Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 14 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, Chelsea vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         13   28  +20      83.05     6.44    54.59    61.66    87.90    98.27    99.63    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         13   26  +14      75.12     7.04    37.95    13.79    43.77    83.93    94.29    99.14     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd         13   25  +11      77.94     6.52    42.15    24.07    63.92    92.64    98.11    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   22   +5      62.78     7.14    14.87     0.31     2.74    12.72    44.18    76.74     0.03R    0.00  
Bolton          13   19   +2      48.99     7.10    -6.21     0.00     0.04     0.31     2.26    11.61     3.47R    0.39  
Sunderland      13   19   +2      52.25     7.14     0.23     0.01     0.07     0.74     4.90    22.10     1.37R    0.11  
Tottenham       13   19   +1      55.66     7.19     4.37     0.03     0.33     2.46    11.67    38.76     0.34R    0.03  
Newcastle       13   18   +5      52.06     7.55     4.26     0.01     0.13     1.06     6.07    23.92     1.62R    0.17  
Aston_Villa     13   17   -3      52.20     7.21    -2.30     0.01     0.09     0.95     5.20    21.66     1.43R    0.15  
Stoke           13   16   -3      44.34     6.86   -12.30     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.36     3.19    11.73R    1.68  
Liverpool       13   16   -4      59.40     7.12     9.46     0.10     0.88     5.68    24.42    60.18     0.09R    0.00  
West_Brom       13   16   -6      45.31     7.44   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.80     5.19    11.24R    1.94  
Everton         13   15   +1      52.97     7.10     6.23     0.01     0.10     0.94     6.54    26.09     0.89R    0.10  
Blackburn       13   15   -3      45.72     7.09    -9.56     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.70     5.05     8.86R    1.32  
Blackpool       13   15   -7      38.73     6.94   -26.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.65    37.59R   10.10  
Fulham          13   14   +0      45.49     6.93    -3.78     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.72     4.73     8.02R    1.06  
Wigan           13   14  -11      34.11     6.27   -35.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    66.20R   27.47  
Birmingham      13   13   -3      40.56     6.81   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.02    25.07R    5.32  
Wolverhampton   13    9  -10      33.60     6.73   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    65.34R   28.94  
West_Ham        13    9  -11      35.20     6.86   -24.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    56.71R   21.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, Swansea vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          17   36  +17      86.79     8.26    34.34    50.89    74.11    96.41    80.70P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              17   35  +23      82.83     8.23    34.96    29.22    57.30    91.95    66.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          17   32   +9      76.01     8.09    15.47     7.30    21.32    70.81    33.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Derby            17   27  +10      68.09     8.35    11.72     1.35     5.31    34.95    11.74P    1.00R    0.11  
Leeds_United     17   27   +0      64.51     8.62    -4.36     0.62     2.56    20.53     6.14P    3.57R    0.54  
Burnley          17   26   +7      71.07     8.78    14.98     3.54    10.80    49.15    21.08P    0.57R    0.07  
Doncaster        17   26   +2      66.04     8.28     2.47     0.62     2.85    25.30     7.42P    1.88R    0.23  
Norwich          17   26   +2      66.92     8.64     3.53     1.11     4.23    29.68    10.01P    1.83R    0.23  
Reading          17   24   +6      70.67     8.36    16.56     2.45     8.79    47.70    20.42P    0.49R    0.05  
Nott'm_Forest    17   24   +3      67.73     8.11     9.13     1.04     3.97    32.18    11.50P    1.07R    0.11  
Coventry         17   24   +1      59.59     8.14    -5.67     0.09     0.52     7.72     1.86P    9.18R    1.65  
Ipswich          17   24   -1      62.13     8.07    -3.30     0.17     0.84    12.54     3.30P    5.01R    0.89  
Watford          17   22   +2      61.60     8.44     0.90     0.24     1.20    12.73     3.68P    6.33R    1.23  
Portsmouth       17   22   -1      66.64     8.57     6.41     0.95     3.95    29.20    11.27P    1.89R    0.27  
Barnsley         17   22   -6      55.48     8.03   -16.12     0.01     0.09     2.63     0.49P   21.22R    5.31  
Leicester        17   22   -6      63.12     8.26    -3.97     0.26     1.21    15.23     4.47P    4.40R    0.72  
