Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 16 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, Chelsea vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         13   28  +20      83.18     6.38    54.90    62.54    88.59    98.38    99.66    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         13   26  +14      75.18     7.02    38.00    13.64    44.06    84.68    94.60    99.07     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   25  +11      77.84     6.56    41.99    23.39    62.98    92.31    97.96    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   22   +5      62.58     7.07    14.57     0.28     2.55    12.12    43.19    76.18     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          13   19   +2      48.85     7.08    -6.45     0.00     0.02     0.25     2.07    11.16     3.73R    0.35  
Sunderland      13   19   +2      52.16     7.12     0.12     0.00     0.09     0.72     4.87    21.50     1.36R    0.13  
Tottenham       13   19   +1      55.52     7.27     4.10     0.03     0.36     2.54    11.79    38.46     0.44R    0.04  
Newcastle       13   18   +5      52.22     7.54     4.50     0.02     0.17     1.11     6.46    24.46     1.51R    0.15  
Aston_Villa     13   17   -3      52.21     7.18    -2.34     0.01     0.10     0.87     5.31    22.06     1.41R    0.13  
Stoke           13   16   -3      44.18     6.87   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.39     3.03    12.23R    2.02  
Liverpool       13   16   -4      59.42     7.12     9.46     0.07     0.92     5.72    24.87    60.63     0.10R    0.01  
West_Brom       13   16   -6      45.29     7.39   -14.51     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.76     5.11    11.29R    1.92  
Everton         13   15   +1      52.94     7.14     6.16     0.01     0.13     0.98     6.43    26.50     1.04R    0.07  
Blackburn       13   15   -3      45.69     7.11    -9.60     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.73     5.17     8.94R    1.41  
Blackpool       13   15   -7      38.99     7.03   -26.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.70    36.77R   10.12  
Fulham          13   14   +0      45.60     6.87    -3.61     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.73     4.84     7.62R    0.94  
Wigan           13   14  -11      34.25     6.33   -35.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    65.79R   26.94  
Birmingham      13   13   -3      40.57     6.81   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.04    24.90R    5.44  
Wolverhampton   13    9  -10      33.57     6.66   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    66.02R   28.83  
West_Ham        13    9  -11      35.21     6.87   -24.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    56.84R   21.51  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, Swansea vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          17   36  +17      86.88     8.25    34.51    50.96    74.38    96.53    81.07P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              17   35  +23      82.78     8.23    34.81    28.97    57.19    91.77    66.52P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          17   32   +9      76.06     8.03    15.52     7.11    20.97    70.96    33.89P    0.05R    0.00  
Derby            17   27  +10      68.15     8.32    11.85     1.39     5.05    35.36    11.66P    1.04R    0.13  
Leeds_United     17   27   +0      64.45     8.70    -4.47     0.55     2.48    20.31     6.09P    3.72R    0.62  
Burnley          17   26   +7      71.21     8.77    15.22     3.63    11.11    49.33    21.36P    0.51R    0.07  
Doncaster        17   26   +2      66.05     8.32     2.50     0.71     2.92    25.16     7.35P    1.88R    0.27  
Norwich          17   26   +2      67.19     8.69     3.96     1.15     4.27    30.56     9.98P    1.69R    0.18  
Reading          17   24   +6      70.72     8.36    16.63     2.62     9.02    47.63    20.29P    0.50R    0.07  
Nott'm_Forest    17   24   +3      67.66     8.17     9.04     1.02     4.13    32.04    11.54P    1.07R    0.14  
Coventry         17   24   +1      59.36     8.11    -6.00     0.11     0.46     7.21     1.72P    9.46R    1.78  
Ipswich          17   24   -1      62.04     8.11    -3.48     0.19     0.91    12.30     3.27P    5.11R    0.84  
Watford          17   22   +2      61.68     8.48     1.14     0.28     1.13    13.04     3.85P    6.31R    1.21  
Portsmouth       17   22   -1      66.68     8.53     6.45     0.91     3.75    29.08    11.04P    1.84R    0.27  
Barnsley         17   22   -6      55.48     8.04   -16.19     0.01     0.11     2.81     0.55P   21.14R    5.15  
Leicester        17   22   -6      62.95     8.22    -4.27     0.24     1.16    14.61     4.38P    4.41R    0.74  
Millwall         17   20   -1      56.14     8.29    -6.22     0.04     0.19     3.85     0.91P   18.49R    4.76  
