Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 9 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 November 2010, Stoke vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         11   25  +22      86.91     6.46    65.04    75.43    95.33    99.14    99.82    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   23  +11      79.36     6.91    43.84    19.85    71.34    91.31    97.25    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         11   20  +11      72.01     7.45    35.27     4.00    24.28    64.81    83.54    96.24     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        11   20   +5      64.35     7.54    16.28     0.41     4.58    19.40    44.39    78.76     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       11   17   +6      55.76     8.01     8.13     0.04     0.56     3.52    11.53    37.74     0.65R    0.04  
Tottenham       12   16   -1      53.97     7.38     2.14     0.01     0.25     1.74     6.32    26.86     0.80R    0.09  
Sunderland      12   16   -1      47.64     7.12    -8.10     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.88     6.52     5.46R    0.69  
Bolton          11   15   +1      46.19     7.36   -10.10     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.75     5.45     8.42R    1.30  
Liverpool       11   15   -2      63.23     7.49    14.66     0.23     3.03    14.89    38.28    74.66     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom       11   15   -5      47.14     7.87   -13.41     0.00     0.03     0.30     1.27     7.65     8.48R    1.45  
Everton         11   14   +2      56.11     7.52     9.35     0.02     0.47     3.38    11.08    38.22     0.42R    0.03  
Blackpool       11   14   -6      39.45     7.38   -27.94     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.90    34.91R    9.50  
Fulham          11   13   +1      45.53     7.24    -6.10     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.67     4.55     8.82R    1.21  
Aston_Villa     11   13   -4      51.21     7.60    -2.88     0.00     0.10     0.95     3.51    16.72     2.43R    0.26  
Stoke           12   13   -5      41.62     6.98   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     1.24    21.33R    4.38  
Blackburn       11   12   -2      44.14     7.35   -10.60     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.35     3.30    13.12R    2.34  
Birmingham      12   12   -3      39.89     6.92   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.76    28.28R    6.12  
Wigan           11   10  -12      31.85     6.63   -39.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    76.12R   42.84  
Wolverhampton   11    9   -7      36.75     7.13   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.27    46.94R   15.02  
West_Ham        11    7  -11      37.34     7.37   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.41    43.78R   14.72  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 November 2010, Burnley vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              16   34  +23      83.06     8.44    34.80    31.22    56.11    90.85    65.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          15   32  +15      85.17     8.71    31.66    41.81    64.38    93.38    72.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          15   29   +9      77.06     8.42    17.29     9.88    24.94    72.59    37.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Derby            16   27  +12      69.70     8.55    14.16     2.37     7.38    40.46    14.52P    0.63R    0.06  
Norwich          16   25   +2      66.54     8.81     2.37     1.18     4.00    26.43     8.90P    1.87R    0.24  
Coventry         16   24   +3      61.51     8.36    -2.79     0.21     0.90    10.95     2.74P    5.64R    1.02  
Ipswich          16   24   +1      65.04     8.31     0.98     0.56     2.12    19.89     5.81P    2.29R    0.29  
Leeds_United     16   24   -2      62.51     8.80    -7.05     0.42     1.46    14.17     4.07P    5.61R    1.11  
Burnley          16   23   +6      69.60     8.95    14.23     2.68     8.21    41.05    17.04P    0.88R    0.12  
Nott'm_Forest    16   23   +3      68.15     8.36     9.24     1.41     4.84    32.70    12.17P    0.90R    0.10  
Doncaster        16   23   +1      63.24     8.48    -0.22     0.39     1.53    15.55     4.42P    4.00R    0.68  
Reading          15   22   +6      72.51     8.80    18.23     4.64    13.14    54.15    24.92P    0.34R    0.04  
Watford          16   22   +3      62.85     8.64     1.73     0.47     1.70    15.14     4.60P    4.57R    0.80  
Portsmouth       16   22   +0      69.52     8.78     9.71     2.30     7.22    39.31    16.66P    0.86R    0.12  
Millwall         16   20   +0      58.19     8.55    -4.30     0.09     0.36     5.90     1.44P   12.32R    2.98  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -4      53.22     8.31   -17.53     0.01     0.07     1.63     0.33P   28.65R    8.62  
