Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 3 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 November 2010, Blackpool vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         10   25  +24      89.01     6.63    68.35    78.72    95.62    99.53    99.90    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         10   20  +12      75.13     7.58    39.45     6.01    35.38    79.54    91.73    98.36     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   20  +10      79.42     7.06    45.92    15.02    64.33    92.17    97.63    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        10   17   +3      62.17     7.67    13.20     0.14     2.16    10.98    36.27    70.30     0.05R    0.00  
Tottenham       10   15   +1      57.57     7.78     7.00     0.02     0.61     4.30    16.51    46.89     0.29R    0.01  
West_Brom       10   15   -3      49.60     8.19    -9.63     0.00     0.07     0.62     3.38    14.29     5.02R    0.77  
Newcastle       10   14   +5      52.00     8.24     3.23     0.01     0.18     1.41     6.47    23.66     2.39R    0.33  
Everton         10   13   +2      56.96     7.68    10.02     0.02     0.48     3.49    14.92    45.03     0.39R    0.03  
Blackpool       10   13   -6      39.35     7.55   -28.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.08    34.83R    9.88  
Fulham          10   12   +1      46.26     7.41    -5.58     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.98     6.32     7.47R    1.10  
Bolton          10   12   -1      43.86     7.50   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.44     3.51    14.50R    2.96  
Sunderland      10   12   -3      45.26     7.45   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.71     4.63    10.51R    1.71  
Liverpool       10   12   -4      60.18     7.63    10.49     0.05     1.08     6.85    25.96    60.69     0.11R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     10   12   -4      51.30     7.62    -3.29     0.00     0.08     0.76     4.16    18.08     2.19R    0.29  
Birmingham      10   11   -2      42.27     7.30   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22     2.01    18.60R    3.79  
Stoke           10   10   -4      41.48     7.37   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.69    21.89R    5.09  
Wigan           10   10  -11      32.27     6.77   -40.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04    73.07R   39.23  
Blackburn       10    9   -3      43.18     7.49   -10.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.35     2.95    16.11R    3.39  
Wolverhampton   10    9   -6      36.41     7.13   -23.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.26    48.23R   16.10  
West_Ham        10    6  -11      37.14     7.50   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.50    44.37R   15.29  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, Barnsley vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          14   32  +16      87.50     8.95    34.37    52.20    72.43    95.20    78.99P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              14   30  +21      80.69     8.86    31.12    20.49    43.41    83.84    53.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea          14   26   +8      74.44     8.60    14.90     5.61    16.13    60.50    27.48P    0.14R    0.02  
Coventry         14   24   +5      64.75     8.77     0.06     0.63     2.51    19.61     5.59P    2.86R    0.45  
Norwich          14   23   +2      67.08     9.17     2.04     1.30     4.55    28.68     9.84P    1.98R    0.32  
Reading          14   22   +8      74.22     8.86    20.85     6.28    17.53    60.21    30.13P    0.18R    0.02  
Derby            14   21   +8      64.63     8.91     7.11     0.68     2.76    20.87     6.58P    3.17R    0.53  
Burnley          14   21   +6      71.24     9.50    15.63     4.23    11.82    46.97    21.65P    0.72R    0.09  
Watford          14   21   +4      65.10     9.13     3.49     0.89     3.27    22.35     7.27P    3.21R    0.53  
Portsmouth       14   21   +2      72.63     9.18    13.89     4.74    13.67    52.49    25.17P    0.46R    0.08  
Ipswich          14   21   +2      65.37     8.81     2.89     0.66     2.76    22.08     6.80P    2.60R    0.35  
Leeds_United     14   20   -3      60.70     9.26    -8.83     0.28     1.16    10.82     3.01P    9.07R    2.19  
Nott'm_Forest    14   19   +2      67.17     8.80     8.63     1.21     4.37    28.92    10.77P    1.59R    0.23  
Millwall         14   19   +1      60.39     9.02    -2.73     0.24     0.92    10.02     2.78P    8.77R    2.00  
Doncaster        14   19   +0      61.41     8.90    -2.32     0.27     1.16    11.80     3.29P    6.77R    1.37  
Scunthorpe       14   17   -3      52.63     8.75   -17.44     0.01     0.07     1.77     0.34P   31.68R   10.63  
