Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 12 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 November 2010, Aston_Villa vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         12   28  +23      86.95     6.35    62.62    76.61    95.17    99.35    99.89    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   24  +11      78.72     6.71    42.87    17.29    67.10    91.48    97.64    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         12   23  +13      73.47     7.26    36.95     5.57    31.29    73.79    89.53    98.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        12   21   +5      64.31     7.28    16.75     0.35     3.81    17.51    47.98    81.52     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   17   +5      53.06     7.78     5.06     0.01     0.19     1.55     6.67    27.52     1.34R    0.12  
Bolton          12   16   +1      46.84     7.20    -8.10     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.91     6.94     6.64R    0.92  
Tottenham       12   16   -1      54.00     7.42     2.29     0.01     0.21     1.77     7.27    29.62     0.85R    0.06  
Sunderland      12   16   -1      47.64     7.10    -7.90     0.00     0.01     0.17     1.06     7.53     5.27R    0.62  
Liverpool       12   16   -2      62.05     7.29    13.43     0.14     1.89    11.01    33.91    72.69     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   16   -3      51.79     7.34    -3.49     0.00     0.10     0.90     4.11    19.74     1.61R    0.14  
West_Brom       12   16   -5      47.32     7.65   -12.54     0.00     0.01     0.22     1.28     8.40     7.37R    1.11  
Everton         12   15   +2      54.50     7.30     7.55     0.00     0.19     1.85     7.99    33.12     0.63R    0.08  
Blackburn       12   15   -1      46.90     7.22    -7.66     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.86     6.89     6.45R    0.85  
Blackpool       12   14   -7      39.07     7.22   -27.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.77    35.70R    9.78  
Fulham          12   13   +0      45.36     7.08    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.57     4.67     8.51R    1.27  
Stoke           12   13   -5      41.43     6.99   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.41    21.82R    4.41  
Birmingham      12   12   -3      39.95     6.95   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.87    27.49R    6.19  
Wigan           12   11  -12      32.23     6.47   -37.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    74.14R   38.77  
Wolverhampton   12    9   -9      35.50     6.96   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    53.95R   18.87  
West_Ham        12    8  -11      36.48     7.11   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.33    48.21R   16.82  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 12 November 2010, Preston vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              16   34  +23      83.10     8.53    34.87    33.08    58.41    91.18    67.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   33  +15      85.15     8.49    32.20    43.57    66.89    94.08    74.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          16   29   +8      74.50     8.25    14.68     5.91    17.23    62.95    28.93P    0.09R    0.00  
Derby            16   27  +12      69.83     8.63    14.36     2.70     8.44    42.06    15.74P    0.59R    0.05  
Norwich          16   25   +2      66.56     8.89     2.44     1.27     4.28    27.73     9.33P    2.03R    0.27  
Coventry         16   24   +3      61.43     8.31    -2.87     0.24     1.05    11.17     2.90P    5.93R    1.03  
Ipswich          16   24   +1      65.05     8.34     0.98     0.55     2.29    20.62     6.06P    2.42R    0.35  
Leeds_United     16   24   -2      62.42     8.85    -7.12     0.43     1.61    14.57     4.06P    6.05R    1.20  
Burnley          16   23   +6      69.75     9.00    14.49     3.07     9.05    42.71    18.27P    0.97R    0.11  
Reading          16   23   +6      71.62     8.63    17.39     3.86    11.66    51.28    23.13P    0.44R    0.05  
Nott'm_Forest    16   23   +3      68.10     8.45     9.12     1.56     5.50    33.81    13.02P    1.05R    0.12  
Doncaster        16   23   +1      63.41     8.41    -0.02     0.38     1.66    16.50     4.68P    3.84R    0.57  
Watford          16   22   +3      62.91     8.71     1.81     0.51     1.95    16.44     5.12P    4.88R    0.84  
Portsmouth       16   22   +0      69.61     8.83     9.82     2.44     7.96    41.07    17.65P    0.94R    0.10  
Millwall         16   20   +0      58.15     8.55    -4.35     0.08     0.41     6.27     1.58P   12.79R    2.87  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -4      53.05     8.25   -17.71     0.02     0.08     1.71     0.34P   30.31R    9.01  
