Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 5 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 November 2010, Blackpool vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         10   25  +24      89.07     6.61    68.55    79.00    95.70    99.56    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         10   20  +12      75.35     7.57    39.85     6.28    36.26    80.18    91.99    98.50     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   20  +10      79.30     7.06    45.63    14.47    63.42    91.51    97.32    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        10   17   +3      62.13     7.70    13.13     0.14     2.22    10.99    36.10    70.10     0.05R    0.00  
Tottenham       10   15   +1      57.57     7.81     7.01     0.03     0.62     4.23    16.62    46.93     0.32R    0.02  
West_Brom       10   15   -3      49.78     8.18    -9.33     0.00     0.06     0.62     3.48    14.89     4.76R    0.79  
Newcastle       10   14   +5      51.94     8.19     3.12     0.00     0.12     1.35     6.12    23.06     2.36R    0.30  
Everton         10   13   +2      56.84     7.71     9.79     0.02     0.45     3.47    14.69    44.13     0.37R    0.03  
Blackpool       10   13   -6      39.48     7.58   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.16    34.31R    9.93  
Fulham          10   12   +1      46.01     7.39    -5.95     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.92     5.99     7.84R    1.09  
Bolton          10   12   -1      43.91     7.55   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.53     3.67    14.47R    2.75  
Sunderland      10   12   -3      45.24     7.45   -12.13     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.63     4.59    10.61R    1.92  
Liverpool       10   12   -4      60.33     7.58    10.65     0.05     1.03     6.92    26.58    61.86     0.10R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     10   12   -4      51.35     7.64    -3.25     0.00     0.09     0.81     4.13    18.11     2.23R    0.31  
Birmingham      10   11   -2      42.22     7.30   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.21     2.02    19.00R    3.78  
Stoke           10   10   -4      41.39     7.33   -14.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19     1.62    22.35R    5.00  
Wigan           10   10  -11      32.27     6.77   -39.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    73.06R   39.35  
Blackburn       10    9   -3      42.97     7.53   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.37     2.79    16.73R    3.75  
Wolverhampton   10    9   -6      36.59     7.16   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.33    47.25R   15.62  
West_Ham        10    6  -11      37.16     7.48   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.50    44.21R   15.35  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, Barnsley vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          14   32  +16      87.42     8.94    34.13    51.99    72.31    95.34    78.85P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              14   30  +21      80.62     8.79    31.02    20.53    43.49    84.40    54.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          14   26   +8      74.45     8.64    14.94     5.85    16.67    61.50    27.85P    0.14R    0.01  
Coventry         14   24   +6      65.23     8.70     2.10     0.71     2.80    21.99     6.28P    2.53R    0.37  
Norwich          14   23   +2      66.84     9.27     1.71     1.39     4.72    28.82     9.96P    2.24R    0.34  
Reading          14   22   +8      74.12     8.90    20.65     6.50    17.95    60.70    30.71P    0.17R    0.02  
Derby            14   21   +8      64.31     8.81     6.88     0.60     2.40    20.11     6.14P    3.21R    0.52  
Burnley          14   21   +6      71.18     9.48    15.53     4.05    11.92    47.99    21.76P    0.87R    0.11  
Watford          14   21   +4      65.08     9.10     3.58     0.99     3.26    22.89     7.37P    3.37R    0.61  
Portsmouth       14   21   +2      72.77     9.26    14.10     4.89    14.48    53.97    26.24P    0.49R    0.07  
Leeds_United     14   20   -3      60.31     9.16    -9.41     0.28     1.13    10.48     2.93P    9.95R    2.42  
Nott'm_Forest    14   19   +2      67.09     8.71     8.58     1.24     4.15    29.38    10.60P    1.62R    0.26  
Millwall         14   19   +0      59.78     9.00    -4.36     0.20     0.83     9.37     2.62P    9.98R    2.44  
Ipswich          14   19   +0      62.43     8.76    -0.38     0.26     1.31    14.15     4.11P    5.26R    1.04  
Doncaster        14   19   -1      60.77     8.83    -4.21     0.19     0.92    10.66     2.84P    8.01R    1.75  
Scunthorpe       14   17   -3      52.59     8.69   -17.27     0.02     0.08     1.86     0.33P   32.08R   10.83  
