Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 6 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 November 2010, Birmingham vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         10   25  +24      89.21     6.53    69.11    80.35    96.15    99.58    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   23  +11      79.19     6.94    43.47    13.18    62.53    92.07    97.74    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         10   20  +12      75.42     7.60    40.06     6.26    37.05    81.56    92.79    98.53     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        10   17   +3      62.27     7.71    13.44     0.12     2.25    11.42    38.75    72.33     0.04R    0.01  
Bolton          11   15   +1      46.35     7.37   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.05     6.62     8.11R    1.09  
Tottenham       11   15   -1      55.45     7.53     3.74     0.01     0.25     2.28    11.29    37.19     0.58R    0.03  
Sunderland      11   15   -1      47.21     7.26    -9.55     0.00     0.01     0.16     1.14     7.70     6.30R    0.84  
West_Brom       10   15   -3      49.54     8.20    -9.80     0.00     0.06     0.62     3.58    15.26     5.27R    0.75  
Newcastle       10   14   +5      52.22     8.23     3.55     0.01     0.21     1.58     7.21    25.62     2.28R    0.26  
Everton         11   14   +2      55.91     7.52     8.96     0.01     0.31     2.67    12.52    41.39     0.46R    0.03  
Blackpool       11   14   -6      39.74     7.37   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.12    33.13R    8.68  
Fulham          11   13   +1      45.51     7.22    -6.22     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.77     5.31     8.76R    1.24  
Aston_Villa     11   13   -4      51.15     7.48    -3.04     0.00     0.05     0.70     4.23    18.38     2.15R    0.24  
Birmingham      11   12   -2      41.35     7.10   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19     1.57    22.06R    4.45  
Blackburn       11   12   -2      44.11     7.34   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.47     3.79    13.17R    2.28  
Liverpool       10   12   -4      60.29     7.73    10.63     0.05     1.11     7.08    28.05    63.49     0.13R    0.01  
Stoke           11   10   -6      39.81     7.15   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.02    29.46R    7.60  
Wigan           11   10  -12      31.74     6.59   -39.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    76.45R   42.93  
Wolverhampton   11    9   -7      36.65     7.12   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.36    47.62R   15.16  
West_Ham        11    7  -11      37.32     7.37   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.54    44.03R   14.39  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 November 2010, Barnsley vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              15   33  +23      82.70     8.63    33.65    26.83    54.08    89.91    63.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          14   32  +16      87.49     8.87    34.13    51.74    73.28    95.65    79.85P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          14   26   +8      74.65     8.59    15.26     5.53    17.11    62.93    28.91P    0.13R    0.00  
Derby            15   24  +10      66.76     8.66    10.17     1.05     4.02    28.92     9.35P    1.50R    0.20  
Coventry         15   24   +5      62.88     8.45    -0.57     0.36     1.49    14.82     3.99P    4.05R    0.65  
Norwich          15   24   +2      66.84     9.04     2.24     1.07     4.28    28.95     9.74P    2.02R    0.31  
Leeds_United     15   23   -2      63.28     8.99    -6.33     0.47     1.89    16.91     4.81P    4.95R    0.96  
Burnley          15   22   +6      70.84     9.24    15.62     3.55    10.61    46.93    20.59P    0.74R    0.11  
Reading          15   22   +6      72.32     8.78    17.92     4.03    12.62    53.65    24.58P    0.32R    0.03  
Watford          15   22   +4      64.55     8.87     3.35     0.68     2.76    20.97     6.68P    3.33R    0.66  
Ipswich          15   22   +1      64.71     8.60     1.49     0.44     2.12    20.28     5.96P    2.81R    0.41  
Doncaster        15   22   +0      62.59     8.65    -2.94     0.33     1.28    14.55     4.06P    4.94R    0.86  
Portsmouth       15   21   +0      69.98     9.07     9.83     2.56     8.72    42.17    18.31P    0.91R    0.13  
Nott'm_Forest    15   20   +2      66.67     8.54     8.46     0.93     3.48    27.99    10.03P    1.59R    0.23  
Scunthorpe       15   20   -2      55.38     8.60   -14.22     0.04     0.20     3.41     0.73P   20.75R    5.61  
Millwall         15   19   -1      58.20     8.81    -5.77     0.08     0.47     6.57     1.75P   12.85R    3.15  
Leicester        15   18   -8      61.67     8.57    -6.20     0.21     0.99    11.80     3.46P    6.03R    1.12  
