Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 8 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 November 2010, Arsenal vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         11   25  +22      86.61     6.53    64.39    74.00    94.73    98.94    99.77    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   23  +11      79.43     6.89    43.98    20.84    71.65    91.60    97.21    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         11   20  +11      72.10     7.51    35.37     4.32    24.86    65.07    83.19    95.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        11   20   +5      64.39     7.48    16.36     0.48     4.44    18.96    44.00    78.33     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       11   17   +6      55.87     8.01     8.24     0.05     0.60     3.60    11.55    37.07     0.56R    0.04  
Bolton          11   15   +1      46.12     7.38   -10.17     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.71     5.17     8.31R    1.28  
Tottenham       11   15   -1      55.32     7.56     3.68     0.02     0.33     2.68     8.84    32.59     0.61R    0.04  
Sunderland      11   15   -1      47.20     7.28    -9.39     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.84     6.21     6.26R    0.81  
Liverpool       11   15   -2      63.11     7.48    14.52     0.25     2.80    14.32    37.09    73.33     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom       11   15   -5      47.32     7.89   -13.10     0.00     0.02     0.28     1.39     7.62     7.85R    1.30  
Everton         11   14   +2      56.15     7.46     9.42     0.03     0.42     3.22    10.82    37.36     0.36R    0.03  
Blackpool       11   14   -6      39.37     7.32   -28.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.80    34.67R    9.23  
Fulham          11   13   +1      45.69     7.20    -5.86     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.59     4.33     8.21R    1.24  
Aston_Villa     11   13   -4      51.25     7.54    -2.75     0.00     0.11     0.87     3.38    15.97     2.18R    0.20  
Birmingham      11   12   -2      41.16     7.11   -14.02     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.21    22.38R    4.64  
Blackburn       11   12   -2      44.05     7.31   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.35     2.98    13.15R    2.18  
Stoke           11   10   -6      39.75     7.17   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.72    29.79R    7.40  
Wigan           11   10  -12      31.69     6.61   -39.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    75.88R   42.64  
Wolverhampton   11    9   -7      36.75     7.12   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25    46.13R   14.44  
West_Ham        11    7  -11      37.25     7.37   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.36    43.62R   14.53  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 November 2010, Cardiff vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              15   33  +23      83.05     8.60    34.22    30.66    54.61    89.94    63.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          15   32  +15      85.15     8.73    31.68    40.60    63.23    92.72    71.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          15   29   +9      77.37     8.43    17.68    10.47    25.27    72.66    37.54P    0.04R    0.01  
Derby            15   24  +10      67.02     8.65    10.41     1.14     3.97    28.34     9.20P    1.37R    0.18  
Coventry         15   24   +4      62.54     8.52    -2.29     0.33     1.27    13.02     3.39P    4.44R    0.73  
Ipswich          15   24   +3      67.61     8.58     4.78     1.24     4.11    28.91     9.29P    1.24R    0.14  
Norwich          15   24   +2      66.42     9.12     1.61     1.20     3.98    25.87     8.68P    2.18R    0.31  
Leeds_United     15   23   -2      63.69     9.11    -5.73     0.66     2.16    16.96     5.12P    4.64R    0.87  
Burnley          15   22   +6      70.84     9.27    15.60     3.56    10.32    45.26    20.02P    0.78R    0.13  
Reading          15   22   +6      72.47     8.76    18.15     4.47    12.67    52.42    24.28P    0.31R    0.02  
Watford          15   22   +4      64.52     8.86     3.22     0.72     2.56    19.48     6.22P    3.32R    0.52  
Doncaster        15   22   +1      63.06     8.70    -1.26     0.37     1.52    14.79     4.22P    4.27R    0.76  
Portsmouth       15   21   +0      70.19     8.99    10.21     2.94     8.41    41.28    17.93P    0.75R    0.09  
Nott'm_Forest    15   20   +2      67.04     8.51     8.95     1.15     3.88    27.39    10.18P    1.31R    0.16  
Scunthorpe       15   20   -2      55.27     8.54   -14.50     0.03     0.20     2.91     0.63P   20.28R    5.33  
Millwall         15   19   +0      58.84     8.84    -3.94     0.16     0.55     6.92     1.80P   11.14R    2.46  
