Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 31 October 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 31 October 2010, Aston_Villa vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         10   25  +24      89.14     6.62    68.59    79.03    95.73    99.55    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         10   20  +12      75.26     7.62    39.75     6.12    35.38    79.51    91.56    98.28     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   20  +10      79.45     6.98    45.89    14.60    64.22    91.85    97.58    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        10   17   +3      62.14     7.70    13.16     0.12     2.15    10.90    35.13    69.43     0.05R    0.00  
Tottenham       10   15   +1      57.70     7.82     7.19     0.03     0.65     4.37    16.82    46.63     0.28R    0.02  
West_Brom        9   15   -2      51.70     8.52    -7.47     0.00     0.18     1.28     5.77    20.76     3.14R    0.47  
Newcastle       10   14   +5      51.99     8.23     3.21     0.01     0.19     1.31     6.14    22.53     2.20R    0.25  
Everton         10   13   +2      56.84     7.64     9.78     0.01     0.36     3.36    14.17    43.26     0.32R    0.03  
Fulham          10   12   +1      46.17     7.39    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.95     5.88     6.89R    0.98  
Bolton          10   12   -1      43.77     7.51   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.51     3.47    13.81R    2.55  
Sunderland      10   12   -3      45.40     7.41   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.63     4.45     9.59R    1.65  
Liverpool       10   12   -4      60.21     7.69    10.53     0.07     1.04     6.76    25.73    60.18     0.10R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     10   12   -4      51.36     7.70    -3.18     0.00     0.08     0.78     4.15    17.93     2.13R    0.26  
Birmingham      10   11   -2      42.06     7.31   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25     1.84    18.25R    3.78  
Stoke           10   10   -4      41.31     7.31   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     1.40    21.44R    4.78  
Blackpool        9   10   -7      37.13     7.81   -30.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.64    44.96R   16.08  
Wigan           10   10  -11      32.37     6.80   -39.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    71.38R   36.35  
Blackburn       10    9   -3      43.09     7.56   -10.75     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.36     2.76    15.63R    3.39  
Wolverhampton   10    9   -6      36.36     7.13   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.28    47.22R   15.26  
West_Ham        10    6  -11      37.20     7.46   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.48    42.61R   14.13  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, Barnsley vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          14   32  +16      87.63     8.84    34.62    52.50    72.78    95.57    79.39P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR              14   30  +21      80.81     8.88    31.30    20.55    44.10    84.25    54.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea          14   26   +8      74.44     8.56    14.91     5.49    16.30    60.54    27.52P    0.14R    0.01  
Coventry         14   24   +5      64.68     8.70    -0.02     0.52     2.27    19.26     5.31P    3.08R    0.47  
Norwich          14   23   +2      66.90     9.23     1.78     1.26     4.48    28.09     9.37P    2.28R    0.34  
Reading          14   22   +8      74.22     8.93    20.83     6.47    17.59    60.43    30.44P    0.17R    0.02  
Derby            14   21   +8      64.51     8.82     6.98     0.62     2.42    20.26     6.09P    3.08R    0.55  
Burnley          14   21   +6      71.16     9.47    15.49     4.14    11.42    47.05    21.14P    0.76R    0.10  
Watford          14   21   +4      65.10     8.99     3.55     0.83     3.04    22.12     7.02P    3.15R    0.53  
Portsmouth       14   21   +2      72.60     9.17    13.85     4.61    13.68    52.60    25.09P    0.45R    0.06  
Ipswich          14   21   +2      65.35     8.80     2.85     0.67     2.61    21.72     6.79P    2.59R    0.39  
Leeds_United     14   20   -3      60.67     9.30    -8.95     0.29     1.31    11.01     3.34P    9.52R    2.25  
Nott'm_Forest    14   19   +2      67.34     8.82     8.87     1.38     4.53    29.73    11.18P    1.58R    0.24  
Millwall         14   19   +1      60.47     9.02    -2.62     0.18     0.93    10.34     2.73P    8.59R    1.87  
Doncaster        14   19   +0      61.32     8.80    -2.44     0.24     0.99    11.46     3.20P    6.76R    1.35  
Scunthorpe       14   17   -3      52.60     8.70   -17.53     0.01     0.08     1.67     0.33P   31.95R   10.68  