Leicester        16   19   -8      60.71     8.40    -7.11     0.16     0.64     9.40     2.70P    7.68R    1.43  
Barnsley         16   19   -8      52.37     8.12   -20.38     0.01     0.05     1.17     0.20P   33.06R   10.19  
Hull             17   18   -7      56.48     8.28    -8.49     0.03     0.21     3.80     1.08P   16.48R    3.99  
Middlesbrough    16   17   -8      58.48     8.34    -7.26     0.08     0.39     5.88     1.75P   11.56R    2.53  
Bristol_City     16   17   -9      52.48     8.32   -17.54     0.01     0.05     1.33     0.28P   32.53R   10.34  
Sheff_Utd        16   16  -10      56.45     8.32   -10.73     0.04     0.17     3.52     0.91P   17.40R    4.37  
Preston          17   14  -13      46.02     8.06   -26.46     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   63.70R   32.99  
Crystal_Palace   16   14  -14      49.77     8.25   -22.11     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.12P   45.25R   17.56  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 November 2010, Brentford vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         15   34  +19      83.91     8.72    30.11    35.06    54.47    88.44    62.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     15   26   +8      78.10     8.85    22.81    14.10    28.46    70.64    39.69P    0.07R    0.00  
Colchester       15   26   +4      73.43     8.69    11.28     5.28    12.62    49.36    21.29P    0.29R    0.00  
Peterborough     15   25   +4      71.87     9.25    10.46     4.78    11.42    42.98    18.30P    0.74R    0.03  
Charlton         15   25   +2      76.48     8.76    15.64     9.72    21.60    63.21    32.85P    0.13R    0.00  
Southampton      15   24   +8      79.35     8.58    27.39    17.47    34.07    76.20    48.41P    0.04R    0.00  
Bournemouth      15   23  +11      68.47     9.20    15.33     2.20     5.94    30.44    11.09P    1.75R    0.08  
Carlisle         15   23   +8      68.84     8.63    12.94     1.85     5.37    30.16    10.78P    1.12R    0.03  
MK_Dons          15   23   -1      66.05     8.84    -0.43     0.99     2.90    19.67     6.21P    2.83R    0.12  
Sheff_Wed        15   21   +6      73.69     8.86    20.96     5.86    14.39    52.74    26.53P    0.32R    0.01  
Oldham           14   21   +4      65.19     8.88     4.66     0.78     2.38    17.62     5.39P    3.42R    0.18  
Bristol_Rovers   15   20   -4      58.86     8.64    -9.81     0.08     0.42     5.11     1.24P   12.79R    1.08  
Rochdale         14   19   +4      61.12     9.35     0.90     0.40     1.27    10.46     3.10P    9.08R    0.75  
Brentford        15   19   -1      59.39     8.48    -3.88     0.11     0.45     5.36     1.43P   10.77R    0.84  
Plymouth         15   19   -5      65.68     9.04     1.15     0.91     2.75    19.14     6.62P    3.59R    0.21  
Exeter           15   19   -7      51.92     8.23   -22.38     0.01     0.04     0.77     0.15P   37.74R    5.46  
Swindon          15   17   -4      60.96     8.90    -2.17     0.23     0.84     8.63     2.47P    8.91R    0.63  
Hartlepool       14   17   -6      54.17     8.63   -16.85     0.03     0.10     1.69     0.34P   28.16R    3.68  
Leyton_Orient    15   16   -3      53.71     8.49   -10.20     0.02     0.06     1.52     0.31P   28.26R    3.55  
Notts_County     14   16   -5      57.18     9.30    -9.54     0.11     0.41     4.34     1.10P   18.95R    2.48  
Tranmere         15   16   -8      52.24     8.42   -17.61     0.02     0.04     0.86     0.18P   35.94R    5.35  
Yeovil           15   15  -11      49.48     8.41   -23.49     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.05P   49.27R   10.41  
Dag_&_Red        15   12  -13      40.07     8.23   -37.02     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   86.02R   49.92  
Walsall          15   11  -10      46.91     8.37   -20.26     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.02P   59.78R   15.16  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 November 2010, Barnet vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         15   32  +15      83.13     8.84    28.12    36.62    68.93    91.93    74.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            15   29  +11      77.57     8.49    19.98    14.19    43.21    79.65    52.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 15   28   +9      75.03     8.72    15.75     9.56    32.16    69.55    40.84P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   27   +9      75.99     8.72    18.67    11.17    36.28    73.48    45.71P    0.02R    0.01  
Wycombe              15   25   +8      76.70     8.96    21.83    13.75    40.90    75.71    51.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            15   24   +6      71.18     8.70    12.96     4.21    18.74    53.31    27.45P    0.07R    0.02  
Torquay              15   23   +7      69.37     8.71    12.66     3.00    14.08    45.38    21.52P    0.13R    0.04  