Leicester        15   18   -8      61.40     8.56    -6.70     0.20     0.81    10.18     3.01P    6.16R    1.10  
Barnsley         15   16   -9      49.60     8.28   -23.48     0.01     0.02     0.55     0.09P   44.64R   17.06  
Sheff_Utd        15   15  -10      56.44     8.46   -11.25     0.02     0.15     3.36     0.91P   16.47R    4.03  
Hull             15   14   -9      53.61     8.73   -12.96     0.02     0.08     2.09     0.55P   26.17R    8.33  
Preston          15   14  -10      50.92     8.60   -20.13     0.01     0.04     0.87     0.18P   38.00R   13.88  
Bristol_City     15   14  -10      49.70     8.33   -20.41     0.00     0.02     0.60     0.13P   43.39R   16.81  
Middlesbrough    15   14  -10      56.00     8.56   -10.61     0.03     0.16     3.13     0.81P   17.89R    4.64  
Crystal_Palace   15   11  -15      48.08     8.41   -23.26     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.07P   51.21R   22.45  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 November 2010, Brentford vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         15   34  +19      83.89     8.75    30.04    35.38    54.69    88.22    62.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     15   26   +8      78.08     8.83    22.77    14.19    28.68    70.70    39.59P    0.07R    0.00  
Colchester       15   26   +4      73.42     8.73    11.32     5.27    12.89    49.29    21.43P    0.30R    0.00  
Peterborough     15   25   +4      72.15     9.23    10.93     5.17    11.91    44.08    18.81P    0.66R    0.02  
Charlton         15   25   +2      76.39     8.79    15.46     9.77    21.49    62.79    32.83P    0.11R    0.01  
Southampton      15   24   +8      79.04     8.60    26.89    16.76    32.78    75.24    47.07P    0.06R    0.00  
Bournemouth      15   23  +11      68.21     9.12    14.86     1.94     5.46    29.61    10.71P    1.75R    0.07  
Carlisle         15   23   +8      68.91     8.71    13.00     1.98     5.65    31.16    11.26P    1.13R    0.04  
MK_Dons          15   23   -1      66.07     8.84    -0.36     0.92     3.04    19.94     6.43P    2.64R    0.11  
Sheff_Wed        15   21   +6      73.49     8.94    20.69     6.05    14.51    51.86    26.38P    0.38R    0.01  
Oldham           14   21   +4      65.38     8.84     4.94     0.75     2.53    18.44     5.63P    3.24R    0.18  
Bristol_Rovers   15   20   -4      59.05     8.64    -9.54     0.13     0.44     5.33     1.30P   12.48R    1.01  
Rochdale         14   19   +4      60.97     9.28     0.66     0.37     1.23    10.00     3.07P    9.23R    0.76  
Brentford        15   19   -1      59.28     8.46    -3.95     0.12     0.41     5.23     1.38P   10.63R    0.84  
Plymouth         15   19   -5      65.67     9.11     1.19     0.84     2.79    19.57     6.78P    3.75R    0.25  
Exeter           15   19   -7      51.91     8.27   -22.38     0.00     0.03     0.75     0.12P   38.01R    5.76  
Swindon          15   17   -4      61.09     8.78    -1.97     0.21     0.83     8.53     2.55P    8.41R    0.63  
Hartlepool       14   17   -6      54.19     8.73   -16.83     0.04     0.12     1.84     0.37P   28.44R    3.78  
Leyton_Orient    15   16   -3      53.78     8.48   -10.03     0.02     0.08     1.47     0.37P   27.91R    3.43  
Notts_County     14   16   -5      57.28     9.27    -9.35     0.08     0.37     4.54     1.16P   18.89R    2.25  
Tranmere         15   16   -8      52.43     8.39   -17.31     0.01     0.04     0.86     0.19P   35.25R    5.06  
Yeovil           15   15  -11      49.40     8.30   -23.60     0.00     0.02     0.34     0.08P   49.84R   10.17  
Dag_&_Red        15   12  -13      40.09     8.19   -37.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   86.34R   49.86  
Walsall          15   11  -10      46.85     8.41   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   60.49R   15.76  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 November 2010, Barnet vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         15   32  +15      83.08     8.91    28.02    36.43    68.00    91.75    73.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            15   29  +11      77.84     8.49    20.35    14.55    43.98    80.43    53.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 15   28   +9      75.13     8.73    15.90     9.49    32.39    69.90    41.19P    0.03R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           15   27   +9      76.12     8.71    18.89    11.17    36.99    74.05    46.53P    0.02R    0.01  
Wycombe              15   25   +8      76.69     8.99    21.80    13.58    40.82    75.79    51.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            15   24   +6      71.39     8.74    13.32     4.38    18.99    54.31    28.00P    0.07R    0.01  
Torquay              15   23   +7      69.32     8.81    12.62     2.90    13.97    45.31    21.23P    0.21R    0.05  