Scunthorpe       17   20   -6      51.70     8.05   -19.92     0.01     0.04     1.09     0.21P   37.36R   12.42  
Sheff_Utd        17   19   -9      58.60     8.09    -8.98     0.05     0.28     5.78     1.58P   11.56R    2.30  
Hull             17   18   -7      56.65     8.36    -8.33     0.02     0.19     4.16     1.13P   17.28R    4.34  
Middlesbrough    17   17   -9      57.30     8.21    -8.05     0.03     0.21     4.47     1.19P   14.73R    3.57  
Bristol_City     17   17  -11      50.78     8.01   -20.05     0.00     0.02     0.73     0.17P   41.55R   14.67  
Crystal_Palace   17   17  -12      52.01     8.05   -19.12     0.00     0.03     1.05     0.23P   35.65R   11.67  
Preston          17   14  -13      46.07     8.08   -26.54     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.03P   64.65R   34.78  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 November 2010, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         16   34  +17      81.38     8.49    26.36    26.17    43.86    82.31    52.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +6      80.12     8.49    22.88    21.11    38.21    78.25    49.69P    0.04R    0.00  
Bournemouth      16   26  +14      71.07     8.90    19.77     4.14    10.00    40.37    16.61P    0.74R    0.03  
Carlisle         16   26   +9      71.44     8.51    15.41     3.86     9.33    40.70    16.23P    0.51R    0.02  
Huddersfield     16   26   +7      75.88     8.57    20.38    10.11    21.41    61.43    31.61P    0.11R    0.00  
Colchester       16   26   +3      71.81     8.51     9.99     4.10     9.92    41.26    17.35P    0.45R    0.01  
MK_Dons          16   26   +1      68.76     8.62     3.19     2.00     5.31    28.20     9.98P    1.23R    0.05  
Peterborough     16   25   +0      68.62     9.04     3.26     2.49     6.09    28.80    10.64P    1.87R    0.11  
Sheff_Wed        16   24   +8      75.24     8.66    22.84     8.94    19.43    59.37    32.23P    0.16R    0.01  
Southampton      16   24   +7      77.63     8.39    25.94    14.31    27.90    70.27    42.25P    0.05R    0.00  
Oldham           15   24   +5      67.40     8.67     6.53     1.41     4.00    23.73     7.83P    1.90R    0.07  
Exeter           16   22   -5      54.42     8.09   -19.01     0.02     0.07     1.35     0.26P   27.44R    3.46  
Swindon          16   20   -3      62.93     8.54    -0.58     0.44     1.34    11.00     3.48P    5.62R    0.40  
Hartlepool       15   20   -4      57.03     8.55   -12.96     0.07     0.24     3.18     0.74P   18.60R    2.10  
Bristol_Rovers   16   20   -7      55.77     8.28   -15.53     0.03     0.14     2.05     0.50P   22.42R    2.57  
Rochdale         15   19   +2      59.13     9.04    -2.14     0.20     0.67     6.40     1.81P   13.36R    1.42  
Leyton_Orient    16   19   +0      56.90     8.36    -4.84     0.06     0.23     3.08     0.76P   17.24R    1.75  
Brentford        16   19   -3      57.13     8.20    -7.17     0.05     0.17     2.78     0.72P   16.64R    1.86  
Plymouth         16   19   -6      63.17     8.74    -1.53     0.42     1.41    11.71     3.89P    5.79R    0.46  
Tranmere         16   19   -7      54.47     8.23   -15.65     0.02     0.08     1.31     0.25P   27.26R    3.73  
Notts_County     15   16   -7      54.72     8.99   -13.35     0.05     0.15     2.23     0.56P   27.88R    4.64  
Dag_&_Red        16   15  -11      43.64     8.20   -31.81     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   76.58R   33.28  
Yeovil           16   15  -13      46.90     8.07   -27.63     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   63.44R   18.47  
Walsall          16   11  -13      44.91     8.17   -24.35     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   70.66R   25.56  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 November 2010, Bury vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         16   32  +14      80.63     8.73    25.27    28.90    60.89    88.42    67.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            16   30  +11      77.19     8.32    19.86    15.27    44.47    80.21    53.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   28   +9      75.55     8.53    18.54    11.78    37.08    74.21    46.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Wycombe              16   28   +9      77.89     8.77    22.06    18.98    48.22    81.33    58.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 16   28   +8      72.15     8.44    12.48     6.12    23.18    59.57    31.58P    0.06R    0.02  
Rotherham            16   27   +7      72.69     8.56    13.80     6.69    25.28    62.07    34.84P    0.06R    0.01  
Torquay              16   24   +7      67.76     8.60    10.81     2.58    11.66    40.00    18.34P    0.30R    0.09  
Stevenage            16   23   +6      64.88     8.57     7.43     1.12     6.42    27.94    11.46P    0.83R    0.24  