Barnsley         14   16   -7      51.82     8.56   -20.17     0.01     0.04     1.20     0.23P   34.86R   12.23  
Sheff_Utd        14   15   -9      58.62     8.60    -9.08     0.07     0.38     5.92     1.58P   11.57R    2.70  
Leicester        14   15  -10      59.10     8.91    -9.73     0.10     0.51     7.28     2.08P   11.51R    2.79  
Hull             14   14   -8      56.60     9.07    -9.64     0.07     0.33     4.58     1.36P   18.11R    5.31  
Preston          14   13  -10      50.74     8.82   -21.27     0.01     0.04     1.00     0.21P   40.03R   15.96  
Bristol_City     14   13  -10      50.81     8.66   -19.39     0.00     0.04     1.01     0.22P   39.40R   14.87  
Middlesbrough    14   11  -11      54.44     8.72   -11.57     0.02     0.10     2.36     0.68P   23.52R    7.12  
Crystal_Palace   14   11  -14      48.99     8.55   -22.84     0.00     0.02     0.52     0.13P   47.77R   20.21  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 November 2010, Brentford vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         15   34  +19      83.71     8.67    29.79    34.44    53.51    88.10    61.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     15   26   +8      78.14     8.78    22.85    14.27    28.60    70.86    39.55P    0.06R    0.00  
Colchester       15   26   +4      73.40     8.69    11.28     5.33    12.76    48.91    21.19P    0.28R    0.01  
Peterborough     15   25   +4      72.09     9.27    10.89     5.08    11.91    44.15    19.07P    0.70R    0.03  
Charlton         15   25   +2      76.67     8.75    15.86    10.21    22.45    63.85    33.75P    0.11R    0.00  
Southampton      15   24   +8      79.26     8.55    27.18    16.84    33.44    75.96    47.93P    0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth      15   23  +11      68.26     9.19    14.93     2.07     5.69    29.70    10.79P    1.86R    0.08  
Carlisle         15   23   +8      68.85     8.74    12.97     2.03     5.63    30.54    11.13P    1.19R    0.02  
MK_Dons          15   23   -1      65.91     8.77    -0.67     0.86     2.67    19.01     5.85P    2.78R    0.11  
Sheff_Wed        15   21   +6      73.62     8.93    20.87     6.20    14.55    52.17    26.49P    0.36R    0.00  
Oldham           14   21   +4      65.34     8.82     4.83     0.78     2.51    18.39     5.57P    3.14R    0.14  
Bristol_Rovers   15   20   -4      58.82     8.62    -9.79     0.12     0.40     4.92     1.25P   13.16R    1.06  
Rochdale         14   19   +4      60.98     9.34     0.64     0.36     1.18     9.92     2.98P    9.58R    0.80  
Brentford        15   19   -1      59.37     8.49    -3.86     0.12     0.44     5.38     1.44P   10.73R    0.85  
Plymouth         15   19   -5      65.73     9.08     1.28     0.87     2.74    19.64     6.76P    3.57R    0.21  
Exeter           15   19   -7      52.09     8.24   -22.04     0.00     0.03     0.72     0.12P   37.08R    5.33  
Swindon          15   17   -4      60.99     8.87    -2.14     0.26     0.82     8.61     2.48P    8.72R    0.65  
Hartlepool       14   17   -6      54.34     8.66   -16.50     0.05     0.14     1.80     0.42P   27.52R    3.38  
Leyton_Orient    15   16   -3      53.63     8.47   -10.28     0.02     0.07     1.51     0.32P   28.36R    3.62  
Notts_County     14   16   -5      57.24     9.24    -9.42     0.10     0.40     4.32     1.18P   18.98R    2.21  
Tranmere         15   16   -8      52.42     8.46   -17.36     0.01     0.05     0.97     0.18P   35.14R    5.10  
Yeovil           15   15  -11      49.33     8.40   -23.69     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.07P   50.04R   10.61  
Dag_&_Red        15   12  -13      40.03     8.26   -37.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   86.19R   49.96  
Walsall          15   11  -10      46.80     8.39   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   60.40R   15.82  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 November 2010, Barnet vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         15   32  +15      83.10     8.95    28.08    36.32    68.68    91.68    74.46P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            15   29  +11      77.88     8.49    20.43    14.82    44.51    80.76    53.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 15   28   +9      74.97     8.70    15.67     9.37    31.85    69.60    40.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   27   +9      76.04     8.69    18.81    11.18    36.71    74.05    46.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              15   25   +8      76.55     9.04    21.57    13.54    40.37    75.20    50.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            15   24   +6      71.07     8.72    12.86     4.07    18.46    53.00    27.16P    0.10R    0.02  
Torquay              15   23   +7      69.17     8.86    12.35     3.05    14.14    44.56    21.31P    0.21R    0.06  
