Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 1 November 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 November 2010, Blackpool vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         10   25  +24      88.98     6.63    68.35    78.71    95.59    99.42    99.90    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         10   20  +12      75.17     7.63    39.56     6.20    35.48    79.29    91.48    98.27     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   20  +10      79.38     7.01    45.82    14.80    64.10    91.86    97.51    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        10   17   +3      62.14     7.72    13.22     0.14     2.21    11.01    35.76    70.05     0.04R    0.00  
Tottenham       10   15   +1      57.71     7.76     7.28     0.03     0.66     4.26    16.77    47.71     0.26R    0.02  
West_Brom       10   15   -3      49.67     8.16    -9.59     0.00     0.07     0.66     3.38    14.41     4.83R    0.82  
Newcastle       10   14   +5      51.96     8.17     3.14     0.01     0.17     1.38     6.20    22.72     2.29R    0.25  
Everton         10   13   +2      56.95     7.73     9.95     0.03     0.50     3.59    14.79    44.55     0.41R    0.03  
Blackpool       10   13   -6      39.26     7.56   -28.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.02    35.16R   10.39  
Fulham          10   12   +1      46.05     7.46    -5.96     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.99     5.84     7.92R    1.18  
Bolton          10   12   -1      43.80     7.51   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.53     3.57    14.46R    2.82  
Sunderland      10   12   -3      45.21     7.42   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.61     4.48    10.57R    1.89  
Liverpool       10   12   -4      60.47     7.66    10.90     0.07     1.12     7.36    27.05    62.03     0.10R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     10   12   -4      51.37     7.70    -3.17     0.00     0.10     0.84     4.07    18.39     2.23R    0.26  
Birmingham      10   11   -2      42.04     7.34   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23     1.95    19.69R    4.22  
Stoke           10   10   -4      41.38     7.35   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     1.55    22.29R    4.98  
Wigan           10   10  -11      32.37     6.71   -39.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    72.59R   38.32  
Blackburn       10    9   -3      43.08     7.52   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.34     2.87    16.31R    3.65  
Wolverhampton   10    9   -6      36.60     7.08   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.31    47.30R   15.66  
West_Ham        10    6  -11      37.24     7.53   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.51    43.55R   15.50  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, Barnsley vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          14   32  +16      87.41     8.97    34.07    52.20    72.31    95.32    78.82P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              14   30  +21      80.65     8.80    31.05    20.47    43.90    84.37    54.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          14   26   +8      74.57     8.54    15.11     5.96    16.74    62.15    28.40P    0.12R    0.00  
Coventry         14   24   +6      65.32     8.65     2.19     0.64     2.66    21.98     6.16P    2.39R    0.36  
Norwich          14   23   +2      66.92     9.25     1.82     1.39     4.78    28.57     9.73P    2.15R    0.30  
Reading          14   22   +8      74.01     8.86    20.45     6.12    17.30    60.54    29.91P    0.21R    0.02  
Derby            14   21   +8      64.50     8.84     7.14     0.68     2.56    20.78     6.58P    3.23R    0.52  
Burnley          14   21   +6      71.11     9.49    15.43     4.15    11.88    47.20    21.67P    0.84R    0.10  
Watford          14   21   +4      65.04     9.11     3.49     0.88     3.25    22.66     7.32P    3.44R    0.66  
Portsmouth       14   21   +2      72.71     9.25    13.99     4.94    14.44    54.00    26.02P    0.49R    0.07  
Leeds_United     14   20   -3      60.57     9.22    -8.96     0.23     1.11    11.11     3.05P    9.57R    2.27  
Nott'm_Forest    14   19   +2      67.20     8.81     8.68     1.28     4.44    29.77    11.05P    1.59R    0.24  
Millwall         14   19   +0      59.65     8.94    -4.58     0.17     0.69     8.89     2.21P   10.26R    2.30  
Ipswich          14   19   +0      62.19     8.75    -0.69     0.34     1.30    13.48     3.76P    5.59R    1.10  
Doncaster        14   19   -1      60.99     8.81    -3.82     0.20     0.98    11.00     3.03P    7.47R    1.61  
Scunthorpe       14   17   -3      52.50     8.68   -17.42     0.01     0.08     1.67     0.32P   32.14R   10.99  