Barnsley         14   16   -8      51.34     8.52   -21.66     0.01     0.06     1.14     0.25P   38.03R   13.96  
Sheff_Utd        14   15   -9      58.70     8.63    -8.90     0.07     0.39     6.41     1.75P   11.69R    2.83  
Leicester        14   15  -10      59.06     8.83    -9.79     0.11     0.56     7.24     2.14P   11.60R    2.86  
Hull             14   14   -7      57.08     9.06    -7.83     0.06     0.36     5.50     1.64P   16.74R    4.83  
Bristol_City     14   14   -8      52.81     8.62   -15.56     0.00     0.05     1.69     0.39P   30.66R   10.34  
Preston          14   13  -10      50.62     8.86   -21.29     0.01     0.05     1.08     0.23P   41.07R   16.75  
Middlesbrough    14   11  -10      54.76     8.71    -9.99     0.02     0.09     2.75     0.77P   22.74R    7.01  
Crystal_Palace   14   11  -14      49.07     8.50   -22.58     0.00     0.02     0.58     0.15P   47.56R   20.64  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 November 2010, Brentford vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         15   34  +19      84.01     8.64    30.27    35.58    54.89    88.64    62.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     15   26   +8      78.16     8.82    22.90    13.96    28.59    70.69    39.52P    0.07R    0.00  
Colchester       15   26   +4      73.41     8.74    11.35     5.24    12.63    49.05    21.27P    0.27R    0.01  
Peterborough     15   25   +4      71.89     9.29    10.54     4.80    11.40    43.01    18.30P    0.81R    0.03  
Charlton         15   25   +2      76.51     8.76    15.67     9.60    21.70    63.35    32.79P    0.13R    0.00  
Southampton      15   24   +8      79.42     8.65    27.41    17.66    34.34    76.21    48.65P    0.04R    0.00  
Bournemouth      15   23  +11      68.32     9.17    15.06     2.01     5.61    29.81    10.75P    1.82R    0.09  
Carlisle         15   23   +8      69.01     8.68    13.15     1.91     5.40    31.04    11.21P    1.07R    0.04  
MK_Dons          15   23   -1      66.03     8.76    -0.49     0.91     2.71    19.36     5.93P    2.69R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed        15   21   +6      73.51     8.86    20.70     5.64    13.82    51.76    25.90P    0.31R    0.01  
Oldham           14   21   +4      65.40     8.90     4.97     0.74     2.44    18.64     5.67P    3.12R    0.14  
Bristol_Rovers   15   20   -4      58.89     8.61    -9.73     0.11     0.45     4.94     1.28P   12.43R    0.97  
Rochdale         14   19   +4      61.05     9.33     0.78     0.37     1.27    10.09     3.03P    9.30R    0.74  
Brentford        15   19   -1      59.26     8.49    -4.02     0.10     0.41     5.42     1.40P   10.75R    0.90  
Plymouth         15   19   -5      65.99     9.12     1.73     1.00     2.98    20.12     7.07P    3.31R    0.21  
Exeter           15   19   -7      51.97     8.28   -22.31     0.01     0.03     0.77     0.12P   37.64R    5.40  
Swindon          15   17   -4      61.10     8.80    -1.97     0.19     0.79     8.58     2.52P    8.22R    0.59  
Hartlepool       14   17   -6      54.14     8.66   -16.83     0.02     0.15     1.70     0.44P   27.78R    3.66  
Leyton_Orient    15   16   -3      53.61     8.50   -10.29     0.01     0.05     1.47     0.33P   28.73R    3.62  
Notts_County     14   16   -5      56.77     9.26   -10.17     0.11     0.30     3.90     0.96P   20.22R    2.62  
Tranmere         15   16   -8      52.35     8.43   -17.42     0.01     0.03     0.92     0.17P   35.45R    5.07  
Yeovil           15   15  -11      49.44     8.35   -23.54     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.06P   49.25R   10.11  
Dag_&_Red        15   12  -13      39.99     8.30   -37.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    86.01R   50.08  
Walsall          15   11  -10      46.73     8.41   -20.52     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   60.58R   15.61  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 November 2010, Barnet vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         15   32  +15      83.21     8.94    28.25    36.83    68.83    91.87    74.60P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            15   29  +11      77.76     8.50    20.19    14.36    43.94    80.41    53.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 15   28   +9      74.92     8.72    15.57     8.98    31.50    69.33    40.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   27   +9      76.23     8.72    19.06    11.49    37.55    74.65    47.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              15   25   +8      76.69     9.08    21.78    13.83    40.75    75.57    51.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            15   24   +6      71.31     8.70    13.22     4.28    18.88    54.09    27.99P    0.09R    0.01  
Torquay              15   23   +7      69.24     8.79    12.47     2.87    13.76    44.99    20.79P    0.18R    0.04  