Barnsley         14   16   -7      51.92     8.56   -20.07     0.01     0.05     1.21     0.23P   34.86R   12.17  
Sheff_Utd        14   15   -9      58.65     8.69    -9.08     0.06     0.40     6.27     1.77P   11.88R    2.66  
Leicester        14   15  -10      58.93     8.77    -9.97     0.08     0.46     6.81     1.92P   11.60R    2.66  
Hull             14   14   -8      56.54     8.97    -9.68     0.06     0.34     4.53     1.31P   17.91R    5.20  
Preston          14   13  -10      50.83     8.79   -21.08     0.01     0.05     1.15     0.28P   39.69R   15.76  
Bristol_City     14   13  -10      50.83     8.51   -19.37     0.00     0.03     0.89     0.20P   39.09R   14.94  
Middlesbrough    14   11  -11      54.45     8.75   -11.52     0.03     0.14     2.52     0.75P   23.66R    7.37  
Crystal_Palace   14   11  -14      49.15     8.57   -22.71     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.09P   47.22R   20.37  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, Bournemouth vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         14   31  +16      81.84     8.95    26.38    31.62    50.24    84.78    58.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield     14   23   +6      75.05     9.00    18.53    10.79    22.18    61.17    32.38P    0.36R    0.01  
Colchester       14   23   +3      71.91     8.87    10.47     5.32    12.75    46.68    21.05P    0.67R    0.03  
Bournemouth      14   22  +11      68.51     9.41    14.79     3.19     8.02    34.32    13.66P    2.43R    0.13  
Peterborough     14   22   +2      69.41     9.56     7.03     4.25     9.74    36.63    15.83P    2.24R    0.15  
Charlton         14   22   -1      73.69     9.07    10.75     7.86    17.59    54.28    27.42P    0.58R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        14   21   +8      76.28     9.15    24.72    13.67    27.42    67.02    40.30P    0.24R    0.01  
Oldham           14   21   +4      65.15     8.89     4.58     1.17     3.17    20.37     6.51P    4.22R    0.27  
Southampton      14   21   +4      77.65     8.76    23.21    16.15    31.32    72.90    45.29P    0.11R    0.00  
Carlisle         14   20   +6      66.88     8.88    10.40     1.84     4.99    26.73     9.80P    2.71R    0.20  
MK_Dons          14   20   -2      64.61     9.01    -1.05     1.03     3.05    18.43     6.24P    5.06R    0.36  
Bristol_Rovers   14   20   -2      60.66     8.88    -6.96     0.35     1.06     9.44     2.71P   11.31R    0.99  
Rochdale         14   19   +4      61.20     9.35     0.98     0.58     1.76    12.17     3.85P   10.77R    1.10  
Exeter           14   19   -4      53.71     8.47   -18.54     0.04     0.15     1.80     0.39P   33.86R    5.22  
Brentford        14   18   -1      59.78     8.77    -3.78     0.24     0.81     7.77     2.24P   12.42R    1.30  
Swindon          14   17   -1      63.59     9.06     2.93     0.84     2.54    16.87     5.82P    6.35R    0.47  
Hartlepool       14   17   -6      54.45     8.68   -16.25     0.05     0.19     2.40     0.57P   30.31R    4.79  
Leyton_Orient    14   16   -2      54.74     8.61    -9.41     0.04     0.14     2.49     0.56P   28.05R    4.16  
Notts_County     14   16   -5      56.96     9.33    -9.85     0.14     0.48     5.20     1.43P   22.66R    3.49  
Tranmere         14   16   -6      53.84     8.70   -15.22     0.02     0.12     1.92     0.42P   32.93R    5.57  
Plymouth         14   16   -7      63.07     9.33    -2.27     0.80     2.22    15.20     5.24P    8.26R    0.82  
Yeovil           14   15  -10      50.53     8.54   -22.73     0.00     0.03     0.72     0.15P   48.61R   11.19  
Dag_&_Red        14   12   -9      42.06     8.52   -31.70     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   82.02R   45.60  
Walsall          14   11   -8      49.03     8.73   -17.01     0.00     0.02     0.64     0.13P   53.82R   14.13  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         14   29  +12      80.93     9.14    24.14    28.75    60.69    87.63    67.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            14   28  +11      78.49     8.75    20.72    18.58    49.26    83.09    57.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 14   28  +10      77.46     8.91    18.32    16.21    44.41    79.22    52.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   24   +8      73.73     8.97    16.68     8.56    29.15    65.85    38.64P    0.06R    0.02  
Rotherham            14   23   +6      72.28     8.91    14.06     6.11    23.74    59.84    32.85P    0.09R    0.02  
Wycombe              14   22   +6      73.77     9.33    17.86     9.84    30.63    65.80    41.01P    0.09R    0.02  
Cheltenham           14   21   -3      61.33     8.87    -9.17     0.39     2.85    15.80     5.17P    3.24R    1.16  
