Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 28 October 2010 at 21:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 October 2010, Liverpool vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          9   22  +23      88.60     6.77    69.27    77.41    94.70    99.21    99.83    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          9   17  +11      75.72     7.75    42.84     7.91    39.20    78.64    91.43    98.24     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          9   17   +8      78.65     7.32    45.39    14.09    58.66    87.57    95.89    99.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         9   17   +4      64.60     8.04    15.88     0.42     4.50    17.51    45.91    77.74     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        9   15   +3      58.50     8.04     8.15     0.07     1.09     5.35    18.02    50.33     0.25R    0.02  
West_Brom        9   15   -2      51.80     8.56    -7.41     0.01     0.20     1.28     5.44    20.67     3.00R    0.44  
Sunderland       9   12   +1      47.77     7.73    -5.91     0.00     0.02     0.19     1.38     8.49     5.48R    0.74  
Bolton           9   12   +0      45.23     7.80   -12.03     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.88     5.22    10.10R    1.81  
Newcastle        9   11   +1      48.80     8.45    -3.25     0.00     0.08     0.61     2.83    13.35     5.00R    0.76  
Aston_Villa      9   11   -4      52.49     7.99    -2.23     0.00     0.19     1.22     5.36    21.85     1.66R    0.21  
Everton          9   10   +1      55.91     7.97     9.83     0.02     0.42     2.90    11.66    38.22     0.54R    0.06  
Birmingham       9   10   -2      41.85     7.50   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21     1.84    18.76R    3.94  
Stoke            9   10   -3      41.90     7.51   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23     1.90    18.57R    3.89  
Blackpool        9   10   -7      36.79     7.82   -31.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.61    45.24R   15.87  
Wigan            9   10   -9      33.42     7.01   -38.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    64.24R   27.90  
Fulham           9    9   -1      44.75     7.65    -7.57     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.51     4.17    10.24R    1.70  
Blackburn        9    9   -2      43.56     7.78   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.45     3.42    14.10R    2.96  
Liverpool        9    9   -5      59.06     7.97    10.28     0.06     0.93     5.26    19.85    53.78     0.24R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    9    6   -7      33.75     7.36   -26.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    59.64R   25.21  
West_Ham         9    6  -10      36.96     7.69   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.51    42.92R   14.46  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 October 2010, Leeds_United vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              13   29  +21      81.75     9.01    32.28    26.42    50.52    86.96    59.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          13   29  +14      85.94     9.03    32.39    46.00    67.81    93.64    75.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          13   23   +5      71.34     8.78     9.92     3.41    10.34    47.01    19.17P    0.50R    0.05  
Norwich          13   23   +4      68.69     9.42     4.40     2.60     7.47    36.21    13.80P    1.67R    0.27  
Watford          13   21   +7      67.52     9.33     8.37     2.00     6.32    32.48    12.02P    2.12R    0.39  
Coventry         13   21   +4      62.04     8.91    -2.63     0.40     1.56    13.67     3.81P    6.37R    1.22  
Burnley          13   20   +6      70.53     9.64    13.91     4.31    11.70    45.16    20.68P    1.11R    0.15  
Reading          13   19   +7      73.27     8.97    20.86     6.20    16.21    57.94    29.21P    0.37R    0.04  
Millwall         13   19   +3      62.22     9.26     0.01     0.52     1.73    15.07     4.48P    6.79R    1.43  
Nott'm_Forest    13   19   +3      68.39     8.88     9.49     2.00     6.32    35.10    14.03P    1.19R    0.15  
Doncaster        13   19   +1      62.01     8.97    -2.32     0.38     1.50    13.85     3.96P    6.48R    1.25  
Derby            13   18   +5      61.81     8.96     2.29     0.35     1.47    14.24     4.06P    6.55R    1.35  
Portsmouth       13   18   +1      71.20     9.37    13.22     4.18    11.90    47.96    22.68P    0.85R    0.11  
Ipswich          13   18   +0      63.39     8.92     0.34     0.50     1.91    17.21     5.28P    4.86R    0.90  
Scunthorpe       13   17   +0      56.17     9.02   -10.62     0.08     0.34     4.75     1.12P   19.91R    5.57  
Leeds_United     13   17   -6      56.87     9.30   -15.45     0.10     0.53     5.69     1.52P   19.51R    5.74  
