Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 29 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 October 2010, Liverpool vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          9   22  +23      88.70     6.76    69.50    78.34    95.06    99.30    99.86    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          9   17  +11      75.58     7.82    42.69     7.58    39.46    78.11    91.11    98.07     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          9   17   +8      78.45     7.32    44.93    13.49    57.93    87.28    95.84    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         9   17   +4      64.61     8.00    15.88     0.41     4.58    17.76    46.44    78.08     0.04R    0.00  
Tottenham        9   15   +3      58.58     7.98     8.27     0.09     1.06     5.53    18.23    50.57     0.21R    0.02  
West_Brom        9   15   -2      51.90     8.55    -7.26     0.00     0.22     1.31     5.60    20.86     2.85R    0.36  
Sunderland       9   12   +1      47.60     7.69    -6.20     0.00     0.02     0.20     1.28     8.35     5.67R    0.78  
Bolton           9   12   +0      45.24     7.86   -12.02     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.88     5.47    10.37R    1.84  
Newcastle        9   11   +1      48.87     8.45    -3.15     0.00     0.09     0.62     2.97    13.19     5.21R    0.73  
Aston_Villa      9   11   -4      52.53     7.97    -2.13     0.01     0.18     1.25     5.49    21.94     1.68R    0.16  
Everton          9   10   +1      55.82     7.93     9.67     0.02     0.45     2.89    11.13    37.87     0.59R    0.06  
Birmingham       9   10   -2      41.79     7.50   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.22     1.87    19.14R    3.94  
Stoke            9   10   -3      41.87     7.54   -15.37     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.22     1.97    19.24R    4.21  
Blackpool        9   10   -7      36.81     7.85   -31.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.59    45.27R   16.29  
Wigan            9   10   -9      33.53     7.03   -38.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    63.46R   27.88  
Fulham           9    9   -1      44.69     7.68    -7.60     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.66     4.52    10.43R    1.77  
Blackburn        9    9   -2      43.56     7.75   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.40     3.35    14.05R    2.97  
Liverpool        9    9   -5      58.97     7.93    10.09     0.06     0.92     5.35    19.53    53.14     0.22R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    9    6   -7      33.82     7.37   -26.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    59.34R   24.79  
West_Ham         9    6  -10      37.07     7.67   -25.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.53    42.21R   14.21  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 October 2010, Leeds_United vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              13   29  +21      81.64     8.98    32.00    26.18    50.44    87.12    60.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          13   29  +14      85.84     9.05    32.18    46.06    67.89    93.54    75.51P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          13   23   +5      71.17     8.74     9.71     3.34     9.93    47.21    18.83P    0.54R    0.08  
Norwich          13   23   +4      68.76     9.43     4.57     2.57     7.66    37.36    14.11P    1.67R    0.25  
Watford          13   21   +7      67.60     9.32     8.57     2.17     6.47    33.45    12.33P    2.06R    0.37  
Coventry         13   21   +5      62.50     8.87    -0.56     0.43     1.73    15.41     4.25P    5.71R    1.07  
Burnley          13   20   +6      70.66     9.68    14.07     4.58    12.17    46.48    21.27P    1.15R    0.16  
Reading          13   19   +7      72.93     9.13    20.20     6.10    16.15    57.05    28.53P    0.38R    0.05  
Nott'm_Forest    13   19   +3      68.20     8.92     9.17     1.96     6.24    34.94    13.91P    1.39R    0.23  
Millwall         13   19   +2      61.54     9.21    -1.80     0.39     1.49    13.91     4.00P    7.89R    1.77  
Doncaster        13   19   +0      61.76     8.94    -3.55     0.36     1.50    13.67     3.88P    7.07R    1.47  
Derby            13   18   +5      61.63     9.01     2.29     0.35     1.50    14.27     4.13P    6.97R    1.46  
Portsmouth       13   18   +1      71.22     9.47    13.17     4.51    12.53    48.96    23.35P    0.85R    0.12  
Scunthorpe       13   17   +0      56.09     9.02   -10.57     0.08     0.36     4.96     1.12P   20.21R    6.14  
Leeds_United     13   17   -6      56.39     9.30   -16.05     0.13     0.46     5.56     1.42P   21.17R    6.46  
Ipswich          13   16   -2      60.23     8.81    -3.17     0.18     0.81    10.32     2.74P    9.30R    2.09  
