Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 15 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, Chelsea vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         13   28  +20      83.05     6.46    54.59    61.53    87.62    98.13    99.63    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         13   26  +14      75.25     7.02    38.21    13.97    44.52    84.78    94.73    99.18     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   25  +11      77.89     6.54    42.09    24.00    63.42    92.40    97.98    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   22   +5      62.75     7.10    14.82     0.36     2.65    12.36    44.17    76.80     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          13   19   +2      48.98     7.09    -6.25     0.00     0.02     0.29     2.20    11.47     3.55R    0.32  
Sunderland      13   19   +2      52.21     7.15     0.14     0.00     0.07     0.72     4.75    22.06     1.42R    0.10  
Tottenham       13   19   +1      55.45     7.24     4.01     0.03     0.33     2.29    11.35    37.99     0.48R    0.04  
Newcastle       13   18   +5      52.03     7.50     4.26     0.00     0.13     1.00     5.90    23.50     1.77R    0.17  
Aston_Villa     13   17   -3      52.22     7.18    -2.29     0.00     0.08     0.90     5.36    21.83     1.35R    0.15  
Stoke           13   16   -3      44.30     6.87   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.35     3.13    11.73R    1.81  
Liverpool       13   16   -4      59.35     7.17     9.41     0.09     1.01     5.73    24.48    60.02     0.10R    0.00  
West_Brom       13   16   -6      45.25     7.37   -14.58     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.74     5.13    11.24R    1.86  
Everton         13   15   +1      53.12     7.15     6.43     0.01     0.11     1.10     6.85    27.32     1.03R    0.10  
Blackburn       13   15   -3      45.71     7.09    -9.52     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.63     5.05     9.06R    1.43  
Blackpool       13   15   -7      38.91     7.04   -26.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.76    36.89R   10.26  
Fulham          13   14   +0      45.39     6.93    -3.91     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.66     4.64     8.32R    1.08  
Wigan           13   14  -11      34.20     6.28   -35.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04    65.64R   26.93  
Birmingham      13   13   -3      40.71     6.79   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.04    24.32R    4.94  
Wolverhampton   13    9  -10      33.48     6.70   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    66.44R   29.52  
West_Ham        13    9  -11      35.22     6.88   -24.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    56.64R   21.29  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, Swansea vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          17   36  +17      86.86     8.26    34.44    51.98    74.87    96.63    81.53P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              17   35  +23      82.48     8.22    34.34    28.17    56.31    91.58    66.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          17   32   +9      76.13     8.06    15.67     7.38    22.04    71.93    34.82P    0.04R    0.00  
Derby            17   27  +10      67.69     8.22    11.21     1.14     4.63    33.62    10.79P    1.03R    0.12  
Leeds_United     17   27   +0      64.61     8.65    -4.12     0.65     2.67    21.31     6.37P    3.63R    0.56  
Burnley          17   26   +7      70.97     8.76    14.79     3.49    10.79    49.47    21.35P    0.69R    0.10  
Norwich          17   26   +2      66.87     8.62     3.46     1.04     4.24    29.86     9.77P    1.79R    0.23  
Doncaster        17   26   +1      65.70     8.24     1.06     0.62     2.61    24.28     6.88P    2.17R    0.30  
Reading          17   24   +6      70.54     8.34    16.28     2.41     8.62    47.72    19.80P    0.53R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    17   24   +3      67.78     8.16     9.23     1.10     4.50    33.43    12.41P    1.05R    0.13  
Coventry         17   24   +2      59.92     8.07    -3.85     0.11     0.54     8.43     1.95P    8.41R    1.45  
Watford          17   22   +2      61.69     8.48     1.21     0.28     1.21    13.55     3.90P    6.37R    1.29  
Portsmouth       17   22   -1      66.81     8.58     6.60     1.09     4.14    30.42    11.60P    1.89R    0.28  
Ipswich          17   22   -3      59.33     8.11    -6.38     0.07     0.40     7.24     1.79P    9.70R    2.03  
Leicester        17   22   -6      62.98     8.30    -4.18     0.27     1.28    15.37     4.57P    4.67R    0.70  
Barnsley         17   22   -7      55.05     8.03   -17.68     0.01     0.09     2.55     0.46P   23.04R    6.11  