Barnsley         14   16   -8      51.29     8.56   -21.77     0.01     0.04     1.13     0.22P   37.76R   14.09  
Sheff_Utd        14   15   -9      58.66     8.68    -8.97     0.10     0.42     6.45     1.76P   11.83R    2.81  
Leicester        14   15  -10      58.99     8.85    -9.85     0.10     0.49     7.33     2.06P   11.58R    2.73  
Hull             14   14   -7      57.01     9.12    -7.94     0.07     0.36     5.43     1.63P   17.14R    4.96  
Bristol_City     14   14   -8      52.51     8.57   -16.01     0.01     0.06     1.55     0.36P   31.86R   10.86  
Preston          14   13  -10      50.82     8.84   -20.86     0.02     0.08     1.22     0.27P   40.13R   16.27  
Middlesbrough    14   11  -10      54.93     8.75    -9.71     0.03     0.13     2.86     0.82P   22.20R    6.86  
Crystal_Palace   14   11  -14      48.94     8.53   -22.83     0.00     0.02     0.55     0.12P   48.00R   20.85  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, Bournemouth vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         14   31  +16      81.93     8.89    26.54    32.15    50.63    85.35    58.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     14   23   +6      74.89     9.00    18.32    10.32    21.98    60.74    31.97P    0.33R    0.01  
Colchester       14   23   +3      71.67     8.92    10.12     5.13    12.06    45.40    19.96P    0.86R    0.04  
Bournemouth      14   22  +11      68.63     9.44    14.95     3.29     8.29    34.81    14.05P    2.22R    0.11  
Peterborough     14   22   +2      69.14     9.50     6.61     3.87     9.10    35.89    14.91P    2.33R    0.15  
Charlton         14   22   -1      73.65     9.06    10.76     7.60    16.95    54.28    26.99P    0.51R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        14   21   +8      76.36     9.14    24.84    13.83    27.69    67.49    40.92P    0.25R    0.01  
Oldham           14   21   +4      65.19     8.86     4.70     1.17     3.25    20.74     6.70P    4.09R    0.27  
Southampton      14   21   +4      77.69     8.78    23.25    16.47    32.04    72.57    45.49P    0.13R    0.00  
Carlisle         14   20   +6      67.05     8.92    10.64     2.05     5.32    27.45    10.25P    2.69R    0.18  
MK_Dons          14   20   -2      64.64     9.01    -1.06     1.05     2.98    18.49     6.24P    5.26R    0.34  
Bristol_Rovers   14   20   -2      60.35     8.75    -7.45     0.28     1.01     8.56     2.47P   11.87R    1.12  
Rochdale         14   19   +4      60.98     9.39     0.66     0.57     1.73    11.92     3.90P   11.20R    1.25  
Exeter           14   19   -4      53.52     8.41   -18.72     0.03     0.10     1.72     0.34P   34.41R    5.45  
Brentford        14   18   -1      59.88     8.66    -3.61     0.23     0.83     7.65     2.22P   12.05R    1.18  
Swindon          14   17   -1      63.71     9.11     3.03     0.94     2.73    17.31     6.12P    6.27R    0.58  
Hartlepool       14   17   -6      54.58     8.77   -16.14     0.06     0.20     2.60     0.58P   30.53R    4.68  
Leyton_Orient    14   16   -2      54.90     8.70    -9.17     0.05     0.18     2.66     0.65P   27.68R    3.88  
Notts_County     14   16   -5      57.02     9.31    -9.75     0.15     0.50     5.17     1.41P   22.65R    3.36  
Tranmere         14   16   -6      53.89     8.69   -15.18     0.04     0.14     2.07     0.44P   33.16R    5.46  
Plymouth         14   16   -7      63.18     9.32    -2.10     0.71     2.23    15.71     5.48P    7.97R    0.89  
Yeovil           14   15  -10      50.73     8.51   -22.39     0.01     0.04     0.78     0.19P   47.56R   10.76  
Dag_&_Red        14   12   -9      41.98     8.51   -31.79     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.02P   82.43R   46.16  
Walsall          14   11   -8      49.03     8.68   -17.06     0.00     0.02     0.56     0.12P   53.54R   14.10  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         14   29  +12      80.80     9.06    23.95    28.47    60.08    87.98    67.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            14   28  +11      78.46     8.77    20.71    18.86    48.96    82.95    57.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 14   28  +10      77.51     8.98    18.43    16.79    44.97    79.14    52.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   24   +8      73.61     8.98    16.51     8.20    29.14    65.75    38.62P    0.08R    0.02  
Rotherham            14   23   +6      72.29     8.95    14.07     6.29    23.90    60.06    33.14P    0.11R    0.03  
Wycombe              14   22   +6      73.88     9.19    18.05     9.71    31.02    66.37    41.33P    0.08R    0.02  
Cheltenham           14   21   -3      61.43     8.91    -9.06     0.41     3.00    16.18     5.37P    3.29R    1.15  
