Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 17 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, Chelsea vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         13   28  +20      82.95     6.41    54.45    61.00    87.49    98.24    99.60    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         13   26  +14      75.32     7.02    38.31    14.25    44.96    84.73    94.80    99.10     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   25  +11      77.91     6.57    42.06    24.23    63.21    92.35    97.97    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   22   +5      62.76     7.13    14.85     0.36     2.73    12.57    43.83    76.91     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          13   19   +2      49.07     7.12    -6.15     0.00     0.03     0.27     2.29    11.81     3.46R    0.40  
Sunderland      13   19   +2      52.23     7.11     0.22     0.01     0.08     0.73     4.75    21.84     1.28R    0.10  
Tottenham       13   19   +1      55.60     7.24     4.24     0.04     0.34     2.42    11.81    38.91     0.45R    0.02  
Newcastle       13   18   +5      52.14     7.60     4.41     0.01     0.15     1.06     6.34    24.01     1.62R    0.14  
Aston_Villa     13   17   -3      52.04     7.24    -2.47     0.01     0.11     0.86     5.21    21.25     1.50R    0.16  
Stoke           13   16   -3      44.27     6.89   -12.37     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.43     3.06    11.89R    1.90  
Liverpool       13   16   -4      59.35     7.06     9.35     0.08     0.80     5.47    24.31    60.19     0.09R    0.00  
West_Brom       13   16   -6      45.19     7.33   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.76     4.86    11.10R    1.81  
Everton         13   15   +1      52.93     7.10     6.20     0.01     0.10     1.02     6.31    26.28     1.04R    0.08  
Blackburn       13   15   -3      45.77     7.09    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.73     5.28     8.75R    1.40  
Blackpool       13   15   -7      38.89     7.07   -26.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.76    37.15R   10.38  
Fulham          13   14   +0      45.51     6.93    -3.74     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.69     4.90     8.00R    1.15  
Wigan           13   14  -11      34.14     6.23   -35.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    66.28R   27.23  
Birmingham      13   13   -3      40.47     6.77   -13.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.84    25.39R    5.27  
Wolverhampton   13    9  -10      33.62     6.69   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    65.63R   28.72  
West_Ham        13    9  -11      35.25     6.84   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    56.33R   21.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, Swansea vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          17   36  +17      86.73     8.30    34.24    51.06    74.05    96.54    80.79P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              17   35  +23      82.66     8.23    34.63    28.91    56.85    92.05    66.47P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          17   32   +9      76.07     8.00    15.61     7.02    21.34    71.69    34.20P    0.04R    0.00  
Derby            17   27  +10      67.78     8.29    11.37     1.24     4.84    34.27    11.12P    1.07R    0.10  
Leeds_United     17   27   +0      64.67     8.65    -4.08     0.68     2.53    21.47     6.36P    3.65R    0.61  
Burnley          17   26   +7      71.19     8.81    15.15     3.66    11.31    50.30    21.92P    0.62R    0.08  
Doncaster        17   26   +2      65.97     8.26     2.43     0.68     2.90    25.46     7.45P    1.93R    0.26  
Norwich          17   26   +2      66.84     8.65     3.39     1.07     4.22    29.66     9.57P    1.95R    0.29  
Reading          17   24   +6      70.65     8.48    16.45     2.63     9.26    48.47    20.91P    0.54R    0.06  
Nott'm_Forest    17   24   +3      67.57     8.17     8.91     1.18     4.30    32.27    11.72P    1.11R    0.16  
Coventry         17   24   +2      59.76     8.04    -4.09     0.10     0.54     8.10     1.90P    8.46R    1.53  
Watford          17   22   +2      61.61     8.48     1.00     0.28     1.16    13.25     3.87P    6.46R    1.27  
Portsmouth       17   22   -1      66.62     8.58     6.39     0.95     3.93    29.47    11.24P    2.03R    0.29  
Ipswich          17   22   -3      59.32     8.07    -6.38     0.10     0.43     7.26     1.79P    9.63R    1.90  
Leicester        17   22   -6      63.18     8.25    -3.84     0.24     1.24    15.73     4.61P    4.46R    0.72  
Barnsley         17   22   -7      55.03     8.00   -17.75     0.01     0.09     2.45     0.42P   23.34R    6.31  
Millwall         17   20   -2      55.61     8.23    -7.80     0.02     0.16     3.26     0.82P   20.42R    5.61  