Millwall         17   20   -2      55.73     8.22    -7.58     0.02     0.13     3.46     0.75P   19.72R    5.39  
Scunthorpe       17   20   -6      51.63     8.08   -19.94     0.01     0.05     1.06     0.23P   38.21R   13.17  
Sheff_Utd        17   19   -9      58.54     8.12    -9.06     0.07     0.34     5.84     1.66P   12.00R    2.73  
Hull             17   18   -6      56.99     8.40    -6.70     0.05     0.26     4.91     1.41P   16.38R    3.97  
Bristol_City     17   18   -9      52.70     7.99   -16.46     0.01     0.05     1.29     0.31P   32.40R    9.97  
Middlesbrough    17   17   -8      57.47     8.19    -6.75     0.04     0.22     4.85     1.37P   14.51R    3.39  
Crystal_Palace   17   17  -12      51.81     8.06   -19.30     0.00     0.02     0.99     0.19P   37.02R   12.59  
Preston          17   14  -13      46.11     8.11   -26.31     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   64.74R   35.47  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 November 2010, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         16   34  +17      81.36     8.52    26.34    25.64    43.38    81.98    51.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +6      80.29     8.48    23.19    21.48    38.58    78.45    49.80P    0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth      16   26  +14      71.13     8.91    19.87     4.27    10.01    40.75    16.64P    0.72R    0.03  
Carlisle         16   26   +9      71.34     8.54    15.22     3.67     9.07    40.31    15.86P    0.60R    0.03  
Huddersfield     16   26   +7      76.12     8.57    20.79    10.48    21.82    62.38    32.44P    0.12R    0.01  
Colchester       16   26   +3      72.01     8.57    10.29     4.32    10.29    42.28    17.95P    0.52R    0.01  
MK_Dons          16   26   +1      68.67     8.60     3.09     1.99     5.03    27.51     9.57P    1.30R    0.05  
Peterborough     16   25   +0      68.44     9.04     2.94     2.24     5.73    28.03    10.30P    1.88R    0.08  
Sheff_Wed        16   24   +8      75.34     8.69    23.01     9.16    20.00    59.32    32.58P    0.19R    0.00  
Southampton      16   24   +7      77.58     8.42    25.89    14.05    27.77    69.50    42.06P    0.06R    0.00  
Oldham           15   24   +5      67.46     8.65     6.56     1.29     3.82    23.65     7.78P    1.85R    0.09  
Exeter           16   22   -5      54.28     8.08   -19.25     0.02     0.09     1.25     0.24P   27.86R    3.55  
Swindon          16   20   -3      63.04     8.63    -0.44     0.39     1.27    11.51     3.56P    5.53R    0.34  
Hartlepool       15   20   -4      57.00     8.55   -13.08     0.06     0.23     3.20     0.70P   18.52R    2.10  
Bristol_Rovers   16   20   -7      55.72     8.30   -15.64     0.04     0.15     2.01     0.46P   22.21R    2.67  
Rochdale         15   19   +2      58.87     9.08    -2.53     0.21     0.69     6.17     1.76P   13.90R    1.47  
Leyton_Orient    16   19   +0      57.05     8.40    -4.64     0.06     0.20     3.16     0.82P   16.71R    1.78  
Brentford        16   19   -3      57.26     8.25    -6.98     0.05     0.16     2.83     0.67P   16.16R    1.77  
Plymouth         16   19   -6      63.10     8.80    -1.66     0.51     1.46    11.87     3.97P    5.99R    0.47  
Tranmere         16   19   -7      54.57     8.27   -15.46     0.01     0.07     1.35     0.29P   27.04R    3.58  
Notts_County     15   16   -7      54.91     9.00   -13.10     0.05     0.18     2.27     0.54P   26.66R    4.33  
Dag_&_Red        16   15  -11      43.53     8.19   -31.95     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   76.67R   33.24  
Yeovil           16   15  -13      46.74     8.08   -27.82     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   64.09R   18.84  
Walsall          16   11  -13      44.73     8.07   -24.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   71.40R   25.55  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 November 2010, Bury vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         16   32  +14      80.61     8.76    25.25    29.08    60.55    88.25    67.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            16   30  +11      77.30     8.30    20.03    15.42    44.81    80.79    54.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   28   +9      75.70     8.53    18.76    11.91    38.01    74.85    47.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Wycombe              16   28   +9      77.98     8.77    22.19    19.34    48.67    81.49    58.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 16   28   +8      72.09     8.39    12.47     5.95    22.53    59.33    31.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Rotherham            16   27   +7      72.51     8.57    13.53     6.46    24.53    61.32    33.86P    0.06R    0.01  
Torquay              16   24   +7      67.75     8.67    10.79     2.49    11.82    40.00    18.27P    0.36R    0.10  