Stevenage            15   22   +6      64.93     8.71     6.99     1.02     6.07    26.84    10.94P    0.64R    0.18  
Cheltenham           14   21   -3      61.37     8.89    -9.06     0.38     2.75    14.98     4.86P    2.48R    0.78  
Bradford             15   20   -2      62.94     8.60    -1.33     0.52     3.42    18.98     6.94P    1.33R    0.34  
Crewe                15   19  +10      67.30     9.08    18.88     2.19    10.99    38.39    18.58P    0.47R    0.14  
Aldershot            15   19   -3      61.36     8.58    -3.31     0.25     2.26    14.36     4.78P    2.00R    0.63  
Macclesfield         15   19   -4      55.43     8.38   -13.09     0.03     0.43     4.19     1.05P    7.96R    2.78  
Burton_Albion        15   18   +3      58.29     8.68    -0.89     0.15     1.21     8.90     2.88P    4.25R    1.38  
Oxford_Utd           15   17   -2      53.11     8.43   -10.76     0.04     0.25     2.57     0.70P   12.48R    4.99  
Southend             14   17   -2      67.95     9.19     8.52     2.40    11.81    39.60    20.04P    0.45R    0.13  
Morecambe            15   17   -5      58.88     8.75    -6.43     0.14     1.30     9.60     3.18P    4.19R    1.37  
Accrington_Stanley   15   16   -2      53.79     8.72   -10.16     0.03     0.31     3.50     0.88P   11.66R    4.79  
Northampton          15   16   -6      61.77     8.66    -1.18     0.29     2.67    15.98     6.24P    1.90R    0.60  
Gillingham           15   15   -5      58.96     9.02    -2.89     0.20     1.61    10.64     4.01P    4.30R    1.62  
Stockport            15   15  -14      48.46     8.75   -28.88     0.01     0.09     1.02     0.29P   30.72R   15.38  
Hereford             15   14  -10      50.40     8.49   -19.50     0.00     0.10     1.23     0.31P   21.48R    9.56  
Lincoln_City         15   13  -10      46.75     8.10   -21.98     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.06P   35.56R   17.54  
Barnet               15   12  -16      42.71     8.09   -34.73     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00P   57.76R   37.70  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       17   36  +15      82.39     8.15    25.47    14.01    76.80    27.45P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      17   35  +13      81.96     8.17    24.29    13.20    74.96    26.66P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   33  +17      90.47     7.70    46.02    56.32    96.15    72.11P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     17   30  +10      72.61     8.69    14.42     1.95    32.74     7.75P    0.09R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   30  +10      79.96     7.85    26.35     8.92    68.32    26.74P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     17   30  +10      72.08     8.62    13.60     1.82    30.56     7.23P    0.08R    0.01  
Wrexham            17   25   +6      69.61     7.98    13.58     0.69    20.18     5.35P    0.11R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   24   +5      69.48     8.15    14.09     0.72    20.45     5.04P    0.16R    0.02  
Grimsby            17   24   +1      70.03     8.36    10.70     0.82    22.32     6.47P    0.14R    0.02  
Kettering          17   24   -1      66.96     7.92     3.95     0.24    11.38     2.61P    0.29R    0.02  
Kidderminster      17   24   -2      65.62     8.16     0.54     0.25     9.21     1.92P    0.62R    0.06  
Darlington         17   23   +5      70.62     8.15    16.75     0.92    24.67     7.68P    0.10R    0.01  
Gateshead          17   22   -3      54.89     7.76   -14.02     0.00     0.46     0.05P    9.67R    1.68  
Cambridge_Utd      17   20   +2      64.78     8.09     9.86     0.11     8.43     2.30P    0.74R    0.10  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   20   -4      53.66     7.94   -16.29     0.00     0.35     0.04P   13.41R    2.64  
Tamworth           17   20   -6      54.12     7.87   -15.28     0.00     0.37     0.06P   12.10R    2.49  
Histon             17   19   -9      51.69     7.87   -20.69     0.00     0.17     0.02P   19.24R    4.46  
Southport          17   18   -3      50.73     8.14   -13.72     0.00     0.20     0.02P   22.60R    5.93  
York               17   18   -5      59.65     7.93    -1.95     0.03     1.99     0.46P    2.82R    0.37  
Hayes_&_Yeading    17   17  -13      45.07     7.62   -33.89     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.84R   19.62  
Bath_City          16   16   -7      50.37     8.56   -18.18     0.00     0.24     0.04P   25.66R    7.51  
Barrow             17   15   -9      46.99     7.75   -22.05     0.00     0.03     0.00P   38.60R   12.08  
Forest_Green       17   14  -15      43.74     7.84   -32.91     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.86R   25.66  
Altrincham         16   13  -17      45.94     7.95   -30.65     0.00     0.02     0.00P   45.88R   17.34