Barnsley         13   15   -7      52.44     8.80   -19.88     0.02     0.07     1.85     0.36P   34.36R   11.99  
Sheff_Utd        13   15   -8      60.95     8.85    -6.72     0.22     0.98    10.92     3.32P    8.29R    1.80  
Hull             13   13   -8      56.73     9.27   -10.09     0.10     0.42     5.41     1.52P   19.30R    5.65  
Preston          13   13   -9      51.73     9.03   -21.12     0.03     0.11     1.67     0.38P   37.76R   14.62  
Leicester        13   12  -11      57.88     8.96   -10.16     0.08     0.41     6.29     1.72P   15.16R    3.98  
Middlesbrough    13   11  -10      56.98     8.91    -8.77     0.08     0.32     4.97     1.43P   17.36R    4.76  
Crystal_Palace   13   11  -11      51.70     8.83   -17.75     0.01     0.06     1.49     0.35P   36.68R   13.66  
Bristol_City     13   10  -11      48.15     8.66   -21.98     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.08P   52.78R   24.92  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Brentford vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         13   28  +13      78.57     9.05    20.98    20.78    36.60    74.57    44.84P    0.08R    0.00  
Bournemouth      13   22  +12      70.40     9.72    16.59     5.93    12.72    42.34    19.10P    1.61R    0.11  
Peterborough     13   22   +5      72.92     9.80    13.59     9.73    18.91    51.37    26.44P    1.04R    0.06  
Sheff_Wed        13   21   +9      78.16     9.36    26.51    21.17    36.78    73.34    48.87P    0.16R    0.00  
Huddersfield     13   20   +5      73.72     9.31    17.96     9.95    20.08    55.73    29.52P    0.54R    0.02  
Colchester       13   20   +2      69.58     9.11     8.41     3.91     9.44    37.01    16.16P    1.62R    0.07  
MK_Dons          13   20   +0      66.85     9.12     2.33     2.06     5.37    25.72     9.65P    3.17R    0.17  
Carlisle         13   19   +6      67.33     9.10    10.57     2.47     6.29    28.94    11.34P    2.72R    0.20  
Rochdale         13   19   +5      62.77     9.59     2.35     1.10     3.11    16.14     5.89P    8.21R    0.79  
Charlton         13   19   -2      71.27     9.21     8.54     5.86    12.87    44.11    21.46P    1.05R    0.07  
Exeter           13   19   -2      55.90     8.64   -14.71     0.10     0.29     3.16     0.75P   24.41R    3.18  
Bristol_Rovers   13   19   -2      60.88     9.06    -7.22     0.51     1.46    10.17     3.15P   10.98R    1.00  
Oldham           13   18   +2      62.40     8.94     1.12     0.61     1.85    13.31     4.14P    7.51R    0.61  
Southampton      13   18   +2      75.29     8.97    19.95    12.34    24.35    62.66    37.03P    0.28R    0.01  
Swindon          13   16   -1      64.31     9.25     3.44     1.24     3.49    19.23     7.38P    5.76R    0.44  
Notts_County     13   16   -3      58.97     9.45    -6.70     0.37     1.06     7.93     2.43P   16.54R    2.19  
Plymouth         13   16   -5      65.38     9.47     1.18     1.58     4.34    22.12     8.81P    5.42R    0.47  
Hartlepool       13   16   -6      55.14     9.03   -15.83     0.10     0.32     3.33     0.85P   28.61R    4.77  
Brentford        13   15   -3      57.00     8.76    -7.14     0.09     0.32     4.35     1.13P   19.95R    2.67  
Yeovil           13   14  -10      50.62     8.66   -22.74     0.01     0.06     0.86     0.19P   47.34R   10.96  
Leyton_Orient    13   13   -3      52.50     8.82   -11.26     0.04     0.16     1.64     0.45P   37.10R    6.79  
Tranmere         13   13   -8      50.86     8.72   -18.97     0.01     0.06     0.97     0.19P   45.73R   10.06  
Walsall          13   11   -7      49.76     8.92   -17.17     0.02     0.08     0.88     0.22P   50.23R   12.20  
Dag_&_Red        13   11   -9      42.41     8.86   -31.80     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   79.96R   43.14  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         13   28  +12      80.95     9.32    23.60    30.22    60.97    87.43    67.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            13   25  +10      76.29     8.85    18.94    13.54    40.75    76.18    49.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Bury                 13   25   +8      74.44     9.15    14.24    10.79    32.87    68.32    41.23P    0.04R    0.01  
Rotherham            13   23   +7      73.29     9.13    14.48     8.45    28.53    64.00    37.64P    0.09R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           13   21   +7      72.79     9.13    16.69     7.65    27.55    62.55    36.68P    0.11R    0.03  
Wycombe              13   21   +6      75.96     9.43    20.48    14.82    40.33    73.61    50.44P    0.05R    0.01  
Crewe                13   19  +12      70.56     9.51    21.64     6.16    22.07    54.06    30.53P    0.28R    0.06  
Stevenage            13   18   +3      62.17     9.27     1.67     0.81     4.58    20.23     8.16P    2.52R    0.84  