Stevenage            15   22   +6      65.15     8.77     7.30     1.07     6.37    27.34    11.39P    0.64R    0.18  
Cheltenham           14   21   -3      61.28     8.85    -9.17     0.39     2.65    14.26     4.64P    2.37R    0.72  
Bradford             15   20   -2      62.94     8.59    -1.38     0.44     3.40    18.44     6.70P    1.29R    0.35  
Crewe                15   19  +10      67.33     9.04    18.89     2.12    10.79    38.33    18.16P    0.46R    0.14  
Aldershot            15   19   -3      61.30     8.61    -3.39     0.28     2.24    14.23     4.84P    1.91R    0.58  
Macclesfield         15   19   -4      55.42     8.41   -13.10     0.05     0.46     4.11     1.00P    7.75R    2.75  
Burton_Albion        15   18   +3      58.26     8.70    -0.88     0.14     1.24     9.05     2.97P    4.09R    1.38  
Oxford_Utd           15   17   -2      53.18     8.49   -10.65     0.02     0.23     2.65     0.69P   12.38R    4.88  
Southend             14   17   -2      67.82     9.26     8.35     2.26    11.47    38.66    19.76P    0.50R    0.17  
Morecambe            15   17   -5      58.93     8.78    -6.37     0.14     1.35     9.61     3.08P    4.12R    1.39  
Accrington_Stanley   15   16   -2      53.67     8.74   -10.37     0.04     0.35     3.44     0.91P   11.88R    4.88  
Northampton          15   16   -6      61.74     8.66    -1.25     0.35     2.56    15.61     5.95P    1.89R    0.59  
Gillingham           15   15   -5      58.99     8.94    -2.82     0.20     1.58    10.36     3.98P    4.01R    1.45  
Stockport            15   15  -14      48.08     8.67   -29.44     0.01     0.07     0.76     0.21P   31.64R   15.59  
Hereford             15   14  -10      50.26     8.49   -19.71     0.01     0.10     1.25     0.31P   21.53R    9.64  
Lincoln_City         15   13  -10      46.71     8.01   -21.95     0.00     0.02     0.26     0.06P   35.22R   17.33  
Barnet               15   12  -16      42.56     8.13   -34.95     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   57.96R   37.92  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 November 2010, Barrow vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       17   36  +15      82.41     8.15    25.51    14.72    77.05    27.87P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      17   35  +13      82.02     8.12    24.42    13.41    75.96    27.27P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   33  +17      90.32     7.69    45.86    56.08    96.31    71.61P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   30  +10      80.11     7.86    26.59     9.00    69.63    27.61P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     17   30  +10      72.30     8.50    13.97     1.71    32.06     7.54P    0.07R    0.01  
Newport_County     18   30   +9      70.78     8.43    12.71     1.23    25.76     5.65P    0.10R    0.00  
Wrexham            17   25   +6      69.61     7.97    13.63     0.72    20.86     5.59P    0.11R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   24   +5      69.60     8.13    14.32     0.74    21.21     5.16P    0.18R    0.02  
Grimsby            17   24   +1      69.93     8.37    10.54     0.86    22.38     6.39P    0.16R    0.02  
Kettering          17   24   -1      66.80     7.94     3.70     0.26    11.29     2.60P    0.34R    0.03  
Kidderminster      17   24   -2      65.62     8.18     0.50     0.22     9.66     2.03P    0.64R    0.07  
Darlington         17   23   +5      70.44     8.15    16.54     0.88    24.65     7.56P    0.11R    0.01  
Gateshead          17   22   -3      54.86     7.78   -14.08     0.00     0.49     0.06P   10.27R    1.84  
Cambridge_Utd      17   20   +2      65.09     8.12    10.34     0.15     9.19     2.39P    0.73R    0.07  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   20   -4      53.56     7.94   -16.49     0.00     0.35     0.05P   13.89R    2.76  
Tamworth           17   20   -6      54.04     7.80   -15.38     0.00     0.34     0.07P   12.38R    2.59  
Histon             17   19   -9      51.72     7.88   -20.68     0.00     0.18     0.03P   19.84R    4.80  
Southport          17   18   -3      50.73     8.10   -13.72     0.00     0.17     0.02P   23.57R    6.07  
York               17   18   -5      59.61     7.94    -2.00     0.02     2.18     0.46P    3.07R    0.43  
Barrow             18   18   -8      49.17     7.58   -20.27     0.00     0.08     0.01P   29.06R    7.62  
Bath_City          17   17   -7      49.65     8.24   -18.86     0.00     0.15     0.01P   28.41R    8.44  
Hayes_&_Yeading    17   17  -13      45.04     7.63   -33.93     0.00     0.00     0.00P   52.08R   20.56  
Forest_Green       17   14  -15      43.54     7.83   -33.31     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.26R   27.88  
Altrincham         17   14  -17      46.13     7.76   -29.93     0.00     0.03     0.00P   45.73R   16.77