Barnsley         15   16  -10      49.24     8.28   -24.81     0.00     0.02     0.60     0.10P   47.41R   19.11  
Bristol_City     15   15   -8      51.64     8.42   -16.69     0.01     0.03     1.21     0.25P   34.94R   11.85  
Sheff_Utd        15   15  -10      56.64     8.45   -10.94     0.02     0.18     3.89     1.06P   16.34R    4.18  
Hull             15   14   -8      54.35     8.77   -10.78     0.03     0.13     2.80     0.78P   24.31R    7.36  
Middlesbrough    15   14   -9      56.22     8.56    -9.27     0.04     0.21     3.74     1.11P   17.50R    4.41  
Preston          15   14  -10      50.89     8.65   -20.05     0.01     0.03     1.02     0.21P   39.01R   14.79  
Crystal_Palace   15   11  -15      47.79     8.29   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.06P   53.58R   23.89  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 November 2010, Brentford vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         15   34  +19      83.91     8.68    30.09    35.10    54.49    88.51    62.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     15   26   +8      78.02     8.78    22.67    13.85    28.07    70.57    39.15P    0.05R    0.00  
Colchester       15   26   +4      73.20     8.81    11.04     5.16    12.62    48.27    20.76P    0.36R    0.01  
Peterborough     15   25   +4      71.87     9.29    10.49     4.71    11.36    43.27    18.27P    0.80R    0.03  
Charlton         15   25   +2      76.72     8.75    15.96    10.28    22.22    64.41    33.98P    0.12R    0.00  
Southampton      15   24   +8      79.30     8.62    27.23    17.43    34.06    76.03    48.31P    0.04R    0.00  
Bournemouth      15   23  +11      68.56     9.21    15.43     2.21     6.02    31.03    11.18P    1.72R    0.06  
Carlisle         15   23   +8      68.89     8.72    13.00     2.02     5.41    30.64    10.95P    1.17R    0.04  
MK_Dons          15   23   -1      65.98     8.74    -0.56     0.84     2.65    19.18     6.11P    2.72R    0.09  
Sheff_Wed        15   21   +6      73.56     8.91    20.82     5.85    14.48    51.88    26.46P    0.32R    0.01  
Oldham           14   21   +4      65.24     8.85     4.71     0.75     2.41    17.82     5.42P    3.34R    0.15  
Bristol_Rovers   15   20   -4      58.79     8.63    -9.91     0.10     0.39     5.06     1.23P   12.93R    1.04  
Rochdale         14   19   +4      60.86     9.33     0.46     0.32     1.13     9.90     2.96P    9.68R    0.86  
Brentford        15   19   -1      59.31     8.38    -3.99     0.10     0.38     5.21     1.27P   10.63R    0.83  
Plymouth         15   19   -5      65.60     9.02     1.08     0.84     2.71    18.98     6.55P    3.67R    0.24  
Exeter           15   19   -7      51.97     8.27   -22.29     0.01     0.03     0.80     0.16P   37.85R    5.65  
Swindon          15   17   -4      61.04     8.95    -2.05     0.25     0.90     9.01     2.72P    8.86R    0.70  
Hartlepool       14   17   -6      54.35     8.71   -16.60     0.03     0.13     1.84     0.48P   27.72R    3.64  
Leyton_Orient    15   16   -3      53.67     8.60   -10.26     0.01     0.09     1.54     0.34P   28.86R    3.82  
Notts_County     14   16   -5      57.33     9.33    -9.32     0.12     0.40     4.48     1.18P   18.76R    2.33  
Tranmere         15   16   -8      52.32     8.53   -17.48     0.01     0.04     0.92     0.19P   35.74R    5.45  
Yeovil           15   15  -11      49.57     8.36   -23.35     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.09P   48.95R   10.04  
Dag_&_Red        15   12  -13      40.11     8.26   -36.94     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   85.97R   49.89  
Walsall          15   11  -10      46.94     8.36   -20.24     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   59.75R   15.10  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 November 2010, Barnet vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         15   32  +15      83.09     8.91    28.02    36.36    68.21    91.77    74.10P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            15   29  +11      77.69     8.52    20.10    14.31    43.79    80.03    52.94P    0.01R    0.01  
Bury                 15   28   +9      75.02     8.73    15.74     9.64    32.17    69.69    40.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   27   +9      76.13     8.68    18.93    11.13    37.16    74.42    46.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Wycombe              15   25   +8      76.71     9.01    21.82    13.91    40.96    75.58    51.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            15   24   +6      71.26     8.73    13.10     4.16    18.96    53.63    27.78P    0.08R    0.02  
Torquay              15   23   +7      69.41     8.72    12.73     3.03    14.18    45.56    21.62P    0.20R    0.04  
