Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 13 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 November 2010, Aston_Villa vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         12   28  +23      87.04     6.35    62.81    80.19    96.10    99.60    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   25  +11      77.68     6.53    41.85    14.08    65.86    92.66    97.94    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         12   23  +13      73.17     7.26    36.39     5.51    33.55    78.18    91.06    98.08     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   22   +5      62.52     7.07    14.48     0.15     2.54    13.95    44.04    76.72     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          13   19   +2      49.16     7.02    -6.16     0.00     0.02     0.34     2.20    12.00     3.31R    0.32  
Tottenham       13   19   +1      55.45     7.19     3.99     0.01     0.39     2.88    11.99    38.95     0.40R    0.03  
Newcastle       13   18   +5      51.81     7.60     3.80     0.00     0.12     1.26     6.13    23.73     1.76R    0.21  
Aston_Villa     13   17   -3      52.19     7.05    -2.41     0.00     0.09     1.05     5.30    22.33     1.28R    0.10  
Sunderland      12   16   -1      47.64     7.10    -7.93     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.43     8.60     5.56R    0.68  
Stoke           13   16   -3      44.31     6.88   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.42     3.33    12.21R    1.86  
Liverpool       13   16   -4      59.47     7.11     9.55     0.03     1.00     7.15    26.46    61.91     0.10R    0.02  
West_Brom       13   16   -6      45.39     7.31   -14.26     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.78     5.40    10.87R    1.87  
Everton         12   15   +2      54.62     7.27     7.65     0.02     0.28     2.38    10.57    36.16     0.64R    0.05  
Blackburn       13   15   -3      45.79     7.01    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.71     5.35     8.48R    1.30  
Blackpool       13   15   -7      39.16     7.00   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.82    35.83R    9.95  
Fulham          13   14   +0      45.82     6.91    -3.32     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.81     5.48     7.47R    0.95  
Wigan           13   14  -11      34.21     6.25   -35.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    66.45R   27.74  
Birmingham      13   13   -3      40.62     6.75   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.04    24.90R    5.28  
Wolverhampton   13    9  -10      33.82     6.70   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    64.94R   28.59  
West_Ham        13    9  -11      35.41     6.84   -24.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    55.77R   21.04  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 November 2010, Burnley vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          17   36  +17      86.78     8.27    34.26    52.02    75.23    96.62    81.63P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              17   35  +23      82.54     8.15    34.41    28.80    57.64    91.97    66.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          16   29   +8      74.61     8.22    14.85     5.75    17.67    65.84    30.16P    0.12R    0.01  
Derby            17   27  +10      67.80     8.36    11.43     1.31     5.14    34.79    11.43P    1.09R    0.14  
Leeds_United     17   27   +0      64.47     8.69    -4.38     0.66     2.69    21.36     6.46P    3.84R    0.59  
Burnley          17   26   +7      71.09     8.75    15.00     3.68    11.35    50.03    22.02P    0.61R    0.07  
Norwich          17   26   +2      66.97     8.70     3.64     1.23     4.49    30.76    10.09P    1.94R    0.25  
Doncaster        17   26   +1      65.62     8.26     0.88     0.64     2.69    24.07     6.91P    2.29R    0.32  
Reading          17   24   +6      70.61     8.40    16.41     2.71     9.45    48.48    20.92P    0.52R    0.06  
Nott'm_Forest    17   24   +3      67.71     8.16     9.12     1.22     4.69    33.56    12.42P    1.10R    0.14  
Coventry         17   24   +2      59.82     8.08    -4.01     0.12     0.59     8.37     2.00P    8.58R    1.63  
Watford          17   22   +2      61.55     8.45     0.96     0.27     1.17    13.23     3.66P    6.69R    1.35  
Portsmouth       17   22   -1      66.69     8.51     6.45     1.00     4.08    29.97    11.59P    1.84R    0.26  
Ipswich          17   22   -3      59.26     8.15    -6.52     0.09     0.42     7.52     1.89P   10.26R    2.09  
Leicester        17   22   -6      63.11     8.25    -3.96     0.26     1.33    15.78     4.81P    4.58R    0.75  
Barnsley         17   22   -7      54.90     8.03   -17.87     0.01     0.11     2.55     0.50P   24.08R    6.52  
