Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 30 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, Arsenal vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         10   25  +24      89.15     6.59    68.43    78.75    95.76    99.59    99.93    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         10   20  +12      75.33     7.63    39.70     6.09    35.51    80.22    92.22    98.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   20  +10      79.59     7.04    46.16    14.95    64.56    92.45    97.78    99.68     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        10   17   +3      61.89     7.73    12.73     0.10     1.93    10.53    35.29    68.51     0.05R    0.00  
Tottenham       10   15   +1      57.63     7.78     7.05     0.04     0.62     4.25    16.87    46.73     0.26R    0.03  
West_Brom        9   15   -2      51.92     8.54    -7.09     0.00     0.16     1.35     6.35    21.82     3.31R    0.50  
Everton         10   13   +2      56.91     7.77     9.92     0.02     0.47     3.67    15.48    44.47     0.38R    0.03  
Fulham          10   12   +1      46.28     7.43    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.13     1.05     6.38     6.99R    0.99  
Sunderland       9   12   +1      47.62     7.73    -6.07     0.00     0.01     0.19     1.67     8.83     5.99R    0.91  
Bolton           9   12   +0      45.12     7.75   -12.11     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.01     5.52    10.97R    1.92  
Newcastle        9   11   +1      48.81     8.34    -3.21     0.00     0.05     0.65     3.21    13.57     5.29R    0.81  
Aston_Villa      9   11   -4      52.62     7.88    -1.96     0.01     0.13     1.36     6.32    23.47     1.65R    0.20  
Birmingham       9   10   -2      41.74     7.52   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24     2.01    20.49R    4.41  
Stoke           10   10   -4      41.22     7.34   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20     1.57    21.83R    4.91  
Blackpool        9   10   -7      36.87     7.91   -31.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.67    46.59R   17.14  
Wigan           10   10  -11      32.41     6.73   -39.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    71.13R   35.62  
Blackburn       10    9   -3      43.07     7.56   -10.78     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.39     2.88    15.56R    3.16  
Liverpool        9    9   -5      58.94     7.89    10.05     0.03     0.77     5.36    21.84    54.59     0.24R    0.02  
Wolverhampton   10    9   -6      36.48     7.20   -23.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.35    46.22R   15.04  
West_Ham        10    6  -11      37.12     7.47   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.48    43.04R   14.31  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, Barnsley vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          14   32  +16      87.53     8.83    34.28    53.13    73.18    95.73    79.80P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              14   30  +21      80.35     8.74    30.58    19.26    42.29    83.87    52.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          14   26   +8      74.44     8.55    14.93     5.92    16.55    61.37    27.67P    0.13R    0.00  
Coventry         14   24   +6      65.13     8.69     1.93     0.69     2.72    21.43     6.14P    2.66R    0.36  
Norwich          14   23   +2      66.91     9.19     1.82     1.23     4.55    28.73     9.87P    2.16R    0.28  
Reading          14   22   +8      74.03     8.94    20.47     6.44    17.61    60.61    30.18P    0.22R    0.01  
Derby            14   21   +8      64.46     8.88     7.13     0.59     2.52    21.01     6.40P    3.38R    0.59  
Burnley          14   21   +6      71.01     9.55    15.25     4.16    11.74    47.13    21.20P    0.90R    0.12  
Watford          14   21   +4      65.08     9.03     3.57     0.86     3.25    22.63     7.40P    3.35R    0.59  
Portsmouth       14   21   +2      73.02     9.31    14.51     5.24    15.33    54.98    27.15P    0.42R    0.07  
Leeds_United     14   20   -3      60.53     9.17    -9.00     0.27     1.18    10.90     3.07P    9.52R    2.25  
Nott'm_Forest    14   19   +2      67.17     8.70     8.71     1.21     4.36    29.61    11.05P    1.47R    0.23  
Millwall         14   19   +0      59.83     9.05    -4.37     0.17     0.83     9.40     2.63P   10.14R    2.33  
Ipswich          14   19   +0      62.37     8.78    -0.45     0.34     1.29    14.03     4.13P    5.43R    1.11  
Doncaster        14   19   -1      60.91     8.79    -3.92     0.21     0.94    10.89     2.98P    7.48R    1.56  
Scunthorpe       14   17   -3      52.48     8.70   -17.52     0.01     0.08     1.73     0.34P   32.22R   11.14  