Stevenage            15   22   +6      65.18     8.75     7.32     0.97     6.28    27.86    11.55P    0.71R    0.20  
Cheltenham           14   21   -3      61.39     8.89    -8.99     0.38     2.79    14.78     4.89P    2.41R    0.79  
Bradford             15   20   -2      62.92     8.61    -1.37     0.52     3.49    18.65     6.87P    1.32R    0.37  
Crewe                15   19  +10      67.11     9.02    18.56     1.92    10.26    37.33    17.73P    0.49R    0.12  
Aldershot            15   19   -3      61.16     8.67    -3.59     0.31     2.26    13.95     4.78P    2.21R    0.75  
Macclesfield         15   19   -4      55.48     8.38   -13.00     0.04     0.41     4.27     1.07P    7.56R    2.65  
Burton_Albion        15   18   +3      58.30     8.68    -0.89     0.14     1.30     9.22     3.00P    4.14R    1.34  
Oxford_Utd           15   17   -2      53.01     8.47   -10.86     0.02     0.22     2.52     0.68P   12.82R    5.31  
Southend             14   17   -2      68.10     9.21     8.78     2.43    12.29    39.73    20.46P    0.47R    0.13  
Morecambe            15   17   -5      59.18     8.83    -6.00     0.22     1.58    10.30     3.59P    3.97R    1.33  
Accrington_Stanley   15   16   -2      53.67     8.70   -10.38     0.03     0.37     3.29     0.92P   11.81R    4.94  
Northampton          15   16   -6      61.74     8.68    -1.26     0.33     2.65    15.92     6.01P    1.89R    0.64  
Gillingham           15   15   -5      59.03     8.95    -2.74     0.19     1.64    10.63     3.94P    4.04R    1.44  
Stockport            15   15  -14      48.37     8.68   -29.00     0.01     0.08     0.92     0.23P   30.45R   15.17  
Hereford             15   14  -10      50.29     8.41   -19.66     0.00     0.08     1.25     0.32P   21.54R    9.45  
Lincoln_City         15   13  -10      46.69     8.01   -21.99     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P   35.38R   17.19  
Barnet               15   12  -16      42.59     8.03   -34.90     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   58.53R   38.12  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 11 November 2010, Wrexham vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      18   38  +15      83.85     7.92    26.69    20.90    82.36    34.42P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       17   36  +15      82.45     8.08    25.55    16.61    76.94    29.35P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              18   33  +16      88.31     7.53    43.51    47.04    94.12    65.35P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   31  +10      70.81     8.34    12.37     1.36    25.07     5.77P    0.09R    0.01  
Newport_County     18   30   +9      70.67     8.45    12.57     1.41    24.58     5.49P    0.10R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   18   30   +9      78.25     7.65    24.65     6.96    60.66    22.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            18   28   +7      71.51     7.73    15.00     1.16    26.87     7.28P    0.03R    0.00  
Mansfield          18   27   +7      72.38     8.01    18.18     1.62    31.95     8.39P    0.05R    0.00  
Kidderminster      18   27   -1      67.66     7.91     2.24     0.40    12.86     2.78P    0.23R    0.02  
Darlington         18   26   +6      71.31     7.97    16.40     1.34    26.53     8.21P    0.06R    0.00  
Grimsby            18   25   +1      70.17     8.08    11.38     0.99    22.07     6.55P    0.09R    0.01  
Kettering          18   24   -3      64.31     7.69     0.02     0.08     5.78     1.23P    0.57R    0.04  
Gateshead          18   23   -3      55.34     7.62   -12.49     0.00     0.44     0.05P    8.29R    1.37  
Cambridge_Utd      18   21   +2      64.33     7.85     9.77     0.10     6.84     1.77P    0.67R    0.08  
Eastbourne_Boro    18   21   -4      52.24     7.66   -17.68     0.00     0.17     0.02P   16.13R    3.31  
Bath_City          18   20   -5      51.37     8.11   -16.62     0.00     0.21     0.03P   19.99R    4.60  
Tamworth           18   20   -7      53.51     7.66   -14.91     0.00     0.24     0.03P   12.59R    2.63  
Histon             17   19   -9      51.68     7.92   -20.62     0.00     0.19     0.03P   19.27R    4.47  
Southport          17   18   -3      50.60     8.16   -13.89     0.00     0.15     0.03P   23.04R    6.12  
York               17   18   -5      59.39     7.97    -2.33     0.01     1.92     0.48P    3.12R    0.42  
Barrow             18   18   -8      48.92     7.51   -20.50     0.00     0.05     0.00P   28.57R    7.46  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   17  -15      43.72     7.41   -35.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.25R   24.72  
Forest_Green       18   15  -15      43.94     7.53   -31.27     0.00     0.01     0.00P   56.01R   23.43  
Altrincham         18   14  -19      44.52     7.47   -32.22     0.00     0.01     0.00P   52.86R   21.33