Millwall         17   20   -1      56.20     8.33    -6.15     0.04     0.20     3.86     0.87P   18.22R    4.95  
Scunthorpe       17   20   -6      51.67     8.06   -20.03     0.00     0.03     1.05     0.19P   37.55R   12.52  
Sheff_Utd        17   19   -9      58.61     8.10    -8.96     0.05     0.24     5.87     1.51P   11.49R    2.43  
Hull             17   18   -7      56.64     8.42    -8.33     0.03     0.21     4.26     1.26P   17.38R    4.31  
Middlesbrough    17   17   -9      57.26     8.16    -8.13     0.03     0.22     4.36     1.24P   14.88R    3.46  
Bristol_City     17   17  -11      50.92     8.02   -19.80     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.17P   41.11R   14.42  
Crystal_Palace   17   17  -12      51.97     8.07   -19.19     0.00     0.02     1.00     0.21P   36.11R   11.73  
Preston          17   14  -13      46.08     8.05   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   64.79R   34.78  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 November 2010, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         16   34  +17      81.26     8.52    26.21    25.53    43.51    81.77    52.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +6      80.36     8.47    23.30    22.00    38.96    78.66    50.40P    0.04R    0.00  
Bournemouth      16   26  +14      71.14     8.97    19.85     4.45    10.26    40.84    16.78P    0.78R    0.02  
Carlisle         16   26   +9      71.19     8.47    14.99     3.52     8.67    39.71    15.54P    0.55R    0.02  
Huddersfield     16   26   +7      76.04     8.55    20.68    10.43    21.74    62.55    32.51P    0.13R    0.00  
Colchester       16   26   +3      71.80     8.53     9.95     4.14     9.99    41.53    17.21P    0.48R    0.01  
MK_Dons          16   26   +1      68.65     8.61     3.06     1.89     5.18    27.76     9.85P    1.41R    0.06  
Peterborough     16   25   +0      68.48     9.04     3.03     2.35     5.92    28.15    10.58P    1.85R    0.08  
Sheff_Wed        16   24   +8      75.32     8.62    22.97     9.15    19.76    59.71    32.47P    0.14R    0.00  
Southampton      16   24   +7      77.43     8.38    25.66    13.77    27.48    68.94    41.29P    0.06R    0.00  
Oldham           15   24   +5      67.28     8.61     6.32     1.40     3.76    23.27     7.53P    1.91R    0.09  
Exeter           16   22   -5      54.54     8.07   -18.82     0.01     0.08     1.32     0.25P   27.06R    3.34  
Swindon          16   20   -3      62.95     8.61    -0.57     0.40     1.35    11.37     3.53P    5.89R    0.38  
Hartlepool       15   20   -4      57.14     8.56   -12.88     0.10     0.32     3.37     0.85P   18.24R    2.02  
Bristol_Rovers   16   20   -7      55.79     8.35   -15.55     0.03     0.16     2.15     0.52P   22.46R    2.68  
Rochdale         15   19   +2      59.26     9.09    -1.93     0.20     0.74     6.77     1.99P   13.00R    1.34  
Leyton_Orient    16   19   +0      57.00     8.37    -4.69     0.05     0.20     3.07     0.74P   17.06R    1.66  
Brentford        16   19   -3      57.19     8.24    -7.05     0.04     0.16     2.87     0.71P   16.32R    1.73  
Plymouth         16   19   -6      63.14     8.90    -1.62     0.45     1.50    12.39     4.10P    6.14R    0.47  
Tranmere         16   19   -7      54.52     8.20   -15.55     0.03     0.08     1.29     0.30P   27.11R    3.58  
Notts_County     15   16   -7      54.82     9.02   -13.19     0.06     0.17     2.26     0.58P   27.24R    4.54  
Dag_&_Red        16   15  -11      43.36     8.15   -32.24     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   77.69R   34.50  
Yeovil           16   15  -13      46.83     8.08   -27.65     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   63.97R   18.43  
Walsall          16   11  -13      44.97     8.16   -24.26     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   70.46R   25.05  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 November 2010, Bury vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         16   32  +14      80.77     8.73    25.46    29.40    61.74    88.74    68.45P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            16   30  +11      77.09     8.28    19.75    14.86    43.46    80.35    52.77P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   28   +9      75.80     8.52    18.88    12.05    38.27    75.15    47.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              16   28   +9      78.09     8.73    22.36    19.49    49.30    82.02    59.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 16   28   +8      71.92     8.50    12.14     5.90    22.20    58.53    30.64P    0.06R    0.01  
Rotherham            16   27   +7      72.68     8.52    13.77     6.56    24.94    62.01    34.43P    0.04R    0.01  
Torquay              16   24   +7      67.74     8.55    10.77     2.39    11.40    39.75    18.01P    0.33R    0.08  
