Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 10 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 November 2010, Aston_Villa vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         12   28  +23      87.02     6.36    62.80    76.80    95.30    99.38    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   24  +11      78.63     6.73    42.67    17.21    66.65    91.30    97.45    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         12   23  +13      73.50     7.25    36.99     5.57    31.75    74.04    89.47    98.01     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City        12   21   +5      64.41     7.25    16.91     0.29     3.83    17.78    48.38    82.18     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   17   +5      52.87     7.80     4.74     0.01     0.18     1.42     6.36    26.86     1.46R    0.15  
Bolton          12   16   +1      46.81     7.24    -8.14     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.92     6.73     6.71R    0.89  
Tottenham       12   16   -1      54.04     7.38     2.32     0.01     0.17     1.65     7.19    29.85     0.79R    0.06  
Sunderland      12   16   -1      47.69     7.10    -7.84     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.99     7.54     5.22R    0.60  
Liverpool       12   16   -2      61.95     7.31    13.26     0.11     1.77    10.78    33.67    71.93     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   16   -3      51.87     7.37    -3.38     0.00     0.08     0.89     4.19    20.03     1.53R    0.15  
West_Brom       12   16   -5      47.35     7.70   -12.46     0.00     0.03     0.28     1.39     8.70     7.21R    1.11  
Everton         12   15   +2      54.51     7.34     7.54     0.01     0.20     1.91     8.15    33.03     0.62R    0.07  
Blackburn       12   15   -1      46.83     7.27    -7.75     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.98     6.93     6.81R    0.88  
Blackpool       12   14   -7      39.16     7.22   -27.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.77    35.22R    9.80  
Fulham          12   13   +0      45.50     7.11    -4.45     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.64     4.93     8.31R    1.16  
Stoke           12   13   -5      41.38     7.02   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     1.44    22.02R    4.59  
Birmingham      12   12   -3      39.91     6.92   -14.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.83    27.54R    6.24  
Wigan           12   11  -12      32.27     6.47   -37.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    73.85R   38.85  
Wolverhampton   12    9   -9      35.49     6.89   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    53.83R   18.81  
West_Ham        12    8  -11      36.38     7.07   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25    48.85R   16.64  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 November 2010, Leicester vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              16   34  +23      83.18     8.41    34.85    34.14    59.63    92.02    68.49P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          16   33  +15      84.93     8.53    31.76    42.82    66.74    93.92    74.67P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          16   29   +8      74.57     8.21    14.75     6.13    17.77    64.56    29.97P    0.10R    0.01  
Derby            16   27  +12      69.70     8.43    14.22     2.34     7.85    42.74    15.35P    0.58R    0.08  
Norwich          16   25   +2      66.49     8.81     2.32     1.25     4.32    28.04     9.50P    2.19R    0.30  
Coventry         16   24   +4      61.80     8.33    -1.05     0.28     1.10    12.83     3.22P    5.57R    1.01  
Leeds_United     16   24   -2      62.35     8.84    -7.16     0.46     1.71    15.05     4.16P    6.45R    1.25  
Burnley          16   23   +6      69.63     8.98    14.27     3.00     9.03    43.08    18.35P    1.00R    0.12  
Reading          16   23   +6      71.78     8.57    17.63     4.01    12.23    52.61    24.11P    0.39R    0.05  
Nott'm_Forest    16   23   +3      68.07     8.31     9.11     1.56     5.32    34.30    12.83P    1.00R    0.15  
Doncaster        16   23   +0      63.01     8.47    -1.50     0.39     1.61    15.88     4.45P    4.56R    0.80  
Watford          16   22   +3      62.66     8.74     1.48     0.53     1.90    16.44     4.91P    5.45R    1.09  
Portsmouth       16   22   +0      69.32     8.76     9.39     2.43     7.58    40.70    17.23P    1.03R    0.16  
Ipswich          16   22   -1      62.06     8.36    -2.29     0.27     1.14    12.93     3.44P    5.49R    1.00  
Millwall         16   20   -1      57.52     8.50    -6.02     0.07     0.37     5.49     1.40P   14.92R    3.87  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -4      53.01     8.29   -17.67     0.02     0.08     1.77     0.31P   30.94R    9.94  