Aldershot            13   18   -1      63.92     8.92     0.03     0.94     5.53    24.20     9.53P    1.53R    0.49  
Cheltenham           13   18   -5      58.22     9.01   -13.38     0.24     1.52     9.47     2.95P    6.41R    2.39  
Oxford_Utd           13   17   +5      59.15     9.10     1.29     0.38     2.32    12.44     4.54P    4.74R    1.67  
Burton_Albion        13   17   +4      60.35     9.06     0.53     0.50     3.00    14.93     5.49P    3.62R    1.28  
Torquay              13   17   +3      64.56     9.16     6.39     1.43     7.16    27.97    12.12P    1.29R    0.40  
Accrington_Stanley   13   16   +3      58.33     9.13    -2.11     0.30     1.91    11.02     3.67P    5.86R    2.27  
Gillingham           13   15   -2      62.92     9.47     1.96     1.12     5.59    23.04    10.35P    2.35R    0.82  
Stockport            13   15   -4      57.23     9.37    -8.88     0.23     1.62     9.10     3.27P    8.03R    3.26  
Macclesfield         13   15   -5      53.15     8.71   -15.59     0.04     0.38     3.19     0.85P   15.48R    6.66  
Southend             13   14   -3      65.95     9.50     6.99     1.98     9.86    33.79    16.99P    1.24R    0.45  
Morecambe            13   14   -8      57.04     9.07   -11.85     0.14     1.15     7.88     2.63P    8.14R    3.38  
Bradford             13   14   -8      56.49     8.89   -12.02     0.12     1.00     6.73     2.22P    8.64R    3.28  
Lincoln_City         13   12   -8      48.32     8.40   -19.97     0.01     0.06     0.74     0.17P   32.11R   16.57  
Barnet               13   12  -12      45.47     8.56   -30.39     0.00     0.03     0.36     0.08P   47.28R   28.46  
Northampton          13   10   -9      57.06     9.08    -6.46     0.12     1.18     8.25     3.12P    7.66R    3.02  
Hereford             13   10  -15      46.44     8.65   -28.28     0.00     0.04     0.52     0.13P   42.50R   24.65  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 October 2010, Luton vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      16   35  +15      84.33     8.32    27.95    21.98    83.30    36.35P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       16   33  +12      79.05     8.27    19.84     7.89    62.87    19.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              16   30  +15      89.66     7.81    45.66    53.05    95.34    70.05P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     16   30  +11      75.08     8.97    17.11     4.40    44.68    12.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     16   27   +8      69.54     8.79    10.22     1.19    22.19     5.12P    0.24R    0.03  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   16   27   +5      77.65     8.07    20.21     5.88    57.26    20.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          16   24   +8      72.55     8.33    19.85     1.94    34.23     9.70P    0.06R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   24   +6      70.06     8.07    13.77     0.94    22.89     6.16P    0.09R    0.01  
Grimsby            16   23   +1      71.74     8.53    13.00     1.63    30.07     9.46P    0.11R    0.01  
Kidderminster      16   23   -2      66.10     8.30     0.77     0.35    10.90     2.40P    0.64R    0.06  
Gateshead          16   22   -2      56.43     7.90   -12.60     0.01     0.89     0.12P    7.38R    1.03  
Kettering          16   21   -2      64.08     8.12     1.14     0.10     7.17     1.57P    0.92R    0.08  
Darlington         16   20   +3      67.48     8.29    12.63     0.46    15.40     4.76P    0.35R    0.02  
Tamworth           16   20   -4      56.58     8.02   -11.58     0.00     0.96     0.13P    7.59R    1.06  
Eastbourne_Boro    16   19   -4      52.67     8.05   -18.98     0.00     0.30     0.04P   16.73R    3.34  
York               16   18   -4      61.58     8.14    -0.06     0.05     3.86     0.89P    2.11R    0.25  
Histon             16   18   -9      51.84     7.99   -21.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   19.75R    3.89  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   +1      63.28     8.25     9.13     0.11     6.62     1.81P    1.27R    0.13  
Southport          16   17   -3      51.06     8.36   -13.71     0.00     0.30     0.03P   22.55R    5.14  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   17  -12      47.40     7.92   -31.49     0.00     0.07     0.01P   39.79R   11.84  
Bath_City          15   16   -5      50.99     8.61   -17.69     0.00     0.38     0.05P   24.19R    6.06  
Barrow             16   15   -4      48.94     7.87   -16.06     0.00     0.10     0.02P   29.42R    7.23  
Forest_Green       16   11  -16      41.59     7.96   -34.72     0.00     0.01     0.00P   67.79R   34.05  
Altrincham         15   10  -18      43.50     8.03   -33.37     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.98R   25.76