Torquay              14   20   +5      66.92     9.04     9.39     2.04    10.31    36.88    16.64P    0.72R    0.24  
Crewe                14   19  +11      69.31     9.34    20.87     4.09    17.36    48.58    25.90P    0.41R    0.12  
Stevenage            14   19   +3      61.71     8.97     1.69     0.51     3.44    18.06     6.74P    2.71R    0.98  
Aldershot            14   18   -3      61.32     8.84    -3.86     0.43     2.82    15.95     5.52P    3.05R    1.09  
Macclesfield         14   18   -4      54.97     8.58   -14.45     0.05     0.48     4.47     1.13P   11.53R    4.72  
Burton_Albion        14   17   +3      58.54     8.98    -1.20     0.27     1.84    11.00     3.88P    5.39R    2.02  
Oxford_Utd           14   17   +0      55.38     8.81    -7.42     0.07     0.66     5.48     1.53P   10.60R    4.42  
Southend             14   17   -2      68.14     9.16     8.81     2.68    12.57    41.72    21.30P    0.58R    0.19  
Bradford             14   17   -3      60.20     8.87    -4.11     0.35     2.25    13.38     4.77P    3.88R    1.37  
Accrington_Stanley   14   16   +1      55.48     8.85    -6.55     0.10     0.78     5.79     1.74P   10.54R    4.63  
Gillingham           14   15   -3      61.62     9.27     1.03     0.62     3.79    18.45     7.84P    3.31R    1.22  
Stockport            14   15   -9      51.87     9.08   -20.34     0.03     0.33     2.83     0.88P   21.94R   10.53  
Morecambe            14   14  -10      55.54     8.89   -14.12     0.05     0.63     5.50     1.68P   11.43R    4.86  
Northampton          14   13   -8      59.49     8.88    -4.22     0.25     1.83    11.86     4.68P    4.83R    1.88  
Lincoln_City         14   13   -8      48.76     8.25   -19.02     0.00     0.05     0.74     0.21P   31.24R   15.86  
Hereford             14   13  -10      51.16     8.65   -18.82     0.01     0.12     1.80     0.45P   23.00R   11.11  
Barnet               14   12  -13      44.89     8.35   -30.27     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.04P   51.33R   33.54  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       17   36  +15      82.20     8.14    25.15    14.11    76.06    27.51P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      17   35  +13      81.91     8.22    24.23    13.16    74.52    26.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              17   33  +17      90.38     7.69    45.93    55.95    96.11    71.73P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     17   30  +10      72.72     8.72    14.61     2.21    32.97     7.80P    0.07R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   30  +10      79.99     7.92    26.38     9.15    68.14    26.63P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     17   30  +10      72.24     8.51    13.90     1.76    30.89     7.24P    0.05R    0.00  
Wrexham            17   25   +6      69.60     7.92    13.58     0.61    20.10     5.37P    0.09R    0.01  
Mansfield          17   24   +5      69.62     8.22    14.37     0.70    20.98     5.14P    0.18R    0.01  
Grimsby            17   24   +1      70.11     8.39    10.85     0.88    22.46     6.42P    0.14R    0.00  
Kettering          17   24   -1      66.65     7.96     3.44     0.18    10.71     2.34P    0.34R    0.03  
Kidderminster      17   24   -2      65.64     8.20     0.50     0.18     9.37     1.95P    0.64R    0.07  
Darlington         17   23   +5      70.62     8.20    16.81     0.93    24.72     7.85P    0.09R    0.01  
Gateshead          17   22   -3      54.92     7.77   -14.06     0.00     0.49     0.06P    9.56R    1.70  
Cambridge_Utd      17   20   +2      65.00     8.18    10.24     0.15     9.10     2.43P    0.71R    0.07  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   20   -4      53.77     7.98   -16.21     0.00     0.36     0.06P   12.72R    2.64  
Tamworth           17   20   -6      54.08     7.88   -15.34     0.00     0.34     0.04P   12.21R    2.48  
Histon             17   19   -9      51.61     7.87   -20.85     0.00     0.14     0.01P   19.77R    4.44  
Southport          17   18   -3      50.68     8.19   -13.84     0.00     0.22     0.04P   22.82R    5.94  
York               17   18   -5      59.48     7.97    -2.23     0.02     1.99     0.49P    3.14R    0.46  
Hayes_&_Yeading    17   17  -13      45.09     7.67   -33.86     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.67R   19.57  
Bath_City          16   16   -7      50.39     8.55   -18.12     0.00     0.25     0.04P   25.49R    7.46  
Barrow             17   15   -9      47.03     7.74   -22.07     0.00     0.04     0.01P   38.66R   12.25  
Forest_Green       17   14  -15      43.63     7.83   -33.07     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.53R   25.97  
Altrincham         16   13  -17      46.12     7.94   -30.34     0.00     0.02     0.00P   45.14R   16.88