Barnsley         14   16   -8      51.39     8.60   -21.69     0.01     0.05     1.18     0.21P   37.57R   14.12  
Sheff_Utd        14   15   -9      58.51     8.67    -9.20     0.08     0.37     6.14     1.70P   12.33R    2.95  
Leicester        14   15  -10      59.13     8.90    -9.65     0.11     0.55     7.55     2.19P   11.74R    2.80  
Hull             14   14   -7      57.15     8.96    -7.75     0.04     0.36     5.27     1.55P   16.42R    4.57  
Bristol_City     14   14   -8      52.61     8.60   -15.82     0.00     0.04     1.56     0.32P   31.36R   10.76  
Preston          14   13  -10      50.79     8.82   -21.00     0.01     0.06     1.06     0.26P   40.23R   16.03  
Middlesbrough    14   11  -10      54.71     8.70   -10.10     0.02     0.15     2.64     0.70P   22.83R    7.02  
Crystal_Palace   14   11  -14      48.99     8.58   -22.72     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.10P   48.00R   21.10  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, Bournemouth vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         14   31  +16      81.98     8.83    26.65    31.90    50.64    85.62    58.84P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield     14   23   +6      74.89     9.10    18.31    10.65    21.89    60.33    31.96P    0.34R    0.02  
Colchester       14   23   +3      71.99     8.93    10.61     5.46    12.57    46.98    20.81P    0.78R    0.03  
Bournemouth      14   22  +11      68.65     9.43    14.96     3.38     8.33    34.84    14.17P    2.38R    0.14  
Peterborough     14   22   +2      69.44     9.60     7.12     4.24     9.82    37.07    15.92P    2.33R    0.18  
Charlton         14   22   -1      73.39     9.04    10.34     7.25    16.49    53.05    26.29P    0.52R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        14   21   +8      76.30     9.17    24.70    13.71    27.86    67.30    40.69P    0.27R    0.00  
Oldham           14   21   +4      65.21     8.97     4.63     1.17     3.35    20.68     6.87P    4.21R    0.28  
Southampton      14   21   +4      77.66     8.84    23.21    16.36    31.71    72.45    45.28P    0.11R    0.00  
Carlisle         14   20   +6      66.89     8.90    10.46     1.83     4.86    26.74     9.70P    2.80R    0.18  
MK_Dons          14   20   -2      64.43     8.99    -1.37     0.95     2.79    17.98     5.73P    5.37R    0.40  
Bristol_Rovers   14   20   -2      60.65     8.88    -7.05     0.35     1.21     9.33     2.69P   11.26R    1.05  
Rochdale         14   19   +4      61.18     9.40     1.01     0.62     1.76    12.40     3.93P   10.86R    1.17  
Exeter           14   19   -4      53.62     8.51   -18.65     0.04     0.13     1.82     0.39P   33.97R    5.66  
Brentford        14   18   -1      59.63     8.68    -3.97     0.20     0.75     7.46     2.07P   12.56R    1.27  
Swindon          14   17   -1      63.65     9.08     2.87     0.91     2.62    17.03     5.99P    6.30R    0.51  
Hartlepool       14   17   -6      54.58     8.76   -16.10     0.07     0.20     2.43     0.58P   30.31R    4.69  
Leyton_Orient    14   16   -2      54.78     8.64    -9.36     0.05     0.20     2.56     0.62P   27.94R    4.10  
Notts_County     14   16   -5      57.01     9.28    -9.74     0.12     0.50     5.01     1.39P   22.29R    3.41  
Tranmere         14   16   -6      53.63     8.73   -15.53     0.03     0.11     1.95     0.42P   34.01R    5.92  
Plymouth         14   16   -7      63.13     9.28    -2.14     0.70     2.17    15.48     5.38P    7.96R    0.79  
Yeovil           14   15  -10      50.73     8.52   -22.37     0.01     0.04     0.80     0.14P   47.55R   10.82  
Dag_&_Red        14   12   -9      42.21     8.55   -31.40     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   81.71R   44.97  
Walsall          14   11   -8      48.95     8.67   -17.19     0.00     0.03     0.59     0.14P   54.18R   14.39  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         14   29  +12      80.86     9.17    23.98    28.65    60.16    87.71    66.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            14   28  +11      78.38     8.75    20.53    18.09    48.77    82.88    57.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 14   28  +10      77.48     8.92    18.39    16.65    44.85    79.23    52.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   24   +8      73.61     8.93    16.51     8.19    29.13    65.67    38.44P    0.05R    0.01  
Rotherham            14   23   +6      72.09     8.96    13.77     6.14    23.19    59.00    32.17P    0.12R    0.03  
Wycombe              14   22   +6      73.89     9.34    18.05     9.96    31.39    66.43    41.90P    0.09R    0.02  
Cheltenham           14   21   -3      61.54     8.90    -8.85     0.45     2.98    16.38     5.45P    3.22R    1.16  