Barnsley         13   15   -8      51.80     8.73   -21.51     0.02     0.08     1.55     0.28P   37.18R   13.89  
Sheff_Utd        13   15   -8      60.96     8.86    -6.66     0.23     1.02    11.38     3.48P    8.38R    1.87  
Hull             13   13   -7      57.50     9.33    -7.72     0.12     0.56     6.79     2.11P   17.15R    5.26  
Preston          13   13   -9      51.88     9.02   -20.66     0.03     0.11     1.76     0.41P   37.55R   14.88  
Leicester        13   12  -11      57.68     9.05   -10.43     0.10     0.43     6.36     1.86P   15.84R    4.47  
Bristol_City     13   11   -9      50.01     8.70   -18.26     0.01     0.05     0.96     0.23P   44.03R   18.94  
Middlesbrough    13   11   -9      57.30     8.89    -7.26     0.08     0.35     5.54     1.63P   16.31R    4.65  
Crystal_Palace   13   11  -11      51.60     8.82   -17.72     0.02     0.07     1.45     0.34P   37.20R   14.31  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Brentford vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         13   28  +13      78.40     9.12    20.71    20.46    35.95    73.54    44.11P    0.09R    0.00  
Bournemouth      13   22  +12      70.42     9.72    16.67     5.93    12.60    42.33    19.05P    1.55R    0.08  
Peterborough     13   22   +5      73.01     9.82    13.75     9.83    19.35    51.57    26.92P    0.98R    0.07  
Sheff_Wed        13   21   +9      77.89     9.31    26.08    20.35    35.46    72.55    47.32P    0.16R    0.00  
Huddersfield     13   20   +5      74.08     9.31    18.58    10.60    21.31    57.44    31.03P    0.51R    0.02  
Colchester       13   20   +2      69.53     9.14     8.35     3.93     9.35    36.83    16.22P    1.61R    0.08  
MK_Dons          13   20   +0      67.05     9.12     2.66     2.20     5.67    26.76    10.30P    3.10R    0.19  
Carlisle         13   19   +6      67.48     9.14    10.78     2.51     6.45    29.43    11.62P    2.58R    0.16  
Rochdale         13   19   +5      62.59     9.62     2.00     1.22     2.95    15.90     5.60P    8.63R    0.82  
Charlton         13   19   -2      71.37     9.24     8.69     5.94    13.22    44.50    21.92P    1.09R    0.04  
Exeter           13   19   -2      55.94     8.71   -14.67     0.08     0.29     3.33     0.74P   24.64R    3.11  
Bristol_Rovers   13   19   -2      60.71     9.09    -7.44     0.47     1.44     9.91     3.00P   11.60R    1.09  
Oldham           13   18   +2      62.24     8.84     0.87     0.53     1.64    12.41     3.76P    7.64R    0.68  
Southampton      13   18   +2      75.29     9.06    19.97    12.40    24.52    62.48    37.09P    0.30R    0.00  
Swindon          13   16   -1      64.09     9.25     3.12     1.23     3.37    18.55     6.88P    6.01R    0.49  
Notts_County     13   16   -3      59.20     9.53    -6.34     0.39     1.15     8.41     2.61P   16.44R    2.17  
Plymouth         13   16   -5      65.40     9.48     1.19     1.64     4.29    22.11     8.77P    5.36R    0.46  
Hartlepool       13   16   -6      55.14     8.85   -15.82     0.08     0.26     2.96     0.70P   27.77R    4.32  
Brentford        13   15   -3      56.93     8.81    -7.23     0.14     0.42     4.37     1.25P   20.44R    2.67  
Yeovil           13   14  -10      50.76     8.75   -22.50     0.02     0.07     0.97     0.21P   46.94R   10.72  
Leyton_Orient    13   13   -3      52.64     8.88   -11.02     0.03     0.13     1.77     0.44P   36.24R    6.78  
Tranmere         13   13   -8      50.71     8.67   -19.14     0.01     0.05     0.87     0.19P   46.44R   10.22  
Walsall          13   11   -7      49.87     8.95   -17.08     0.02     0.06     0.93     0.26P   49.34R   12.14  
Dag_&_Red        13   11   -9      42.17     8.78   -32.19     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   80.54R   43.69  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         13   28  +12      80.68     9.25    23.15    29.21    60.01    87.01    66.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            13   25  +10      76.33     8.92    19.01    14.51    41.09    75.67    50.06P    0.02R    0.01  
Bury                 13   25   +8      74.43     9.13    14.16    10.43    32.73    68.30    40.97P    0.06R    0.01  
Rotherham            13   23   +7      73.29     9.09    14.48     8.42    28.66    63.93    37.64P    0.07R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           13   21   +7      72.54     9.08    16.41     7.41    26.35    61.37    35.54P    0.08R    0.03  
Wycombe              13   21   +6      75.92     9.50    20.43    15.11    40.88    73.49    50.48P    0.06R    0.01  
Crewe                13   19  +12      70.68     9.52    21.81     6.29    22.63    54.60    31.28P    0.30R    0.09  
Stevenage            13   18   +3      62.14     9.19     1.66     0.79     4.46    19.83     8.07P    2.41R    0.81  
