Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 4 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 November 2010, Blackpool vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         10   25  +24      89.12     6.57    68.68    79.31    95.76    99.55    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         10   20  +12      75.20     7.60    39.65     6.07    35.34    79.80    91.82    98.33     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   20  +10      79.40     7.02    45.90    14.34    64.30    92.01    97.67    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        10   17   +3      62.09     7.69    13.06     0.13     2.09    11.01    35.73    70.09     0.04R    0.00  
Tottenham       10   15   +1      57.46     7.78     6.89     0.03     0.60     4.10    16.22    46.50     0.28R    0.02  
West_Brom       10   15   -3      49.64     8.18    -9.58     0.01     0.06     0.70     3.51    14.41     4.94R    0.77  
Newcastle       10   14   +5      52.05     8.18     3.29     0.01     0.16     1.37     6.46    23.66     2.37R    0.31  
Everton         10   13   +2      56.91     7.72     9.90     0.02     0.51     3.51    14.93    44.48     0.39R    0.04  
Blackpool       10   13   -6      39.33     7.55   -28.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.09    34.88R   10.11  
Fulham          10   12   +1      46.06     7.42    -5.92     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.95     5.94     7.80R    1.19  
Bolton          10   12   -1      43.81     7.52   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.49     3.67    14.44R    2.83  
Sunderland      10   12   -3      45.30     7.45   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.69     4.75    10.38R    1.74  
Liverpool       10   12   -4      60.22     7.66    10.47     0.08     1.09     6.77    26.19    61.22     0.10R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     10   12   -4      51.44     7.75    -3.11     0.00     0.09     0.85     4.40    18.80     2.39R    0.29  
Birmingham      10   11   -2      42.13     7.26   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.26     1.94    18.92R    3.70  
Stoke           10   10   -4      41.41     7.37   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20     1.65    22.36R    5.20  
Wigan           10   10  -11      32.37     6.77   -39.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    72.69R   38.83  
Blackburn       10    9   -3      43.14     7.55   -10.72     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.35     2.96    16.41R    3.68  
Wolverhampton   10    9   -6      36.48     7.11   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29    47.73R   15.80  
West_Ham        10    6  -11      37.22     7.52   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.50    43.87R   15.47  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, Barnsley vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          14   32  +16      87.53     8.87    34.27    52.72    73.00    95.69    79.63P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              14   30  +21      80.56     8.77    30.91    20.04    43.43    84.50    54.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          14   26   +8      74.37     8.64    14.87     5.74    16.53    61.08    27.64P    0.14R    0.00  
Coventry         14   24   +6      65.19     8.73     1.95     0.66     2.83    21.84     6.24P    2.66R    0.45  
Norwich          14   23   +2      66.91     9.29     1.89     1.44     4.85    29.04    10.10P    2.14R    0.36  
Reading          14   22   +8      74.19     8.94    20.72     6.78    18.26    61.21    30.99P    0.19R    0.01  
Derby            14   21   +8      64.39     8.87     6.96     0.58     2.47    20.92     6.34P    3.38R    0.52  
Burnley          14   21   +6      70.96     9.46    15.17     3.96    11.28    47.03    20.82P    0.86R    0.14  
Watford          14   21   +4      65.19     9.08     3.71     0.94     3.32    23.09     7.46P    3.22R    0.61  
Portsmouth       14   21   +2      72.57     9.27    13.89     4.74    14.05    53.11    25.84P    0.52R    0.07  
Leeds_United     14   20   -3      60.60     9.18    -8.92     0.29     1.15    11.19     3.08P    9.46R    2.18  
Nott'm_Forest    14   19   +2      67.12     8.75     8.59     1.21     4.31    29.44    10.79P    1.59R    0.23  
Millwall         14   19   +0      59.55     8.97    -4.75     0.13     0.66     8.82     2.23P   10.63R    2.52  
Ipswich          14   19   +0      62.32     8.67    -0.54     0.26     1.21    13.56     3.82P    5.35R    0.99  
Doncaster        14   19   -1      60.97     8.88    -3.85     0.23     1.01    11.21     3.05P    7.83R    1.74  
Scunthorpe       14   17   -3      52.45     8.74   -17.56     0.02     0.10     1.80     0.39P   32.61R   11.23  