Crewe                16   22  +12      69.91     8.94    22.48     4.74    18.58    51.62    27.69P    0.21R    0.06  
Macclesfield         16   22   -2      57.92     8.23    -9.52     0.10     0.90     7.29     2.04P    5.08R    1.71  
Cheltenham           15   22   -3      61.06     8.69    -8.84     0.36     2.65    14.81     4.71P    2.94R    0.91  
Burton_Albion        16   21   +4      61.31     8.48     2.47     0.45     2.76    16.16     5.67P    2.25R    0.68  
Bradford             16   20   -3      61.76     8.42    -1.95     0.38     2.71    16.21     5.77P    2.01R    0.64  
Aldershot            16   19   -5      58.94     8.36    -6.83     0.14     1.29     9.26     3.09P    4.28R    1.46  
Southend             15   18   -2      66.33     8.98     6.64     1.88     9.29    34.24    16.65P    0.80R    0.27  
Stockport            16   18  -13      51.29     8.54   -25.56     0.02     0.17     1.83     0.49P   22.33R   10.45  
Accrington_Stanley   16   17   -2      54.02     8.52    -9.10     0.03     0.37     3.67     0.95P   12.58R    5.34  
Oxford_Utd           16   17   -3      51.97     8.31   -11.33     0.01     0.18     1.97     0.55P   17.84R    8.01  
Morecambe            16   17   -6      56.38     8.60    -9.20     0.09     0.76     6.07     1.90P    8.08R    3.09  
Northampton          16   17   -6      61.02     8.48    -1.76     0.26     2.23    14.71     5.50P    2.63R    0.89  
Lincoln_City         16   16   -9      49.59     7.94   -19.05     0.00     0.04     0.78     0.17P   26.10R   12.14  
Gillingham           16   15   -7      56.50     8.65    -6.50     0.09     0.77     6.49     2.23P    7.73R    2.96  
Hereford             16   15  -10      49.81     8.18   -19.66     0.00     0.07     1.03     0.24P   26.01R   12.10  
Barnet               16   13  -16      43.50     7.96   -32.56     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.03P   57.85R   38.93  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, York vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      19   38  +13      81.41     7.68    23.01    13.01    75.44    26.58P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       18   37  +15      82.56     7.97    26.22    17.28    79.33    30.93P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              19   36  +17      89.40     7.35    43.40    56.12    96.16    71.70P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   32  +10      70.45     8.02    12.39     1.06    24.25     5.38P    0.07R    0.01  
Newport_County     19   31   +9      70.23     8.08    12.52     1.06    23.80     5.13P    0.07R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   19   31   +9      77.74     7.46    24.44     6.26    60.42    22.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      19   30   +0      69.46     7.72     3.56     0.71    18.67     4.09P    0.06R    0.00  
Wrexham            19   29   +7      71.44     7.51    15.35     1.16    27.75     7.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   28   +4      72.23     7.86    15.15     1.57    31.86     9.76P    0.04R    0.00  
Mansfield          19   27   +6      70.00     7.67    15.54     0.73    22.46     5.57P    0.06R    0.00  
Darlington         19   27   +6      70.51     7.72    15.74     0.84    24.60     7.56P    0.06R    0.01  
Kettering          19   25   -3      63.77     7.48    -0.22     0.08     5.04     1.08P    0.63R    0.04  
Gateshead          19   24   -3      55.44     7.41   -11.72     0.00     0.41     0.05P    7.30R    1.06  
Bath_City          19   23   -4      54.02     7.94   -14.14     0.00     0.50     0.10P   11.85R    2.07  
Cambridge_Utd      19   22   +2      64.14     7.67     9.99     0.10     7.13     1.88P    0.59R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Boro    19   22   -4      51.88     7.44   -17.30     0.00     0.11     0.01P   16.55R    3.14  
Barrow             19   21   -6      51.72     7.43   -16.50     0.00     0.12     0.01P   16.98R    3.42  
Tamworth           19   21   -7      52.60     7.45   -15.67     0.00     0.18     0.02P   14.48R    3.01  
York               18   19   -5      59.02     7.77    -2.31     0.02     1.63     0.36P    3.20R    0.39  
Histon             18   19  -10      49.89     7.58   -22.05     0.00     0.05     0.01P   25.42R    6.20  
Southport          18   18   -4      48.19     7.89   -16.71     0.00     0.07     0.01P   32.78R    9.29  
Forest_Green       19   18  -14      46.16     7.35   -29.17     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.95R   14.52  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -18      42.09     7.10   -39.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.71R   32.53  
Altrincham         19   14  -20      43.56     7.27   -32.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.17R   24.26