Millwall         17   20   -2      55.67     8.26    -7.73     0.02     0.16     3.50     0.85P   20.56R    5.61  
Scunthorpe       17   20   -6      51.80     8.12   -19.66     0.01     0.04     1.17     0.22P   37.71R   12.77  
Sheff_Utd        17   19   -9      58.51     8.12    -9.04     0.03     0.32     5.97     1.60P   12.21R    2.70  
Hull             17   18   -6      56.85     8.35    -6.87     0.06     0.22     4.58     1.31P   16.68R    4.31  
Bristol_City     17   18   -9      52.74     8.07   -16.39     0.01     0.05     1.38     0.32P   32.55R   10.28  
Middlesbrough    16   17   -7      58.87     8.35    -5.69     0.10     0.42     7.26     2.16P   11.48R    2.59  
Crystal_Palace   17   17  -12      51.94     8.04   -19.15     0.00     0.03     1.06     0.22P   36.45R   12.42  
Preston          17   14  -13      46.19     8.04   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   64.82R   35.14  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 November 2010, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         16   34  +17      81.43     8.50    26.49    26.30    44.08    82.06    52.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +6      80.40     8.45    23.35    21.97    39.19    79.05    50.34P    0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth      16   26  +14      71.13     8.96    19.85     4.16    10.15    40.92    16.84P    0.79R    0.03  
Carlisle         16   26   +9      71.25     8.52    15.11     3.59     8.91    40.17    15.79P    0.47R    0.01  
Huddersfield     16   26   +7      76.03     8.59    20.59    10.43    21.86    62.16    32.51P    0.10R    0.00  
Colchester       16   26   +3      71.64     8.53     9.69     4.02     9.58    40.52    16.99P    0.51R    0.01  
MK_Dons          16   26   +1      68.67     8.57     3.07     1.87     5.03    27.86     9.67P    1.24R    0.04  
Peterborough     16   25   +0      68.57     9.02     3.18     2.33     5.90    28.52    10.50P    1.87R    0.12  
Sheff_Wed        16   24   +8      75.39     8.63    23.05     9.07    19.85    60.05    32.53P    0.17R    0.00  
Southampton      16   24   +7      77.39     8.39    25.65    13.45    27.03    69.08    41.08P    0.05R    0.00  
Oldham           15   24   +5      67.37     8.65     6.48     1.38     3.85    23.54     7.75P    1.85R    0.10  
Exeter           16   22   -5      54.61     8.11   -18.66     0.01     0.08     1.39     0.25P   26.70R    3.30  
Swindon          16   20   -3      62.83     8.63    -0.73     0.45     1.23    11.13     3.56P    5.92R    0.43  
Hartlepool       15   20   -4      57.11     8.58   -12.90     0.08     0.30     3.34     0.79P   18.53R    2.12  
Bristol_Rovers   16   20   -7      55.64     8.30   -15.79     0.03     0.10     1.98     0.43P   22.85R    2.83  
Rochdale         15   19   +2      59.05     9.18    -2.26     0.24     0.77     6.57     1.91P   13.99R    1.48  
Leyton_Orient    16   19   +0      56.95     8.36    -4.75     0.05     0.21     3.10     0.71P   16.97R    1.69  
Brentford        16   19   -3      57.12     8.22    -7.21     0.07     0.19     2.88     0.71P   16.72R    1.76  
Plymouth         16   19   -6      63.19     8.82    -1.51     0.45     1.45    12.05     3.97P    5.94R    0.49  
Tranmere         16   19   -7      54.54     8.17   -15.52     0.02     0.07     1.26     0.27P   27.02R    3.39  
Notts_County     15   16   -7      54.89     8.93   -13.12     0.03     0.14     2.14     0.55P   26.81R    4.19  
Dag_&_Red        16   15  -11      43.55     8.21   -31.91     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   76.97R   33.71  
Yeovil           16   15  -13      46.83     8.11   -27.75     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   63.74R   18.87  
Walsall          16   11  -13      44.86     8.17   -24.41     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.02P   70.74R   25.42  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 November 2010, Bury vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         16   32  +14      80.67     8.68    25.32    29.30    61.10    88.87    67.99P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            16   30  +11      77.20     8.24    19.87    15.22    44.44    80.55    53.51P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   28   +9      75.89     8.50    19.06    12.55    38.41    75.57    48.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              16   28   +9      77.96     8.77    22.18    19.11    48.76    81.61    58.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 16   28   +8      71.92     8.45    12.18     5.67    22.06    58.53    30.51P    0.05R    0.01  
Rotherham            16   27   +7      72.59     8.50    13.64     6.41    24.85    61.87    34.33P    0.05R    0.01  
Torquay              16   24   +7      67.79     8.68    10.87     2.61    11.91    40.50    18.74P    0.41R    0.10  