Barnsley         14   16   -8      51.54     8.59   -21.42     0.01     0.05     1.25     0.25P   37.11R   13.35  
Sheff_Utd        14   15   -9      58.53     8.66    -9.13     0.08     0.44     6.19     1.82P   12.20R    2.99  
Leicester        14   15  -10      59.08     8.81    -9.73     0.08     0.47     7.36     2.05P   11.54R    2.89  
Hull             14   14   -7      56.93     9.01    -8.05     0.05     0.33     5.21     1.53P   17.07R    4.93  
Bristol_City     14   14   -8      52.73     8.64   -15.66     0.01     0.06     1.63     0.36P   30.85R   10.89  
Preston          14   13  -10      50.70     8.86   -21.18     0.01     0.03     1.12     0.23P   40.90R   16.81  
Middlesbrough    14   11  -10      54.96     8.76    -9.68     0.02     0.16     3.08     0.91P   22.11R    6.69  
Crystal_Palace   14   11  -14      49.15     8.48   -22.45     0.01     0.03     0.63     0.15P   47.64R   20.39  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 November 2010, Brentford vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         15   34  +19      83.81     8.70    29.94    34.75    53.98    88.19    61.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     15   26   +8      78.22     8.73    23.02    14.14    28.85    71.15    39.90P    0.05R    0.00  
Colchester       15   26   +4      73.30     8.75    11.18     5.29    12.52    48.62    20.93P    0.31R    0.01  
Peterborough     15   25   +4      72.08     9.22    10.89     4.93    11.80    43.76    18.89P    0.71R    0.02  
Charlton         15   25   +2      76.56     8.80    15.71    10.18    21.99    63.31    33.23P    0.14R    0.00  
Southampton      15   24   +8      79.21     8.59    27.14    17.03    33.34    75.65    47.65P    0.05R    0.00  
Bournemouth      15   23  +11      68.49     9.11    15.30     2.13     5.85    30.50    10.98P    1.64R    0.07  
Carlisle         15   23   +8      68.96     8.71    13.12     2.01     5.77    30.71    11.49P    1.15R    0.07  
MK_Dons          15   23   -1      65.85     8.76    -0.74     0.85     2.68    19.18     6.07P    2.75R    0.12  
Sheff_Wed        15   21   +6      73.71     8.84    20.98     5.95    14.46    52.78    26.61P    0.35R    0.00  
Oldham           14   21   +4      65.38     8.85     4.91     0.80     2.43    18.17     5.52P    3.19R    0.15  
Bristol_Rovers   15   20   -4      58.71     8.50   -10.00     0.08     0.31     4.66     1.06P   12.91R    1.08  
Rochdale         14   19   +4      60.82     9.38     0.38     0.40     1.28     9.74     2.92P    9.80R    0.85  
Brentford        15   19   -1      59.38     8.45    -3.88     0.10     0.43     5.39     1.39P   10.54R    0.86  
Plymouth         15   19   -5      65.65     9.07     1.16     0.94     2.76    19.39     6.81P    3.66R    0.24  
Exeter           15   19   -7      51.88     8.25   -22.39     0.01     0.02     0.77     0.12P   38.03R    5.50  
Swindon          15   17   -4      61.27     8.87    -1.65     0.24     0.85     9.03     2.56P    8.26R    0.62  
Hartlepool       14   17   -6      54.20     8.72   -16.79     0.03     0.11     1.76     0.36P   28.13R    3.58  
Leyton_Orient    15   16   -3      53.56     8.49   -10.38     0.02     0.07     1.32     0.30P   28.84R    3.65  
Notts_County     14   16   -5      57.26     9.31    -9.44     0.11     0.42     4.51     1.16P   19.00R    2.26  
Tranmere         15   16   -8      52.48     8.35   -17.24     0.02     0.05     0.88     0.18P   34.56R    4.94  
Yeovil           15   15  -11      49.49     8.36   -23.45     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.07P   49.28R   10.01  
Dag_&_Red        15   12  -13      39.88     8.17   -37.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   86.78R   50.71  
Walsall          15   11  -10      46.86     8.36   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   59.86R   15.26  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 November 2010, Barnet vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         15   32  +15      83.16     8.93    28.22    36.68    68.64    91.76    74.41P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            15   29  +11      77.62     8.53    20.03    14.22    43.27    79.94    52.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 15   28   +9      74.76     8.75    15.32     9.23    31.07    68.53    39.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   27   +9      76.18     8.68    18.98    11.36    37.47    74.38    46.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              15   25   +8      76.67     9.06    21.76    13.55    40.79    75.59    51.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            15   24   +6      71.28     8.75    13.15     4.37    19.06    53.81    28.03P    0.07R    0.01  
Torquay              15   23   +7      69.32     8.80    12.57     2.98    14.21    45.38    21.58P    0.18R    0.03  