Torquay              14   20   +5      66.65     9.00     8.98     1.89     9.81    35.81    15.95P    0.75R    0.23  
Crewe                14   19  +11      69.44     9.28    21.06     4.06    17.54    49.30    26.22P    0.35R    0.12  
Stevenage            14   19   +3      61.98     8.91     2.08     0.58     3.70    18.64     7.02P    2.42R    0.78  
Aldershot            14   18   -3      61.48     8.80    -3.60     0.41     2.91    16.02     5.71P    2.90R    1.00  
Macclesfield         14   18   -4      54.99     8.58   -14.31     0.05     0.51     4.32     1.17P   11.42R    4.63  
Burton_Albion        14   17   +3      58.59     8.96    -1.14     0.25     1.71    10.96     3.75P    5.53R    2.00  
Oxford_Utd           14   17   +0      55.31     8.72    -7.51     0.06     0.62     5.32     1.60P   10.60R    4.36  
Southend             14   17   -2      68.04     9.23     8.65     2.71    12.71    41.44    21.27P    0.67R    0.23  
Bradford             14   17   -3      60.28     8.79    -3.96     0.29     2.20    13.40     4.66P    3.79R    1.44  
Accrington_Stanley   14   16   +1      55.69     8.90    -6.26     0.10     0.77     6.04     1.87P   10.29R    4.45  
Gillingham           14   15   -3      61.53     9.18     0.90     0.55     3.67    18.01     7.56P    3.16R    1.17  
Stockport            14   15   -9      51.96     9.04   -20.26     0.02     0.25     2.72     0.72P   21.33R   10.44  
Morecambe            14   14  -10      55.59     8.96   -14.03     0.07     0.66     5.65     1.68P   11.61R    4.98  
Northampton          14   13   -8      59.11     8.93    -4.79     0.22     1.67    11.17     4.19P    5.26R    2.01  
Lincoln_City         14   13   -8      48.68     8.35   -19.15     0.00     0.07     0.85     0.19P   31.88R   16.51  
Hereford             14   13  -10      50.91     8.60   -19.20     0.00     0.13     1.63     0.42P   23.56R   11.54  
Barnet               14   12  -13      44.99     8.41   -30.09     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P   50.90R   32.89  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       17   36  +15      82.22     8.17    25.22    13.88    75.92    27.20P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      17   35  +13      81.88     8.17    24.09    12.83    74.57    26.26P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   33  +17      90.39     7.72    46.01    56.51    96.01    71.90P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     17   30  +10      72.57     8.69    14.33     1.97    32.27     7.69P    0.07R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   30  +10      79.96     7.89    26.35     8.98    68.23    26.47P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     17   30  +10      72.32     8.66    14.01     2.00    31.64     7.65P    0.07R    0.00  
Wrexham            17   25   +6      69.66     7.94    13.64     0.73    20.36     5.38P    0.11R    0.01  
Mansfield          17   24   +5      69.66     8.19    14.36     0.69    21.38     5.52P    0.18R    0.01  
Grimsby            17   24   +1      70.05     8.40    10.73     0.90    22.58     6.69P    0.14R    0.00  
Kettering          17   24   -1      66.73     7.92     3.58     0.22    10.88     2.33P    0.34R    0.05  
Kidderminster      17   24   -2      65.59     8.18     0.41     0.24     9.11     2.07P    0.69R    0.09  
Darlington         17   23   +5      70.52     8.25    16.63     0.89    24.45     7.77P    0.10R    0.01  
Gateshead          17   22   -3      54.85     7.77   -14.14     0.00     0.44     0.06P   10.05R    1.82  
Cambridge_Utd      17   20   +2      64.99     8.13    10.21     0.15     8.61     2.26P    0.70R    0.07  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   20   -4      53.57     7.95   -16.46     0.00     0.37     0.06P   13.59R    2.74  
Tamworth           17   20   -6      54.10     7.81   -15.26     0.00     0.33     0.06P   11.97R    2.38  
Histon             17   19   -9      51.61     7.82   -20.82     0.00     0.13     0.02P   19.52R    4.41  
Southport          17   18   -3      50.59     8.16   -14.01     0.00     0.17     0.02P   23.32R    6.18  
York               17   18   -5      59.56     8.02    -2.09     0.02     2.19     0.52P    3.09R    0.43  
Hayes_&_Yeading    17   17  -13      45.12     7.68   -33.75     0.00     0.01     0.00P   51.00R   19.67  
Bath_City          16   16   -7      50.45     8.60   -17.97     0.00     0.28     0.05P   25.50R    7.43  
Barrow             17   15   -9      47.17     7.80   -21.82     0.00     0.02     0.01P   37.71R   12.10  
Forest_Green       17   14  -15      43.80     7.83   -32.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.71R   25.62  
Altrincham         16   13  -17      46.10     7.94   -30.44     0.00     0.03     0.01P   45.15R   16.97