Barnsley         16   19   -8      52.22     8.14   -20.67     0.01     0.04     1.11     0.19P   33.03R   10.29  
Leicester        15   18   -8      61.53     8.64    -6.48     0.23     0.96    11.44     3.40P    6.48R    1.35  
Middlesbrough    16   17   -8      58.55     8.41    -7.19     0.07     0.36     5.98     1.75P   11.14R    2.51  
Hull             16   15   -9      53.78     8.54   -12.16     0.01     0.08     1.94     0.55P   25.95R    8.36  
Sheff_Utd        15   15  -10      56.41     8.51   -11.30     0.04     0.18     3.75     1.04P   17.32R    4.64  
Bristol_City     15   14  -10      49.89     8.40   -20.06     0.00     0.02     0.70     0.12P   43.58R   17.67  
Preston          16   14  -11      48.33     8.34   -22.97     0.01     0.01     0.37     0.09P   51.14R   22.74  
Crystal_Palace   16   14  -14      50.07     8.20   -21.71     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.10P   42.73R   16.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 November 2010, Brentford vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         15   34  +19      83.80     8.67    29.91    34.28    53.72    88.13    61.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     15   26   +8      78.09     8.84    22.76    14.04    28.18    70.76    39.36P    0.06R    0.00  
Colchester       15   26   +4      73.56     8.76    11.51     5.42    13.20    49.61    21.83P    0.27R    0.01  
Peterborough     15   25   +4      71.93     9.29    10.54     4.69    11.47    43.33    18.31P    0.73R    0.03  
Charlton         15   25   +2      76.41     8.74    15.51     9.59    21.12    62.94    32.41P    0.15R    0.00  
Southampton      15   24   +8      79.56     8.70    27.67    18.51    35.27    76.68    49.40P    0.05R    0.00  
Bournemouth      15   23  +11      68.34     9.17    15.07     2.14     5.64    29.80    10.79P    1.67R    0.06  
Carlisle         15   23   +8      68.86     8.69    12.98     1.89     5.37    30.60    10.90P    1.17R    0.05  
MK_Dons          15   23   -1      65.86     8.82    -0.74     0.85     2.68    18.95     5.94P    2.88R    0.13  
Sheff_Wed        15   21   +6      73.67     8.94    20.91     5.96    14.62    52.29    26.62P    0.32R    0.01  
Oldham           14   21   +4      65.30     8.88     4.77     0.76     2.51    18.13     5.47P    3.28R    0.18  
Bristol_Rovers   15   20   -4      58.97     8.64    -9.65     0.13     0.44     5.21     1.35P   12.38R    0.99  
Rochdale         14   19   +4      60.94     9.32     0.60     0.39     1.14     9.87     2.87P    9.50R    0.69  
Brentford        15   19   -1      59.43     8.46    -3.78     0.10     0.39     5.34     1.37P   10.48R    0.83  
Plymouth         15   19   -5      65.76     9.10     1.34     0.87     2.75    19.64     6.93P    3.53R    0.24  
Exeter           15   19   -7      51.89     8.25   -22.36     0.01     0.03     0.72     0.12P   37.95R    5.59  
Swindon          15   17   -4      61.02     8.88    -2.09     0.22     0.83     8.72     2.66P    8.63R    0.63  
Hartlepool       14   17   -6      54.26     8.70   -16.68     0.03     0.13     1.88     0.45P   28.06R    3.59  
Leyton_Orient    15   16   -3      53.61     8.55   -10.31     0.02     0.09     1.56     0.35P   28.72R    3.67  
Notts_County     14   16   -5      57.34     9.18    -9.25     0.10     0.35     4.37     1.17P   18.20R    2.08  
Tranmere         15   16   -8      52.39     8.43   -17.37     0.01     0.04     0.92     0.18P   35.13R    5.13  
Yeovil           15   15  -11      49.35     8.29   -23.65     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.08P   49.85R   10.05  
Dag_&_Red        15   12  -13      39.98     8.24   -37.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   86.26R   49.96  
Walsall          15   11  -10      46.69     8.42   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   60.73R   16.10  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 November 2010, Barnet vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         15   32  +15      83.14     8.93    28.12    36.72    68.84    91.69    74.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            15   29  +11      77.75     8.51    20.19    14.49    43.82    80.31    53.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 15   28   +9      74.86     8.71    15.52     9.20    31.47    68.96    40.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   27   +9      76.09     8.66    18.84    11.16    37.00    74.02    46.41P    0.02R    0.01  
Wycombe              15   25   +8      76.52     9.00    21.54    13.46    40.20    75.06    50.69P    0.02R    0.01  
Rotherham            15   24   +6      71.16     8.71    12.98     4.12    18.79    53.28    27.57P    0.10R    0.02  
Torquay              15   23   +7      69.39     8.87    12.70     3.21    14.48    45.62    21.76P    0.17R    0.05  