Stevenage            16   23   +6      64.70     8.50     7.23     0.95     5.83    27.09    10.96P    0.79R    0.23  
Crewe                16   22  +12      69.92     8.84    22.46     4.66    18.30    51.54    27.40P    0.23R    0.07  
Macclesfield         16   22   -2      58.11     8.24    -9.37     0.08     0.98     7.65     2.07P    4.77R    1.56  
Cheltenham           15   22   -3      61.03     8.65    -8.86     0.38     2.64    14.49     4.75P    2.99R    0.95  
Burton_Albion        16   21   +4      61.22     8.52     2.28     0.34     2.71    16.21     5.66P    2.23R    0.66  
Bradford             16   20   -3      61.77     8.41    -1.96     0.35     2.72    15.97     5.72P    2.05R    0.64  
Aldershot            16   19   -5      58.75     8.37    -7.12     0.13     1.29     9.08     2.79P    4.48R    1.67  
Southend             15   18   -2      66.34     9.04     6.66     1.95     9.55    34.49    17.09P    0.86R    0.28  
Stockport            16   18  -13      51.37     8.51   -25.41     0.03     0.19     1.88     0.52P   21.76R    9.92  
Accrington_Stanley   16   17   -2      53.96     8.55    -9.17     0.03     0.36     3.77     1.01P   12.77R    5.42  
Oxford_Utd           16   17   -3      51.85     8.27   -11.50     0.01     0.13     1.87     0.47P   17.88R    7.93  
Morecambe            16   17   -6      56.49     8.54    -9.01     0.08     0.72     6.23     1.95P    7.73R    2.92  
Northampton          16   17   -6      61.09     8.53    -1.69     0.29     2.42    14.99     5.80P    2.59R    0.86  
Lincoln_City         16   16   -9      49.57     7.94   -19.12     0.01     0.05     0.70     0.16P   26.14R   12.00  
Gillingham           16   15   -7      56.71     8.65    -6.18     0.08     0.76     6.48     2.25P    7.66R    3.10  
Hereford             16   15  -10      49.81     8.23   -19.64     0.00     0.04     0.91     0.20P   25.92R   12.40  
Barnet               16   13  -16      43.36     7.92   -32.75     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.02P   58.67R   39.29  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 November 2010, York vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      19   38  +13      81.53     7.68    23.22    13.57    75.69    27.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       18   37  +15      82.49     7.88    26.13    17.02    79.58    30.29P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              19   36  +17      89.33     7.33    43.31    55.96    96.08    71.39P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   32  +10      70.47     8.07    12.42     1.08    24.89     5.62P    0.06R    0.00  
Newport_County     19   31   +9      70.13     8.18    12.36     1.04    23.81     5.36P    0.08R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   19   31   +9      77.79     7.47    24.46     6.14    61.02    22.73P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   30   +0      69.39     7.74     3.45     0.72    18.75     4.16P    0.11R    0.01  
Wrexham            19   29   +7      71.26     7.53    15.12     1.07    27.03     7.37P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   28   +4      72.15     7.84    15.03     1.56    31.42     9.48P    0.03R    0.00  
Mansfield          19   27   +6      69.84     7.78    15.31     0.78    22.43     5.66P    0.08R    0.01  
Darlington         19   27   +6      70.41     7.71    15.57     0.89    24.27     7.45P    0.04R    0.00  
Kettering          19   25   -3      63.72     7.48    -0.33     0.07     5.17     1.09P    0.63R    0.04  
Gateshead          19   24   -3      55.57     7.44   -11.45     0.00     0.49     0.06P    7.35R    1.08  
Bath_City          19   23   -4      54.23     7.93   -13.78     0.01     0.54     0.07P   11.49R    1.97  
Cambridge_Utd      19   22   +2      63.94     7.72     9.68     0.10     6.63     1.78P    0.67R    0.06  
Eastbourne_Boro    19   22   -4      52.05     7.47   -17.01     0.00     0.15     0.02P   16.40R    3.18  
Barrow             19   21   -6      51.64     7.38   -16.62     0.00     0.12     0.01P   17.48R    3.41  
Tamworth           19   21   -7      52.67     7.42   -15.57     0.00     0.21     0.03P   14.60R    2.97  
York               18   19   -5      58.99     7.72    -2.40     0.01     1.57     0.35P    3.15R    0.42  
Histon             18   19  -10      49.95     7.63   -22.04     0.00     0.06     0.01P   25.42R    6.06  
Southport          18   18   -4      48.30     7.89   -16.49     0.00     0.07     0.02P   32.38R    9.39  
Forest_Green       19   18  -14      46.31     7.38   -28.94     0.00     0.02     0.00    43.87R   14.10  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -18      42.09     7.13   -39.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.88R   33.13  
Altrincham         19   14  -20      43.64     7.24   -32.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.23R   24.15