Scunthorpe       17   20   -6      51.82     8.05   -19.65     0.00     0.04     1.08     0.19P   37.15R   12.56  
Sheff_Utd        17   19   -9      58.55     8.09    -9.05     0.05     0.27     5.74     1.56P   11.83R    2.64  
Hull             17   18   -7      56.36     8.30    -8.62     0.04     0.22     4.01     1.11P   18.31R    4.80  
Bristol_City     17   18   -9      52.76     8.01   -16.33     0.01     0.03     1.32     0.25P   32.13R   10.05  
Middlesbrough    17   17   -8      57.48     8.18    -6.79     0.06     0.27     4.87     1.43P   14.41R    3.58  
Crystal_Palace   17   17  -12      51.98     8.02   -19.11     0.01     0.03     1.07     0.24P   36.09R   11.96  
Preston          17   14  -13      46.23     8.07   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   64.37R   35.22  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 November 2010, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         16   34  +17      81.48     8.52    26.54    26.10    44.22    82.34    52.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +6      80.32     8.44    23.24    21.40    38.55    78.78    50.16P    0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth      16   26  +14      71.13     8.92    19.84     4.12    10.03    40.68    16.67P    0.74R    0.03  
Carlisle         16   26   +9      71.38     8.55    15.28     3.78     9.25    40.28    16.01P    0.53R    0.02  
Huddersfield     16   26   +7      76.02     8.58    20.59    10.29    21.47    62.15    32.11P    0.15R    0.00  
Colchester       16   26   +3      71.81     8.55     9.94     3.91     9.69    41.14    16.95P    0.50R    0.02  
MK_Dons          16   26   +1      68.51     8.63     2.84     1.80     4.90    27.16     9.50P    1.38R    0.04  
Peterborough     16   25   +0      68.55     9.07     3.08     2.43     6.01    28.47    10.57P    1.71R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed        16   24   +8      75.38     8.69    23.06     9.15    19.90    59.51    32.58P    0.18R    0.01  
Southampton      16   24   +7      77.45     8.49    25.74    14.04    27.24    69.06    41.37P    0.08R    0.00  
Oldham           15   24   +5      67.40     8.71     6.52     1.49     4.04    23.68     7.85P    1.83R    0.10  
Exeter           16   22   -5      54.48     8.08   -18.90     0.02     0.09     1.36     0.27P   27.25R    3.39  
Swindon          16   20   -3      63.04     8.62    -0.42     0.43     1.37    11.69     3.68P    5.49R    0.38  
Hartlepool       15   20   -4      57.13     8.46   -12.93     0.06     0.21     3.09     0.72P   17.85R    1.87  
Bristol_Rovers   16   20   -7      55.48     8.31   -15.98     0.02     0.11     1.97     0.44P   23.46R    2.80  
Rochdale         15   19   +2      59.26     9.18    -2.00     0.26     0.78     6.81     1.95P   13.15R    1.47  
Leyton_Orient    16   19   +0      56.88     8.39    -4.90     0.05     0.22     3.05     0.74P   17.22R    1.81  
Brentford        16   19   -3      57.14     8.22    -7.16     0.04     0.15     2.66     0.61P   16.56R    1.77  
Plymouth         16   19   -6      63.28     8.81    -1.35     0.54     1.54    12.32     4.11P    5.80R    0.43  
Tranmere         16   19   -7      54.54     8.21   -15.51     0.02     0.07     1.35     0.29P   26.59R    3.38  
Notts_County     15   16   -7      54.80     9.01   -13.19     0.04     0.15     2.22     0.56P   27.38R    4.44  
Dag_&_Red        16   15  -11      43.48     8.18   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   77.15R   33.76  
Yeovil           16   15  -13      46.71     7.98   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   64.42R   18.80  
Walsall          16   11  -13      44.88     8.14   -24.44     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   70.57R   25.38  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 November 2010, Bury vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         16   32  +14      80.72     8.63    25.43    29.22    61.73    88.95    68.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            16   30  +11      77.16     8.32    19.87    15.24    44.21    80.38    53.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   28   +9      75.58     8.45    18.55    11.48    37.31    74.53    46.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              16   28   +9      77.92     8.78    22.10    19.36    48.63    81.31    58.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 16   28   +8      72.01     8.55    12.25     6.11    22.68    59.10    31.05P    0.06R    0.01  
Rotherham            16   27   +7      72.55     8.52    13.59     6.46    24.44    61.50    33.88P    0.06R    0.01  
Torquay              16   24   +7      67.76     8.55    10.80     2.41    11.61    40.05    18.28P    0.34R    0.08  
Stevenage            16   23   +6      64.81     8.44     7.33     1.07     6.15    27.41    11.22P    0.78R    0.19  