Aldershot            13   18   -1      64.02     9.07     0.15     1.15     5.95    25.02    10.16P    1.55R    0.51  
Cheltenham           13   18   -5      58.32     9.05   -13.20     0.21     1.66     9.89     3.18P    6.26R    2.36  
Oxford_Utd           13   17   +5      59.27     9.13     1.45     0.36     2.37    13.15     4.73P    4.59R    1.62  
Burton_Albion        13   17   +4      60.36     9.18     0.55     0.54     3.16    15.52     5.79P    3.73R    1.28  
Torquay              13   17   +3      64.41     9.24     6.09     1.48     7.18    27.79    11.82P    1.53R    0.49  
Accrington_Stanley   13   16   +3      58.63     9.11    -1.59     0.29     1.98    11.44     3.86P    5.45R    2.10  
Gillingham           13   15   -2      62.86     9.50     1.91     1.04     5.68    22.73    10.41P    2.50R    0.89  
Stockport            13   15   -4      57.15     9.36    -8.96     0.25     1.62     8.91     3.29P    8.22R    3.31  
Macclesfield         13   15   -5      53.31     8.72   -15.41     0.03     0.33     3.12     0.80P   15.07R    6.65  
Southend             13   14   -3      65.91     9.45     6.93     2.01     9.81    33.67    17.12P    1.14R    0.39  
Morecambe            13   14   -8      57.05     9.08   -11.86     0.19     1.21     7.89     2.65P    8.38R    3.32  
Bradford             13   14   -8      56.39     8.89   -12.18     0.11     0.86     6.46     2.12P    8.98R    3.55  
Lincoln_City         13   12   -8      48.11     8.41   -20.30     0.00     0.05     0.79     0.16P   32.95R   17.16  
Barnet               13   12  -12      45.50     8.47   -30.33     0.00     0.02     0.44     0.09P   46.96R   27.90  
Northampton          13   10   -9      57.17     9.13    -6.22     0.16     1.28     8.44     3.30P    7.86R    3.24  
Hereford             13   10  -15      46.54     8.64   -28.15     0.00     0.04     0.53     0.13P   41.82R   24.27  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 October 2010, Southport vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      16   35  +15      84.75     8.36    28.55    23.40    84.35    37.57P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       16   33  +12      78.84     8.29    19.56     7.45    61.92    18.31P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              16   30  +15      89.79     7.83    45.90    52.87    95.44    69.93P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     16   30  +11      74.97     8.93    16.92     4.04    44.30    11.94P    0.04R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     16   27   +8      69.43     8.78    10.02     1.04    22.08     5.25P    0.25R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   16   27   +5      77.63     8.04    20.15     5.71    57.38    20.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          16   24   +8      72.53     8.35    19.88     1.93    34.33     9.63P    0.08R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   24   +6      70.16     8.07    13.90     0.93    23.44     6.31P    0.11R    0.01  
Kidderminster      17   24   -2      65.75     8.07     0.75     0.22     9.85     2.19P    0.54R    0.04  
Grimsby            16   23   +1      71.77     8.54    13.04     1.60    30.32     9.31P    0.09R    0.01  
Gateshead          16   22   -2      56.45     7.91   -12.59     0.00     0.99     0.11P    7.20R    1.01  
Kettering          16   21   -2      64.09     8.08     1.14     0.10     6.96     1.54P    0.92R    0.09  
Darlington         16   20   +3      67.50     8.36    12.67     0.50    15.87     4.79P    0.41R    0.04  
Tamworth           16   20   -4      56.50     8.05   -11.68     0.01     1.00     0.14P    7.65R    1.25  
Eastbourne_Boro    16   19   -4      52.85     8.03   -18.58     0.00     0.36     0.04P   16.15R    3.06  
Southport          17   18   -3      50.68     8.13   -13.87     0.00     0.19     0.03P   23.21R    5.17  
York               16   18   -4      61.54     8.15    -0.20     0.07     3.98     0.99P    2.07R    0.28  
Histon             16   18   -9      51.85     7.99   -21.03     0.00     0.24     0.04P   19.41R    3.98  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   +1      63.24     8.23     9.11     0.11     6.56     1.70P    1.23R    0.14  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   17  -12      47.32     7.96   -31.56     0.00     0.04     0.01P   40.11R   12.12  
Bath_City          15   16   -5      50.88     8.75   -17.99     0.00     0.31     0.06P   24.92R    6.47  
Barrow             16   15   -4      48.92     7.95   -16.09     0.00     0.09     0.01P   29.69R    7.33  
Forest_Green       16   11  -16      41.65     7.98   -34.64     0.00     0.01     0.00    67.29R   33.61  
Altrincham         15   10  -18      43.48     8.02   -33.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.61R   25.38