Stevenage            15   22   +6      65.18     8.82     7.31     1.10     6.55    27.77    11.60P    0.67R    0.18  
Cheltenham           14   21   -3      61.31     8.90    -9.17     0.38     2.68    14.75     4.78P    2.56R    0.82  
Bradford             15   20   -2      62.93     8.71    -1.38     0.52     3.66    18.91     7.21P    1.44R    0.44  
Crewe                15   19  +10      67.14     9.09    18.59     2.03    10.52    38.03    18.11P    0.51R    0.14  
Aldershot            15   19   -3      61.22     8.70    -3.51     0.33     2.34    14.33     4.82P    2.31R    0.76  
Macclesfield         15   19   -4      55.62     8.43   -12.78     0.05     0.44     4.39     1.11P    7.47R    2.70  
Burton_Albion        15   18   +3      58.19     8.71    -1.06     0.15     1.33     8.93     2.99P    4.40R    1.45  
Oxford_Utd           15   17   -2      52.99     8.43   -10.87     0.02     0.27     2.43     0.66P   12.85R    5.19  
Southend             14   17   -2      67.56     9.20     8.01     2.05    10.85    37.89    18.71P    0.55R    0.15  
Morecambe            15   17   -5      58.97     8.72    -6.29     0.15     1.37     9.62     3.13P    3.98R    1.33  
Accrington_Stanley   15   16   -2      53.73     8.65   -10.30     0.04     0.34     3.29     0.90P   11.72R    4.65  
Northampton          15   16   -6      61.67     8.70    -1.32     0.32     2.53    15.74     5.99P    2.07R    0.69  
Gillingham           15   15   -5      59.02     8.99    -2.77     0.21     1.69    10.61     4.04P    4.23R    1.49  
Stockport            15   15  -14      48.31     8.60   -29.14     0.00     0.08     0.77     0.21P   31.04R   15.44  
Hereford             15   14  -10      50.45     8.42   -19.40     0.01     0.11     1.22     0.30P   20.96R    9.18  
Lincoln_City         15   13  -10      46.87     8.06   -21.73     0.00     0.02     0.29     0.07P   34.97R   17.17  
Barnet               15   12  -16      42.68     8.13   -34.74     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   57.94R   38.16  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       17   36  +15      82.39     8.15    25.47    14.15    76.47    27.53P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      17   35  +13      82.09     8.15    24.53    13.36    75.45    26.84P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   33  +17      90.44     7.67    45.99    55.90    96.07    71.94P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     17   30  +10      72.62     8.70    14.45     2.16    32.74     7.84P    0.07R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   30  +10      79.97     7.89    26.38     8.88    68.51    26.79P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     17   30  +10      72.31     8.57    14.00     1.89    31.47     7.54P    0.06R    0.00  
Wrexham            17   25   +6      69.59     7.96    13.61     0.72    19.88     5.23P    0.10R    0.02  
Mansfield          17   24   +5      69.62     8.17    14.29     0.61    20.69     5.06P    0.13R    0.01  
Grimsby            17   24   +1      69.88     8.39    10.48     0.80    21.73     6.14P    0.19R    0.02  
Kettering          17   24   -1      66.92     7.89     3.86     0.25    11.19     2.53P    0.34R    0.02  
Kidderminster      17   24   -2      65.55     8.15     0.49     0.20     9.12     1.88P    0.62R    0.06  
Darlington         17   23   +5      70.42     8.17    16.46     0.91    24.13     7.70P    0.11R    0.01  
Gateshead          17   22   -3      54.89     7.72   -14.01     0.00     0.43     0.05P    9.51R    1.67  
Cambridge_Utd      17   20   +2      65.02     8.08    10.26     0.14     8.75     2.28P    0.71R    0.07  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   20   -4      53.61     7.91   -16.43     0.00     0.36     0.05P   13.42R    2.76  
Tamworth           17   20   -6      53.98     7.80   -15.42     0.00     0.36     0.03P   12.14R    2.42  
Histon             17   19   -9      51.65     7.87   -20.73     0.00     0.16     0.02P   19.42R    4.50  
Southport          17   18   -3      50.55     8.12   -14.05     0.00     0.14     0.02P   23.23R    6.32  
York               17   18   -5      59.55     7.99    -2.14     0.03     2.05     0.48P    3.19R    0.41  
Hayes_&_Yeading    17   17  -13      45.09     7.65   -33.93     0.00     0.01     0.00    51.28R   19.56  
Bath_City          16   16   -7      50.37     8.52   -18.13     0.00     0.25     0.04P   25.39R    7.55  
Barrow             17   15   -9      47.03     7.70   -22.10     0.00     0.02     0.00P   38.31R   12.20  
Forest_Green       17   14  -15      43.79     7.82   -32.87     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.77R   25.42  
Altrincham         16   13  -17      46.11     7.89   -30.47     0.00     0.01     0.00P   45.01R   16.99