Stevenage            16   23   +6      64.89     8.61     7.46     1.11     6.36    28.15    11.51P    0.81R    0.21  
Crewe                16   22  +12      69.91     8.83    22.43     4.45    18.36    51.76    27.56P    0.22R    0.06  
Macclesfield         16   22   -2      58.05     8.19    -9.40     0.09     0.96     7.57     2.04P    4.85R    1.62  
Cheltenham           15   22   -3      61.11     8.69    -8.80     0.41     2.66    14.73     4.73P    2.93R    0.90  
Burton_Albion        16   21   +4      61.29     8.53     2.39     0.45     2.90    16.17     5.81P    2.21R    0.67  
Bradford             16   20   -3      61.81     8.45    -1.95     0.40     2.79    16.35     5.92P    2.14R    0.62  
Aldershot            16   19   -5      58.82     8.38    -7.02     0.14     1.11     9.34     2.95P    4.40R    1.63  
Southend             15   18   -2      66.23     8.99     6.48     1.74     9.14    33.93    16.45P    0.80R    0.24  
Stockport            16   18  -13      51.38     8.49   -25.41     0.01     0.19     1.76     0.50P   21.94R   10.01  
Accrington_Stanley   16   17   -2      53.92     8.44    -9.22     0.03     0.33     3.48     0.91P   12.59R    5.13  
Oxford_Utd           16   17   -3      52.09     8.34   -11.16     0.02     0.21     1.99     0.60P   17.31R    7.71  
Morecambe            16   17   -6      56.45     8.52    -9.06     0.10     0.77     5.99     1.93P    7.79R    3.08  
Northampton          16   17   -6      60.98     8.45    -1.80     0.28     2.34    14.39     5.61P    2.56R    0.82  
Lincoln_City         16   16   -9      49.62     7.93   -19.06     0.00     0.04     0.75     0.15P   26.07R   11.87  
Gillingham           16   15   -7      56.46     8.77    -6.56     0.11     0.83     6.52     2.36P    8.24R    3.25  
Hereford             16   15  -10      49.78     8.26   -19.65     0.00     0.09     0.96     0.29P   26.28R   12.64  
Barnet               16   13  -16      43.38     7.92   -32.72     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.02P   58.38R   39.42  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, York vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      19   38  +13      81.51     7.71    23.20    13.42    75.83    27.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       18   37  +15      82.48     7.88    26.07    16.85    79.44    30.23P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              19   36  +17      89.40     7.29    43.49    56.21    96.09    71.65P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   32  +10      70.39     7.97    12.30     1.17    23.84     5.40P    0.06R    0.00  
Newport_County     19   31   +9      70.04     8.15    12.25     0.99    23.38     5.08P    0.09R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   19   31   +9      77.83     7.44    24.53     6.18    61.02    22.50P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   30   +0      69.30     7.69     3.30     0.63    18.09     3.77P    0.09R    0.01  
Wrexham            19   29   +7      71.48     7.50    15.41     1.10    27.90     7.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   28   +4      72.33     7.86    15.27     1.64    32.19     9.79P    0.03R    0.00  
Mansfield          19   27   +6      70.08     7.74    15.69     0.79    23.33     5.99P    0.06R    0.01  
Darlington         19   27   +6      70.46     7.68    15.63     0.84    23.91     7.39P    0.04R    0.01  
Kettering          19   25   -3      63.54     7.50    -0.54     0.08     4.94     1.12P    0.69R    0.06  
Gateshead          19   24   -3      55.55     7.39   -11.48     0.00     0.41     0.03P    7.18R    1.09  
Bath_City          19   23   -4      53.96     7.88   -14.24     0.00     0.41     0.06P   11.89R    2.00  
Cambridge_Utd      19   22   +2      64.12     7.72     9.94     0.11     6.94     1.87P    0.65R    0.07  
Eastbourne_Boro    19   22   -4      52.10     7.48   -16.95     0.00     0.13     0.01P   16.28R    2.96  
Barrow             19   21   -6      51.83     7.37   -16.31     0.00     0.12     0.02P   16.48R    3.22  
Tamworth           19   21   -7      52.67     7.42   -15.56     0.00     0.16     0.02P   14.42R    2.85  
York               18   19   -5      59.20     7.77    -2.05     0.01     1.72     0.40P    3.10R    0.37  
Histon             18   19  -10      49.68     7.59   -22.45     0.00     0.06     0.01P   26.54R    6.46  
Southport          18   18   -4      48.04     7.84   -16.94     0.00     0.05     0.01P   33.22R    9.75  
Forest_Green       19   18  -14      46.30     7.37   -28.99     0.00     0.02     0.00    43.30R   14.04  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -18      42.00     7.14   -39.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.96R   33.24  
Altrincham         19   14  -20      43.66     7.28   -32.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.91R   23.86