Crewe                16   22  +12      69.98     8.76    22.61     4.49    18.49    51.74    27.55P    0.18R    0.04  
Macclesfield         16   22   -2      57.92     8.18    -9.65     0.09     0.90     7.24     2.02P    4.93R    1.68  
Cheltenham           15   22   -3      60.99     8.69    -8.90     0.38     2.55    14.53     4.73P    2.97R    0.97  
Burton_Albion        16   21   +4      61.16     8.56     2.22     0.44     2.85    16.09     5.64P    2.28R    0.75  
Bradford             16   20   -3      61.79     8.49    -1.94     0.48     2.91    16.44     5.95P    2.14R    0.59  
Aldershot            16   19   -5      58.87     8.36    -6.94     0.13     1.28     9.32     2.93P    4.53R    1.57  
Southend             15   18   -2      66.44     8.98     6.83     2.04     9.57    34.59    17.03P    0.84R    0.24  
Stockport            16   18  -13      51.33     8.52   -25.47     0.02     0.18     1.78     0.49P   22.09R   10.10  
Accrington_Stanley   16   17   -2      54.12     8.55    -8.90     0.05     0.40     3.87     1.12P   12.29R    5.26  
Oxford_Utd           16   17   -3      52.25     8.34   -10.91     0.03     0.18     2.25     0.61P   16.98R    7.48  
Morecambe            16   17   -6      56.39     8.57    -9.13     0.09     0.75     6.16     1.98P    8.03R    3.05  
Northampton          16   17   -6      60.88     8.47    -1.95     0.33     2.29    14.31     5.58P    2.71R    0.93  
Lincoln_City         16   16   -9      49.55     7.93   -19.19     0.00     0.04     0.69     0.17P   26.65R   12.24  
Gillingham           16   15   -7      56.51     8.67    -6.44     0.07     0.76     6.57     2.24P    8.02R    3.24  
Hereford             16   15  -10      49.93     8.21   -19.42     0.00     0.08     1.07     0.25P   25.42R   11.77  
Barnet               16   13  -16      43.37     7.93   -32.71     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.03P   58.67R   39.78  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, York vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      19   38  +13      81.52     7.67    23.18    13.14    75.85    26.84P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       18   37  +15      82.52     7.91    26.15    16.85    79.18    30.44P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              19   36  +17      89.49     7.27    43.60    56.65    96.41    71.81P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   32  +10      70.67     8.06    12.77     1.16    25.27     6.06P    0.06R    0.00  
Newport_County     19   31   +9      70.27     8.13    12.57     1.07    23.87     5.41P    0.10R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   19   31   +9      77.81     7.44    24.53     6.18    60.49    22.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      19   30   +0      69.34     7.66     3.38     0.65    18.04     3.97P    0.09R    0.00  
Wrexham            19   29   +7      71.46     7.52    15.40     1.07    27.57     7.55P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   28   +4      72.13     7.86    14.98     1.42    31.49     9.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          19   27   +6      70.01     7.77    15.55     0.78    22.77     5.56P    0.07R    0.01  
Darlington         19   27   +6      70.34     7.71    15.49     0.82    23.73     7.23P    0.06R    0.00  
Kettering          19   25   -3      63.61     7.56    -0.48     0.08     5.03     1.14P    0.65R    0.05  
Gateshead          19   24   -3      55.44     7.40   -11.69     0.01     0.40     0.06P    7.48R    1.08  
Bath_City          19   23   -4      53.95     7.90   -14.34     0.00     0.50     0.08P   11.78R    1.99  
Cambridge_Utd      19   22   +2      64.31     7.67    10.23     0.10     7.18     1.87P    0.57R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Boro    19   22   -4      52.08     7.50   -16.94     0.00     0.16     0.02P   16.23R    3.16  
Barrow             19   21   -6      51.75     7.41   -16.46     0.00     0.12     0.01P   16.92R    3.23  
Tamworth           19   21   -7      52.66     7.37   -15.56     0.00     0.17     0.01P   14.29R    2.86  
York               18   19   -5      58.85     7.71    -2.57     0.01     1.63     0.38P    3.35R    0.41  
Histon             18   19  -10      49.91     7.60   -22.09     0.00     0.08     0.01P   25.33R    5.95  
Southport          18   18   -4      48.10     7.83   -16.77     0.00     0.06     0.01P   32.58R    9.59  
Forest_Green       19   18  -14      46.26     7.34   -29.08     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.53R   14.08  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -18      41.95     7.14   -39.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.91R   33.22  
Altrincham         19   14  -20      43.47     7.24   -32.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.94R   24.30