Stevenage            15   22   +6      65.10     8.74     7.22     0.95     6.21    27.42    11.17P    0.66R    0.17  
Cheltenham           14   21   -3      61.52     8.93    -8.87     0.39     2.99    15.18     5.11P    2.47R    0.75  
Bradford             15   20   -2      62.93     8.65    -1.33     0.54     3.51    18.81     6.84P    1.33R    0.40  
Crewe                15   19  +10      67.11     8.99    18.52     2.03    10.30    37.06    17.49P    0.43R    0.12  
Aldershot            15   19   -3      61.02     8.65    -3.82     0.27     2.15    13.64     4.62P    2.26R    0.66  
Macclesfield         15   19   -4      55.56     8.47   -12.88     0.05     0.43     4.47     1.10P    7.71R    2.78  
Burton_Albion        15   18   +3      58.15     8.77    -1.12     0.15     1.20     8.92     2.87P    4.50R    1.54  
Oxford_Utd           15   17   -2      53.22     8.49   -10.58     0.03     0.27     2.69     0.74P   12.48R    5.01  
Southend             14   17   -2      68.03     9.29     8.68     2.47    12.15    40.18    20.69P    0.48R    0.13  
Morecambe            15   17   -5      58.86     8.83    -6.47     0.19     1.37     9.71     3.20P    4.27R    1.50  
Accrington_Stanley   15   16   -2      53.92     8.66    -9.96     0.04     0.36     3.54     0.99P   11.21R    4.48  
Northampton          15   16   -6      61.87     8.67    -1.07     0.32     2.60    16.09     6.13P    1.90R    0.58  
Gillingham           15   15   -5      59.05     9.05    -2.74     0.22     1.71    10.92     4.13P    4.20R    1.40  
Stockport            15   15  -14      48.26     8.71   -29.20     0.01     0.06     0.85     0.21P   31.03R   15.48  
Hereford             15   14  -10      50.39     8.43   -19.48     0.00     0.08     1.18     0.30P   21.11R    9.51  
Lincoln_City         15   13  -10      46.73     8.09   -21.95     0.00     0.02     0.32     0.06P   35.41R   17.68  
Barnet               15   12  -16      42.62     8.10   -34.85     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   58.21R   37.74  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 November 2010, Altrincham vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      18   38  +15      83.95     7.92    26.82    18.53    82.98    33.19P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       17   36  +15      82.33     8.11    25.32    14.06    77.28    27.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              17   33  +17      90.33     7.67    45.76    55.60    96.34    71.70P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     18   31  +10      70.68     8.24    12.19     1.06    25.11     5.54P    0.08R    0.00  
Newport_County     18   30   +9      70.73     8.36    12.65     1.08    25.26     5.57P    0.10R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   18   30   +9      78.07     7.64    24.33     5.43    60.70    21.69P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          18   27   +7      72.31     7.99    18.08     1.33    32.01     8.18P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster      18   27   -1      67.58     7.95     2.09     0.35    13.25     2.77P    0.26R    0.03  
Darlington         18   26   +6      71.36     7.97    16.40     0.97    27.91     8.67P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            17   25   +6      69.47     7.94    13.41     0.72    20.36     5.41P    0.08R    0.01  
Grimsby            18   25   +1      69.88     8.09    10.98     0.68    21.86     6.11P    0.13R    0.01  
Kettering          18   24   -3      64.29     7.67    -0.01     0.08     5.91     1.22P    0.64R    0.06  
Gateshead          18   23   -3      55.45     7.61   -12.35     0.00     0.48     0.06P    7.96R    1.27  
Cambridge_Utd      18   21   +2      64.42     7.92     9.91     0.10     7.50     1.93P    0.75R    0.07  
Eastbourne_Boro    18   21   -4      52.39     7.68   -17.42     0.00     0.21     0.02P   15.76R    3.19  
Bath_City          18   20   -5      51.55     8.09   -16.32     0.00     0.21     0.03P   19.48R    4.53  
Tamworth           18   20   -7      53.58     7.65   -14.79     0.00     0.22     0.04P   12.50R    2.56  
Histon             17   19   -9      51.56     7.87   -20.80     0.00     0.15     0.02P   19.87R    4.43  
Southport          17   18   -3      50.73     8.16   -13.70     0.00     0.20     0.03P   22.43R    5.89  
York               17   18   -5      59.40     7.91    -2.34     0.01     2.01     0.47P    2.92R    0.40  
Barrow             18   18   -8      49.01     7.55   -20.45     0.00     0.05     0.01P   28.44R    7.40  
Hayes_&_Yeading    18   17  -15      43.61     7.39   -36.03     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.10R   25.08  
Forest_Green       18   15  -15      43.91     7.55   -31.37     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.07R   23.51  
Altrincham         18   14  -19      44.43     7.47   -32.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.36R   21.55