43.41R   14.36  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -18      41.96     7.15   -39.45     0.00     0.00     0.00P   67.80R   33.17  
Altrincham         19   14  -20      43.49     7.17   -32.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.84R   23.92