Leicester        16   19   -8      60.63     8.43    -7.24     0.14     0.72     9.86     2.81P    8.05R    1.73  
Barnsley         16   19   -9      51.92     8.09   -21.93     0.01     0.04     1.08     0.22P   36.07R   12.43  
Bristol_City     16   18   -7      54.45     8.28   -13.82     0.02     0.11     2.32     0.53P   24.58R    7.26  
Middlesbrough    16   17   -7      58.87     8.31    -5.66     0.07     0.40     6.81     2.05P   10.79R    2.54  
Sheff_Utd        16   16  -10      56.69     8.29   -10.36     0.04     0.18     3.93     1.04P   16.73R    4.39  
Hull             16   15   -8      54.17     8.54   -10.43     0.02     0.13     2.51     0.72P   25.66R    8.15  
Preston          16   14  -11      48.41     8.43   -22.71     0.00     0.02     0.53     0.11P   52.64R   24.85  
Crystal_Palace   16   14  -14      49.82     8.21   -21.92     0.01     0.02     0.60     0.12P   45.81R   18.84  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 November 2010, Brentford vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         15   34  +19      83.92     8.67    30.08    35.13    54.62    88.69    62.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     15   26   +8      78.15     8.78    22.87    14.30    28.80    71.18    39.81P    0.05R    0.00  
Colchester       15   26   +4      73.37     8.75    11.27     5.36    12.94    48.79    21.26P    0.28R    0.01  
Peterborough     15   25   +4      72.13     9.22    10.98     4.98    11.70    44.10    19.00P    0.64R    0.03  
Charlton         15   25   +2      76.39     8.80    15.47     9.71    21.72    62.88    33.12P    0.16R    0.00  
Southampton      15   24   +8      79.33     8.58    27.36    17.45    33.88    76.22    48.23P    0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth      15   23  +11      68.41     9.14    15.19     2.10     5.77    30.25    11.09P    1.71R    0.07  
Carlisle         15   23   +8      68.91     8.63    13.06     1.90     5.48    30.70    11.01P    1.08R    0.04  
MK_Dons          15   23   -1      65.91     8.70    -0.59     0.77     2.55    19.06     5.85P    2.71R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed        15   21   +6      73.36     8.90    20.42     5.68    13.82    50.87    25.42P    0.36R    0.01  
Oldham           14   21   +4      65.45     8.92     5.03     0.74     2.51    18.87     5.80P    3.10R    0.17  
Bristol_Rovers   15   20   -4      58.77     8.60    -9.93     0.09     0.36     4.94     1.16P   12.91R    1.07  
Rochdale         14   19   +4      61.12     9.36     0.86     0.40     1.29    10.36     3.12P    9.19R    0.79  
Brentford        15   19   -1      59.28     8.44    -4.00     0.10     0.39     5.25     1.35P   10.77R    0.87  
Plymouth         15   19   -5      65.76     9.00     1.28     0.96     2.72    19.22     6.72P    3.37R    0.20  
Exeter           15   19   -7      51.88     8.19   -22.38     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.11P   37.87R    5.39  
Swindon          15   17   -4      60.92     8.87    -2.21     0.21     0.82     8.50     2.55P    8.93R    0.68  
Hartlepool       14   17   -6      54.35     8.66   -16.51     0.02     0.12     1.86     0.36P   27.65R    3.44  
Leyton_Orient    15   16   -3      53.80     8.52   -10.04     0.02     0.08     1.58     0.35P   27.77R    3.41  
Notts_County     14   16   -5      57.21     9.28    -9.53     0.10     0.39     4.49     1.12P   19.18R    2.26  
Tranmere         15   16   -8      52.17     8.46   -17.71     0.00     0.02     0.91     0.13P   36.29R    5.41  
Yeovil           15   15  -11      49.60     8.31   -23.27     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.06P   48.53R    9.79  
Dag_&_Red        15   12  -13      39.99     8.23   -37.15     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    86.29R   50.35  
Walsall          15   11  -10      46.72     8.38   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   61.14R   15.92  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 November 2010, Barnet vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         15   32  +15      83.37     8.93    28.48    37.77    69.45    92.16    74.99P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            15   29  +11      77.63     8.44    20.03    14.23    43.52    80.05    52.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 15   28   +9      74.80     8.71    15.41     8.93    31.34    68.74    39.92P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   27   +9      75.90     8.72    18.64    10.81    35.94    73.42    45.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              15   25   +8      76.75     9.02    21.97    13.63    41.12    76.00    51.96P    0.02R    0.01  
Rotherham            15   24   +6      71.22     8.70    13.06     4.16    18.67    53.46    27.41P    0.08R    0.02  
Torquay              15   23   +7      69.31     8.82    12.61     2.99    14.18    45.43    21.55P    0.21R    0.02  