Stevenage            15   22   +6      65.21     8.82     7.40     1.20     6.52    27.71    11.61P    0.64R    0.15  
Cheltenham           14   21   -3      61.52     8.88    -8.87     0.40     2.74    15.16     5.00P    2.34R    0.72  
Bradford             15   20   -2      62.95     8.66    -1.32     0.51     3.45    18.91     6.98P    1.32R    0.34  
Crewe                15   19  +10      67.30     9.02    18.79     2.08    10.89    38.32    18.32P    0.47R    0.11  
Aldershot            15   19   -3      61.32     8.67    -3.40     0.33     2.32    14.23     4.87P    2.15R    0.61  
Macclesfield         15   19   -4      55.30     8.42   -13.22     0.04     0.39     3.99     0.94P    8.04R    2.87  
Burton_Albion        15   18   +3      58.39     8.70    -0.76     0.16     1.47     9.15     3.19P    3.97R    1.33  
Oxford_Utd           15   17   -2      53.15     8.39   -10.69     0.02     0.23     2.47     0.68P   12.49R    4.83  
Southend             14   17   -2      67.87     9.16     8.48     2.18    11.35    39.18    19.66P    0.53R    0.16  
Morecambe            15   17   -5      59.02     8.79    -6.24     0.15     1.40     9.92     3.32P    4.07R    1.26  
Accrington_Stanley   15   16   -2      53.67     8.65   -10.40     0.03     0.32     3.20     0.87P   11.81R    4.92  
Northampton          15   16   -6      61.66     8.71    -1.35     0.32     2.64    15.61     5.93P    2.02R    0.61  
Gillingham           15   15   -5      59.02     8.96    -2.79     0.19     1.63    10.46     3.97P    4.15R    1.47  
Stockport            15   15  -14      48.31     8.63   -29.04     0.00     0.05     0.86     0.19P   30.76R   15.23  
Hereford             15   14  -10      50.17     8.43   -19.79     0.00     0.08     1.09     0.23P   21.84R    9.76  
Lincoln_City         15   13  -10      46.88     8.06   -21.78     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.06P   34.46R   16.94  
Barnet               15   12  -16      42.51     8.12   -35.04     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   58.64R   38.64  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       17   36  +15      82.27     8.13    25.29    14.11    76.23    27.42P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      17   35  +13      81.82     8.18    24.09    12.89    74.49    26.11P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   33  +17      90.34     7.74    45.87    55.95    96.07    71.82P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     17   30  +10      72.68     8.71    14.53     2.21    33.00     7.92P    0.08R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   30  +10      80.03     7.88    26.45     9.33    68.50    27.15P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     17   30  +10      72.28     8.53    13.94     1.73    30.91     7.47P    0.06R    0.01  
Wrexham            17   25   +6      69.64     7.91    13.65     0.71    20.19     5.42P    0.08R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   24   +5      69.43     8.21    14.07     0.69    20.23     5.03P    0.13R    0.01  
Grimsby            17   24   +1      70.05     8.35    10.77     0.87    22.32     6.34P    0.14R    0.01  
Kettering          17   24   -1      66.81     7.99     3.65     0.24    11.20     2.58P    0.36R    0.03  
Kidderminster      17   24   -2      65.58     8.18     0.45     0.19     9.34     2.02P    0.66R    0.06  
Darlington         17   23   +5      70.64     8.17    16.80     0.94    24.82     7.71P    0.08R    0.00  
Gateshead          17   22   -3      54.96     7.80   -13.97     0.00     0.50     0.08P    9.76R    1.72  
Cambridge_Utd      17   20   +2      64.99     8.14    10.22     0.13     8.74     2.26P    0.65R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   20   -4      53.60     7.93   -16.41     0.00     0.33     0.04P   13.53R    2.78  
Tamworth           17   20   -6      53.96     7.87   -15.54     0.00     0.36     0.06P   12.46R    2.56  
Histon             17   19   -9      51.83     7.86   -20.47     0.00     0.15     0.01P   18.89R    4.15  
Southport          17   18   -3      50.70     8.11   -13.80     0.00     0.15     0.02P   22.72R    5.98  
York               17   18   -5      59.45     8.00    -2.30     0.01     2.12     0.49P    3.19R    0.48  
Hayes_&_Yeading    17   17  -13      45.10     7.64   -33.81     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.73R   19.77  
Bath_City          16   16   -7      50.48     8.58   -17.99     0.00     0.28     0.04P   25.47R    7.44  
Barrow             17   15   -9      47.06     7.76   -22.01     0.00     0.04     0.00P   38.42R   12.15  
Forest_Green       17   14  -15      43.84     7.82   -32.72     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.55R   25.20  
Altrincham         16   13  -17      45.92     7.89   -30.75     0.00     0.02     0.00P   46.03R   17.60