Stevenage            15   22   +6      65.10     8.80     7.20     0.99     6.25    27.61    11.30P    0.69R    0.17  
Cheltenham           14   21   -3      61.32     8.85    -9.07     0.37     2.67    14.66     4.74P    2.45R    0.79  
Bradford             15   20   -2      62.94     8.61    -1.36     0.54     3.40    18.82     6.91P    1.31R    0.39  
Crewe                15   19  +10      67.32     9.07    18.82     2.05    10.88    38.18    18.30P    0.42R    0.13  
Aldershot            15   19   -3      61.25     8.58    -3.47     0.28     2.20    13.85     4.57P    2.10R    0.63  
Macclesfield         15   19   -4      55.45     8.36   -12.99     0.03     0.41     4.19     1.04P    7.64R    2.67  
Burton_Albion        15   18   +3      58.30     8.68    -0.81     0.17     1.29     9.03     2.97P    4.06R    1.27  
Oxford_Utd           15   17   -2      53.03     8.52   -10.86     0.02     0.23     2.62     0.69P   13.00R    5.24  
Southend             14   17   -2      67.85     9.22     8.44     2.33    11.53    39.10    19.77P    0.49R    0.15  
Morecambe            15   17   -5      58.77     8.72    -6.64     0.16     1.24     9.17     2.98P    4.22R    1.42  
Accrington_Stanley   15   16   -2      53.85     8.70   -10.10     0.02     0.34     3.40     0.97P   11.47R    4.64  
Northampton          15   16   -6      61.68     8.66    -1.32     0.31     2.52    15.57     5.94P    1.89R    0.63  
Gillingham           15   15   -5      59.03     8.91    -2.78     0.17     1.48    10.55     3.91P    3.97R    1.34  
Stockport            15   15  -14      48.32     8.69   -29.09     0.00     0.04     0.86     0.21P   30.83R   15.13  
Hereford             15   14  -10      50.30     8.50   -19.67     0.00     0.09     1.33     0.33P   21.57R    9.46  
Lincoln_City         15   13  -10      46.76     8.09   -21.88     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.06P   35.75R   17.72  
Barnet               15   12  -16      42.63     8.13   -34.87     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   57.83R   38.15  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 November 2010, Barrow vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       17   36  +15      82.34     8.05    25.41    14.42    77.36    27.57P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      17   35  +13      81.92     8.22    24.26    13.41    75.36    27.31P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   33  +17      90.22     7.71    45.69    55.83    96.05    71.38P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   30  +10      80.00     7.89    26.39     9.38    69.19    27.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     17   30  +10      72.33     8.50    13.99     1.91    32.02     7.62P    0.07R    0.00  
Newport_County     18   30   +9      70.79     8.48    12.71     1.26    25.89     5.73P    0.12R    0.00  
Wrexham            17   25   +6      69.57     7.95    13.58     0.68    20.63     5.49P    0.08R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   24   +5      69.59     8.23    14.32     0.74    21.62     5.39P    0.19R    0.01  
Grimsby            17   24   +1      70.06     8.32    10.78     0.80    22.70     6.61P    0.18R    0.02  
Kettering          17   24   -1      66.70     7.92     3.59     0.22    11.28     2.42P    0.36R    0.02  
Kidderminster      17   24   -2      65.71     8.14     0.62     0.25     9.68     2.17P    0.62R    0.08  
Darlington         17   23   +5      70.62     8.11    16.78     0.91    25.05     7.69P    0.10R    0.00  
Gateshead          17   22   -3      54.93     7.78   -14.02     0.00     0.49     0.07P   10.13R    1.86  
Cambridge_Utd      17   20   +2      64.99     8.12    10.21     0.17     9.05     2.40P    0.68R    0.06  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   20   -4      53.54     7.91   -16.49     0.00     0.34     0.04P   14.01R    2.87  
Tamworth           17   20   -6      54.10     7.84   -15.28     0.00     0.39     0.06P   12.59R    2.55  
Histon             17   19   -9      51.68     7.85   -20.72     0.00     0.17     0.03P   20.02R    4.71  
Southport          17   18   -3      50.36     8.14   -14.35     0.00     0.21     0.04P   25.05R    6.88  
York               17   18   -5      59.65     8.01    -1.95     0.03     2.27     0.61P    3.21R    0.52  
Barrow             18   18   -8      49.22     7.60   -20.25     0.00     0.06     0.01P   28.93R    7.75  
Bath_City          17   17   -7      49.60     8.31   -18.89     0.00     0.17     0.04P   28.81R    8.75  
Hayes_&_Yeading    17   17  -13      45.21     7.68   -33.67     0.00     0.01     0.00    51.59R   20.23  
Forest_Green       17   14  -15      43.71     7.80   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.34R   27.12  
Altrincham         17   14  -17      46.24     7.74   -29.71     0.00     0.02     0.00P   44.93R   16.56