Stevenage            15   22   +6      65.08     8.75     7.16     1.00     6.39    27.28    11.26P    0.61R    0.17  
Cheltenham           14   21   -3      61.46     8.84    -8.91     0.38     2.63    14.91     4.81P    2.51R    0.79  
Bradford             15   20   -2      62.97     8.65    -1.28     0.53     3.51    18.78     6.97P    1.37R    0.36  
Crewe                15   19  +10      67.15     9.00    18.55     1.95    10.62    37.58    17.85P    0.45R    0.12  
Aldershot            15   19   -3      61.05     8.64    -3.77     0.29     2.16    13.64     4.58P    2.32R    0.71  
Macclesfield         15   19   -4      55.55     8.43   -12.93     0.04     0.45     4.41     1.12P    7.46R    2.64  
Burton_Albion        15   18   +3      58.22     8.72    -1.04     0.16     1.29     8.96     2.92P    4.17R    1.34  
Oxford_Utd           15   17   -2      52.97     8.52   -10.94     0.03     0.24     2.57     0.68P   13.01R    5.27  
Southend             14   17   -2      68.14     9.20     8.82     2.37    12.31    40.10    20.65P    0.43R    0.10  
Morecambe            15   17   -5      59.02     8.81    -6.24     0.19     1.41     9.89     3.31P    4.07R    1.35  
Accrington_Stanley   15   16   -2      53.68     8.70   -10.32     0.04     0.35     3.36     0.92P   11.69R    4.91  
Northampton          15   16   -6      61.74     8.68    -1.24     0.33     2.64    15.88     6.17P    1.83R    0.59  
Gillingham           15   15   -5      59.16     8.95    -2.58     0.15     1.57    10.84     4.11P    4.03R    1.44  
Stockport            15   15  -14      48.17     8.67   -29.32     0.00     0.08     0.88     0.23P   31.55R   15.70  
Hereford             15   14  -10      50.30     8.43   -19.61     0.01     0.10     1.20     0.30P   21.30R    9.31  
Lincoln_City         15   13  -10      46.89     8.12   -21.73     0.00     0.02     0.36     0.07P   34.89R   17.31  
Barnet               15   12  -16      42.65     8.12   -34.82     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   57.98R   37.83  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 November 2010, Altrincham vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      18   38  +15      84.03     7.94    26.96    18.38    83.35    33.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       17   36  +15      82.31     8.05    25.37    13.70    77.42    26.81P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   33  +17      90.46     7.70    45.90    55.85    96.44    71.71P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   31  +10      71.05     8.29    12.71     1.12    26.48     5.93P    0.06R    0.00  
Newport_County     18   30   +9      70.68     8.44    12.60     1.11    25.42     5.70P    0.14R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   18   30   +9      78.20     7.71    24.58     5.81    61.28    22.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          18   27   +7      72.13     7.98    17.80     1.29    30.94     8.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Kidderminster      18   27   -1      67.44     7.95     1.86     0.27    12.89     2.63P    0.28R    0.03  
Darlington         18   26   +6      71.20     7.93    16.24     0.90    26.66     8.15P    0.05R    0.00  
Wrexham            17   25   +6      69.52     7.93    13.49     0.66    20.39     5.36P    0.10R    0.01  
Grimsby            18   25   +1      69.90     8.14    11.00     0.72    21.80     6.27P    0.12R    0.01  
Kettering          18   24   -3      64.35     7.70     0.11     0.08     6.11     1.32P    0.61R    0.04  
Gateshead          18   23   -3      55.44     7.66   -12.39     0.00     0.53     0.09P    8.09R    1.30  
Cambridge_Utd      18   21   +2      64.23     7.88     9.66     0.09     7.14     1.79P    0.71R    0.07  
Eastbourne_Boro    18   21   -4      52.35     7.70   -17.48     0.00     0.23     0.02P   15.85R    3.27  
Bath_City          18   20   -5      51.40     8.15   -16.57     0.00     0.23     0.04P   20.30R    4.77  
Tamworth           18   20   -7      53.42     7.66   -15.04     0.00     0.26     0.03P   12.98R    2.70  
Histon             17   19   -9      51.50     7.87   -20.95     0.00     0.15     0.04P   19.98R    4.54  
Southport          17   18   -3      50.68     8.17   -13.77     0.00     0.18     0.03P   22.73R    6.10  
York               17   18   -5      59.41     7.95    -2.32     0.02     2.01     0.41P    3.04R    0.41  
Barrow             18   18   -8      49.01     7.58   -20.44     0.00     0.05     0.00P   28.41R    7.44  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   17  -15      43.68     7.40   -35.95     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.70R   24.81  
Forest_Green       18   15  -15      44.14     7.55   -31.01     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.64R   22.88  
Altrincham         18   14  -19      44.44     7.45   -32.35     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.16R   21.60