Torquay              14   20   +5      66.75     9.02     9.18     2.08    10.10    36.08    16.26P    0.73R    0.25  
Crewe                14   19  +11      69.51     9.21    21.19     4.18    17.46    49.44    26.30P    0.39R    0.10  
Stevenage            14   19   +3      62.01     8.95     2.15     0.61     3.70    18.87     7.25P    2.47R    0.86  
Aldershot            14   18   -3      61.23     8.82    -4.04     0.41     2.78    15.70     5.51P    3.15R    1.14  
Macclesfield         14   18   -4      54.84     8.56   -14.57     0.05     0.44     4.25     1.06P   11.80R    4.84  
Burton_Albion        14   17   +3      58.66     8.96    -1.09     0.28     1.90    11.10     3.85P    5.38R    1.95  
Oxford_Utd           14   17   +0      55.33     8.71    -7.46     0.07     0.64     5.31     1.58P   10.52R    4.38  
Southend             14   17   -2      68.12     9.26     8.82     2.89    13.02    42.12    21.95P    0.66R    0.22  
Bradford             14   17   -3      60.36     8.83    -3.80     0.32     2.29    13.82     4.99P    3.83R    1.36  
Accrington_Stanley   14   16   +1      55.50     8.86    -6.56     0.09     0.72     5.75     1.69P   10.66R    4.66  
Gillingham           14   15   -3      61.43     9.16     0.78     0.53     3.55    17.73     7.44P    3.26R    1.20  
Stockport            14   15   -9      52.04     9.02   -20.09     0.02     0.30     2.87     0.82P   21.11R   10.15  
Morecambe            14   14  -10      55.47     8.94   -14.31     0.07     0.70     5.33     1.57P   11.91R    5.27  
Northampton          14   13   -8      59.23     8.88    -4.64     0.24     1.73    11.59     4.33P    5.11R    2.03  
Lincoln_City         14   13   -8      48.82     8.33   -18.85     0.00     0.06     0.82     0.19P   31.17R   16.13  
Hereford             14   13  -10      51.09     8.57   -18.91     0.02     0.13     1.67     0.46P   23.26R   11.17  
Barnet               14   12  -13      44.98     8.36   -30.16     0.00     0.02     0.25     0.07P   51.08R   33.06  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 October 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       17   36  +15      82.40     8.15    25.51    14.35    76.63    27.62P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      17   35  +13      82.06     8.14    24.48    13.38    75.51    27.08P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   33  +17      90.22     7.68    45.60    55.12    95.91    70.93P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     17   30  +10      72.68     8.69    14.51     2.18    32.93     7.85P    0.06R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   30  +10      80.10     7.92    26.58     9.44    68.34    27.32P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     17   30  +10      72.40     8.56    14.14     1.86    31.91     7.70P    0.06R    0.00  
Wrexham            17   25   +6      69.55     7.89    13.55     0.66    19.71     5.25P    0.08R    0.00  
Mansfield          17   24   +5      69.49     8.20    14.09     0.67    20.43     4.98P    0.17R    0.01  
Grimsby            17   24   +1      69.90     8.37    10.48     0.81    21.91     6.23P    0.20R    0.01  
Kettering          17   24   -1      66.75     7.92     3.63     0.23    10.91     2.49P    0.32R    0.03  
Kidderminster      17   24   -2      65.78     8.20     0.77     0.26     9.55     2.11P    0.54R    0.05  
Darlington         17   23   +5      70.37     8.19    16.39     0.86    23.64     7.48P    0.08R    0.01  
Gateshead          17   22   -3      54.86     7.78   -14.11     0.00     0.43     0.07P    9.97R    1.85  
Cambridge_Utd      17   20   +2      64.99     8.17    10.23     0.16     8.86     2.25P    0.68R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   20   -4      53.66     7.94   -16.34     0.00     0.36     0.04P   13.30R    2.76  
Tamworth           17   20   -6      54.09     7.84   -15.28     0.00     0.37     0.06P   11.76R    2.49  
Histon             17   19   -9      51.57     7.83   -20.88     0.00     0.15     0.02P   19.69R    4.46  
Southport          17   18   -3      50.58     8.14   -13.99     0.00     0.20     0.03P   23.28R    6.16  
York               17   18   -5      59.51     7.97    -2.19     0.02     1.93     0.46P    3.21R    0.43  
Hayes_&_Yeading    17   17  -13      45.06     7.67   -33.85     0.00     0.02     0.00P   51.23R   20.07  
Bath_City          16   16   -7      50.35     8.56   -18.16     0.00     0.23     0.03P   25.73R    7.55  
Barrow             17   15   -9      47.19     7.77   -21.86     0.00     0.03     0.00P   37.46R   11.90  
Forest_Green       17   14  -15      43.83     7.81   -32.73     0.00     0.02     0.01P   56.74R   25.12  
Altrincham         16   13  -17      46.02     7.83   -30.57     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.44R   17.04