Stevenage            16   23   +6      64.64     8.57     7.10     0.99     6.03    26.99    10.92P    0.85R    0.25  
Crewe                16   22  +12      69.75     8.82    22.20     4.27    17.79    50.83    26.83P    0.24R    0.06  
Macclesfield         16   22   -2      58.19     8.25    -9.24     0.08     1.01     7.84     2.25P    4.76R    1.57  
Cheltenham           15   22   -3      60.92     8.69    -9.01     0.41     2.60    14.44     4.66P    3.04R    1.00  
Burton_Albion        16   21   +4      61.29     8.52     2.47     0.41     2.88    16.10     5.83P    2.24R    0.74  
Bradford             16   20   -3      61.62     8.47    -2.17     0.37     2.69    15.96     5.64P    2.20R    0.62  
Aldershot            16   19   -5      58.81     8.33    -6.98     0.16     1.23     9.03     2.81P    4.43R    1.55  
Southend             15   18   -2      66.48     8.99     6.88     1.91     9.58    34.69    17.21P    0.78R    0.25  
Stockport            16   18  -13      51.33     8.51   -25.51     0.01     0.17     1.83     0.47P   22.16R   10.07  
Accrington_Stanley   16   17   -2      54.06     8.46    -9.00     0.03     0.32     3.59     0.93P   12.46R    5.14  
Oxford_Utd           16   17   -3      52.17     8.36   -11.09     0.02     0.17     2.12     0.53P   17.15R    7.52  
Morecambe            16   17   -6      56.27     8.54    -9.32     0.08     0.72     5.85     1.84P    8.28R    3.21  
Northampton          16   17   -6      61.05     8.46    -1.69     0.31     2.26    14.74     5.65P    2.59R    0.92  
Lincoln_City         16   16   -9      49.78     7.88   -18.82     0.00     0.05     0.77     0.17P   25.30R   11.48  
Gillingham           16   15   -7      56.56     8.70    -6.39     0.07     0.86     6.63     2.39P    8.05R    3.10  
Hereford             16   15  -10      49.76     8.18   -19.72     0.01     0.08     0.96     0.21P   26.20R   12.30  
Barnet               16   13  -16      43.32     7.96   -32.82     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.03P   58.74R   40.10  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 November 2010, Altrincham vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      19   38  +13      81.41     7.66    23.05    12.81    75.21    26.23P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       18   37  +15      82.52     7.87    26.19    16.72    79.25    30.21P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              19   36  +17      89.54     7.30    43.69    56.97    96.31    72.51P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     19   32  +10      70.61     8.03    12.60     1.06    24.80     5.62P    0.07R    0.00  
Newport_County     19   31   +9      70.15     8.11    12.39     1.03    23.26     5.17P    0.09R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   19   31   +9      77.83     7.49    24.58     6.16    60.34    22.32P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      19   30   +0      69.33     7.70     3.36     0.63    17.90     3.83P    0.09R    0.01  
Wrexham            18   28   +7      71.63     7.65    15.14     1.26    28.34     7.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   28   +4      72.31     7.85    15.24     1.62    32.18     9.74P    0.03R    0.00  
Mansfield          19   27   +6      69.99     7.76    15.52     0.81    22.76     5.74P    0.08R    0.01  
Darlington         19   27   +6      70.43     7.76    15.62     0.74    24.16     7.40P    0.06R    0.01  
Kettering          19   25   -3      63.60     7.54    -0.47     0.07     5.01     1.04P    0.70R    0.06  
Gateshead          19   24   -3      55.60     7.42   -11.46     0.00     0.46     0.07P    7.06R    1.06  
Bath_City          19   23   -4      53.93     7.91   -14.27     0.01     0.43     0.10P   11.87R    1.95  
Cambridge_Utd      19   22   +2      64.13     7.71    10.09     0.10     6.82     1.81P    0.69R    0.06  
Eastbourne_Boro    19   22   -4      51.92     7.42   -17.28     0.00     0.12     0.02P   16.56R    3.08  
Barrow             19   21   -6      51.70     7.35   -16.53     0.00     0.12     0.02P   16.77R    3.19  
Tamworth           19   21   -7      52.54     7.44   -15.73     0.00     0.15     0.02P   14.80R    3.01  
Histon             18   19  -10      49.88     7.59   -22.14     0.00     0.09     0.01P   25.50R    6.05  
Southport          18   18   -4      48.35     7.90   -16.45     0.00     0.05     0.01P   31.83R    9.19  
York               17   18   -5      59.54     7.98    -2.09     0.02     2.24     0.50P    3.04R    0.40  
Forest_Green       19   18  -14      46.13     7.35   -29.29     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.31R   14.60  
Hayes_&_Yeading    19   17  -18      41.93     7.13   -39.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.63R   33.41  
Altrincham         19   14  -20      43.62     7.28   -32.19     0.00     0.00     0.00P   57.77R   23.91